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DeargDubh
01 May 16 14:11
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Date Joined: 14 Aug 11
| Topic/replies: 218 | Blogger: DeargDubh's blog
According to the Bookies that is.  I have read a number of pieces lately with various bookies complaining about the large payout this will mean and their consequent losses.

Surely this is absolute horse sh*te? Is the payout not well covered by the millions they would have taken on the more traditional contenders?
Pause Switch to Standard View The disaster that is Leicester...
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Report Kelly May 1, 2016 2:22 PM BST
Course it is . They love to talk about the winners they have laid , never a word about the losers they have counterbalanced with , particularly if there is a state employee involved for large sums . Its all sums and hype , good copy for the media .

Fair play to Leicester , hope they win out  against the zillions outfits . I also have a slight vested interest in them winning ( no money or bets etc involved )  , so I will be keeping my fingers crossed for them .
Report kincsem May 1, 2016 3:58 PM BST
They probably kept 95% of the money staked.  Best year ever for the bookies.
Report Racingqueen May 1, 2016 5:03 PM BST
one book was on SSN saying 47 people backed Leicester with them (from stakes of 0.50 pence)

This must be the greatest result their football traders have ever experienced Laugh
Report Flemenstar May 1, 2016 7:51 PM BST
Everyone is just thinking and talking about the start of the season, there was a 10 week period between say October-December where they kept winning but the price didn't really move.

Doesn't take much to build up a liability at prices between say 66 and 250-300. This is probably way wide of the actual mark but even one punter betting £1 per week at average 125/1 for 10 weeks, i we say one firm has 1500 shops is nearly £2m. Now add in all the jokers on at 4 figure prices, plus every other firms shops, and advocate for those where the average works out at more than £1 per week for 10 weeks and you get the figures being quoted

As for the notion that they'd get it all back from the bigger teams losing...you would really be surprised how little is staked on an outright market. The general public don't want to tie their money up for 10 months on a 15/8 poke
Report Kelly May 2, 2016 10:17 AM BST
Any bookie who laid Leicester at big odds had plenty of time to readjust their book over the course of the season .  The concept that they just put up prices and lay away willy nilly just doesn't wash here . Even if you laid Leicester at 5000/1 to a tenner and they had that unbeaten run , there was plenty of opportunity to back them back . £200 at 25/1 would halve the liability .

Thats why they employ people they class as traders . And bookmakers as the term implies are in the business of "making a book" . They have built in margins too . Simple sums unless they get greedy .
Report Kelly May 2, 2016 10:18 AM BST
Sorry , that should have been £100 at 250/1 .
Report pa lapsy May 3, 2016 4:10 PM BST
Think they took only a miniscule amount myself,could be wrong though, the single story of that 50p cashout bet is all i've seen.
After Chelsea equalised last night,Spurs turned into a kinda Leeds early 70's side,twas brutal,they got 9 yellows.
Even on that besides the underdogs glad they got it.
Report wildmanfromborneo May 3, 2016 6:29 PM BST
They can't have it both ways,if Leicester winning the Premiership is a bad result for the bookies then they must have won for the previous twenty odd years.

Having said that 5000/1 odds are usually to be got about Elvis Presley turning up on the moon,not. On something that could possibly win.
Report Kelly May 3, 2016 11:05 PM BST
The press love a "cinderella" story  , and Leicester fits that . Good luck to them , interesting to see how they fare next season .
Report TellTheKing May 3, 2016 11:09 PM BST
Most firms will have a losing book on Leicester for the outright, to a reasonable significant sum for certain firms. The outright market pales into insignificance compared to the week by week markets though and it has been a beano year for football layers with regular coupon busters. I know of one form which didn’t have a single losing week over the PL season. That is unheard of.
Report reb May 4, 2016 8:11 AM BST
I can identify with the thread title. Leicester, winning the Premier League, represents my biggest ever loss in betting. Financial considerations aside though, I'm delighted for them.

Re bookmaker liabilities, TellTheKing has it right, as the comment from this article testifies :

http://www.theguardian.com/football/2016/may/03/5000-1-outsider-leicester-city-bookmakers

"Yes, they may have paid out a lot of money on the Foxes on Tuesday morning, but Leicester’s 5,000-1 title victory was not achieved solely by the outstanding performances of Claudio Ranieri’s team. It also depended on every other fancied team underperforming significantly over the course of the season, with the inevitable result that, almost without fail, the bookies cleaned up on the Saturday coupons from one weekend to the next."
Report Kelly May 4, 2016 10:01 AM BST
Seldom bet on the soccer myself , occasionally on the TV matches , seldom at weekends . Looks like few clicked multiples  which I suspect is the way most punters back , due to some hotpot screwing up result wise each weekend .

Reb , on the outright market did you lay Leicester or just keep switching / backing others in the race ?
Report wildmanfromborneo May 4, 2016 10:29 AM BST
Pay back time will start around July when punters start drifting into offices in Burnley,Middlesborough and maybe even Brighton to back them for the premiership.

Bookies are good at the whinge but even better at the self promotion.
Report reb May 4, 2016 1:13 PM BST
Kelly, as bank interest rates have plummeted in the last few years I decided to tie more money up in the Prem winner long term market. Early last Dec I decided to lay Man U  at odds of around 5/1. That was my core bet and, soon after, was looking  good. I then started looking around for other value bets on the market (mostly lays) as the weeks passed as I had a good sum tied up in the Man U position; I considered Leicester one of those. As time passed, I was looking at a healthy position. Man C (the biggest), Arsenal and Spurs were all winners for me. I really couldn't see Leicester doing it. I wasn't foolish or greedy and felt there was merit in all my lays (timing of the fixtures is very important).


I never ruled out the possibility of Leicester triumphing; I just thought there was always some value in the positions I took against them. I got Man C very wrong though; hard to believe how they never got going even allowing for their injuries.


Personal financial considerations aside, I'm delighted for Leicester; I hate the chronic over- monetisation of football that has occurred in the last 25 years. Leicester are,arguably, the ultimate underdog triumph in sport.


Ranieri comes across as a nice guy.
Report thegalwayman May 4, 2016 2:51 PM BST
reb - I have some news for you. You were both foolish and greedy, whether you care to admit that or not.
Report Arklearkle May 4, 2016 3:07 PM BST
Most people who gamble are greedy even though very few admit it.
Report Vubiant May 4, 2016 3:42 PM BST
Troo.
Report reb May 4, 2016 4:44 PM BST
Context
Report thegalwayman May 4, 2016 5:56 PM BST
Best thread for a long time.
Report Rocketfingers May 4, 2016 8:11 PM BST
I expect someone like gant to come along and say he had a few bob on them in September, seriously though NeddieK must have lost a fortune this season with the favs getting hammered.
Report Kelly May 5, 2016 10:04 AM BST
The ball just hopped the wrong way then, reb .  Happens . C'est la vie , but there is always tomorrow.
Report GANT007 May 6, 2016 5:23 PM BST
Sorry Rocketfingers, as much as I love the underdog, I didn't have a bean on them.
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