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horse9
22 Dec 10 22:05
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Date Joined: 12 Sep 10
| Topic/replies: 1,227 | Blogger: horse9's blog
Not a great game, but with the h'cap at 15 and points line 37 and no Polamalu there has to be some value getting with Carolina and the overs here ?
Weather seems OK with the snow set to stop hours before KO, winds at 10mph shouldn't kill the passing game, the overs and Carolina (with the points) seem a bit of value to me.
Any views ?

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Replies: 137
By:
unclerico
When: 23 Dec 10 15:28
As a Ravens supporter I may stay up to see if the Panthers can keep it close - surely every stat available points to a blow-out?
By:
squire danaher
When: 23 Dec 10 18:31
Stewart ran for 460 in last 4 games

98 @ Cleveland
92 @ Seattle
133 v Atlanta
137 v Arizona

Carolina passing game dross, only weapon they have is the rush,
Steelers without Polamalu, is the current 1.74 +50.5 Stewart a good thing??
By:
horse9
When: 23 Dec 10 18:33
Probably O, but I make Troy the most influencial player in NFL and many of the stats include games he's started. I like the overs more than the h'cap but Panthers have showed some improvement recently and still possess a decent running game
By:
unclerico
When: 23 Dec 10 18:39
You've convinced me - I'll watch the first halfGrin
By:
d13phe
When: 23 Dec 10 18:56
Shame it's such a poor game when I don't have to get up in the morning.

steelers to win by about 40 if they can be bothered. Anyone who has put any money on the panthers hasn't watched them this year, they are beyond woeful
By:
squire danaher
When: 23 Dec 10 19:06
Is it not a shout that if Stewart can run 133 v the Falcons he could run 51 v a Polamalu-less Steelers???
By:
horse9
When: 23 Dec 10 19:09
squire - he's up against not only the best run D this year but probably one of the best of all time, but given Clausens inexperience and probably some conservative play calling, Stewart will get his carries so I'd rather play over than under.
Steelers will win and probably comfortably, but 15 is a big spread
By:
horse9
When: 23 Dec 10 19:30
John Kasay total points, over/under 5.5 Bet365
Think I'll play the overs here, 1 x FG and 3 x PAT and it's a winner, and if the Panthers do get some defence going he may easily land 2 or 3 FG attempts.
20/23 is a fair price IMO
By:
horse9
When: 23 Dec 10 19:43
Scratch that last comment, whilst typing Kasay I was thinking Steve Suisham
Schoolboy error
By:
SteelCurtain
When: 23 Dec 10 20:20
cold & snowy in pittsburgh [:D] steelers 2 win by 21 points.
By:
Cider Red on Tour
When: 23 Dec 10 21:19
im on unders

from what i can gather its cold and windy
By:
orioles
When: 23 Dec 10 21:29
Sounds like the wife after Christmas dinner.







I thank yewwww. Please tip your waitresses.
By:
horse9
When: 23 Dec 10 21:30
Wind is due to tail off by kick off, they had a dumping of snow earlier but forecast nothing but light flurries during the game, line has edged up half a point.
Got some 1.94 over 37.5, bit of a punt I know

http://www.intellicast.com/Local/Hourly.aspx?location=USPA1290
By:
tiny dave
When: 23 Dec 10 22:36
By: This user is offline. squire danaher
Date Joined: 05 Mar 03
Add contact | Send message When: 23 Dec 10 20:06 Is it not a shout that if Stewart can run 133 v the Falcons he could run 51 v a Polamalu-less Steelers???


steelers are the only team to have under 1000 rushing yards vs them this season, 1000 in 14 matches so far equated to 70yards (and pitts under this figure)

then add the likely scenerio that steelers will be ahead meaning panthers will be expected to air it out little more.

