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Fallen Angel
09 Nov 09 18:30
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Date Joined: 06 Jan 05
| Topic/replies: 8,612 | Blogger: Fallen Angel's blog
Obviously there is half the season to go for alot of teams. However would be interesting to get some views on potential outsiders for the playoffs, I was looking at the fixtures today, have NYJ finshing with 10 wins, thought 10-6 might be good enough.

Not sure I can see anyone coming from the pack in the NFC, I have the top 6 in the conference well clear on ratings.

Thoughts?
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Report themightymac November 9, 2009 6:41 PM GMT
Arizona @ 30 looks a little bit value on a likely Divisional winner.
Report skyblues November 9, 2009 8:32 PM GMT
Yeah agree on the cards, and no one will want to meet them come playoff time with that offence.
There will be a team that will come from no where to maybe reach or just miss the playoffs. Havent looked through the scedhs, but shame daniels on ir for texans they could go close.
Id imagine playoffs looking like
indy
pats
pitt
san diego
cinci
(ill take a stab at texans)

saints
vikes
eagles
cards
cowboys
falcs.
Report Lifetaker November 9, 2009 11:30 PM GMT
Any one think the Bengals can make it
Report Glandular Beaver November 9, 2009 11:41 PM GMT
dont rule out the ravens yet
Report orioles November 9, 2009 11:48 PM GMT
I've been backing Houston all season.

Then Owen Daniels went down :|
Report HARRY22 November 10, 2009 9:45 AM GMT
Superbowl champs on a roll.
Report Fallen Angel November 10, 2009 2:27 PM GMT
Harry,
Am starting to come round to this view, recent performances have been very impressive. 5 in a row now. They are still in the mix to grab one of the 1/2 spots and avoid a 4th game. Season just starting to get interesting. Cracking game this week in the AFC.
Report HARRY22 November 10, 2009 2:35 PM GMT
Yes i think il take new england with the 3 start....Mendenhall impressing the steeler nation...vital guy with parker a no show
Report Floz November 10, 2009 5:08 PM GMT
my opinion is that new orleans are too short because the nfc is thought to be weaker than the afc and they will have the easier run. for that reason minnesota at 10 dallas at 18 arizona at 29 and atlanta at 50 must all be pretty good value outsiders.

indianapolis on the other hand are perceived as having the tough route with pittsburgh and new england. i'd say pittsburgh at 10 is value but wouldn't put anyone off indy at 7. san diego at 25 and cincinnati at 29 look a bit short.

all the nfc teams except new orleans look better value than all the afc teams except pittsburgh and indianapolis.

new england are too short especially in comparison to pittsburgh.

worst current value in superbowl market are the giants at 34. that is a hit and hope at the moment.

final mention at real long odds - miami at 75 is a possibility to lay off later.
Report bok10 November 10, 2009 8:44 PM GMT
orioles,

I have backed texans all season too...

Just wish they had won last weekend and the picture would look a whole lot different.
Report JimmyK November 11, 2009 3:15 PM GMT
I do think that my 49ers could still make a run for the title.

Next 4 games crucial as at 3-5 currently.

Thursday home to Chicago
Week 11 @ Green Bay
Week 12 home to Jags
Week 13 @ Seahwaks

They can realisitcally win all four of those. They should be able to get enough pressure to Rogers for him to make mistakes. The other 3 are very winnable.

If they then host Arizona in Week 14 at 7-5 who knows what could happen in that game.

Be interesting to see if Singleterry starts thinking of rotating his strating QB's depenind on strengths of opponents. Hill the game manager or Smith the gun slinger.
Report DoggyLFC November 15, 2009 4:12 PM GMT
The Steelers are looking really good right now, and will take some stopping, especially with Mendenhall now picking up the slack left by slow Willie. Their offense is as good as I've known it.

Outsiders - Dolphins perhaps? Looking at their schedule, they have the Buccs tonight, and then it's:

@ Panthers
@ Bills
v Pats
@ Jags
@ Titans
v Texans
v Steelers

I know; three tough home games, and four road games, but they are a good team, better than their current record suggests, and in Henne finally have their QB of the future. They're playing some good D, have a great run game, and although the Wildcat's got them nothing in recent weeks against team's that have prepared for it due to facing it twice a season, you have to figure they'll get it going again at some point.

