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dinglemick
19 Nov 14 12:21
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Date Joined: 30 Oct 06
| Topic/replies: 762 | Blogger: dinglemick's blog
The Willie Mullins Winter roadshow moves to Fairyhouse today .... 9 winners since Saturday ominous for the months ahead !!! ... First 3 races all winnable for him again today and Gigginstown have taken out the elliot one in the bumper which might be a tip in itself for his first time out one Arkwrisht ... As Lapsy flagged up in another thread he had a huge amount of top entries for this.

Barney O Hare has been prone to try land a few doubles in his time and could be up to the same tricks again with Bank Man 2.05 and Special Bar 2.35 .

I thought It s High Time 1.20 Hexham could beat the favourite .....looked very good first time over hurdles around the track a few weeks ago . I historically like to follow cheltenham bumper form in first season novices and this fella ran a very creditable 8th .....

So we ll see how the Willie and Barney show goes today !!!! Good Luck
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Report pa lapsy November 19, 2014 12:39 PM GMT
Afternoon Dingle, tis scary stuff alright,you can imagine block entries of a dozen or so for some of Leopardstown Christmas meeting.
Betting went towards Mullins in the first in the last few minutes.
Best of luck with your picks>
Report tony57 November 19, 2014 12:43 PM GMT
anyone got a view on KNOCK BEAUTY 3.05? back over hurdles on a favourable mark, but its fto..im not sure wether to play or not I would appreciate others views..
Report pa lapsy November 19, 2014 12:58 PM GMT
Left the race alone myself Tony,i do like her but ran poorly after breaks before, Triplets Joys 2nd to Mrs Mc Veale looks good after yesterday,and Mallards in Flight also ran well last time, O'Hare has one in it as well. Trappy i thought Tony.
An in by the wall place on Blue Bicycle in the next my only bet today,GL.
Report tony57 November 19, 2014 1:02 PM GMT
thanks pa..im worried about fto record..as you say..was the only bet bar dallas cowboy..but that's a n/r now..
Report dinglemick November 19, 2014 1:06 PM GMT
Big fan of Tyner yard myself Tony ... Been banging in plenty of chase winners in the last few weeks ( 4 i think ) .... worry i suppose is its having its first run back and didn t show much in the past 2 seasons when having its first run .... It is a bit of a punting yard so the machine before the off will probably best tell you
Report dinglemick November 19, 2014 1:10 PM GMT
Wildmans theory had some merit in the first ... Waxies hammered all day  .... the bumper betting close to the off could tell a lot aswell
Report Ozymandius November 19, 2014 1:13 PM GMT
Betting went towards Mullins in the first in the last few minutes.

Thank heavens, at first I feared the Combined Forces.
Report Ozymandius November 19, 2014 1:15 PM GMT
Seems like the Mullins stable is getting more dominant season by season. The races are pathetic processions at times.
Report pa lapsy November 19, 2014 1:22 PM GMT
Way i saw the betting in the opener was Meades was backed from roughly 3.7-2.9 and drifted out to 3.4 at the off, the "backed all morning" isn't wrong, then so was Mullins went from roughly 2.4-1.95 with 2.1/2 to odds on in the last few minutes,personally i can't make head nor tail of it,both were fancied to the exclusion of everything else.
Report huddys November 19, 2014 1:31 PM GMT
Waxie  was priced up at 9/2 by powers pa,id say that was office money that shortened the Mullins horse on course,
Report tony57 November 19, 2014 3:00 PM GMT
thanks dinglmick, on the drift bigtime..so no go for me..
Report tony57 November 19, 2014 3:11 PM GMT
market got it right..p/u
Report pa lapsy November 19, 2014 3:34 PM GMT
The 15/8 for a place on Capacon looks wrong with Aengus at 3/10,Aengus would be entitled to come on for that run but it twas still only a length. Always 3rd place but probably fighting for that with Oscars wan.
Report tony57 November 19, 2014 3:47 PM GMT
meads battled great pa..little pony to the fav
Report pa lapsy November 19, 2014 3:51 PM GMT
Couldn't believe the place betting Tony,only a length between them last time and Capacon was slightly hampered,race worked out nearly exactly the same with them. Arkwright a lovely looking horse and travelled very well,think he will come on for that.
Report easygold November 19, 2014 4:38 PM GMT
Arkwright, looks a dodge-pot............ that was money not well spent .......... we will see ........ but I will be surprised if he makes out to be a decent horse.
Report tony57 November 19, 2014 5:25 PM GMT
I think it was a touch disappointing easy but dodgepot?..jesus what price was he turning in..hes a big thing! also may need more time..i wouldn't write him off, and the winner is ok tbf..
Report dinglemick November 19, 2014 5:42 PM GMT
Good Shout Lapsy .... Willie should pack it in only 2 winners today Laugh .....
Report easygold November 19, 2014 5:57 PM GMT
Regards to betting Tony, I make an early decision on horses and I have done well with my analyzing. Trainer,Owner are top guys,but I have seen a lot of duds by these guys too. War Correspondent reminds me of one.
U know this horse is going to be a short-price next time, and although I don`t touch odds-on shots singles I would advise others to do the same with this fellow.
People get easily swayed by Patrick Mullins, he is a bridle jockey and is a poor jock to regards to pace went coming from behind. He has a great % riding from the front with horses firs-time out but when they are held-up forget about it the amount of horses he has failed to win on from behind is staggering. And the in-running guys who backed then are penniless. The Layers are happy. Even though he rides plenty of winners on the best horse, his hold-up tactics are very poor regards to the style he shows and the price according to the way he rides at the business end (4f-2f) and then when push comes to shove suddenly goes from 1.05 out to 100`s is quite common

