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huddys
19 Jan 16 21:51
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Date Joined: 19 Aug 08
| Topic/replies: 2,671 | Blogger: huddys's blog
Going to be a cracking weeks golf with a brilliant field lining up in Europe this week,
Going to start of the bets with an e/w double this week,think Rory will finally  break his string of second places in the Abu Dhabi golf,and he will have the added incentive that he's playing with the world number one player on the first two days this week,now onto to America were i've selected Patrick Reed,he has been one of the most solid player' over the last few months,
Now back to the Abu Dhabi open were I've backed a few big priced players w/o Rory and Jordan,
Selections,
Rafa Cabera Bello 70/1 e/w,couldnt help throwing a few quid on him, he's been know to show his liking  to playing over in the middle east, just hope his bottle dosent go if he's in the running over the weekend,
Lee Westwood 35/1 e/w,the course lay out will suit Westwoods game,
Peter Uihlein 90/1 e/w,was slowing but surely showing his game was coming back to form last year after changing his swing,
Thor Olesen 50/1 e/w,has had a quiet season last year after an injury broken season,if he can show his form from a couple of years ago he will have a good season,

Also backed Bello for the first round leader and also Olesen,

Selections,
Rory and Reed e/w double 4/1-9/1

Betting w/o Rory-Jordan,
Bello e/w 70/1,
Westwood e/w 35/1,
Uihlein e/w 90/1,
Olesen e/w 50/1,

First Round leader,

Bello e/w 100/1

Olesen e/w 66/1,

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Replies: 38
By:
newapproach
When: 20 Jan 16 07:18
Agreed huddys, Rory looks to have an outstanding chance and should go close. Have backed him @ 9/2

Over in America, Ryan Palmer looks a good bet @ 25/1 with 7 places. Has strong form in the desert and has started the season well.

Good luck all, an exciting weekend's sport to look forward toExcited
By:
Deplasterer
When: 20 Jan 16 09:29
Don't back shorties in golf but don't understand how Spieth is available higher than McIlroy tbh, given his demolition of top field in Hawaii a few weeks ago, 5.8 might look big on Sunday.

Went for a top 10 in this, Johan Carlsson finished T7 here last year and filled same position in SA last week, hope he stays in similar mode this week again and 25/1 seems fair enough for a top 10 finish.

PGA event is played over 3 different courses this week in a pro am event, which isn't every ones cup of tea for betting purposes. Ryan Palmer threatened to get in the mix last week and has 3 top 10's the past 3 years at this event, he'll do for me.

Any Dhabi
Jordan Spieth win 5.8
Johan Carlsson top 10 25/1

PGA

Ryan Palmer 32's W&Pl

GL.
By:
padlock
When: 20 Jan 16 11:45
New course for spieth but he is a machine
Eddie pepperell may get a top5/10 imo
Backed donald and w.simpson in usa so far
By:
Kelly
When: 20 Jan 16 20:10
Only interest so far in Abu Dhabi . Early start for McIlroy , Spieth , and Fowler may skew the early exchanges on the overall market , but it will be 4 am so most of us will be tucked up in bed .

Have a sneaking feeling Westwood might play well , Rory is very short given it is his first outing this year , no value .
By:
Snookerpunter
When: 20 Jan 16 23:38
A good week last week, even if Snedeker couldn't ultimately get the job done. It is the first time in quite awhile he has been in the real heat of battle though, and that wont be lost on him. He will be very hard to beat at Pebble in a few weeks.

What a treat in store in Abu Dhabi this week.

The first Rory v Jordan showdown in what could be a year filled with them. Jordan comes here off the back of a scintillating win in the Hyundai, and being the player and competitor he is, he will be giving this week his full attention. This is his first visit here though, and a look through past participants tournament records show a definite trend of vast improvement from their first visits.

Spieth is no ordinary animal, and can obviously be expected to adapt and conquer quicker than others, but this is Rory McIlroys territory, and he will be on full throttle this week.

Spieth is obviously still by far and away the biggest danger, but I do believe he should be a few points bigger in the market, and also believe his participation will increase Rory's chances of beating the rest. This is a big year for Rory. He has lost the Number One slot and currently holds no majors. Jordan has come out all guns blazing, and destroyed a serious field in the Hyundai. All this offers a huge motivation factor for Rory to finds his A game. And quickly.