What they do best is hang round in games, they're never really beaten, and they always seem to get just enough going offensively even if they're virtually shut down. I can see them winning 10 games if they can stay healthy and Henne and the WR's make the connection.
Report Lori November 15, 2009 4:15 PM GMT
How outside do you want?

At the prices available I'd say the Panthers.
Report Fallen Angel November 18, 2009 12:36 PM GMT
I was thinking of teams that will be on the fringe of the playoffs. Think the Jets have blown any small remaining chance after last weekend. Looks wide open in the NFC after both Philly, Dallas and Atlanta losing at the weekend.
Report cunnybobbler November 18, 2009 3:28 PM GMT
imo play off teams will be:
Pats
Colts
Bolts
Steelers
Bungles
Broncos

Cards
Saints
Vikes
Giants
Cowgirls
Falcons
Report cunnybobbler November 18, 2009 3:45 PM GMT
then after that:

Steelers beat Broncos
Bolts beat Bungles

Colts beat Bolts
Pats beat Steelers

Pats beat Colts

Cards beat Falcons
Giants beat Cowgirls

Saints beat Giants
Vikes beat Cards

Saints beat Vikes

Pats beat Saints

Brett Favre retires for 45th year running

Five cancel NFL to show a phone-in quiz including mud-wrestling women in bikinis

ESPN uk buy the rights to SNF and sign Mike Carlson but then anger fans by showing it 3 days late on tape delay to allow for live coverage of Peruvian Soccer
Report Saluting Darren Lockyer November 18, 2009 5:41 PM GMT
and rehire emmit smith on the basis that the peruvians may understand him
Report wanna_b_pro November 18, 2009 8:20 PM GMT
PACKERS
Relatively soft schedule
vs 49 er's
@ Lions
vs Ravens
@ Bears
@ Steelers
vs Seattle
@ Cards

Gotta think they beat 49er's, Lons, Seahawks, Cards & i think they win at least one of the remaining 3 games which leaves them on 10-6
Report cunnybobbler November 18, 2009 10:02 PM GMT
gotta think theyll beat the cards??
Report Ace High November 18, 2009 11:07 PM GMT
No way Packers make the playoffs...no chance whatsoever...they are mediocre.
Report CJ November 19, 2009 8:52 AM GMT
Didn't look it last weekend.
Report Fallen Angel November 19, 2009 9:30 AM GMT
I dont see them beating the Cards either. Doesnt mean they wont make the playoff's 9-7 may well be good enough. Especially if New York or Philly finish 8-8. NYG vs Atlanta is a huge game this weekend, may help decide who goes to the playoffs
Report Saluting Darren Lockyer November 19, 2009 2:44 PM GMT
titans on the march,they may run out of games but nothing to stop them winning the remainder
Report runandskip November 19, 2009 2:53 PM GMT
Titans definately on a roll but 8-8 at best for me, got the Colts away still to come and dangerous opponenets in Houston (Mon Night) ,Cards, Chargers and a tricky finale in Seattle
Report Lifetaker November 19, 2009 10:38 PM GMT
I'd Like to : SEE Miami Dolphins gain a Wild Card - Then Do some .... D A M A G E !
Report Fallen Angel November 19, 2009 11:09 PM GMT
Carolina must win to have any chance of making the play-offs, think Miami are too far back now. Hopefully this game will be the start of a cracking NFL weekend. Shame that we start getting an increasingly large amount of dead games from now on, enjoyed it immensely so far
Report wanna_b_pro November 20, 2009 2:24 AM GMT
Packers will beat the Cards in wk17 if they are still in the hunt. By then the Cards would have already won their division - look what happened last year once the Cards secured the division title.
Report DoggyLFC November 20, 2009 4:27 PM GMT
2 in a row for the Fish, can they keep it up?
Report good value losers November 20, 2009 9:32 PM GMT
cinn have a very soft remaining schedule and if benson stays fit they have to have a big chance of a wc at least.
Report Lori November 20, 2009 9:59 PM GMT
Can the fifth faves for the bowl be considered outsiders for the playoffs though gvl?
Report good value losers November 20, 2009 10:11 PM GMT
blimey! didn't realise they were that short :| tbh i hadven't looked at the outrights for ages thought they were still 30+ :^0
Report Fallen Angel November 21, 2009 8:57 AM GMT
:-) very funny above. This is a really big week, Atlanta @ NYG and San Diego @ Denver may go a long way to making the playoff picture a bit clearer. Can probably now rule out Carolina and below, go down to maybe the NYJ in the AFC.
Report Ross8481 November 21, 2009 3:09 PM GMT
Packers are in with a good chance of finishing 10-6, and therefore are in with a good chance of making the p/offs. Last weekend they were a much more galvanised team, with Kampman back they will be a tough nut to crack if they stop giving away stupid penalties
Report runandskip November 21, 2009 4:16 PM GMT
Ross, is this the same team that lost to the Buccs ?

