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horse9
17 Nov 11 20:13
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Date Joined: 12 Sep 10
| Topic/replies: 1,227 | Blogger: horse9's blog
Getting to that time of year when weather starts playing a part in NFL and if quick off the mark there'll be some golden 'unders' to be had for the remainder of the reg season.
14 games this weekend (inc tonight) and the only game I could consider playing overs is Skins/Cowboys, main plays:

Niners/Cards under 41.5
Bears/Chargers under 45.5
Broncs/Jets under 40.5

Good luck all

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Replies: 10
By:
skyblues
When: 17 Nov 11 22:06
Yeah took unders myself tonight, though i do like some overs on sunday, dallas being 1 and the rams though dome so doesnt effect the weather and miami bills overs this week.
Gl horse, chiefs doomed not to win again this season i feel.
By:
lustrumm
When: 17 Nov 11 22:21
As it happens a timely topic as Rich Eisen just tweeted from the ground at in Denver that the wind is howling and the weather is horrendous for tonights game . Should be a ground game. I don't like going under at 40 but it is the play tonight I feel all things considered
By:
horse9
When: 17 Nov 11 22:23
Evening Sky - not only are our Chiefs failing but I'm also 1-4 when backing in their games this year, including backing them to cover at Arrowhead v Fins, just the 40 points wrong that week !

Yeah I ignore dome games for unders, drop of rain and 15-20mph winds for Miami Sunday could affect the offences in that one but I think the 43 line has built some of that in, Bills this year are 6-3 overs ATS, beware though as Fins are on a run of 8 straight unders !

Good luck mate, looks like it'll be the 2013 superbowl for us.....
By:
punkha1
When: 18 Nov 11 00:56
Im curious guys as a Redskins fan why of all the games you fancy overs in our game?the way we're playing the cowboys might have to score 40 themselves for it to go over Cry
By:
SergeantMarcel
When: 18 Nov 11 12:39
And also the last game between the 2 was a field goal shootout. Overs is always risky in a fierce divisional game
By:
horse9
When: 18 Nov 11 18:43
Romo has some unbelievable record in November and is firing now as well as he ever has, Skins have gone back to Grossman who was putting up good numbers before his benching but is also liable to throw 5 pick sixes.
Weather is also set fare and I don't think 41 is a big ask
By:
punkha1
When: 18 Nov 11 19:18
Fair enough mate i actually had in my head the line was 47 so in fairness 41 isnt too bad i suppose.
By:
skyblues
When: 18 Nov 11 22:08
Yeah kind off same thoughts as horse on the grossman plan, i just feel the skins will put up some points somewhere soon and with the number at 41 i dont feel you need to many scores to get over that line. on the fg fest last time i remember once hearing a crazy stat about if the 1st game in a divsion match was 9 points under or over the total then to go the opposite next time they played, cant remember the actuall number of winning % but it was high. The 1st game between these went 10 under the total.
Im not personally a big stat person on them sort off things but some people are it may help it may not.
gl all.
By:
horse9
When: 18 Nov 11 23:52
Don't get me wrong Skins are something like 1-8 overs so there'd no obvious reason for going over, I just think Grossman creates something different and I honestly don't believe it'll be close, I can see Romo getting out the blocks and getting 2+ scores up forcing Grossman to try making some plays.
But I'm under 40% this year so he who takes my advice need his head testing....
By:
Name's a porno flick
When: 20 Nov 11 08:35
Care must be taken with Boy/Skins games, no matter how bad any teams are they are games which are close. Fiametta is out for Boys, so back to tight ends blocking, running game may suffer.
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