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Beaniash
21 Nov 11 12:51
Joined:
Date Joined: 26 Jul 10
| Topic/replies: 280 | Blogger: Beaniash's blog
PICK - New England -14.5pts

Pause Switch to Standard View ** KANSAS CITY @ NEW ENGLAND ** MNF
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Report punkha1 November 21, 2011 7:35 PM GMT
Now general 16.5 cap biggest i can rememeber in lately.While i wouldn't be suprised to see New England win this by over 30 bit scared to get involved at such a big number.
Report HARRY22 November 21, 2011 8:29 PM GMT
I am sure the patriots had to cover a similar handicapp when they played the buccs at wembley
Report db1974 November 21, 2011 9:26 PM GMT
11 games since 2002 have had a spread of 16.5+

Road dogs have covered 8 from the 11 with 1 push

Pats were the only one who covered though, in Week 3 of 2007 at home to the Bills
Report good value losers November 21, 2011 9:46 PM GMT
be much more environmentally friendly if they just didn't bother to play this and just said ok 35-14 tyvm
Report Dr.Cypionate November 21, 2011 10:13 PM GMT

Nov 21, 2011 -- 3:26PM, db1974 wrote:


11 games since 2002 have had a spread of 16.5+Road dogs have covered 8 from the 11 with 1 pushPats were the only one who covered though, in Week 3 of 2007 at home to the Bills


how many of those games had a 2nd string qb playing who of which has only had 13 snaps in the nfl?!?!

stats like you put up are pretty meaningless as every game has it own facts and figures..each game cant be assessed as black and white!

pretty impossible game to bet on tbh..pats could rest player including brady in the 2nd half and kc may backdoor a pick 6 with the handi that high..overs the same rules apply with the resting of player if they are 21-28 up at the half!..can't have any confidence with any bet so far!

Report good value losers November 21, 2011 10:27 PM GMT
pats su Silly
Report orioles November 21, 2011 10:31 PM GMT
Fearless Wink
Report good value losers November 21, 2011 10:53 PM GMT
lol had too many gvl's in my time. bad value winners much more welcome
Report davescrazy November 21, 2011 11:21 PM GMT
bet here , has to be a 10k lay @ 1.01 of new england with a 1 tick offset to back em back @ 1.02, put the bet in the market now as theres only £1300 in the market laying at 1.01, easiest £100 ever  , as soon as they go infront they should hit 1.01 no problem, only takes kansas to move the ball a few yards up the pitch and the 1.02 should get matched, ill be fast asleep when this is on, and dont have the software to put the offset back in to the market, but if someone can keep an eye to see if it comes off , nice 1 gl
Report GoBallistic November 22, 2011 12:39 AM GMT
kc su Silly
Report Dr.Cypionate November 22, 2011 1:23 AM GMT
Right gone for this:

Kansas City @ New England Over 46.5

Tom Brady on a Monday night at home after a big divisional win?  Yeah, I think he's going to be fired up.  He knows the Kansas City defensive scheme inside and out.  He will absolutely have a field day.  The Patriots will be good for 35+.  Kansas City has a few play makers on offense - namely two physical receivers in Dwanye Bowe and Steve Breaston that the Patriots secondary doesn't have an answer for.  They could have just about anybody throwing to them and be good for a few scores.  I expect the Chiefs to bring out all the stops and try several trick plays this evening.  Who knows, against the Patriots defense anything is possible.  If the Chiefs prove to be as pathetic as the spread indicates, well, you always have the possibility that New England hits 48 points by themselves.
Report Dr.Cypionate November 22, 2011 1:25 AM GMT
Add this to the mix, chung and mccourty are out for patsWink
Report chingachgook November 22, 2011 1:30 AM GMT
Danny Woodhead anytime TD
Aaron Hernandez over 47.5 rec yards
good luck
Report HowieTheRookie. November 22, 2011 1:33 AM GMT
Fed up with Grudens gushing already
Report roy-oi November 22, 2011 1:37 AM GMT
any link for this folks? on patriots -20.5!
Report Dr.Cypionate November 22, 2011 1:38 AM GMT
http://www.firstrowsports.tv/watch/93601/1/watch-new-england-patriots-vs-kansas-city-chiefs.html

