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huddys
09 Feb 15 18:52
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Date Joined: 19 Aug 08
| Topic/replies: 2,671 | Blogger: huddys's blog
After Jason Day doing the business last week we have another great week ahead in the golf,il start of in America were the viewing wont be great in the first few days with the celebs been showing alot,
Going for two against the field,1st selection will be Patrick Reed,plays well in the past in theses type of events,and already has a win under his belt this year,
2nd selection is Jordan Spieth,going to give him another chance after missing the cut last week,were he never really got going,at around 14/1 seem good value,
Now on to Europe low graded field with not much depth in the field,
1st Selection is Noren who's  back fit and injury free after a horror  setbacks,he showed great form last time out to finish second in a great field,missed the 20/1 that powers had him,but was very happy to take the 14/1,stil looks great value,
2nd selection is Peter Uihlein, another player who's slowly coming back to form,and at his price at 25/1 worth a few quid in this weakened field,

Selections
Jordan Spieth e/w 14/1
Patrick Reed e/w 16/1

Europe,
A Noren e/w 14/1
Peter Uihlein 25/1,

Also done permed up e/w doubles aswell,best of luck this week lads,

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By:
callitasucit
When: 09 Feb 15 20:35
Anyone having a bet on the Thailand Open, and that can get on with 365, could do much worse than having few quid e.w on Prayad Marksaeng at 75-1. Great value, wont last.
By:
Distant View
When: 10 Feb 15 11:27
He is 80/1 Stan James.
By:
Distant View
When: 10 Feb 15 11:30
Were you fishing in other markets last night callit?

BetVictor were going 11/4 on Tiger not to make the 2016 Ryder Cup team. That looked very fair for those that can put money aside (and get on with them!).
By:
callitasucit
When: 10 Feb 15 11:43
That looks closer to a 4-11 shot than an 11-4 shot DV. No I hadn't noticed it.

75-1 was top price at the time. I find it hard to believe someone has topped it. Great price. Only 60 on here.
By:
Distant View
When: 10 Feb 15 13:35
Fred have pushed him out to 80s as well since I posted.

I thought he would make his way closer to 33/1 over the course of these days than anywhere near 80/1.

The Swedes will be popular here too as they own the course as far as I know and practice there all the time.
By:
callitasucit
When: 10 Feb 15 20:02
What is becoming the trend is the way again this week, quite a decent event stateside, and much more mundane fare in Europe.

Also another week of what could be termed boring and obvious selections for me, but if I get the same end result as last week, then I wont be complaining!!

In The True Thailand Classic (Is there a false one??!!), there are two players who in my opinion are far and away the most likely winners. Alex Noren and Marc Warren. Yes, they head the market, so that could be stating the obvious, but I would make both shorter than their current odds. And certainly their opening price. Quite how PP saw fit to chalk Noren up at 20-1 is beyond me.

Though there are others in this field that could also be said to have a big class edge on the majority of others, there aren't many in the same vein of form as these two.

Noren has returned from injury in sparkling form. Very impressive in taking the runner up slot behind McIlroy in Dubai, he took last week off to be ready for this, which he quite rightly sees as a great opportunity to get back in the winners circle. He had a nice sighter here in 2010, and given his current well being it will be something of a surprise if he isnt contending come Sunday.

Warren is in equally good form, and though he doesn't have the benefit of a week off or a run our here, they should be any great disadvantage. He still looked in great shape last week in a better field, and the majority of the field will be seeing this layout for the first time. Quite simply, he is playing golf at a consistently different level to most of the opposition, and will surely take high rank once again.

One who could trouble these two, and is far too big a price is Prayad Marksaeng. I have no idea how firms saw fit to push him out to 80-1, and the 75-1 still available is one of the e.w bets of the year IMO. A winner on this track in a lower grade, he has always played the course well, and his local knowledge will be valuable, when most of the serious contenders will have limited or zero previous visits here. A missed cut last week is of no concern, indeed it could be of benefit. There wont be many better 75-1 shots this season.

