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Ace High
01 Feb 10 17:22
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Date Joined: 27 Sep 04
| Topic/replies: 1,053 | Blogger: Ace High's blog
This is by far my favourite gambling day of the year, even when it goes terrible (see: most years).

There are a ridiculous number of prop bets out there for the game, especially with the offshore firms...I really dont see how I dont have 50+ bets by Sunday.

Early Bets:

Saints to have Longest Run @ 1.87
Missed extra point @ 13.5
Lead change in 2nd Half @ 3.1
Lost Fumble in 1st Half @ 2
First 1st down a run @ 2.9
Over 3.5 Sacks @ 3.5
Total Rushing Yards Under 200 @ 1.87
Under 43.5 1st Downs @ 2.05
Under 49 Completions @ 2.05
Saints Longest TD @ 2.25 (now best priced evens, still a ok bet i think)


Semi-Interesting vid on superbowl props here:

http://www.sbr.tv/video-9270-Super-Bowl-XLIV-Prop-Betting-Q-A-with-Peter-Loshak-and-Justin7-part-1-.html

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Replies: 16
By:
jman_delight
When: 02 Feb 10 05:38
nice link!
By:
honestcl
When: 02 Feb 10 11:38
Good work ace high and totally agree that it's the best gambling day of the year.

Lost on my first two SB's but made on the last three so fully in the groove of this style of betting.

Just annoyed at the lack of non-sports props thus far. Every day I'm checking the usual US books but no sign of bets on the half time show with The Who; national anthem; TV ratings; best advert; what the commentators might say etc. I love all those bets. What's going on???
By:
BERBA
When: 02 Feb 10 12:11
I'M A TOTAL NOVICE BOUT AMERICAN FOOTBALL BUT WILL BE GLUED TO IT COME SUN AND AM LOOKIN 2 HAVE A BET ON THE HANDIACP. CAN ANYBODY GIVE SOME GOOD ADVICE
By:
shaggykev
When: 02 Feb 10 12:28
i think it was the carolina patriots superbowl and i had a gang round, most didnt have a clue about betting on nfl but we all had loads of bets down the bookies beforehand and one of the lads had a few quid on a safety first scoring play at 200/1

inches away from clicking- fell out of his charm with excitement at that one

could be right ace with the saints getting most sacks if freeney is out,
By:
mr milk
When: 02 Feb 10 13:37
berba - sj are going evs the pair on the handicap.
also at 5.5
with the match odds drifting i would think the line is more likely to come in than go out.
hence, there may be some value in taking saints +5.5 at that price

just my opinion though. sunday still a long way off...
By:
BERBA
When: 02 Feb 10 13:45
cheers 4 that
By:
Ace High
When: 02 Feb 10 14:24
Just annoyed at the lack of non-sports props thus far. Every day I'm checking the usual US books but no sign of bets on the half time show with The Who; national anthem; TV ratings; best advert; what the commentators might say etc. I love all those bets. What's going on???

Stuff like this is available with one of the yank books. I dont trust this particular firm enough to put money in though...will wait till the uk firms and pinny release them.

I heard Townsend gave the playlist out for the halftime show a few weeks ago, that was why it was pulled by SJ.

Lookin forward to the cross-sports bets as well ie. Man United Goals vs Saints Field Goals etc.
By:
Ace High
When: 02 Feb 10 14:26
Anyone know of a website with penalty stats?

Laddies have first penalty betting...like the look of Holding @ 3/1
By:
Sexual Harassment Panda
When: 02 Feb 10 16:35
Colts win 27-13
By:
FORZA AS ROMA
When: 05 Feb 10 17:51
Found some nice ones:

When will Favre first be mentioned
Who the MVP first thanks
By:
Lifetaker
When: 05 Feb 10 22:27
mr milk
Belive that Your 100 % RIGHT Here.
By:
Lifetaker
When: 05 Feb 10 22:39
Sexual Harassment Panda
Everyone has their OWN point of View. Full mark's for Posting your's.
BUT ! Can you Explain your Reason's
the lowest score pre gaurented play-off's was 24 point's, with the last three game that couldn't Damage them was : 17, 17 and 10 ( remember this is when they want to try new thing's / test back up's / Stay INJURY FREE ect. )

In a SHOOT - OUT, Brees would still Dominate

So what I'm saying is : " Your a Brave Man "
By:
Ace High
When: 06 Feb 10 01:37
Spread markets out at the index. Some ridiculous markets on there.
By:
glory hornet
When: 07 Feb 10 08:48
Cant find a price for NO SACKS , anyone seen one ?
By:
Seth
When: 07 Feb 10 14:24
I Like:

Bush over 4.5 rushing attempts
Bush under 8.5 rushing attempts (the middle has come in his last three games and the 8.5 was a rick)

Brees over 280.5 passing (If saints are ahead it will be cos of brees throwing to keep up with peyton and if they are behind he will have to throw to catch up)

Saints to get 1st roughing the passer penalty (Gregg Williams stated that he wants his defence to knock Peyton out of the game and they were dirty on Favre plus the refs will be ready to flag them)

Addai over 2.5 receptions (if Saints pressure as much as usual then this goes over)

Pierre Thomas over 12.5 rushing attempts (Saints may look to run a lot to keep Peyton off the field plus his last two games have gone over)

Over 2.5 sacks (QBs may be more willing to take a sack rather than risk throwing a TO in such an important game)

Saints to use 1st time out (Colts are probably the stingiest team with their time outs)

Saints to receive opening kick off (Adam Meyer reckons he had inside info that Colts will defer if they win the coin toss and if Saints win then they will receive)

Colts to score in every quarter (If anyone can, they can)

Lacey over 3.5 tackles
Lacey under 5.5 tackles

Longest Field Goal Under 44.5 yards @ 1.75 with bwin (neither kicker has kicked a FG over 44 yards yet this season)

MVP to thank his team mates first @ 3.50 (couldnt resist!)

Austin Collie longest reception over 18.5 yards (this has gone over 6 times in his last 8 games and with Clark drawing loads of coverage, Austin should get his big play)
By:
mr milk
When: 07 Feb 10 15:45
i like the FG one but be careful with the roughing the passer one.
scott green (who is as**as they come btw) never calls roughing the passer.
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