there in lies the problem, they are too inconsistent for their own good.

9-7 at best but that could squeeze them in, in the NFC
Report runandskip November 21, 2009 4:22 PM GMT
sorry 9-7 will probably get in for a wildcard in the NFC !!!!!
Report runandskip November 21, 2009 4:23 PM GMT
ignore me, i think that means the same lololol
Report d13phe November 21, 2009 5:29 PM GMT
fins for me

think they could go far as well
Report I win every time! November 21, 2009 6:23 PM GMT
crucial game for the fins is week after next at home to the Pats. Don't think their record will be good enough for a W/C. Need to retain div title to make the party imo. If Phins beat the Bills next week and then beat the Pats they'll hold the tie break on them (courtesy of betting div record). Then they just need to go on winning and hope the Pats lose a game or two along the way. Still a big, big ask. But when we were 0-3 I didn't think we had mush of a squeak at all.
Report Fallen Angel November 22, 2009 4:19 PM GMT
Big weekend this coming up. Im in two minds about GB, the way they shut down the Cowboys suggests a really good team hidden away somewhere, the result against the Buccs says the opposite. They were excellent in the first game against Minnesota, in the home game extremely inept. Must win for them today.
Report Fallen Angel November 22, 2009 8:33 PM GMT
After that loss Baltimore look in trouble for making the playoffs, one more and their season is probably over. Big win for NYG over Atlanta, pressure on Philly now.
Report wanna_b_pro November 22, 2009 10:32 PM GMT
The packers are coming!!!!
Report Jollop November 22, 2009 10:33 PM GMT
packers injuries piling up, Kampman & Harris done for season.
Report wanna_b_pro November 22, 2009 10:34 PM GMT
FFS - Al Harris now has a torn ACL - typical!!
Report Fallen Angel November 23, 2009 9:52 AM GMT
Couple of big games for the playoff picture next week, NYG@Denver and Pittsburgh@Baltimore look the key match ups. Whoever said they had the Jags at 300-1 or something like that must be getting interested now.
Report Ace High November 23, 2009 10:21 AM GMT
Jags might be the worst 6-4 team in nfl history. Wouldnt touch them at 10,000/1, even now.
Report J0KER November 23, 2009 11:32 AM GMT
;\
Report cunnybobbler November 23, 2009 12:57 PM GMT
Jacksonville are crap, though possibly not as crap as denver. theres not alot in it. i thought denver were crap when they were 6-0, nfl is weird at times.
Report CJ November 23, 2009 5:50 PM GMT
Desperate news for Packers fans. :( That could mean our wildcard shot has gone up in smoke.
Report Floz November 24, 2009 9:36 AM GMT
i just wonder if we are about to witness something special in tennessee.
Report HARRY22 November 24, 2009 10:03 AM GMT
No floz they wont keep it up
Report Floz November 24, 2009 10:06 AM GMT
they've got the colts coming up. if they win this week that game would be 5-7 or 6-6. if they got to 6-6 with a win over the colts you would be looking at a team with tremendous momentum and belief in their destiny. still a long shot of course but i'd love to see a team make the playoffs from an 0-6 start.
Report HARRY22 November 24, 2009 10:12 AM GMT
yeah for sure that would be superb...should never of started 0-6
Report Saluting Darren Lockyer November 24, 2009 12:31 PM GMT
the dream lives on
Report Ace High November 24, 2009 2:54 PM GMT
They could win the superbowl...there, I said it.
Report Ross8481 November 24, 2009 6:49 PM GMT
Bad news with Kampman, but the Dallas performance shows that we can play well without him. As for Harris, he will be a big loss, although i wasn't a fan of him giving away stupid penalties on 3rd and longs.