2pts e.w Alex Noren 14-1
2pts e.w Marc Warren 14-1
.5pt e.w Prayad Marksaeng 75-1

The AT & T at Pebble Beach will provide plenty more stars of the game, but also the pain in the arse which is a bunch of celebrities being shown more than the pros people have bet on!!

One player who has thrived in this format is Patrick Reed He hasn't quite cracked the top 5, as he infamously declared he would, but he is not far off it. A third round 75 scuppered his chances here last year, but I don't expect him to give up such an opportunity so easily again. A winner already this year, he as good a chance as any in this field, yet is priced bigger than 4 others.

Jimmy Walker, Jason Day and Dusty Johnson could easily prevail, and it would be no great surprise if any of them do. But how can Day and Walker be chalked up at 8-1, and Spieth be 16s and Reed 20s?? Dusty is still shorter in the betting than Reed, and though DJ has formidable form figures here, last week suggested it is going to take a couple of weeks before everything comes together for him after his layoff. Walker would have been the first player on everyones list, but is too short IMO. As is Day, who though mighty impressive in victory on Sunday, he missed the cut here last year off the back od a second at the Farmers.

Jordan Spieth missed the cut last week, and odds compilers paid too much heed to that in their initial quotes for this week. He has been on record as saying he finds it hard to read Poa Annua greens, and maybe that was a reason behind his abject performance last week. He faces more of the same this week, but its quite possible he will just be more at home here. Last years 4th certainly bodes very well, and a poor 36 holes doesn't justify him being twice the price of the two favourites. I couldn't attain the 16s in Lads, but the 15s in Boyles was more than acceptable.

Now to finally get away from the head of the market, I think this event could suit Shane Lowry down to the ground. Granted the weather forecast is for pretty glorious weather over the 4 days, but if the wind does get up at any stage, it can only serve to increase this links specialists chances. He had a very impressive weekend last week, and that will have given this modest gent all the confidence in the world that he has what it takes to mix it withy the best on the PGA Tour.

Ernie Els finished third at Pebble in G Macs US Open, and will looking forward to returning here. Consistent, if not quite challenging of late, I feel he has more chance than plenty priced shorter this week, and could make quotes of 80-1 look very decent come Sunday evening. The 8-5 for Top South African very much catches the eye. PP are again offering 6 places, and were top price on The Big Easy.

Another worth backing in PP was another PP, Pat Perez. 100-1 may be slightly below what he is on here, but the place terms make up for that, and its probably a place your chasing backing this lad. Second here in 2002, he has played consistently well until again performing with distinction in finishing 7th last year. Played poorly last week, but in good nick before that, it wouldn't be a surprise if he again performed above himself here.

What I would consider the best bet of the bigger priced ones is Aaron Baddeley. 100-1 is a cracking bet IMO. He missed the cut last week, but again that is of no worry, as he has consistently raised his game for this event, and started only 40-1 here in 2013, yet is arguably better form this time around. 17th at Phoenix shows he has his game in order, and he can take high rank.

The 10-1 on Baddeley finishing Top Australian strikes me as a tremendous bet. Anything above 6-1 is great value IMO. Jason Day is obviously the most likely victor of this market, but he did miss the cut here last year off a pretty similar week in the Farmers, and at as low as 1-3 he is definitely worth taking on here. If Baddeley is not the one to benefit if Day does underperform, then the one to pick up the pieces may be Steven Bowditch, and 20-1 on him is worth a dabble too.