they may get short yardage on little dump passes to RB but not a bet which stands out for me

for intrest could be decent bet, as end of day 50yards is only half field and that can be obtained in one play alone (so bet not lost to final whistle)

i certainly wouldnt want to be on under 50 lets put it that way

but without waffling on....i also wouldnt want to have 100 quid vs steelers D on the line
By:
yodacricket
When: 23 Dec 10 22:43
Tough one to punt in this, except for Carolina punter I suppose, he'll get to do a bit. Ive gone for Pittsburgh 7-12 pts winning margin@5.7. Mike Wallace 1st td@11 and a field goal to be missed@1.86. Had a little on over 47.5 pts @3.95 as well. Not very confident any will cop but its something to watch. Cant see Carolina doing much but with troy polamalu missing they have more chance than usual to score on screen or short passes, dont think that Clausen can get the ball long to Smith against this defence. Pittsburgh offence has missfired recently and a few like Ben and  Heath Miller are towing with niggles so it could be closer if they struggle to punch it in.
By:
Commodus
When: 23 Dec 10 22:51
Carolina to score first at 5/2 is a tempter.
By:
squire danaher
When: 23 Dec 10 22:51
tiny dave

I don't disagree with you but the rider for me is that those Steelers D numbers is were gained largely with the presence of Polamalu.

Carolina have to run the ball and Stewart is their go-to guy over past 4 weeks having missed the previous 2.

This is a largely redundant conversation anyway as the 1.74 which had been pout up has been taken down unmatched

Cool
By:
SteelCurtain
When: 23 Dec 10 22:52
if the steelers dont punch in at least 3 or 4 TDs v the panthers the can 4get going back 2 the superbowl.
By:
lustrumm
When: 23 Dec 10 23:00
There is nothing like momentum and the panthers have a it of it now. Forget about the Arizona game they played well in the defeat to the Falcons.
There are plenty of ATS stats that say Carolina will keep within 2 touchdowns here.

I would back the under but 37 is too low
By:
BARNEY15C
When: 23 Dec 10 23:41
any opinions on hcap, steelers will win imo but i think -14 is a bit of a stretch.
By:
Donald Driver
When: 23 Dec 10 23:53
Panthers wont put up many points, if steelers get 24 points, i think they will cover the hcap. gl
By:
HGsuperhoopza
When: 23 Dec 10 23:57
I know its only tiny money, but can someone lay me a fiver caorlina +3.5 points 1st quarter. I'm beginning my venture into American Football and the betting that comes with it so its very small stakes for now.

Cheers, appreciated
By:
BARNEY15C
When: 23 Dec 10 23:57
Thanks Mate!
By:
HGsuperhoopza
When: 23 Dec 10 23:57
*at evens
By:
HGsuperhoopza
When: 24 Dec 10 00:01
Thanks to whoever layed it, only worry is the score being 7-3, wish there was a correct score 1st quarter market, I would be all over the 7-3 steelers to cover this bet, can't see much else.
By:
SteelCurtain
When: 24 Dec 10 00:15
xmas eve few days off work, misses gone bed my first love about 2 kick-off a nice stress free win would be the best xmas present.
By:
squire danaher
When: 24 Dec 10 00:17
Backed Steelers +25.5 @5/6 with the Irish lad name Patrick
By:
Ross8481
When: 24 Dec 10 00:21
FFS these Thomson adverts are dreadful, bring back the rat
By:
HGsuperhoopza
When: 24 Dec 10 00:22
You mean 15.5?
By:
Ross8481
When: 24 Dec 10 00:23
Think he is talking about Steeler total points
By:
squire danaher
When: 24 Dec 10 00:25
Sorry - Ross reads me correctly

[smiley:crazy]
By:
Swardean
When: 24 Dec 10 00:34
Evening all, backed Steelers -13.5 so could do with a stop on this opening drive.  But panthers moved it ok so far
By:
Ross8481
When: 24 Dec 10 00:35
On overs and steelers to cover for interest, gl
By:
SteelCurtain
When: 24 Dec 10 00:38
stopped
By:
Ross8481
When: 24 Dec 10 00:42
Nice start
By:
SteelCurtain
When: 24 Dec 10 00:42
great run [:)]
By:
Ross8481
When: 24 Dec 10 00:46
and we're away
By:
SteelCurtain
When: 24 Dec 10 00:46
TD [:)][:)]
By:
Ross8481
When: 24 Dec 10 00:47
Strange challenge
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