His record here speaks for itself, and only pure bad luck has prevented him being a two time winner. He has prepared more for this assault than any previous year, and comes here off the back of a win. He will be ready, and considering how he is humming about his long game, I feel its just a  matter of how he putts this week.

If he putts poorly, I would imagine he finishes in the places. If he putts averagely, he will win. If he putts well, he could destroy them.

I have been lucky enough to call Rory very right the past year or so from a betting perspective, and I am very confident he will come up trumps again this week.

I felt no need for another bullet in the tournament outright market, but did play a few in the without Rory & Jordan market.

Byeong Hun An is someone I don't think I have backed before. But he is an undoubted class act, and a star that is here to stay.

Considering it was his debut here last year, a 12th place finish was highly impressive. A second round 75 maybe costing him an unlikely victory. He certainly found his range over the weekend, and will fancy his chances of doing even better this time around. 22-1 without the big two is a cracking bet IMO.

Lee Westwood is someone I have backed before(probably too often!), and I thought he might have been one for the scrap heap the last couple of years.

He did though, show serious signs of life towards the end of 2015, and a successful week at the EurAsia Cup last week will have left him cherry ripe for this. He wont come here with the huge expectations of before, and that may play into his hands. I don't expect him to get the better of both the big two, but do fancy he will be on the premises.

Ross Fisher is another Englishman who showed definite signs of a revival in the latter months of 2015. This terrain will show him in his best light, and last years 9th can be built upon.

6pts e.w Rory McIlroy 9-2

1.5pt e.w Byeong Hun An 22-1
.9pt e.w Lee Westwood 35-1
.6pt e.w Ross Fisher 50-1
(Above 3 without McIlroy & Spieth)

The Career Builder Challenge doesn't have an of the 'Big 3' in attendance, but it does have a decent field, headed by a player who is more than due.

Patrick Reed has in been in serious form for the past 3 months. This timespan hasn't yielded a victory, but it was only a rampant Spieth that beat him in the Hyundai.

Course form may not have as much bearing here as usual, but its definitely of no disadvantage that he is a past champion, and not afraid to go very low. Given his current level of play, its very hard to see him not contending. I wouldn't for a second be questioning his bottle, and if presented with an opportunity on Sunday, I expect him to grab it.

Last week done nothing to change my mind about where Matt Kuchar is with his game, and Zach Johnson still didn't have that zip to his iron play. I wouldn't back Kevin Na with stolen money, and though Bill Haas has an undoubted chance I just feel he is a shade short.

Someone who IMO is certainly overpriced is Phil Mickleson. 40-1 on one of the greatest players of all time in a pretty humdrum tournament?  A player at his best when his back is against the wall, and one who will be striving to prove that his decision to leave Butch Hramon was the right one. Phil is a show off, and will be eager to show everyone, not least his new coach just what is capable of. I think he will be right up for this, and 40s is massive.

Jason Dufner and Francesco Molinari are both very much still on my radar.

I think Dufner is very close to his best, and just as close to a win. He may need a week in contention akin to what Snedeker had last week, but I will take my chances here.

Molinari finished poorly last Sunday, but showed enough over the previous 3 days to suggest that pre Christmas quality in his game is still bang there. With the rustiness off the break now discarded, he can take high rank this week.

Tim Clarke is a bit of a stab in the dark. A couple of different venues this week, but his 3 top 5s in 4 appearances here a few years ago suggest its an event he looks forward to. Last weeks good finish sends him here near the top of his game, and at 125-1 there are far worse bets.

I had Ryan Palmer on the original list. I made him a 25-1 shot, so should have been happy with the 30s/33s on offer. What deterred me was that I thought he may have been priced slightly bigger by the books initially. I decided to add him, as he looks the ideal candidate for this week, and given he was still over what I made him, I shouldn't let greed get in the way!!