6 links on there^
Report Dr.Cypionate November 22, 2011 1:52 AM GMT
break break break.
Report Dr.Cypionate November 22, 2011 1:59 AM GMT
****ing negative bastrds KC..that **** will cost them here!
Report Dr.Cypionate November 22, 2011 2:05 AM GMT
forget this **** another freak fu ck fest like last night..no reason and no excuse for this.goodnight.
Report Beaniash November 22, 2011 2:06 AM GMT
only 10 mins gone first quarter man calm down lol
Report anton_chigurh November 22, 2011 2:09 AM GMT
Fair dues to the Chiefs, really have got a good tempo going and deserve to be ahead at this point. Pat's price for the SB looking more absurd by the minute.
Report Beaniash November 22, 2011 2:10 AM GMT
their D is so horrible man they need to fix up before the playoffs
Report Beaniash November 22, 2011 2:19 AM GMT
field goal is good but man pats are scraping the barel with these players
Report stockton to malone November 22, 2011 2:22 AM GMT
taxi for tomLaugh
Report Beaniash November 22, 2011 2:23 AM GMT
this is a disaster start ... +14 is dead
Report stockton to malone November 22, 2011 2:25 AM GMT
easy for kansasTongue Out
Report chingachgook November 22, 2011 2:26 AM GMT
its never easy trying to buy money
1.06    €6,110         €49,977
1.07               €221,032
1.08    €1,139         €184,391
1.09               €105,881
1.10    €4         €43,995
1.11               €29,315
1.12               €4,259
1.13               €13,831
1.14    €1,166         €18,643
1.15    €147         €22,283
1.16               €33,329
1.17               €33,874
Report stockton to malone November 22, 2011 2:32 AM GMT
only one winner here
Report caramba November 22, 2011 2:32 AM GMT
it's not only their defence that's bad
Report vrk November 22, 2011 2:33 AM GMT
Wow, patriots are looking like the 2 touchdown underdog right now.
Report Beaniash November 22, 2011 2:34 AM GMT
still not worried though i think second half is gonna be a shut out
Report liam1982 November 22, 2011 2:36 AM GMT
Only a matter of time lads don't worry
Report Beaniash November 22, 2011 2:39 AM GMT
1st TD for pats then its flood gates
Report Beaniash November 22, 2011 2:44 AM GMT
BOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOM
Report liam1982 November 22, 2011 2:44 AM GMT
GrinCool
Report chingachgook November 22, 2011 2:47 AM GMT
backed Gronk 1st and anytime TD last weekend should stayed with him.SadCry
Report Beaniash November 22, 2011 2:57 AM GMT
LETS GO
Report chingachgook November 22, 2011 3:05 AM GMT
Woodhead anytime TDCry
just my fookin luck
Report chingachgook November 22, 2011 3:08 AM GMT
need 15 yards from Hernandez in the 2nd half
probably wont get another catch.Sad
Report johnfitz26 November 22, 2011 3:08 AM GMT
I got £50 on at 1.9 -14.5 handicapp scared never bet on american football
Report Beaniash November 22, 2011 3:11 AM GMT
14+ can still cover if they just play a little D for fek sake
Report chingachgook November 22, 2011 3:16 AM GMT
re: Woodhouse TD chance,it was a poor throw by Brady, imo he should have thrown to
the outside shoulder of woodhouse.in making woodhead turn back in field for the catch
it gave the Defender a chance to make the tackle.
Report johnfitz26 November 22, 2011 3:30 AM GMT
whats the score guys?
Report chingachgook November 22, 2011 3:30 AM GMT
4 yards more please Aaron
Report chingachgook November 22, 2011 3:31 AM GMT
17-3
Report johnfitz26 November 22, 2011 3:31 AM GMT
thanks
Report chingachgook November 22, 2011 3:35 AM GMT
24-3
Report ArmchairIdiot November 22, 2011 3:38 AM GMT
Epic TD. Love
Report ArmchairIdiot November 22, 2011 3:43 AM GMT
INT Whoooop!
Report ArmchairIdiot November 22, 2011 3:45 AM GMT
it's all about the rippin ana tearin' baby. Whoops
Report Beaniash November 22, 2011 3:54 AM GMT
WELL GUYS .. ITS BEEN A LONG DAY HOPE YOU ALL STAY'D WITH THE PICK I KNOW I'M NOT ALWAYS RIGHT BUT MAN DOES IT TASTE GOOD WHEN I AM. I'M GREENING OUT SO TIRED. SEE YOU ALL NEXT WEEKEND.
Report chingachgook November 22, 2011 4:07 AM GMT
im not going the get the yards i need here
same sh1t luck tonight ffs
Report braq98 November 22, 2011 4:08 AM GMT
You're greening out????? Laugh Laugh Laugh
Report chingachgook November 22, 2011 4:16 AM GMT
throw the ball to hernandez ffs
please
Report razz November 22, 2011 4:26 AM GMT
why does espn stop coverage of this game at 4...?
Report chingachgook November 22, 2011 4:30 AM GMT
no more NFL bets for me
seriously p1ssed of with my luck.
Report johnfitz26 November 22, 2011 4:39 AM GMT
thanks Beanish
Report good value losers November 22, 2011 9:37 AM GMT
good value losers     21 Nov 11 22:27 
pats su


