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Getting earlier with this one but anyways :-
GB (-1) V Pitts
GB (-1) V Pitts
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Replies: 11
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-1 will get backed (if it hasn't already), they'll be -3 on the day IMO.
The line I love is the points @ 46, will be playing overs for serious money. Something like 20 of the last 26 have gone over. No point trying to run against Steelers so Rodgers forced to air it out against an average secondary (ranked #12 reg season) and if Rodgers puts points up Big Ben will come back firing against an even more average Pack secondary (#18 reg season) though they have improved in post season - but still likely to give up big plays. I think it'll easily go over the 46 |
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24-17 to Packers. Rodgers for me will struggle against Steelers defence similar to Bears last night. However Packers defence has been superb since last two games of regular season. Limited Eagles to 16 points who were second best passing team in NFL. Clay Mathews and Raji currently top of their game.
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Green Bay -2.5 generally
http://www.vegasinsider.com/nfl/odds/las-vegas/ http://www.smashiton.com/Main/NFL.htm .. |
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i'm delighted to be taking the steelers above 2.0 and on the caps
think it will be a tight one as steeler football generally turns out to be i think i'll at least get chance to trade out of both bets at suitable prices for good profit |
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Horse i agree with the overs...prob a very good shout but i think the stats are deceiving regarding the packers secondary..i know they are ranked 18 but i believe they are no1 secondary,may sound a bit silly given the 18th ranking but if you look at how they have finished the season since the patriots defeat the evidence is clear..Giants have a high scoring offence..stopped them for 17, bears only put up 3...then the playoff run is even better...philly 16pts,atlanta 21pts(kick off return 7pts) both these teams are among the top 4 scoring offences...i think this secondary is the best in the league,they only conceded 240pts all reg season,only pitts are better by 8pts...2 best Ds made it to the superbowl.
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Fair shout Harry, but it's the make up of the game that I think will lead to a passing game.
No point Pack running on Steelers they won't get anywhere, so Rodgers will go air route and with that set of receivers they could make big plays all over the field. If the Pack shoot off into a lead Big Ben will play catch up and follow suit - don't get me wrong I rate the Packers secondary highly but it's the quality of both offences that I think will get the better of the Defences, don't forget the likes of Miami, Cincy and Jets put up over 20 points on Steelers in reg season, and remove all weather issues and it's a perfect scenario for points. |
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Yes i agree...wonder what the stats are on games played in domes compared to outdoors in terms of points scored....it should be a high scoring,even the steelers with mendenhall wont get much change out of the packers...steelers O line would be a big worry..i know ben can make a lot of plays out of the pocket..packers will get to ben more than the jets...looking forward to this one.
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I have to disagree on the overs....havent 5 of the last superbowls gone under? Something like that...the overs is a major mug bet in a game like the superbowl. You know its what the public are betting.
Looking forward to the props coming out anyway (not always mug bets before anyone starts!) |
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"Steelers O line would be a big worry..i know ben can make a lot of plays out of the pocket..packers will get to ben more than the jets..."
For me that could be the determining factor, if that O line gets it's ass in gear then Steelers have a great chance, if not: game over. |
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with centre maurkice pouncey missing the superbowl it will be a big blow 4 the steelers O line, he will be replaced by doug legursky, the steelers only managed 56 yards & were ineffective with the run in the second half against the jets with pouncey sidelined, but if the O line can hold it together to score enough points, the best D in the league will bring the superbowl home.
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The last 5 Superbowls all went unders - in other words Overs is due. Bigtime! It's called the law of averages. You know, the one where if a coin comes up heads 5 times in a row then tails is due so just keep backing tails until you're quids in. Simples.
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