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newapproach
22 Jul 15 21:19
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Date Joined: 03 Jun 12
| Topic/replies: 1,548 | Blogger: newapproach's blog
5 e/w bets for me in Canada:

J.B. Holmes 40/1
Long hitting Holmes won't be as fatigued as most this week having missed the weekend in Scotland.

Tony Finau 45/1
Another long hitter who should view this week as a great opportunity to get his maiden win on tour considering many will be fatigued and looks the best player in the field who didn't play in Scotland.

Sean O'Hair 90/1
Confidence has come back last few weeks with some excellent finishes and will have good memories of Canada having won this and finished 3rd @ this course in 2008.

Rory Sabbatini100/1
Will be suited by focus on GIR and form has been good last few week barring m.c. @ the Greenbrier.

Scott Pinckney 125/1
Having excellent first season on tour and looks a winner in waiting including when T2 @ Byron Nelson.

Best of luck.

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Replies: 23
By:
huddys
When: 22 Jul 15 21:52
Wasn't going to do any bets this week,but caved in and backed two guys against the field in Europe,
Selections,

T Fleetwood 22/1 e/w,

R Ramsey 33/1 e/w,
By:
callitasucit
When: 23 Jul 15 00:15
Always hard to get too excited by the fare on offer after a major, this week is no different. I have backed the last 3 winners of the Canadian Open though, so I am fast developing a soft spot for it! As is also always the case a week after a big one, the first question to ask is should the Major stars be backed or ignored this week?

I have gone for a few that were there and a few that were not.

I cant have Jason Day at the prices this week. Yes he is a superb talent, but not a prolific winner yet, and squanders too many opportunities to be backing him at 9-1 before the event. He doesn't seem to have the greatest of constitutions, often withdrawing or MC when playing a few events on the trot. In fact he very rarely plays the week after a major, and I am very surprised he is playing here at all.

3 from near the head of the market that do interest me are Jim Furyk, Matt Kuchar and Luke Donald.

I wouldn't really be of the opinion that this is a bombers paradise. Its short enough that anyone on there game can feel they can contend. Its a second shot and putting golf course. Snedeker missed a huge amount of fairways when successful here in 2013(landing a forum plunge!!). He hit some cracking irons and putted extremely well.

Furyk has won two Canadian Opens, albeit at different venues, but it is clearly an event he relishes and really should have took title number 3 last year. He failed to shut the door on a rallying Tim Clark, and his winless run was extended. He has got rid of that 'losers' tag this year though, so if in contention on Sunday, I would expect him to be more adept at closing it out.  The event he won was another RBC sponsored event, the week after the Masters. He will be hard to beat in my opinion.

Kuchar seems to have been slowly rediscovering his best, a second at the Scottish Open maybe a hint that a victory is imminent. Another who has find winning difficult of late, he will view this relatively weak field as a prime opportunity, and was second to Snedeker the last time it was held here.

Luke Donald is certainly on his way back. His putting is once again becoming a real asset now that he has regained his confidence in his long game. This course sets up really well for an in form Donald, and I will be very surprised if he isn't in the hunt come Sunday.

Tim Clark went off a well backed 50-1 shot in this event last year, and duly obliged. He is not in the same form this time around, and is a debutante here. But it is clearly an event he looks forward to, with good results ijn his last 3 outings, and this track should suit every bit as much as last year. 150 on here seems a bit of an insult.

Chez Reavie was victorious here in 2009, and though he hasn't done a whole lot since, he has started to show some form in the last couple of months. He led wire to wire that week, holding off an in form Anthony Kim(remember him!!), and may surprise a few this week.

One player who seems very overpriced is the in form Englishman Greg Owen. He has really blossomed of late, with two top tens in 3 events before going to St Andrews. A top 20 finish there among the worlds elite will have given him even further confidence. He may struggle to get over the line, but in the hope that fatigue will not be an issue, I think he will be right in the hunt on Sunday. 12th here in 2013 when a poor Sunday cost him a better finishing position, he has had enough 'heat of the battle' of late to give him the belief that he can get it done. 9-2 for top 20 also looks big.

William McGirt had last week off, and will have had this as his Major. Second in 2012 and 2013, he is in good enough form of late, to give him and backers hope that he can go close once again.

