North American
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Why do so many odds on shots lose overnight??? :0
...whether it be baseball, basketball, american football, I've now lost track of how many of these I back overnight in commanding positions then wake up to a loss.
Has anyone else noticed this alarming trend lol. Do I just kop for the freaky result or do these freakish things happen all the time?
2009-12-01
02:03 9570137937 2009-12-01
00:16 Fixtures 30 November Penn State @ Virginia / Match Odds / Virginia
Back 1.28 Lost
...whether it be baseball, basketball, american football, I've now lost track of how many of these I back overnight in commanding positions then wake up to a loss.
Has anyone else noticed this alarming trend lol. Do I just kop for the freaky result or do these freakish things happen all the time?
2009-12-01
02:03 9570137937 2009-12-01
00:16 Fixtures 30 November Penn State @ Virginia / Match Odds / Virginia
Back 1.28 Lost
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Its not really an alarming trend, maybe you see a lot more 1.25-1.5 shots in american sports - and a lot of them lose, but only to the tune of about 1 in 4 1.25 shots lose. The odds come from Vegas, they don't make mistakes (hardly ever) when pricing games up.
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It`s called gambling.
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It may be overnight to you in foreign parts but that would mean the event is happening during the evening , can't think of an obvious excuse for you tbh.
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yeh its just ppl not appreciating odds. 1/3 sounds like a certainty but it means it should lose 1 in 4 times. not exactly the certainty it appears.
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in-running most people who are tuning in for a bit of fun want to be on the leader - so the price is nearly always too low
with regards to the virginia game - they are just kids anything can happen backing short odds on a non seeded team with a small lead will not make you rich |
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I think it is much easier for shorter odds to get beaten in NA sports than most other (With the exclusion of such things as Tennis etc) as there is just two outcomes.
So if a odds on favourite spre-game is behind the odds don't change too much as the draw still gives them a chance to win, if its overtime in NFL and NBA, Shoot-out in NHL or extra innings in MLB, people just love the odds on favourites |
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Onionss
...gives the best logical arguement. Many thanks. |