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As we all know the general public no nothing about gambling.
The 'Vegas Pro' rule is that anytime 70% or more of the money is going with one side, you should look at the other team with a view to betting them.
Interestingly, so far there is just one for this upcoming Thanksgiving Weekend fixture fest!
Miami 73.9%
The 'Vegas Pro' rule is that anytime 70% or more of the money is going with one side, you should look at the other team with a view to betting them.
Interestingly, so far there is just one for this upcoming Thanksgiving Weekend fixture fest!
Miami 73.9%
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Replies: 35
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still only Miami on 73.8% but Minnesota ticking up towards that magic 70%.
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6-3 for last two weeks ATS using this formula
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Some bizarre lines in the games guys.
Here are the current lines. Patriots +3 @ New Orleans Packers -10.5 @ Detroit Raiders +13.5 @ Dallas Giants -6.5 @ Denver Miami -3 @ Buffalo Colts -3.5 @ Houston Cleveland +14 @ Cincinatti Carolina +3 @ Jets Tampa +12 @ Atlanta Washington +9 @ Philadelphia Seattle -3 @ St. Louis Kansas City +13.5 @ San Diego Jacksonville +3 @ San Francisco Chicago +10.5 @ Minnesota Arizona @ Tennesse Not available yet Pittsburgh @ Baltimore Not available yet |
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Why bizzare?
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Detroit look big at home to my beloved GB. Two big injuries last week for the Pack and Det had a moral boosting win.
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Why bizarre?
I'll tell ye wh7y its bizarre.. 1. Miami -3 in Buffalo. Miami are playing much better the last month than at the start of the season. A settled offense and tough as teak defence. Playing a suspect team that have just lost their coach and may indeed have lost their starting QB to injury! I have the spread in my book at -9! 2. Colts going to Houston giving them 3.5 pts. Houston were just beaten by a resurgent Titan team that Vince Young managed to pick apart when Houston decided to stop the rush. Peyton Manning led Colts will tear them a new one!! Houston are usually a prospect against anybody at home but this Colt team are uber confident at the moment and saying that just one field goal seperates them is just plain madness! 3. Kansas going to Qualcom with 13.5 pts in the pocket! Kansas have been getting beat this year by quality teams and the Chargers walloped them by 30 but since then they have bye, jaguars -3, Raiders by 6 and Steelers in OT. Momentum in my book and they will be right up for a go at San Diego again. 4. Jaguars going to Candlestick with 3 points in hand! Jaguars are 3 wins out of 3 against Chiefs, Jets(away) and Bills. The 49 ers on the other hand are one win out of five since the bye week and that was one of the worst games shown on TV in ages against the Bears! I think the Jags beat them straight and with 3 points in hand it just compounds the value! |
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Why bizarre?
I'll tell ye wh7y its bizarre.. 1. Miami -3 in Buffalo. Miami are playing much better the last month than at the start of the season. A settled offense and tough as teak defence. Playing a suspect team that have just lost their coach and may indeed have lost their starting QB to injury! I have the spread in my book at -9! 2. Colts going to Houston giving them 3.5 pts. Houston were just beaten by a resurgent Titan team that Vince Young managed to pick apart when Houston decided to stop the rush. Peyton Manning led Colts will tear them a new one!! Houston are usually a prospect against anybody at home but this Colt team are uber confident at the moment and saying that just one field goal seperates them is just plain madness! 3. Kansas going to Qualcom with 13.5 pts in the pocket! Kansas have been getting beat this year by quality teams and the Chargers walloped them by 30 but since then they have bye, jaguars -3, Raiders by 6 and Steelers in OT. Momentum in my book and they will be right up for a go at San Diego again. 4. Jaguars going to Candlestick with 3 points in hand! Jaguars are 3 wins out of 3 against Chiefs, Jets(away) and Bills. The 49 ers on the other hand are one win out of five since the bye week and that was one of the worst games shown on TV in ages against the Bears! I think the Jags beat them straight and with 3 points in hand it just compounds the value! |
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Didnt Indianapolis beat Houston by 3 two weeks ago in Indianapolis?? The Texans missed a FG attempt that would have taken it to OT.
In fact the Colts last four wins have been by a combined 10pts |
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CJ
I agree about the Lions looking big but they will probably be without both Stafford and Johnson. If they both dont play can the Lions get to double digits? |
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Any news on Orton's status in Denver?
I know they are in free fall but the Giants are not a great team. Had Orton started against SD that game would've been mighty different |
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kansas city are gash. they fluked the win against the steelers, should of got completely hammered out of site. i dont think 13.5 is particularly unusual
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*sight! i keep doing that ffs :(
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Your know different to the rest of us on hear, Cunny.
Relax, man ;) |
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I like ,
Miami -3 @ Buffalo Carolina +3 @ Jets Kansas City +13.5 @ San Diego |
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Gazzy 24 Nov 22:22
Any news on Orton's status in Denver? I know they are in free fall but the Giants are not a great team. Had Orton started against SD that game would've been mighty different horse sh1t |
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Well, he led them to the red zone twice early on, when they subsequently turned the ball over.
I gave up watching at that point, but the game was over before Orton came in and I don't believe SD would've sent those blitzs at Orton if he'd been there. Maybe Denver wouldn't have won, but the scoreline would not have been what it was. Still think the G-Men are a stupid price |
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patriots and giants for me so far...
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add the colts to that list
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I think McDaniels should be smart and bench Orton this week. They have three very very winnable games to come. One bad knock Thursday could put him out for the season, after Thursday they will have 10 days rest.
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Indy now up to 68.5%
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Gazzy 25 Nov 10:18
Well, he led them to the red zone twice early on, when they subsequently turned the ball over. Have to correct you here - only one of those turnovers was when Orton was the QB and you couldn't blame him for that turnover. In fact he was very impressive when he came on for Simms and if that TD was scored, I think the game would have ended up much tighter than we saw in the 2nd half, not least because McDaniels wouldn't have gone for an onside kick without telling the rest of the team! |
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Ah my mistake.
I was still filled with rage from the Bal game at that point. |
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giants on the drift,i can't see why they're an evens shot at -6.5 on the road to a denver team that's in dissaray,yeah they've a busted secondary but i don't see a half fit orton doing much about it anyway.
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OK. here Go's , Bold statment comming up ,
The GAME , .....the Thankgiving Game that they pray for the WIN denver BRONCO"S v new york GIANT"S Wont just be a WIN ! But the difference between Winning and Surrendering their Division.Going to the Play-off's or Not , NFC East v AFC West. It's a Bounus for the Bronco's to be @ home , but will it be enough ? Nice Odd's on Veriouse market's , |
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Oh yes , RAIDER"S to make a Joke out of the Cowboy's .....Please ,
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Miami 75.4%
No other side even above 65% |
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holding strong Miami at 74.7%
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only pick this week then
Miami 73.5% 6-3 ats pick is to go against the Dolphins. |
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7 apiece up in buffalo
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surely not 7:3 ATS
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nice shout
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spooky
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top bombing Jimmy, I was with you on this one, great win for the Fav Opponants - cheers :) :D
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ANNNTTTOOOONNIOOOOOOOOO GATTTTTEEEEEEEESSSSSSSS
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no worries everyone, it has been very rewarding the last 3 weeks but with only one selection last week it appears the market makers are ensuring the lines are more competitve than they were early in the season. we shall see where we go this week..............
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