Irish Sports
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09 Sep 15
21:40
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27 Sep 11
A barren week on the PGA Tour, but thankfully a better field than recently in Europe.
Martin Kaymer comes here as a former winner, albeit on a different layout, and has to be respected as the undoubted class act in the line up. But in a year which has ultimately proved a disappointment for the German, where he has not qualified for the big money playoffs stateside, and has no Ryder Cup to look forward to....how much is he going to really want victory this week??
It certainly wont have been in his original or hoped for schedule, and in the circumstances I feel he can be swerved.
One player who will have had this as not just a target, but 'the target' for the past few months is home favourite Joost Luiten.
Recent form figures may not jump out as suggesting someone who is ready to strike gold, but those recent form figures were in vastly superior fields. Its a month since he has played, yet only two months since a very encouraging 4th in the Scottish Open. Where attributes similar to what will be required this week helped him attain that lofty position against some of the worlds best.
Its no cause for concern that he hasn't played in a few weeks. Quite the contrary. He left America after the PGA to come home and prepare himself for this his Open, on his local track. He achieved a lifetime goal in winning here in 2013, backed it up with another top 5 last year, and was also second as an inferior player with an inferior attitude back in 2007. He will be hungry, fresh and full of local knowledge facing into a week where his straight driving and consistent hitting of greens will be a huge asset. He will fear no one, and looks set for a very good week.
Kaymer is the obvious class act, but him aside, if there is to be another superstar in the field, it will surely come in the shape of Matt Fitzpatrick. Uncannily like a young Rory McIlroy in appearance, he does not possess the former world number ones length off the tee. Not yet anyway. But what he is, is very straight and his irons have been dialled in of late. He probably should have won the Czech Masters, but quite a few missed putts from close range over the 4 days ultimately proved costly.
He didn't figure here last year, but the experience wont be lost on him, and given his current well being, it will be no surprise if he breaks his duck this week. Its coming.
With wind set to be a factor this week, who better to take a chance on at big odds than a confirmed wind specialist and past winner here, Darren Clarke.
True its over 4 years now since he last won, and its just about the same time since he last had 4 decent rounds, but if he is to be victorious again or even contend, then its a week like this that he is likely to do it. He was 5th here in 2009 as defending champion, so he clearly thrives on the layout. Very poor performances in a couple of majors were somewhat improved upon in Denmark 3 weeks ago. A final round 74 put a bad tint on what would have been a top 10 had he backed up Saturdays 68 with another.
The more the wind blows, the greater Darrens chances will become, and he would relish the chance to show his Open win in similar conditions was a bit more than the pure fluke it now appears.
Another Irishman, Damien McGrane completes the staking. The Wexford man pops up on leaderboards from time to time, and generally at venues where he has previous. You would go along way to find a course which sets up better for McGrane, and this is backed up by his recent appearances here. The last 6 times the KLM has visited this tight layout, McGrane has two top 3s, a 4th and another top 20 to his name. Very impressive finishes for one who starts every week as a multiple 3 figure price.
Like Dazzler, his recent form is nothing to write home about and this is his worst year since getting his European Tour card, but he is the type who misses cuts for sport, then pops up out the blue with a good performance. His 8th two weeks ago in the Czech Masters threatened a return to form, and where better for him to put the past few months behind him, than at what must be his favourite track.
1.6pts e.w Joost Luiten 18-1(6 places)
1pt e.w Matt Fitzpatrick 30-1
.3pt e.w Darren Clarke 250-1
.3pt e.w Damien McGrane 200-1
Good Luck all.
Martin Kaymer comes here as a former winner, albeit on a different layout, and has to be respected as the undoubted class act in the line up. But in a year which has ultimately proved a disappointment for the German, where he has not qualified for the big money playoffs stateside, and has no Ryder Cup to look forward to....how much is he going to really want victory this week??
It certainly wont have been in his original or hoped for schedule, and in the circumstances I feel he can be swerved.
One player who will have had this as not just a target, but 'the target' for the past few months is home favourite Joost Luiten.
Recent form figures may not jump out as suggesting someone who is ready to strike gold, but those recent form figures were in vastly superior fields. Its a month since he has played, yet only two months since a very encouraging 4th in the Scottish Open. Where attributes similar to what will be required this week helped him attain that lofty position against some of the worlds best.
Its no cause for concern that he hasn't played in a few weeks. Quite the contrary. He left America after the PGA to come home and prepare himself for this his Open, on his local track. He achieved a lifetime goal in winning here in 2013, backed it up with another top 5 last year, and was also second as an inferior player with an inferior attitude back in 2007. He will be hungry, fresh and full of local knowledge facing into a week where his straight driving and consistent hitting of greens will be a huge asset. He will fear no one, and looks set for a very good week.
Kaymer is the obvious class act, but him aside, if there is to be another superstar in the field, it will surely come in the shape of Matt Fitzpatrick. Uncannily like a young Rory McIlroy in appearance, he does not possess the former world number ones length off the tee. Not yet anyway. But what he is, is very straight and his irons have been dialled in of late. He probably should have won the Czech Masters, but quite a few missed putts from close range over the 4 days ultimately proved costly.
He didn't figure here last year, but the experience wont be lost on him, and given his current well being, it will be no surprise if he breaks his duck this week. Its coming.