Cool never in doubt. 9% safer than northern rock Happy
Report d13phe November 22, 2011 11:22 AM GMT
this sounded like a good game - not

KC another team going for draft picks now
Report db1974 November 22, 2011 11:26 AM GMT
Dr.Cypionate     21 Nov 11 22:13 
how many of those games had a 2nd string qb playing who of which has only had 13 snaps in the nfl?!?!

stats like you put up are pretty meaningless as every game has it own facts and figures..each game cant be assessed as black and white!



I do agree that general stats like I posted are irrelevant in the context of one game. They are merely a starting point and something to bear in mind when analysing that game.

What they do show though is that is very rare for any NFL team to cover a 2 TD spread, irrespective of the merits of either or both teams.

Also, the 2nd string QB etc etc is all built into the line already
Report Beaniash November 22, 2011 4:59 PM GMT

Nov 21, 2011 -- 10:08PM, braq98 wrote:


You're greening out?????


i always green out when i have big money on something. i remember few years a ago i had 15k on chicago bulls to beat Sacramento kings at home when they were up 25 then went to be without greening out woke up to £0.00 thinking betfair website was down or something lol ( i can laugh now ) checked the scores they lost by 4 points after a 35 point comeback. cos of that it took me 6 months to recover lol. so as a rule of thumb i never let things ride out no matter how nailed on it is if i decide to go to sleep or go out.

Report d13phe November 22, 2011 6:39 PM GMT
I think the bigger lesson there is don't go to bed when you have 15k at stake!
Report db1974 November 22, 2011 10:22 PM GMT
I couldn't sleep if I had 15K at stake
Report Dr.Cypionate November 23, 2011 12:20 AM GMT

Nov 22, 2011 -- 10:59AM, Beaniash wrote:


Nov 22, 2011 --  4:08AM, braq98 wrote:You're greening out?????i always green out when i have big money on something. i remember few years a ago i had 15k on chicago bulls to beat Sacramento kings at home when they were up 25 then went to be without greening out woke up to £0.00 thinking betfair website was down or something lol ( i can laugh now ) checked the scores they lost by 4 points after a 35 point comeback. cos of that it took me 6 months to recover lol. so as a rule of thumb i never let things ride out no matter how nailed on it is if i decide to go to sleep or go out.


what was your last username footsoldier by any chance?

Report Beaniash November 23, 2011 12:32 PM GMT
nah its always been beaniash. cmon bulls up 30 4th quarter cant blame me for thinking it was over lol but i learnt my leasson
Report good value losers November 23, 2011 1:16 PM GMT
i think the point the good doctor is making is that you state "... i remember few years a ago i had 15k on chicago bulls to beat Sacramento kings at home when they were up 25 then went to be without greening out ..." but your joining date is 26 jul 2010.
Report dlarssonf November 23, 2011 1:24 PM GMT
The game in question was the 21st December 2009, nearly 6 months before your join date.  I think it is fairly obvious to most judging by his posts that beaniash is another spoofer
Report Beaniash November 24, 2011 3:10 AM GMT
whoa hang on i've been a member of betfair since 07 i joined the forum july 2010 ... why am i even explaining myself to you.
Report HARRY22 November 24, 2011 1:24 PM GMT
Dont know how many usernames you have etc but you remind me of a member on the tennis forum who did exactly the same...maybe you are the same person....You posted a comment saying you were off to bed knowing when you wake up you will have 10k in the account..you said you could sleep at ease knowing fine well nadal was going to put money into the account just in time for breakfast Grin  He lost to ferrer oz open Shocked..dont believe for a second you would go to bed with this kind of money on the line.
Report Beaniash November 24, 2011 1:32 PM GMT
When i say i went to bed i mean fell asleep with the laptop infront of me ... you know when you just dose off looking at the screen then wake up severasl hours later. lol thats what happened.
Report orioles November 24, 2011 1:34 PM GMT
Yeah, it's happening to me right n
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