3pts e.w Patrick Reed 10-1
.9pt e.w Phil Mickleson 40-1(6 places)
.8pt e.w Jason Dufner 40-1 (6 places)
.5pt e.w Francesco Molinari 66-1
.3pt e.w Tim Clark 125-1 (6 places)
1pt e.w Ryan Palmer 30-1

Given Reeds current consistency and Rorys track record around Abu Dhabi, the e.w was too tempting to resist.

1pt e.w Double Rory 4-1 & Reed 10-1 (both 6 places)

Outrights Week 2: Staked 13.2 pts Returned 12.8pts
2/3 Balls: Staked 13.5pts Returned 26.25pts

Total Staked 2016: 51pts
Total Returns: 100.35pts
Running Total.....+49.35pts
R.O.I.........96.75%

Best of Luck all.
By:
Snookerpunter
When: 21 Jan 16 00:13
3pts Byeong Hun An 11-8 4.00am 3 ball

1.5pts Lee Westwood 3.85 8.05am 3 ball
By:
Deplasterer
When: 21 Jan 16 01:49
7/4 Tommy Fleetwood to bt Kjeldsen/Siem 3.30 am tee time!
By:
padlock
When: 21 Jan 16 09:33
Included b.hass and j.vegas in usa
Spieth missed a few short putts today
By:
Snookerpunter
When: 21 Jan 16 11:14
Rory putted very well for the most part, two silly 3 putts being the exception.

Its a serious looking leaderboard. Spieth once again making bird on his 18th. Does he ever not??!!

Shame Hun An bookended an otherwise fine round with bogeys, though at least he clinched the 3 ball.

The only thing Westwood be clinching is a missed cutCry
By:
Snookerpunter
When: 21 Jan 16 11:14
Rory putted very well for the most part, two silly 3 putts being the exception.

Its a serious looking leaderboard. Spieth once again making bird on his 18th. Does he ever not??!!

Shame Hun An bookended an otherwise fine round with bogeys, though at least he clinched the 3 ball.

The only thing Westwood be clinching is a missed cutCry
By:
applehunter
When: 21 Jan 16 12:31
typing from Gowran so excuse the lack of punctuation. thought molinari shaped v. well last week and looks a good bet to go close. 75 on here looks a bet. also like brendon de jonge to make a mark. addition of a pete dye course wont hurt him and he put up a good score last week on his 1st start of the season.
By:
Snookerpunter
When: 21 Jan 16 14:17
2.5pts Tim Clark 6-4 17.10 2 ball
By:
padlock
When: 21 Jan 16 14:33
Added young z.blair at 100 on here
By:
Kelly
When: 21 Jan 16 14:48
What I saw of Rory looked good , looks like this could be a good year .  Westwood was dire , last hole put him in a position his overall play did not deserve .  Think I will be putting a line through him for the foreseeable .
By:
Snookerpunter
When: 22 Jan 16 00:23
I wouldn't write Westwood totally off due to today only.  To be honest I didn't see a whole lot of his round, but one poor round can always be forgiven.

Personally think he is worth backing again in 3 ball tomorrow.

Another step forward from Jason Dufner tonight. Hopefully he can get himself right into it come Sunday. The worry will be there that he lacks that recent Sunday feeling, but the class is definitely still there. I think he will have a very good year.

Poor finish from Phil given the position he was in through 12.

1.5pt Lee Westwood 3.50am 3ball (average 4.05)
By:
applehunter
When: 22 Jan 16 00:39
Happy with Molinari's start. de Jonge out of it.

Backed Stenson EW @ 7/1 IR. Watched a good bit of the golf this morning and he looked in total control. Hard to see him not up there on Sunday.
By:
Deplasterer
When: 22 Jan 16 01:08
Weisberger 15/8 to bt Poulter/Dubuisson.
By:
Snookerpunter
When: 23 Jan 16 11:48
If Rory goes on to win this, he will surely have the break during his round to thank for victory.

His driving had gone to pot yesterday, and looked more likely to bogey than birdie coming in.

Poor putt on the first there would not be what he wanted.
By:
Catch Me ifyoucan
When: 23 Jan 16 12:55
Tricky RICKIE at 12's ta Devil
By:
applehunter
When: 24 Jan 16 00:36
Superb stuff from Dufner.

