Patriots @ Colts

Thinking about under 50.5 myself

Just a question.

How would a game being live affect he number of points being scored in it?

The biggest rivalry of the decade.
The two greatest Quarterbacks of the decade.
The two most winningest regular season teams of the decade with 109 reg. season wins apiece.
Any chance of Home Field Advantage on the line for the Patriots.
The chance to tie second best all time consecutive regular season wins and have a shot at the regular season win record(both held by the Patriots) on the line for the Colts.
Sunday Night game, no other games to distract you.
Its got a Superbowl air about it imo.
What more could you ask for?

Key Matchups

Manning vs Brady
The debate over who is the best will rage on for many years. They don't even face each other on the field as they both play on offense but the two best QBs in the NFL face off tonight. I really don't see an advantage for either team in this department.
No advantage

Wayne vs Bodden
Reggie Wayne is having a great year, Leigh Bodden is having a great year. This will be his toughest matchup to date. I can't call this one either and I'll call it a draw, Wayne will get catches and yards but I don't think he will have a great night, still you have to respect him.
Advantage Colts.

Clark vs Merriweather
A lot of people are calling this as a matchup between McGowan and Clark but I don't see it like that. We don't have a strong and weak safety like most teams, they are interchangeable. I see McGowan being the spy tonight and Merriweather given the job of looking after Clark when he breaks from the line. If it is as I suspect this is a huge matchup and its impossible to call who will win it. You've got the best Safety in the league so far this season against the best Tight End.
No Advantage

Garcon/Collie vs Butler/Springs
Garcon and Collie have been surprisingly decent for the Colts this year but Butler has been exceptional and Springs seems to be back near his very best.
Advantage Patriots

Freeney vs Vollmer
I think Vollmer will have assistance against Freeney tonight from a tight end and most likely Baker. Matt Light will be badly missed tonight, he just seems to know how to handle Freeney. While Vollmer has been great since he stepped in at Left tackle, you have to give the advantage to one of the all time great Defensive End pass rushers.
Advantage Colts

Mathis vs Kaczur
Another key matchup. Kaczur is having a great year but Mathis is so dangerous. Mathis can be inconsistent though and the advantage though only slight goes to Kaczur.
Advantage Patriots

Moss vs Powers
Powers was impressive last week for the Colts but Vontae Davis had been impressive all season and Randy showed him what he does to rookies with a stiff arm on his way to a td.
Advantage Patriots

Lacey vs Welker
An UDFA on Welker(who was an UDFA incidentally) you say. No question here.
Advantage Patriots

The X Factors
For me the x factors could be the key to this game. They are Joseph Addai who was impressive last week and provided a new wrinkle in the Colts offense with his recent td pass.
On the other side is Laurence Maroney and Kevin Faulk. Maroney is getting more time and has been playing well as a result of that. Faulk is the third down back who is always a threat for a quick pass.
Then there are the kickers.
As far as field goals are concerned you can't beat Stephen Gostkowski. Matt Stover has done well for the Colts since he arrived but he has missed pressure kicks over the past couple of seasons.

I'm not calling it, my dislike for the Colts is building as every minute goes by. Of course I respect the Colts as they are and have been a great team all through this decade but come game time the respect goes out the window until the game is over. I just hope its another great game and may the best team win.

Randy Moss (NE) To Score a Touchdown for me

....credit eagle eye on boards.ie for that post.

Obviosly he is a Pats fan

Surely too much credit given to the Colts fickleness. Not the perceived invincible team of past but enough talent defensively, offensively and most of all form to defeat a consistently decent 2nd tier Patriot team.

To clarify i was just saying that i fancied unders and that a lot of the games on tv lately seemed to be low scoring.Wasnt trying to suggest that i fancied unders because of this just i think the line seems too high.

It is a little high especially with other books offering 48 points.

Patriots offensive really needs to turn up. 1.83 Colts to out shoot them for me. Tight unders on the cards again or a 1.01 Colts train. :-)

Brady rips this Colts reserve secondary to pieces.

HTH

A nice platter of Brie, paté and fleischsalat to keep me going. Healthy as always. :-)

i hate both these teams lol but hate ne marginally less. ne su for me, ind have a rather thin secondary.

agree with you gvl - im on NE - money line - OH!! GVL i havent forgotten how you facked me at fantasy football last year!! by 1 point! next year i want in your league

Anyone got a good link?

NE outright, indy struggling the past few games, seems a good opportunity for NE.

Colts big and over 50.5pts. Gl lads.

26-25 would do me. ;-)

waiting on the pats for a 11-1(ish) money line 4fold. Big night for Moss on the cards tonight

why does it say 8.20 pm start and never seems to start until after half past ?

21-10 Indy win ;)

But for the overs backers I will take

17-35