2pts e.w Jordan Spieth 15-1
1.5pt e.w Patrick Reed 20-1
.6pt e.w Shane Lowry 50-1
.4pt e.w Ernie Els 80-1 6 places
.3pt e.w Pat Perez 100-1 6 places
.35pt e.w Aaron Baddely 100-1

5pts Ernie Els Top South African 8-5
2.5pts Aaron Baddeley Top Australian 10-1
1pt Steven Bwoditch Top Australian 20-1

Total Staked Week 5:   54pts
Total Returned Week 5: 114.8pts
Total Staked:       224.8pts
Total Returned:     288.5pts
Running Total......+63.7pts
ROI....+28.3%
By:
newapproach
When: 10 Feb 15 20:26
More excellent fare across the water @ Pebble Beach:

Patrick Reed 18/1
Agree with callit, definitely looks the best value of those @ the front of the markey. Already has a win under the belt this year and 2 strong finished @ Pebble Beach last 2 years

Kevin Na 50/1
Form progressing nicely this season last 3 starts. Two top 5 finishes here last 3 years adds should give him plenty of confidence coming in here

Ian Poulter 50/1
Had a disappointing year last year but has started the season strongly this time including T19 last time when fading in the final round. Should be suited by this sort of test

Spencer Levin 80/1
Impressive performance last week in T11 when lack of distance off the tee probably hindered him in the finish. Has some cracking form around her including 2 top 10 finishes

Pat Perez 100/1
On record as saying he is currently delighted with his game and results have been quite good. Finished T10 here last year and will hope to capatalise on confidence with a strong performance here

Best of luck lads!
By:
Catch Me ifyoucan
When: 11 Feb 15 13:28
THAILAND, HUA HIN.
http://www.blackmountainhuahin.com
(never bin but sadly no someone who’s a regular for the young ‘uns)

European Tour’s first visit to Thailand since 2007 BUT horses for courses should still apply, in the True or False Thailand Classic at Black Mountain Golf Club in Hua Hin, as it hosted 3 Asian Tour events incl. the 2011 Royal Trophy (Asia v Europe Ryder Cup).

Past events at Black Mountain (Thai's feature prominently)
2014 King’s Cup
276 Prayad Marksaeng (Local Hua Hin lad, Thailand) NB
277 Rikard Karlberg (Sweden but lives in Hua Hin)
279 Anirban Lahiri (India)
279 Prom Meesawat (Thailand, another local)
279 Chapchai Nirat (Thailand)
280 Mardan Mamat (Singapore)

2011 Royal Trophy – Asia 7 Europe 9
Thongchai Jaidee (Thailand) 1.5pts out of 3
Johan Edfors (Sweden) 0.5pts out of 3
Jeev Milkha Singh (India) 1pt out of 3
Liang Wen-chong (China) 2pts out of 3

2010 Black Mountain Masters
274 Tetsuji Hiratsuka (Japan)
274 Namchok Tantipokhakul (Thailand)
275 Kiradech Aphibarnrat (Thailand)
275 Scott Hend (Australia) VNB
275 Sung Lee (South Korea)
275 Swangarunporn Piya (Thailand)

2009 Black Mountain Masters
271 Johan Edfors (Sweden)
273 Prayad Marksaeng (Thailand)
273 Chris Rodgers (England)
274 Anirban Lahiri (India)
275 Gaganjeet Bhullar (India)
275 Thongchai Jaidee (Thailand)
275 Chapchai Nirat (Thailand)

Emiliano Grillo 25’s..... 'Mr Consistent' with 13 cuts in a row for the Argentine - T36 last week and finishes of T20, T5 and T37 in the Gulf. Winner in waiting.
Prom Meesawat 40’s..... Yes more green apple curries this week for the 'burly Thai' - The Big Dolphin (not to confused with dinglemick's one down in Kerry) is the second-highest ranked Thai golfer finishing third on the Asian Tour Order Of Merit last season with a T3 here last year at the Asian Tour’s Kings Cup. This is a home game for this Hua Hin resident so local knowledge of the best restaurants is an added advantage this week.
Rikard Karlberg 50’s..... Scandinavian players use this venue for winter golf practice (among other things) although this boy is getting married next week !

© CM iyc Devil
By:
Catch Me ifyoucan
When: 11 Feb 15 16:14
AT & 'T' ($34.50) at PEBBLE (twice) + Spyglass Hill GC & Monterey Peninsula CC, CA.