If we beat the Lions on Thursday, then with games against Balti at Lambeau and the Bears at Soldier (ok massive rivalry but season up in smoke) will be pivotal. If we can put points on the Ravens early i fancy our chances as Flacco is finding it difficult to convert as of late. Should be an interesting 3 weeks
Report enjbenjy November 25, 2009 1:31 AM GMT
Will Kampman and Harris being out affect Packers running or passing game or are they defensive players? Not really clued up on individual players.
Report Ace High November 25, 2009 7:38 AM GMT
Could affect their running game immensley. They will probably have to play out of the rifle formation.
Report Fallen Angel November 25, 2009 12:03 PM GMT
Have to assume that they will beat Detroit which would take the packers to 7-4. Dallas should also win against Oakland and Philly will likely beat Washington at home aswell. NYG look the most likely team to slip up of the teams 6-4 in the NFC and I have Atlanta to beat tampa so both those teams would be a game back at 6-5 after sunday.

Atlanta have to play the Saints while NYG travel to Minnesota in the last game of the season. At this stage Green bay still in the driving seat for the play-offs although cannot afford slip-up in a winnable game with tough division matches still to play. I've got NO, Minnesota, Dallas and Arizona with a minimum of 11 wins come the end of the season so that would leave two places in the NFC, had Philly, Atlanta, NYG and GB all around the 9 win mark so might be divisional co-effecient that decides it.
Report db1974 November 25, 2009 12:32 PM GMT
Can't see the Packers finishing worse than 10-6 which should give them a playoff spot. They should beat the Lions & Bears away as well as Seahawks at home. They should also win at least one of their other 3 games (vs Ravens, @ Steelers, @ 49ers) while 2 wins would give them 11-5.

Looking at the remaining fixtures, it's going to be tight between Giants, Eagles, & Falcons and I couldn't call it at this stage. Cowboys not guaranteed top spot either and with having to go to Giants next week the NCF East could be very very tight at the top come January.
Report Fallen Angel November 29, 2009 8:59 PM GMT
So Miami look sunk after that loss, the late Philly win has probably eliminated the Giants although there are still a couple of divisional games to play, Atlanta left it late but are still in the mix. Starting to become a lot clearer. Win for San Diego would cement there spot, Jackonsonville need to win.
Report Ross8481 November 29, 2009 9:07 PM GMT
How bad is the Flacco injury? Will he be back to face the Pack next week?
Report db1974 November 29, 2009 9:24 PM GMT
Where you hear about Flacco?
Report Ross8481 November 29, 2009 10:12 PM GMT
Thought i heard Nick say that Flacco got took off, could be confusing it with Ryan though
Report Ross8481 November 29, 2009 10:46 PM GMT
Yes, what the hell am i talking about, Ravens havent even played yet :| :0
Report Saluting Darren Lockyer November 29, 2009 11:15 PM GMT
titans 6 in a row,colts up next
Report Fallen Angel December 1, 2009 10:06 AM GMT
So week 12 is wrapped up, Indianapolis, Saints and Minnesota look pretty much nailed on for the bye positions. The NFC picture is a little clearer than the AFC picture where the titans are making a late charge.

From the highlights I saw Saints looked excellent last night and am happy to hold onto my position. Could be the end of the road for Atlanta this week if they dont beat Philly, big game for Arizona aswell.
Report HARRY22 December 1, 2009 10:09 AM GMT
saints stepped up on D when they had to...still got ran all over on the ground...patriots got no pressure at all...saints O line is very good...brady at 7-3 threw the worst pass in the game for a pick when in great position to strike...
Report Fallen Angel December 3, 2009 8:31 PM GMT
So jets really in the last chance salon in this game, NYJ get a victory and hope for a good set of results this weekend and it could be interesting. Lose and its allover, Buffolo are in all honesty too far back.

