Irish Sports
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05 May 14
18:23
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24 Mar 05
The big boys are back, i look forward to the excellent comments , one of my fav tournaments. goodluck to all and lets hope some of us make a profit.
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Ye agree with you frank,great tournament all the big guns out this week,cant have any of the top four in the betting this week tho,they don't win enough between them,cant have Phil or Rose either after their terrible final round's yesterday,
1st selection is Luke Donald,i know people will say he's another guy who doesn't win enough either,but he's a good track record here,last three years has been 19th 6th and 4th,Has had a good season so far without winning three top 10 including a 2nd,so at 25/1 6 places think Luke is a cracking e/w bet, 2nd selection is Dustin Johnson who has been in cracking form this year in 8 events has been in the top 5 five time including a win so at 50/1 worth a few quid e/w 6 places,i know he hasn't got a great track record here,but at the price he's worth another chance, best of luck this week lads, Selections. Luke Donald e/w 25/1, Dustin Johnson e/w 50/1, | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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That 50/1 on DJ looks very good.
Schwartzel @ 70's looks good as well. | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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Hoping for a change in fortune this week.
In the last 4 weeks, Jonas Blixt has been second at 300-1, Luke Donald second 25-1, and Phil somehow managed to not even reward e.w support with a horror round on Sunday. When taking first look at this on Sunday, 3 prices leapt off the page, Stenson at 28s, | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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Hoping for a change in fortune this week.
In the last 4 weeks, Jonas Blixt has been second at 300-1, Luke Donald second 25-1, and Phil somehow managed to not even reward e.w support with a horror round on Sunday. When taking first look at this on Sunday, 3 prices leapt off the page, Henrik Stenson at 28s, Luke Donald at 33s, and Zach Johnson 50s. All seemed to be very big, especially the latter two. I missed the price on Luke and Zach, but 28s and 40s with 6 places still seemed more than fair. Firstly, my main fancy Luke Donald, really looks cherry ripe for a win. Finally coming to grips with the changes he has been implementing, the experience under pressure in his unfortunate second to Matt Kuchar two weeks ago, will stand him in good stead going forward. He hit a couple of wayward drives, which ultimately cost him victory, but other than that he produced a top class round of golf, and he really does look to be approaching his best again. When at his peak, he is a very consistent performer. A fine track record here, its very hard to see him not contending. Zach Johnson had a blistering start to the year, and his form had tapered off to an extent. Understandably so. But he produced quite an eye catching 4 rounds last week, and he comes to a venue where his tee to green excellence can propel him to a challenging position come Sunday. 50s was an insult, 40s perfectly backable. Its only 5 months since Henrik Stenson looked unbeatable. He too has had changes to his game, mainly his bag. But he has been showing sporadic signs of his brilliant best in recent weeks, and where better to put it all together than at one of his favourite venues. He announced to the golfing world that he was going to be a force once again on this stage a year ago, and it doesn't take much imagination to see him going 4 better this year. Again its his tee to green game which can see him on the Sunday leaderboards. Sergio Garcia could and probably should have won here a year ago. But his hatred of Tiger, general petulance, and lack of balls prevented him from doing so. Its no coincidence that it was in 2008, when Tiger was an absentee, that he took this title, and with Tiger once again a non runner, he may be the one to take principal advantage. His game has looked in superb order in the last 6 months, his mind seems in a better place, and if Kuchar can win so can Serg!! One from left field is Roberto Castro. An opening 63 projected him into the limelight last year, a limelight he wasn't ready for. He went belly up with a 78 on Friday, but to his credit performed admirably over the weekend to finish inside the top 20. He showed definite signs of life last week, and will come here a confident man. 175-1 underestimates his chances, and with 6 places, it is definitely worth a tickle. As is the 11-2 for another top 20 finish. 1.2pt e.w Luke Donald 28-1 1.2pt e.w Sergio Garcia 25-1 1pt e.w Henrik Stenson 28-1 .7pt e.w Zach Johnson 40-1 .2pt e.w Roberto Castro 175-1 3pts Roberto Castro Top 20 11-2 Running Total +32.75 On a side note, bookies seem to be treating golf markets the same way as on course bookies do the Grand National market. Nothing drifts, and anyone that they take a few quid on is cut. I went into PP yesterday morning, had €120 e.w Luke at 28s. Before I left the shop, less than 5 minutes later, he had been cut to 25s. They were not cutting to fall into line with others, as Corals were actually going 33s at the time, I just preferred the extra place. Oddschecker is typically a sea of blue every Wednesday, but that seems to happening earlier and earlier now. For an event as big as The Players, surely they can accept a few grand on players before taking out the axe?? Best of Luck everyone | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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Another great week of sport to look forward to, here are my picks:
