Players Championship

Guess we Irish have not been punting enough on our lads .  Top English market , top Scots market ( 2 runners) , no Irish ( 3 runners ) as far as I can see .

Hope this is not a frustrating thread where your post is taken down and despite 2 posts from kelly so fat, we will only see his bets after the event or as it draws to a close. Will post some of my own guesses in a little bit.

2 Sentimental guesses for me; a fiver on Ernie Eels 999/1 and the same on POD 490/1,  I have a feeling that this could be Rory week; 10.5 looks good value.

Callit and my posts are gone again,

bkd sergio and matsuyama  tho the stats point to a 100/1 plus winner

All 6 places.

I don't really fancy any of the Big 3 this week, there are valid grounds for opposing all of them. The 4 fancied selections I went for all have a bit of a Timeform squiggle regarding their closing out ability, but all are excellent ball strikers suited to this slightly quirky test. I would be surprised if 2 of them aren't in the heel of the hunt come Sunday, and represent value with the 6 places.

The 4 rags all have bits and prices going for them too. I would be particularly sweet on Lingmerth, though KJ Choi is a massive price on here at around 350 and I have had a bit extra on there to trade if he does contend.

STAN Jimmy go 7 PLACES ¼ the odds is the way to go !

The GOATEE must be still in shock that his post was also removed. Good work Callit

WANG & SPIETHless dbl

http://www.vipleague.me/golf/387965/4/live-from-the-players-championship-live-stream-online.html

TO be fair PA sportbook allowed me 42cent last week on the English Greyhound Derby, I have long giving up on them.

THEY KNEW......SHANE -5thru14... just went 4 under on 10,11,12&13.

Bird needed on 18th for 29 on the back for SHANE ?

http://www.vipleague.me/golf/387965/4/live-from-the-players-championship-live-stream-online.html

Day in the Featured Group

Catch Me ifyoucan  • May 12, 2016 5:22 PM BST 
Bird needed on 18th for 29 on the back for SHANE ?

WD SHANE, married life must suit him

Some scoring today .  Shane 65 . Married life must be agreeing with him , think it might be one of his best ever rounds to date .

18:25	David Lingmerth (11/8)	John Senden (7/4)	Brian Stuard (3/1)
18:25	Sergio Garcia (6/4)	Patrick Reed (2/1)	Zach Johnson (11/5)
18:36	Rickie Fowler (6/4)	Adam Scott (7/4)	Matt Kuchar (11/4)
18:36	Justin Thomas (5/4)	Alex Cejka (12/5)	Davis Love (3/1)
18:47	Hideki Matsuyama (13/10)	Louis Oosthuizen (19/10)	Graeme McDowell (3/1)
18:47	Jimmy Walker (8/5)	Russell Henley (2/1)	Smylie Kaufman (9/4)
18:58	Rory McIlroy (15/13)	Dustin Johnson (9/4)	Bubba Watson (3/1)
18:58	Harris English (6/4)	Keegan Bradley (15/8)	Camilo Villegas (5/2)

*response

The golf is pretty boring this evening compared with this afternoons fireworks .

The markets need a shake up too , NONE of this evenings 3 balls are in running .

There is no Top Irish market . 

There is no " to make the cut " market .

sundogmonkey  • May 9, 2016 9:19 PM BST 


Players Championship Selections

Evening All, OK, so this is my favourite event of the year. There are two reasons for this, one is that I love the course & the drama it delivers & secondly time & time again the winner comes from the same identikit formula, which has lead me to some great results over the years, the most recent being Kaymer a couple of years ago. Going back to 2004 when Adam Scott one the formula is pretty simple as follows;

1 Every winner has played the event at least twice before & with the average being about 5 or 6 starts. Scott himself was the only one to win on 3rd visit. Equally you don't see some finally winning this after 15 starts etc.
2 Every winner had previously had a previous high finish in the event. Again Scott was the lowest at 17th the previous year whilst even less heralded winners Clark & Funk had finished 9th & 10th respectively the previous year to winning. Ames had been 2nd before, Kaymer had been 15th, Kuch 13th, KJ 16th , Sergio 2nd, Henrik 3rd.
3 Every winner had played & made the cut the previous year in the event.

Add to this that the vast majority of winners are proven tour winners who have either won a major or are at least a proven tour winner of bigger events or have played Ryder/Presidents Cup. Basically you don't got first time winners here,  [not since Perks anyway!] although off course like Kisner last year someone inevitably goes close. Also perhaps even more interestingly as this is know as "the 5th major" several winners are in the bracket of players who have contended in majors bet have never quite been able to get over the line with Sergio, Stenson, Kuch, KJ & Clark being obvious examples of this over recent years.

Finally Good form coming in obviously helps. KJ was flying the year he won. Ames was 7th the week before. Kaymer had lead half way @ Quail Hollow the week before etc.

Now obviously stats are there to be broken & ultimately if Spieth is stood on the 17th on Sunday tied for the lead he's not going to be thinking 'I missed the cut last year so I can't win this!' However as I've said the formula has done well for me over the recent years so I'm going to stick with it. Straight away therefore off my list goes Rose, Day, Spieth, Mickelson, Walker, Sneds, Kuch as they all missed the cut last year along with the likes of Bubba, DJ, Willett, Grace for a lack of course form. When I then narrow it down to the the type pedigree of player required, the previous decent finish, the rough relevant number of starts & the made cut last year, I was left on my long list with Rory, Sergio, Stenson, Kaymer, Hideki, Zach, JB, Haas, Leishman, Kirk, Knox, Horschel & Scott and I wouldn't put anyone off any of these. However you have to narrow it down & I've settled for the following 6 players this week;


S Garcia      25-1 1pt e/w 1/4 1st 7
H Matsuyama   30-1 1pt e/w 1/4 1st 6
B Horschel    60-1 1pt e/w 1/5 1st 7
R Knox        80-1 1pt e/w 1/4 1st 7
c kirk        80-1 1pt e/w 1/4 1st 7
M Leishman   100-1 1pt e/w 1/4 1st 7


Good luck all & enjoy the drama!