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I love my baseball, I love betting, and I make consistent money betting on cricket.
I know that I don't know enough about baseball to make money - I've never bet on it up to now exceptenners for interest, but undoubtedly some of you guys will. Would anyone care to give me a few pointers ?
I'm quite prepared to put the legwork in to develop a ratings system, even if it takes a few months to get it to even thinking about anything other than paper trading.
Any offers ? O'Dwyer need not apply.
I know that I don't know enough about baseball to make money - I've never bet on it up to now exceptenners for interest, but undoubtedly some of you guys will. Would anyone care to give me a few pointers ?
I'm quite prepared to put the legwork in to develop a ratings system, even if it takes a few months to get it to even thinking about anything other than paper trading.
Any offers ? O'Dwyer need not apply.
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Few sports are statistically dissected more minutely than baseball.
You can try this
http://www.amazon.co.uk/Baseball-Hacks-Joseph-Adler/dp/0596009429/ref=wl_it_...
for a sense of how to analyse the game and then it's a question of getting to know baseball to get a feel for gambling on it. Game favourites are typically short on value and can be the route to the poor house. Try starting with betting totals and again, if in doubt, take on the herd.
Good luck.
You can try this
http://www.amazon.co.uk/Baseball-Hacks-Joseph-Adler/dp/0596009429/ref=wl_it_...
for a sense of how to analyse the game and then it's a question of getting to know baseball to get a feel for gambling on it. Game favourites are typically short on value and can be the route to the poor house. Try starting with betting totals and again, if in doubt, take on the herd.
Good luck.
Thanks, have ordered it plus the Tom Tango one that has been mentioned to me.
Just by the by, I'm seeing the Las Vegas 51's (Toronto's AAA side) in a couple of weeks, and I'm interviewing one of their players (as yet undecided which) for a magzine article.
I'm currently trying to get their PR guy to let me take an hour's practise with them for the article, which would be a laugh too.
I'm currently trying to get their PR guy to let me take an hour's practise with them for the article, which would be a laugh too.
Nice one.
If you ever get an interview with The Norfolk Tides, let me know and I'll be your bag carrier ;)
If you ever get an interview with The Norfolk Tides, let me know and I'll be your bag carrier ;)
Without wishing to sound too dim, where's Norfolk ? Virginia rings a bell ...
Choose the team that you think will win and bet on the other.
Ratbag JP Arencibia and Brad Mills are probably the 2 of the top players in that roster I think
yep all on the pitcher, so funny when think back to early days playing on it, would watch the angels destory, say the A'S, then the next night i'd back them against the A's again and they'd get hammered and wonder what the hell was going on lol
Cheers Umbo, although the first criterion is going to be someone who's articulate and hopefully funny. After that, ideally someone who's had experience of the major leagues or is likely to this year would be key. The angle of the story will be what it's like to live in Vegas, since it's for a magazine called Gambling.
baseball is not a sport to venture into imo if you want to play inrunning
unsocial hours, massive time disadvantage, poor liquidity etc
unless you're from canada of course,then a 5 year old could turn a profit
unsocial hours, massive time disadvantage, poor liquidity etc
unless you're from canada of course,then a 5 year old could turn a profit
How poor is the liquidity in running ? And is there nothing at all on non-TV games ?
Brett Wallace (picked up in the Halladay trade) and Brian Dopirak would be worthy of an interview as well.
Ratbag 22 Mar 14:19
How poor is the liquidity in running ? And is there nothing at all on non-TV games ?
it's pretty bad, there's generally money about, but rarely at a sensible price, spreads of 1.6-1.7 are fairly common
the non tv games can be better than the tv games, depends who's on
mlbtv is a must
How poor is the liquidity in running ? And is there nothing at all on non-TV games ?
it's pretty bad, there's generally money about, but rarely at a sensible price, spreads of 1.6-1.7 are fairly common
the non tv games can be better than the tv games, depends who's on
mlbtv is a must
Most of the non-televised games, particularly the late west coast games have zero liquidity most of the way through, until people want to back/lay 1.01 late in the game. If you're wanting to bet £5 a time you could probably get sensible prices, but anything more and you'll struggle, unless Betfair recruit a lot of in-play baseball punters from somewhere.
I meant if you're talking non-televised, you mean not on ESPN. Every game's on Mlbtv, right ?
yeah, sorry misunderstood, that's right, mlbtv is as fast if not faster than espn, so it's invaluable.
don't know why i'm trying to put you off, the more the merrier, there's still money to be made, but it wont be easy though.
don't know why i'm trying to put you off, the more the merrier, there's still money to be made, but it wont be easy though.
If i get myself organised properly, I think setup and paper trading for a couple of months - assuming it takes a month or two before that to get enough data logged for the new season.
Pinn*cle available too for good overrounds.
Pinn*cle available too for good overrounds.
You`re wasting your time developing statistical systems. The best way to pick the winner of a Baseball match is
EENY MEENY MINY MOE ............
EENY MEENY MINY MOE ............
That's about right it must be the most unpredictable sport to bet on.
I adopted Swing of the Quad cities (now the Quad Cities river bandits) cos I loved the name. Id like to go to Davenport, Iowa where they are based
Just for info for anyone who's interested, I ended up interviewing Kyle Phillips, Catcher and Infielder.
He played a few games for Toronto last year - got his first hit off Verlander - but is mostly famous this year for, in a spring training game this year, throwing the ball back to the pitcher and accidentally wanging it striaght into the ear of the batter. ESPN picke dit up and showed the world, how embarrassing ...
He played a few games for Toronto last year - got his first hit off Verlander - but is mostly famous this year for, in a spring training game this year, throwing the ball back to the pitcher and accidentally wanging it striaght into the ear of the batter. ESPN picke dit up and showed the world, how embarrassing ...
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