Baltimore have a tough game, you would expect Pittsburgh to have way too much for Oakland although a lot depends on Big ben, Jags would hope to beat Huston but could still be plenty up for grabs.
Report Fallen Angel December 4, 2009 3:19 AM GMT
Jets move on to 6-6 and are still in the hunt. They will need a few upsets this week. Still looks a big ask, especially with uncertainty around the Sanchez injury today.
Report Fallen Angel December 7, 2009 9:57 PM GMT
Pivitol game for both Green Bay and Baltimore tonight, especially with the number of open spots starting to diminish significantly.

I could potentially see a late season charge from the Jets still although alot will depend on the status of the quaterback. NFC looks a straight race from Giants upwards, AFC slightly more open. Baltimore lose and there will be four teams all one game back. Will not be waiting up for the result but picture becoming alot clearer after tonight.
Report wanna_b_pro December 7, 2009 10:46 PM GMT
I think this game is more important for the Packers imo. With two tough upcoming road games at Chicago & Pittsburgh. A win would see them realistically having to go 2-2 in their remaining games to ensure aplay-off berth.
Report wanna_b_pro December 9, 2009 5:46 PM GMT
Baltimore @ 95 looks the value for me.

I think they go either 9-7 or 10-6, all wheather or not they bt Steelers and i think 9-7 may be good enough for the AFC play-offs, just cant see Jacksonville making it and Miami have too tougher schedule.
Report Ross8481 December 9, 2009 7:16 PM GMT
Ace High 19 Nov 00:07


No way Packers make the playoffs...no chance whatsoever...they are mediocre.


:0
Report Saluting Darren Lockyer December 9, 2009 8:48 PM GMT
they lookd mediocre with that suspect o line,not so anymore,think they'll be in the shake up and like the poster above i agree the ravens are overpriced,admittedly they need a game to go their way but with the starters back on board they could still be in the mix and of course flacco needs to wake up some but the price reflects the size of the job.
Report Ace High December 9, 2009 11:21 PM GMT
Schoolbook aftertiming Ross. Congrats.
Report Ace High December 9, 2009 11:24 PM GMT
On a serious note, how much is it looking like the pack finally knockin favre out in the divisional game?

The NFL is so hollywood that I cant see this not happening at this stage.
Report Fallen Angel December 18, 2009 7:09 AM GMT
Jacksonville look to have blown their chances, assuming one of the Jets, Ravens and Dolphins win at the weekend. Jags have a very tough game away to New England and that will probably be it for them. Its interesting that all of 7-6 teams in the AFC have quite tough schedules. 8-8 could well be good enough.

For me, I still like the jets although concerns around the quaterback remain.
Report Saluting Darren Lockyer December 18, 2009 8:41 AM GMT
jets look a good option here,rex ryan will get his defensive game head on and looking at last nights game if the colts turn up like that again they'll be ripe for plucking.
Report Fallen Angel December 28, 2009 5:36 PM GMT
So the NFC play-off picture is done. Jets still looking good for a potential wildcard spot. Suprised there are so many teams in with a chance depending on results. It could be a very volatile sunday.
Report incaseof December 28, 2009 7:17 PM GMT
If Vikings win tonight it seems like every scenario is Packers @ Cards and Eagles vs Cowboys is the wild card week.
So Eagles @ Cowboys this week (17th) is a battle for home field in the play off...
Report Saluting Darren Lockyer December 28, 2009 7:40 PM GMT
rumours already surfacing that the bengals will play a second team against the jets as its possible they could play them again the following week.
In my eyes the jets are certainties to make the playoffs.............they're 1.01 shots now.
Report incaseof December 28, 2009 7:51 PM GMT
Yeah Jets is very close now...match moved to sunday night may change Bengals decision?
Report Saluting Darren Lockyer December 28, 2009 8:35 PM GMT
i'd fancy the jest against a full strength bengals unit so can't really see it making any difference.
Revis will shut down ochocinco and they'll run on the bengals defence to get the win.
Report HARRY22 December 29, 2009 2:00 PM GMT
i like the bengals D and the jets D...this should be a low scoring game....at full strength bengals all the way
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