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I'm afraid they don't give a fly ball for US sports
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Actually Betfair did at one time have action markets on MLB. In fact that's all they had. They switched to listed picther lines, I think around 2003-2004, with action lines posted as well. Vast majority wanted the listed pitcher market and the action lines were dropped for lack of interest.
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The problem with having an action market on Betfair is the risk of a pitcher change. There is no way to adjust the odds on a pitcher change like bookmakers who take action bets do. Does the OP realize that a bookmaker like Pinnie will adjust the odds on action wagers taken prior to a pitcher change?
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You'll have no layers on action markets as if people find out about the pitcher change before the layer, the layer is screwed. If I'm a layer in that situation, I have to be at my computer 24/7 (or at least the whole time I have money in the markets) and even then someone can find out about a pitching change before me. It's not like a bookmaker where you can have palpable errors, you can suspend markets or even void bets as you choose.
At least 95% of the time the listed pitcher doesn't change anyway, so why would anyone want an action line? If a pitcher does change and you'd bet on an action line, you're effectively just crossing your fingers and hoping the change is in your favour. |
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When I bet MLB the starting pitchers are not a big consideration.
Why? |