Sean O'Hair and Hunter Mahan just missed the cut.

2pts e.w Jim Furyk 16-1
1.5pts e.w Matt Kuchar 20-1
1.1pt e.w Luke Donald 28-1
.3pt e.w William McGirt 100-1
.4pt e.w Greg Owen 125-1
.3pt e.w Tim Clarke 125-1
.3pt e.w Chez Reavie 125-1

4pts Greg Owen Top 20 9-2

Will update P&L when have time next week.

Best of Luck all.
By:
callitasucit
When: 25 Jul 15 23:25
Bit galling to see Danny Willet in pole position to win this week, after he backed out of giving me a nice payday in last weeks major. Though I backed him last week, he was a massive price, and is not one to be backing at short odds in scenarios such as he finds himself in now. He was edgy today, and that could get worse if he starts poorly tomorrow. He is the most likely winner, but has to be taken on at the prices given the doubts.

I put Matt Fitzpatrick up as someone to follow at big prices this year as he certainly has the talent to be better than a run of the mill European Tour player. But he has looked shaky under the cosh so far, and it might be too much too soon tomorrow.

Which in my eyes, leaves birdie machine Raphael Jacquelin looking a very tasty wager at 8-1. He bounced back very well from  an early 7 today, and will quite possibly get a good deal of help from his playing partners tomorrow.

2.5pts e.w Jacquelin 8-1
By:
Catch Me ifyoucan
When: 26 Jul 15 17:03
Catch Me ifyoucan  • July 24, 2015 9:43 PM BST 
Brooks Koepka
Sergio Garcia


May get one part of it right Devil
By:
Catch Me ifyoucan
When: 26 Jul 15 21:07
Catch Me ifyoucan  • July 26, 2015 8:15 PM BST 
On Jimmy FURYK at 8's (just missed the 10's)
By:
workrider
When: 26 Jul 15 21:24
Backed Day @ 4.7 last night , pars the par 5 when all and sundry are making birdies , hope he's not going to bottle it again this week...
By:
pa lapsy
When: 26 Jul 15 21:37
Bubba breaking my heart again,playing like a lemon.
Couldn't believe the language from Willett earlier today, fine player and seems like a nice guy but letting himself down by that amount of swearing.
By:
workrider
When: 26 Jul 15 21:46
Yes Pa,he says it out loud ,a good win for him today..
By:
Catch Me ifyoucan
When: 26 Jul 15 22:01
Furyk wins RBC Heritage in playoff Is lighting about to strike twice ?
By:
workrider
When: 26 Jul 15 22:12
No , Watson a big danger now.
By:
pa lapsy
When: 26 Jul 15 22:17
Days putt on 17 probably does it. Birdie Eagle needed for Watson for tie in all likelyhood
By:
workrider
When: 26 Jul 15 22:20
First five bets today all beat in photos , laid four horses yesterday they all won.Cry Praying for a change of luck.
By:
workrider
When: 26 Jul 15 22:24
Bubba Devil
By:
pa lapsy
When: 26 Jul 15 22:26
Don't be putting a big jinx on him now WR Grin
By:
workrider
When: 26 Jul 15 22:29
Just what is Day up to...Laugh
By:
workrider
When: 26 Jul 15 22:35
Shocked
By:
Catch Me ifyoucan
When: 26 Jul 15 22:38
It's JASON's Day
By:
pa lapsy
When: 26 Jul 15 22:39
Jammy fecker,i,d have took a play off myself for accounting reasons, a chip in is still on Devil
By:
huddys
When: 26 Jul 15 22:43
Well done workrider,
By:
workrider
When: 26 Jul 15 22:46
Thanks huddys , give me a ring now l'll give you that horse now ..
By:
workrider
When: 26 Jul 15 22:54
Pa going to pm you..
By:
callitasucit
When: 26 Jul 15 23:30
Fair display from Day. The cream certainly rose to the top. Furyk was feeble enough on the back 9, though shaved a few edges and was unlucky with his second on 16.

Day a likeable sort.

Now for 7 days of serious punting!!
By:
workrider
When: 27 Jul 15 10:33
Day is still lacking that killer instint ,hopefully he will now fulfill his early promise , would still be worried about him in a play off ..
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