Players Championship

Guess we Irish have not been punting enough on our lads .  Top English market , top Scots market ( 2 runners) , no Irish ( 3 runners ) as far as I can see .

Sorry , that should be 4 Iriah runners .

Hope this is not a frustrating thread where your post is taken down and despite 2 posts from kelly so fat, we will only see his bets after the event or as it draws to a close. Will post some of my own guesses in a little bit.

So far even.

2 Sentimental guesses for me; a fiver on Ernie Eels 999/1 and the same on POD 490/1,  I have a feeling that this could be Rory week; 10.5 looks good value.

Great to have Temlett on your shoulder , sniping . Constructive .

Callit and my posts are gone again,

Russell Knox and David Lingmerth both e/w

bkd sergio and matsuyama  tho the stats point to a 100/1 plus winner

3 movers today kavvie , you have got two of them , Sergio ( 30/1) , Matsuyama ( 28/1) . other one is Spieth( 10/1 , layable at 10).  Always money for the Japanese guy , guess there aren't too many bookies in Japan . He was 40/1 for the Masters , and layable on here at 6/1 a place .

Have not looked at the place market on here to date , they were betting wide on it on here early , Stans fault I reckon ( 1-7 , 1/4) --not PP's , 1/5 1-7 .

All 6 places.

I don't really fancy any of the Big 3 this week, there are valid grounds for opposing all of them. The 4 fancied selections I went for all have a bit of a Timeform squiggle regarding their closing out ability, but all are excellent ball strikers suited to this slightly quirky test. I would be surprised if 2 of them aren't in the heel of the hunt come Sunday, and represent value with the 6 places.

The 4 rags all have bits and prices going for them too. I would be particularly sweet on Lingmerth, though KJ Choi is a massive price on here at around 350 and I have had a bit extra on there to trade if he does contend.

that pp 1/5 is a sneaky move(big posters in shops proclaiming first 7,less so the 1/5)..1/4 the 6 is a  way better bet..

STAN Jimmy go 7 PLACES ¼ the odds is the way to go !

i emailed them a while back cmiyc and got a standard email that said nothing really..just if you had a problem refer it to  blah blah blah etc..a "dont want to engage with you" email

The GOATEE must be still in shock that his post was also removed. Good work Callit

The technical problems at the Mauritius Open have been fixed. Live coverage now on Sky Sports 4.

WANG & SPIETHless dbl

http://cricfree.sx/watch/live/live-from-the-players-live-streaming

http://www.vipleague.me/golf/387965/4/live-from-the-players-championship-liv...

Wonders never cease,betfair sportsbook takes £10 ew on Shane Lowry @ 60/1

TO be fair PA sportbook allowed me 42cent last week on the English Greyhound Derby, I have long giving up on them.

2 or 3 euro for me usually,first time i tried in a long time,was 65 on exchange so it was a small straight up bet.

THEY KNEW......SHANE -5thru14... just went 4 under on 10,11,12&13.

Sorry 5under on those holes bird, eagle, bird, bird !!!

Bird needed on 18th for 29 on the back for SHANE ?

Jason DAY ON FIRE

http://www.vipleague.me/golf/387965/4/live-from-the-players-championship-live-stream-online.html

Day in the Featured Group

29 FOR THE BACK 9,   N1 sHANE

Catch Me ifyoucan  • May 12, 2016 5:22 PM BST 
Bird needed on 18th for 29 on the back for SHANE ?

WD SHANE, married life must suit him

Excellent opening post by Applehunter, whatever way they finish.Very bunched at the moment.

Some scoring today .  Shane 65 . Married life must be agreeing with him , think it might be one of his best ever rounds to date .

snap

18:25	David Lingmerth (11/8)	John Senden (7/4)	Brian Stuard (3/1)
18:25	Sergio Garcia (6/4)	Patrick Reed (2/1)	Zach Johnson (11/5)
18:36	Rickie Fowler (6/4)	Adam Scott (7/4)	Matt Kuchar (11/4)
18:36	Justin Thomas (5/4)	Alex Cejka (12/5)	Davis Love (3/1)
18:47	Hideki Matsuyama (13/10)	Louis Oosthuizen (19/10)	Graeme McDowell (3/1)
18:47	Jimmy Walker (8/5)	Russell Henley (2/1)	Smylie Kaufman (9/4)
18:58	Rory McIlroy (15/13)	Dustin Johnson (9/4)	Bubba Watson (3/1)
18:58	Harris English (6/4)	Keegan Bradley (15/8)	Camilo Villegas (5/2)

SHANE - first player in the history of THE PLAYERS to shoot 29 on the back nine of the Stadium Course.

