Irish Sports
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18 May 17
09:50
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21 Jun 02
Intrigued by this one. Won a race that O'Brien has farmed in recent years, but with horses that have arguably disappeared and not impressed as 3yo. This one has clearly shown form suggesting staying power last year, but is A.P using it as a measure of theEnglish Derby hopefuls against Churchill? Its been a while since A.P took the Dante, so basically, is Exemplary a LIVE contender today??
Thoughts?
Thoughts?
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I have backed it myself, simply because of the ground.I doubt he's their main derby hope but after the race that could change.Most of the field are promising types no more no less,so I'd be hoping they have him primed for this. I'm in York for the 3 days and was talking to a reliable man yesterday who tells me Instant Attraction will run well at a big price.
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I have it in a 4 fold acc. But now there is a void, a 25% and a 45% rule 4.
If the three win I might get my stake back. |
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I think we can scratch that one from Derby hopefuls,irrespective of what AP said beforehand about him maybe running the horse 10 days sooner than he wanted to, for the ground. I know his always improve for their first run, but...............
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Defo not one of AOBs Derby contenders if he was 10 days off being ready Dessie.
They wouldnt have run him 16 days before the race if that was the case so it was purely a starting point for the horse and a fact finding mission to the others. It was bad timing to have the Dante so close to the big race , I dont know if its a new race planning thing or not but i dont remember it being so close to the big day before or maybe im getting used to the new trend of really fresh horses winning these big races. |
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The Derby picture is very muddled imo.
No one has stood out from the trials and in a case like that its usually a good idea to look back at the guineas. However that is fairly muddled too with non of the main contenders at the finish likely to stay if going by breeding. Visually a case could be made for the second and especially the third but the breeding does,nt back that up. Cracksman has probably shortened by not running today but again i dont think he will stay. However if the race is full of non stayers then one of them will probably win by default despite not truly getting the distance but i will look closely at any outsiders aiden runs on the day. Tbh i havnt really got into it yet so at the moment theres probably a few i have not even considered yet. |