Jordan Spieth 12's..... played well in last year's edition of the AT&T with a T4 result.
He can play well after missed cuts with a sixth place at the '13 AT&T National, a second place at the '13 Wyndham and a T2 last year at the Masters.

Dustin Johnson 16's..... a true horse-for-the-course at the AT&T Pebble Beach with a T7 in '08, WINS in '09 and '10, a T5 in '12 and a T2 last year.
Expect him to give it hockey again as he's comfortable playing with his father-in-law this week.


SENIORS in NAPLES, FL.
Michael Allen 16’s
Bart Bryant 40’s
to beat that Langer.

D&T's done. Devil
By:
applehunter
When: 11 Feb 15 22:58
Thailand

Won't be backing any of the Top 3 in the market in Thailand. Jaidee @ 16s would have been tempting but all the juice is gone from the prices.

Have backed Cabrera Bello @ 60s and Aphibarnrat 35s. It's a it of shot in the dark tournament.

Pebble Beach

Ryan Palmer shows no signs of letting up. 25/1.
Aaron Baddeley 100/1 Always good for a decent finish in tournaments early season and has some good form in the book.
By:
Catch Me ifyoucan
When: 11 Feb 15 23:17
Breaking News:

Tiger Woods taking leave of absence, will return 'when ready' !

In a statement Tiger says he's taking an indefinite leave and could return at Honda Classic or possibly closer to the Masters...
By:
callitasucit
When: 11 Feb 15 23:59
Everything does be a sea of blue by Wednesday Apple. Plenty shortened, and very little lengthened.
By:
applehunter
When: 12 Feb 15 00:06
I missed the boat.

Between Oosthuizen, Willet & Tiger the last month I'm slow to get involved with delicate golfers. That interview with Alex Noren after his 2nd place in Dubai did not fill me with confidence.
By:
callitasucit
When: 12 Feb 15 00:10
Yeah, sounded a bit like he didn't expect a long healthy run. Very modest sort though, maybe just trying to not tempt fate.
By:
Kelly
When: 12 Feb 15 08:05
Michael Hoey flying the flag (?) early .  8 under . Will be 1st round leader , where it goes from there is anyones guess .
By:
applehunter
When: 12 Feb 15 16:07
Added Kevin Streelman 85s and Kevin Chappell @ 110 to my lineup for small stakes. Streelman contended here in 2012 and Chappell is one of those young players that could make breakthrough soon.
By:
frank60
When: 12 Feb 15 21:44
65   -7   for john daly HAPPY FOR HIM.
By:
huddys
When: 12 Feb 15 21:48
Ye delighted for big John aswell Frank,hopefully he can keep up the good work,
By:
callitasucit
When: 12 Feb 15 22:20
Marc Warren struck the ball very well again this morning, continuing his rich vein of form. Having recovered nicely from a poor start, he really should have been another couple under par, the putter just letting him down late on. I expect to him to reverse the result of the first round 3 ball later on tonight. 7-4 is perfectly acceptable for him to do so.

3pts Marc Warren 7-4 3 ball.
By:
Catch Me ifyoucan
When: 13 Feb 15 12:13
A nice wedding present perhaps ? ...hope my boy KARLBERG's first round 72 doesn't cost him too dearly at the end.
A 73 for Mick's Fungi followed by a 65, more like sweet 'n' sour than curry !

THE WHOLE WORLD IS HAPPY FOR.....big JOHN 'Just Grip it and Rip it' DALY !
http://www.golfchannel.com/news/doug-ferguson/daly-trails-att-leaders-one-after-best-start-10-years/?cid=twitter_cen_A_JOHNDALY1BACKATT
By:
Catch Me ifyoucan
When: 13 Feb 15 19:44
THAI 3 balls while we sleep.....must pick a few of these ?