*response

Victory at The PLAYERS holds a 5-year PGA Tour exemption and 3-year exemptions to The Masters, US Open and Open Championship. WORTH WINNING !

The golf is pretty boring this evening compared with this afternoons fireworks .

The markets need a shake up too , NONE of this evenings 3 balls are in running .

There is no Top Irish market . 

There is no " to make the cut " market .

huddys • May 11, 2016 8:08 PM BST
Players,
Day outright 11/1 e/w,

Betting w/o Jordan-Rory-Day
Fowler e/w 12/1
Bello e/w 80/1,

Mauritius Open
Colsaerts e/w 25/1

sundogmonkey  • May 9, 2016 9:19 PM BST 


Players Championship Selections

Evening All, OK, so this is my favourite event of the year. There are two reasons for this, one is that I love the course & the drama it delivers & secondly time & time again the winner comes from the same identikit formula, which has lead me to some great results over the years, the most recent being Kaymer a couple of years ago. Going back to 2004 when Adam Scott one the formula is pretty simple as follows;

1 Every winner has played the event at least twice before & with the average being about 5 or 6 starts. Scott himself was the only one to win on 3rd visit. Equally you don't see some finally winning this after 15 starts etc.
2 Every winner had previously had a previous high finish in the event. Again Scott was the lowest at 17th the previous year whilst even less heralded winners Clark & Funk had finished 9th & 10th respectively the previous year to winning. Ames had been 2nd before, Kaymer had been 15th, Kuch 13th, KJ 16th , Sergio 2nd, Henrik 3rd.
3 Every winner had played & made the cut the previous year in the event.

Add to this that the vast majority of winners are proven tour winners who have either won a major or are at least a proven tour winner of bigger events or have played Ryder/Presidents Cup. Basically you don't got first time winners here,  [not since Perks anyway!] although off course like Kisner last year someone inevitably goes close. Also perhaps even more interestingly as this is know as "the 5th major" several winners are in the bracket of players who have contended in majors bet have never quite been able to get over the line with Sergio, Stenson, Kuch, KJ & Clark being obvious examples of this over recent years.

Finally Good form coming in obviously helps. KJ was flying the year he won. Ames was 7th the week before. Kaymer had lead half way @ Quail Hollow the week before etc.

Now obviously stats are there to be broken & ultimately if Spieth is stood on the 17th on Sunday tied for the lead he's not going to be thinking 'I missed the cut last year so I can't win this!' However as I've said the formula has done well for me over the recent years so I'm going to stick with it. Straight away therefore off my list goes Rose, Day, Spieth, Mickelson, Walker, Sneds, Kuch as they all missed the cut last year along with the likes of Bubba, DJ, Willett, Grace for a lack of course form. When I then narrow it down to the the type pedigree of player required, the previous decent finish, the rough relevant number of starts & the made cut last year, I was left on my long list with Rory, Sergio, Stenson, Kaymer, Hideki, Zach, JB, Haas, Leishman, Kirk, Knox, Horschel & Scott and I wouldn't put anyone off any of these. However you have to narrow it down & I've settled for the following 6 players this week;


S Garcia      25-1 1pt e/w 1/4 1st 7
H Matsuyama   30-1 1pt e/w 1/4 1st 6
B Horschel    60-1 1pt e/w 1/5 1st 7
R Knox        80-1 1pt e/w 1/4 1st 7
c kirk        80-1 1pt e/w 1/4 1st 7
M Leishman   100-1 1pt e/w 1/4 1st 7


Good luck all & enjoy the drama!

sundogmonkey (in disguise) May 11, 2016 10:10 PM BST
Mob handed this week....

1.5pt e.w Ricky Fowler 20-1
1pt e.w Henrik Stenson 33-1
1pt e.w Sergio Garcia 30-1
1.2pt e.w Hideki Matsuyama 28-1
.3pt e.w Bill Haas 100-1
.3pt e.w Russel Henley 150-1
.3pt e.w David Lingmerth 110-1
.3pt e.w KJ Choi 225-1

All 6 places.