With wind set to be a factor this week, who better to take a chance on at big odds than a confirmed wind specialist and past winner here, Darren Clarke.
True its over 4 years now since he last won, and its just about the same time since he last had 4 decent rounds, but if he is to be victorious again or even contend, then its a week like this that he is likely to do it. He was 5th here in 2009 as defending champion, so he clearly thrives on the layout. Very poor performances in a couple of majors were somewhat improved upon in Denmark 3 weeks ago. A final round 74 put a bad tint on what would have been a top 10 had he backed up Saturdays 68 with another.
The more the wind blows, the greater Darrens chances will become, and he would relish the chance to show his Open win in similar conditions was a bit more than the pure fluke it now appears.
Another Irishman, Damien McGrane completes the staking. The Wexford man pops up on leaderboards from time to time, and generally at venues where he has previous. You would go along way to find a course which sets up better for McGrane, and this is backed up by his recent appearances here. The last 6 times the KLM has visited this tight layout, McGrane has two top 3s, a 4th and another top 20 to his name. Very impressive finishes for one who starts every week as a multiple 3 figure price.
Like Dazzler, his recent form is nothing to write home about and this is his worst year since getting his European Tour card, but he is the type who misses cuts for sport, then pops up out the blue with a good performance. His 8th two weeks ago in the Czech Masters threatened a return to form, and where better for him to put the past few months behind him, than at what must be his favourite track.
1.6pts e.w Joost Luiten 18-1(6 places)
1pt e.w Matt Fitzpatrick 30-1
.3pt e.w Darren Clarke 250-1
.3pt e.w Damien McGrane 200-1
Good Luck all.
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Two golfers against the field for myself this week,
Ist selection is Bello,yes ive cracked against and backed him,when I seen bet365 pricing him up at 60/1 I said too myself he's worth an e/w bet at the price, 2nd selection is Peter Uihlein 66/1 e/w,showed some form in his last outing before fading away in the 4th round, Selections, Bello 60/1 e/w 5 places, Uihlein 66/1 e/w 5 places, |
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Paul McGinley looks worth a small investment at 4-1 to win his first round 3 ball tomorrow.
He faces Paul Lawrie and Alvaro Quiros. A tight layout like this is never going to see Quiros in his best light, and he has had a very poor season, seeming more and more like a wasted talent. Lawrie has shown signs of sparkle lately, and is a deserving favourite, but in what I feel is essentially a match 4-1 looks very big on a player who has proven form around here even when in general poor form. And also when the Irishman does throw in a very good round, it is usually on a Thursday. 1pt Paul McGinley 4-1 1st rd 3 ball |
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Nice preview Callit,.. Darren Clarke 310/1 here as you say worth a bet, .. Damien McGrane has my fiver as well, about time we had a irish winner,
 goodluck and TY |
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Don't really bet on Europe tour so for an interest rowed in with Max Liefer who is overdue a win at 40,s and why not, Padraig at 110's
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Max Kieffer
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Flagged up Lawrie for this at 200/1 on twitter. simply because the price was far too big.
However after looking at the markets I saw that Peter Lawrie was not quoted and that Paul's price varied from the 50/1 which would be about right to the 200/1 that was available in some places. The Paul 200/1 odds have now been removed from oddschecker history for many of the firms. I left the bet as it is hard to get on anyway at these prices but there must be a very real chance that the firms will claim palpable error on it. The lesser of two evils is sitting watching it knowing you are winning nothing, than betting then trading the position and finding that the original bet has been voided. It is hard to know what the bookmakers will do here, but I would not have been interested in him at 50/1 or less and many others are probably the same, so this must be on their radar and they could step in and void. |
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The argument however would also be that when there was mass cutting of his price to around 40/1 pre-tournament, the firms had an opportunity to alert customers before the event. It would be serious sharp practice to bring it up now?
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If they knew pre event and didn't alert, it would surely be theft to claim it after the event?
Wait and c does a 1.02 come in for them, and if it fail they don't lose anyway? Sounds about right I suppose!! If you cant win, you cant lose.........or so one would think! Every chance of him placing at least, so will be interesting alright. Do you know of anyone that availed of the 200-1? |
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A few lads on twitter like Steve Rawlings (Steve The Punter) and Richard Kemp are two that I know of anyway.
The former seems to get on with Betfair Sports which is hard to believe but he does write for them. |
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Some round for Matt Fitz.
Needs to play the last two in one under for a 59. |
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Luiten and fitz going well for you Callit, just my luck to pick the other 2
 good luck; hope one of them do the Business for you. |
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How are ye getting on lads?A poor turnout tbf.
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Good luck 2mor Buddy's with Cabrera Bello, you would probably prefer him coming from off the pace though given his past form when leading, I,ll be happy if Kieffer can sneak a place and like a host of others not totally out of it given the low scoring all week.
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Huddy,s
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polab • September 12, 2015 8:28 PM BST
You would think the winning score is gonna be around -20/21, so there are still a number of players who are more than capable of shooting low and grabbing the win. SO WHO WINS IT FROM HERE ?... haven't seen any of it to judge who's playing well and/or who's been lucky all week. Race to Dubai ranking says Rafa 5/2, Max 28's or maybe Pieters 8's OWGR says Mikko 18's or Rafa |
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