This used to be a 5 rounderHappy
By:
applehunter
When: 24 Jan 16 00:36
Superb stuff from Dufner.

This used to be a 5 rounderHappy
By:
applehunter
When: 24 Jan 16 00:44
Must watch action in Abu Dhabi.

Expecting Desert Fox's of ;Cabrera Bello, Mcilroy, Grace or Stenson to take the title.
By:
Snookerpunter
When: 24 Jan 16 18:01
3pts Webb Simpson 5.55 3 ball 11-8.
By:
Snookerpunter
When: 24 Jan 16 18:54
Frustrating no coverage on til 9pm stateside. Was on at 8 all week, showing a shower of celebrities.

Cracking interview with Dufner after last nights round. Very hard not to like him, and all monetary involvement aside I really hope he wins tonight and kicks on. Have backed him e.w for the Masters at 150-1 aswell. With a win under his belt, and if he can maintain his form, he be a 30-1 shot. Max.

Talking of the Masters, and majors in general, I thought Rorys missed putt on 18 at the end of his third round this morning summed up why Jordan will win more majors than Rory.

He needs that putt to stay within two, but more importantly to get in the final group. He misses. Jordan holes that all day long. As Tiger would have. He staged his usual rally when the bird has flown, and showed how he really is an e.w bet to nothing in this type of event. He putted horrendously for 45 holes yet still gets placed, only two out of the play off.

He did hole the odd good one, but didn't hole the one that mattered.

Jordan fav for Augusta IMO after this week.
By:
applehunter
When: 25 Jan 16 00:57
WD Calit.
By:
snap crackle and pop
When: 25 Jan 16 01:02
Boooooooooooooommmmmmmm!

Different gravy again callit!

Dufner the only bet I done. Real likeable sort, delighted for him
By:
padlock
When: 25 Jan 16 08:00
Wd callit, exciting finish ,great 40/1 50 on here shout ...
By:
Ozymandius
When: 25 Jan 16 08:57
Wow.....Callit has had some start to the year!

This might be enough to push The Gobshee off the edge and into oblivion alongside the recently departed EasyRog.
By:
Snookerpunter
When: 25 Jan 16 11:01
Cheers.

Cracking finish alright. Looked sunk on a couple of occasions, and was probably more than a shade lucky in the end to get the win. After Snedeker though last week, it was pay back time from Lady Luck!!

Thrilled for Duff. Top quality bloke. Hopefully he can drive on from here, and I expect he will. The 100s is still big for Augusta.

Cracking return from Phil. He had his chances in the end, but will have been delighted with his driving. Will be a big factor this week I feel.
By:
Deplasterer
When: 25 Jan 16 11:15
Wd Callit, you mentioned Dufner last week as a man to follow, thecgods were with him on 17  which makes it even sweeter. Glad Phil showed some form as he had a dismal time of it last year, maybe him and Pod to pop up sometime in the yearTongue Out
By:
Snookerpunter
When: 25 Jan 16 11:25
Yeah, was very lucky on 17. Twice!

POD definitely looks in better shape than a year ago.
By:
wildmanfromborneo
When: 25 Jan 16 11:29
The Golf threads have been remarkable down the years,great to see Snookerpunter continue the good work.
By:
norn iron
When: 25 Jan 16 11:53
WELL DONE ALL WINNERS CRACKING THREAD
By:
snap crackle and pop
When: 25 Jan 16 11:53
Tnx norn!
By:
padlock
When: 25 Jan 16 12:14
Intersting tactics used by duff in playoff,walking near lingmerth etc a few times just before his shot,seemed to work eventually
By:
frank60
When: 25 Jan 16 13:03
Well done Callit, Grin
By:
the jolly
When: 25 Jan 16 13:19
great start to the year - great calling Callit. 
Great to see Mickelson back as well and his interview last night tells you he is in a good place
By:
kavvie
When: 25 Jan 16 14:56
i bkd phil ew at 40/1   with pp.i was attracted by the 7 places  but beware folks.as usual pp skimp on offers with the small print.it was 1/5th odds a place.cost me 100e       others were 1/4 first 6 so its very mean spirited by them..as usual when they have an offer its value is usually negated by the small print..
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