    01:25        Anirban Lahiri (11/10)        Brett Rumford (13/5)        Jorge Campillo (3)   
    01:35        Thomas Bjorn (6/5)        Julien Quesne (13/8)        Matt Ford (7/2)   
    01:50        Kristoffer Broberg (6/4)        Maximilian Kieffer (6/4)        Steve Lewton (11/4)   
    03:05        Marc Warren (5/4)        Emiliano Grillo (7/4)        Arjun Atwal (15/4)   
    03:15        Shiv Kapur (6/4)        Berry Henson (15/8)        Rattanon Wanasrichan (13/5)   
    03:25        Peter Uihlein (6/4)        Prayad Marksaeng (2)        Andrew Dodt (12/5)   
    03:35        Prom Meesawat (11/8)        Adrian Otaegui (9/4)        Mardan Mamat (5/2)   
    03:45        Richard Green (6/4)        David Lipsky (15/8)        Jason Knutzon (7/2)   
    03:55        Rafael Cabrera Bello (13/8)        Romain Wattel (13/8)        Jbe Kruger (13/5)   
    04:10        Nathan Holman (11/8)        Chien Yao Hung (5/2)        Sam Brazel (5/2)   
    04:20        Alexander Noren (11/8)        Rikard Karlberg (9/4)        Jeung-Hun Wang (13/5)   
    04:30        Wade Ormsby (6/4)        Gregory Havret (2)        Carlos Pigem (14/5)   
    04:40        Johan Carlsson (7/4)        Michael Hoey (7/4)        Matthew Baldwin (21/10)   
    04:50        Thongchai Jaidee (11/8)        Scott Hend (2)        Tom Lewis (3)   
    05:00        Kiradech Aphibarnrat (6/4)        Miguel Angel Jimenez (13/8)        Richard T Lee (3)   
By:
Catch Me ifyoucan
When: 13 Feb 15 22:40
FYI this lady calls it like she's sees it...

Bret Baier (Todd Hamilton): Host of Special Report on Fox News.
Rubens Barrichello (Tim Petrovic): IndyCar driver.
Harris Barton (Greg Owen): Former offensive lineman for 49ers.
Bill Belichick (Ricky Barnes): New England Patriots head coach
Chris Berman (J.J. Henry): ESPN anchor
Matt Cain (Matt Bettencourt): Pitcher for San Francisco Giants
Carson Daly (Tim Clark): Television host and personality
Tom Dreesen (Ken Duke): Stand-up comedian
Josh Duhamel (David Lingmerth): Actor
Jackie Flynn (Joe Durant): Actor and comedian
Kenny G (Aaron Baddeley): Musician
Andy Garcia (Webb Simpson): Actor
Wayne Gretzky (Dustin Johnson): Former hockey player (whose daughter, Paulina, is dating DJ)
Jim Harbaugh (Jason Day): Head coach of the San Francisco ’49ers
Oliver Hudson (Brendon Todd): Actor
Charles Kelley (Tommy Gainey): Musician
Brian Kelly (James Driscoll): Notre Dame head football coach
Joe Kernen (Retief Goosen): CNBC News anchor
Huey Lewis (Brad Fritsch): Musician
J.P. McManus (Padraig Harrington): Renowned sandbagger and Irish businessman and racehorse owner
Gary Mule Deer (Andres Gonzales): Comedian and musician
Bill Murray (D.A. Points): Actor
Chris O’Donnell (Camilo Villegas): Actor
Jake Owen (Kelly Kraft): Musician
Condoleezza Rice (Jason Bohn): Former Secretary of State and one of the two first female members of Augusta National Golf Club
Andy Roddick (John Mallinger): Former tennis player
Aaron Rodgers (Jerry Kelly): Quarterback for Green Bay Packers
Ray Romano (Erik Compton): Actor
Tony Romo (Jordan Spieth): Quarterback for Dallas Cowboys
Darius Rucker (Jim Furyk): Musician
Charles Schwab (Rod Pampling): American businessman and investor and the founder of the Charles Schwab Corporation
Kelly Slater (Patrick Cantlay): Surfer
Heidi Ueberroth (Luke List): President of NBA International
Justin Verlander (Robert Garrigus): Pitcher for Detroit Tigers
Clay Walker (Jeff Maggert): Musician
John Westwood: Lee Westwood‘s father (and yes, Lee and John are pro-am partners)
Jerry Yang (Chris Stroud): Taiwanese-born American internet entrepreneur, the co-founder and former CEO of Yahoo! Inc.

