Irish Sports
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03 Jun 14
11:45
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26 Jul 12
Anyone got any stats as to how many of his horses that have gone off odds on this season have been beaten?
Maybe its just more noticeable because he trains them but seems to me a fairly high percentage and i'd imagine the AOB layers have been in clover thus far.
Maybe its just more noticeable because he trains them but seems to me a fairly high percentage and i'd imagine the AOB layers have been in clover thus far.
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You would be in the poor house alright...
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APO'B has had 16 odds-on runners this year yielding 10 winners.
Level stake loss at SP of €2. An Actual/Expected of 0.94 In terms of his horses that have been favourite or joint/co favourite: 52 runners, 21 winners. Level stake loss at SP of €5.38 An Actual/Expected of 0.91 |
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The grass grows green.
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Would have to be worried if you have gone all in of derby fav now...
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Keeping in mind that there's a soft-ground Gp1 winner in the field, I'm not sure Australia should even be favourite.
If that rain arrives I could see it going off odds-against for a place, let alone to win the race. |
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considering AUSTRALIA is not a miler, and the guineas form is superb, no doubt will have enough speed to beat the rest of them.
sure will go off under 6/4 or a bonus will be anything over that price at SP. |
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Rightly or wrongly, what happens to APOBs squad in tomorrows Oaks will have a big bearing on what price Australia opens at, and to a lesser extent, starts. I can certainly see 2-1 being offered early Sat morning. If Marvellous flops, then a 9-4 or bigger carrot may be dangled to small stakes. I cant see him going off that big, the Ballydoyle Battalions will surely smash into anything approaching 2-1 on the day. I for one will be backing him once he gets to 2-1.
And I expect Marvellous to win first. Got a couple of quid on her at 13 as she past the post at the Curragh. I would obviously rather Moore on both, but you pays your money and you take your chance..... |
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She looked the first beat that day Callit , so a very taken performance ...Not as sure as some of her getting home at that trip , still you got the value and good luck with that bet...
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are you listening
 good winner in ireland tonight ANTHEM ALEXANDER, got this info from good source. one for the notebook |
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got this info from good source
The results page? I think she will be fine WR. A lot of Derby and Oaks winners prove better over 10fur, she may prove no different, but class can get them home, once they not patent non stayers. She will certainly be better over 10 fur than a mile, so 12 fur should be within her compass, and breeding suggests it could be her optimum. She was only getting home at the end of a testing mile at the Curragh, and was at her most impressive at the line. If Joseph can avoid a horror show, I think she wins. |
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I'd be worried about her been able to hold a position from the off , if she drops out early she just might have trouble getting a position on entering the straight , and with 17 runners that's possible ..In all fairness Joseph rides Epsom well imo so no problem there ..More of a worry is her been able to hold her position which is vital at this track ...Hanagan wont hear of defeat for his filly , a very interesting race to ponder , I will be betting minimal amounts if getting involved ....Once again I wish you well with your bet...
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results page is the most informative guide to finding winners, as has been proven time and time again. ANALYSIS OF WINNING TIMES
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Cheers WR. As a Guineas winner, I would be surprised if she cant slot in nicely. Though the 17 runners is obviously a worry for a few reasons.
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Speaking of Epsom, the O'Meara beast in the listed race looks like prime nap material at 11/10, in against 5 failures, should be easy pickings
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Another shortie stuffed
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