Going back to this horse in question, they crawled for the first 12 furlongs, and soon the pace quicken the head went like a rocking horse, they are awful signs to see in a horse, they rarely lose that motion..
Report pa lapsy November 19, 2014 7:03 PM GMT
Thanks Dingle, poor day alright for him,as far as i,ve seen Livelovelaugh and Childrens List (both Ricchi) are the most touted,probably see them thrown in a few more bumpers before they run,might be right with Arkwright and mightn't be that good,not sure previous Aengus form would say he's special. Two Giggys potpots beaten now for Mullins in the last week.
Report Slabster November 19, 2014 7:18 PM GMT
Bellshill running tomorrow. I've heard he's among the best of the Mullins bumper brigade this season so it will be interesting to see how he goes. Likely danger Attribution, ran well in a Punchestown bumper and is now trained by Henry de Bromhead. This Gigginstown's first horse with HDB?

Bordini, who was just behind Bellshill in a point, looked very good at the weekend.
Report tony57 November 19, 2014 7:39 PM GMT
easy its all about opinions and you may be right, your make a fair point, i'm not one of patricks fans..the truth is if he didn't ride for his father who would he ride for?..but this horse imo can't be wrote off on one run?..I watched the race again and its obvious Patrick thought he had more left..he stopped a furlong out , after they quickened up..your right,  theres a old saying..if you want to get a good horse beat go a slow pace...and as you have mentioned Patrick holding the horse up instead of making it may have been part of the reason the horse found so little,..the other is he may just be a slow..but before I write him off I,d want to see him again..as ive said you may be right..
Report easygold February 14, 2015 10:47 PM GMT
He goes tomorrow Tony........ odds on maybe...... off the track for a while...... it will be interesting if he has progress since Fairyhouse (i.e when push comes to shove and how the head-carriage is in motion)
Report Catch Me ifyoucan February 14, 2015 11:43 PM GMT
Easy,

Well, on the basis that your right at 5.57pm (about Arkwrist "a rocking horse") I consider 4's for TUZO a great bet.

Arkwrisht (5/4), Cogryhill (4), Tuzo (4), Thatshowhedidit (6), Free Stone Hill (12), Sarwistan (12).....
Report Catch Me ifyoucan February 14, 2015 11:44 PM GMT
*Arkwrisht
Report Catch Me ifyoucan February 14, 2015 11:45 PM GMT
And someone tell Dessie he's not ArkRIGHT !
Report pa lapsy February 15, 2015 1:45 PM GMT
I,m not backing Arkwisht Easygold(a bit short) not sure i could dismiss him as a rocking horse though,i thought he was a bit clueless when asked to go between horses and very likely would have done better that day if kept on the outside imo,an interesting watch today all the same.
Report easygold November 12, 2015 1:05 PM GMT
A rocking horse......... Mmmmmmmmmm first impressions last
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