- See more at: http://www.weiunderpar.com/post/att-pebble-beach-pro-am-pairings-and-celebs-harbaugh-condi-gretzky-more#sthash.rFfs0daj.dpuf
By:
callitasucit
When: 14 Feb 15 14:08
Hard to get a grasp on who is where Stateside until after tonights round, but Brandt Snedeker is certainly in a good position.

Patrick Reed and Jimmy Walker will be looking to make moves tonight, and 1-2 & 4-7 both look decent bets to oblige I their respective 2 balls.

4pts Double Reed 1-2 & Walker 4-7
By:
Catch Me ifyoucan
When: 14 Feb 15 23:47
Spiethless should have been closer to the lead... (don't mention the 18th ffs).
By:
applehunter
When: 15 Feb 15 12:00
Andrew Dott...pick that one outConfused

Jaidee left that one behind him.

Aphibarnrat secures the EW stake without too many DHs.Happy

Can anyone bar top 4 get involved tonight?
By:
callitasucit
When: 15 Feb 15 12:16
I thought Noren was going to have a big say in it through 12 today. The 13th was the end of them thoughts!!

I had planned on backing Jaidee last night, so dodged a bullet there.

Very hard to see past the top 4 tonight, though at the same time, you could talk yourself into laying the lot of them if you wanted! Furyk has forgotten how to win. Snedeker has not been in the mix for awhile, and that may cost him. Jones finished very poorly last night, and that was only Saturday. And Watney was very tame in the finish last Sunday. Much to my annoyance.

Can back lay them at 2-11 combined on here....

Hudson Swafford looks a standout bet in the 3 balls today. Not quite sure how he is chalked up at 9-4 tbh. JB seems to be recoiling from last weeks efforts, and I would nearly make Swafford fav for this.

3pts Hudson Swafford 9-4 3 Ball
By:
applehunter
When: 15 Feb 15 12:50
Is the 2/11 a manual lay or is there one click option.

Got the link?
By:
callitasucit
When: 15 Feb 15 13:14
Manual. At current 'to lay' prices.
By:
Catch Me ifyoucan
When: 15 Feb 15 19:56
BYE BYE WATNEY
By:
Catch Me ifyoucan
When: 15 Feb 15 21:27
SENIORS in NAPLES, FL.
Michael Allen 16’s
Bart Bryant 40’s
By:
Catch Me ifyoucan
When: 15 Feb 15 21:29
Bart joint leader with Lee Jansen at -15 two to play (par 5 and 4 finish).
By:
Catch Me ifyoucan
When: 15 Feb 15 21:31
NOW one ahead with birdie.....BART only 10 under today !
By:
Catch Me ifyoucan
When: 15 Feb 15 21:33
Bart Bryant on 18.....Lee on the par 5 17th
By:
Catch Me ifyoucan
When: 15 Feb 15 21:34
Monty 3 behind playing 17th
By:
callitasucit
When: 15 Feb 15 21:37
Some choke from Perez. 5 under through 8, then bogeys 3 out of next 4. Looked to have a right chance of winning....top 6 looks doubtful at this rate. Pup.
By:
Catch Me ifyoucan
When: 15 Feb 15 21:53
LOOKIN good BART (-10 today, in the clubhouse, leader by one from Jansen on 18th) on the Golf Channel Devil
By:
Catch Me ifyoucan
When: 15 Feb 15 21:56
10 ft putt for palyoff for Lee
By:
Catch Me ifyoucan
When: 15 Feb 15 21:56
*playoff
By:
Catch Me ifyoucan
When: 15 Feb 15 21:59
Double for Michael Allen on 17th cost him (& me) 5th.
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