85 Players at -1 or better

Haven't done the figures, but afternoon scores must have been about 2.5/3 shots on average worse than this morning?

With no such wind around tomorrow, it will be a mighty feat from anyone in the latter half to be victorious. Feck all se to me!!

Cracking round from Matsuyama though, finishing 4 under having thrown in 2 DB's.

Scoring pattern about right , callit , Matsuyama was mightily helped by holing out from a long bunker shot.

Rory made mistake after mistake , his chipping saved him from being over par . Not looking the player he should be .

Yeah nice hole out from Matsuyama, but would more than likely have made par had it not gone in, so hardly massive. Just the one shot.

Throwing away 2 shots (basically 2.5 in real terms)on a soft par 5, the third easiest hole on the course was far more influential on his scorecard.

Day has had some cracking rounds of late, and then thrown in a few wobblers. Interesting to see how he goes tomorrow, on a course he has never threatened to take apart before.

One of the worst betting mediums known to man kind. Consistently misrepresented long price winners on here where individual winners are only quoted after the event ignoring the outright price of the effective dutch. Losing threads for 3 years at best prices with unlimited banks isn't recognised as it's not popular to say it. There isn't an edge available and ye have all proven it.

That Cejka choo choo train was late leaving the station but is on track now. In the T20 at -5 and still 200/1

Now there's a nice surprise Choo Choo

WEEKEND OFF FOR...

Kiradech Aphibarnrat
Padraig Harrington
Smylie Kaufman
Charles Howell III
Andy Sullivan
Jason Bohn
Jimmy Walker

Kirk, Spieth, Snedeker, Kokrak, Kisner & Stenson may join you shortly.

MAJIC from SHANE - eagle 2 on 18th, after water-ball on 17th.

Was a cracking round from Shane on the front 9 this time,2 great pars on his last 2.
Day even at this stage looks home and hosed,got a very lucky break when a sprinker on a bunker slope stopped his ball from the bottom of it,play from the green with the drop and parred.
Sports book back to tuppence halpenny operation, e4.32 allowed ew on Bye Bye O' Bye, explain that one Barry Orr,no waffle,no telling us your special enchanced this, that and other, why don't betfair lay a bet? Straight out Barry,you are letting yourself down in being a rep with this crew.

PA, don't be bragging about getting 4.32 ew on Sportsbook.  If you are not on 0.00 on all sports there, practically from Day 1, you probably shouldn't still be punting.

I,ll throw this back now at you Oz,
If you aren't paying PC after your amount of years on here you probably shouldn't be punting either.

I'll get me coat then.

You can talk about the Golf,
Whether my point regarding "sportsbook" is or not is moot but sick sheet of these charlatans masquerading as a "bookmaker".

Plenty of people can manage the premium charge aspect, but if they are successful and playing in big amounts, they may struggle as they are likely to little other methods to get their bets on.

Tolmi went through some parts of this before with Kelly, who could not discuss and DJ also discussed it from memory.

I manage it quite well as I would be down overall let alone not paying at least 20% on my profits.

Not necessary big amounts.

In '09 and after joining betfair newbies received a cd with the basic workings of the exchange.i go so far as to say a person was encouraged to stick to them guidlines for at least a fair while. This resulted in pure pc "territory" by the hand of betfair themselves.

My man Spieth has a lot of work ahead just to make the cut.

Temlett , I have no interest in premium charge .  I have never paid it , if it ever crops up with me ( unlikely) I will address it . There is no point in knowing all about skiing if you dont have snow . It is pointless  , as is discussing premium charge when you dont need to .

What's with Rory , 2 very average rounds and one absolutely brilliant round ? Same course , same ball , same clubs , same caddie . Is it all in the mind ?

When is callit coming on here to tell us he has backed the winner of this tournament?
He is leaving it late. Let's hope it's not another after time?

It's not over yet Gobshee. Too early for after timing. Glad to see such a mug punter like myself occupies so much of your thinking.

Honoured I'm sure.

Good shot Huddys with Day and a Colseart place.

Dead loss for those who did anyone else really and while usually good viewing it was finished Friday.