Luke Donald 22/1 The two lads have summed up Luke's chances very well above and there is not much I can add to it. Hopefully he can go one better for us than he did @ Harbour Town. Jim Furyk 30/1 In excellent form in recent weeks highlighted by his fast finishing 2nd place last week. Furyk's neat and tidy game suits this course well and has finished 3rd and 4th here in the past. Ian Poulter 66/1 Probably a player I back too often but everyone has one player like that. T20 @ Augusta showed his form might be about to turn the corner and 2nd place here in 2009 showed a liking for this course. Freddie Jacobson 110/1 In decent form last few weeks withe top 30 finishes in his last six events. Also finished T10 here in 2010 and should put up a respectable showing. John Senden 150/1 In good form last few weeks highlighted by 2nd career win @ Valspar championship. Has a reputation for playing well on the tougher courses and good form this year should ensure a strong showing. good luck with your picks. | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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Sorry, also backed Ben Crane. Not a fan of the lad in general, but he consistently seems to find form from nowhere when he arrives at Sawgrass, and at 175-1, with 7 places, its worth taking the chance he again finds himself spurred on to a high finish here.
.2pt e.w Ben Crane | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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i just had a tenner on Ben at 330/1 Callit [here on the exchanges]theres still 40e left if you want some of it m8.
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brian davis an outsider you put up before Callit has also got a fiver of my hard earned at 950/1, i will trawl through some of the more serious players tomorrow. ty for your tips lads.
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Dustin Johnson 50/1 fill your booots
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Foley you can have 70/1 on Dustin johnson here, and if your so sure Dustin will win you will have enough left over to fill your slippers as well.
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phil blew hot and cold last week but showed enough to make him a bit of value at 30+
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keegan bradley @65
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Have to go with Bubba , 40 on here . Different animal this year as evidenced by his consistency . Not sure how this course stacks up for lefties though , some of the "figures" people may know more about that .
A player who is performing better than his odds is Goosen , hanging around in a lot of tournaments recently without rattling the leaders , but we all know if he hits a putting streak he can go low . Not a tournament for serious punting though , the 17th can throw wobbles into the best card . Just a few bob on for interest , its not titled the fifth Major for nothing . | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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Players CHAMPIONSHIP (in Irish time)
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WATCH LIVE.....
http://pgatour.cbssports.com/live/ | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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Zach (yet to have a par thru 8 on the back nine) and Spieth (remember him) for me so far.
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Zach all over the shop!! Could go either way. Though very promising how he is putting. If he starts playing par 5s better, he will be around for the weekend.
Luke appears to be very poor off the tee. Disappointing. | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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-6 for SERGIO
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Sharapova through. Murray out of Madrid.
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Could be a Nadal/Garcia w/end.
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Honda Classic Winner Russell Henley clubhouse leader (by 2) at -7.
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Spieth at -5 playing his final hole - 9th, par 5.
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Wind getting up for the later starters.....
Keegan Bradley, Webb Simpson, Blixt just out with other big nanes like Stenson, Furyk, Snedeker, Scott, Fowler, Stricker, Watney, Mahan, Poulter, Howell, Kuchar & Bubba still to go out. | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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PHIL 150/1 - 5 places ?
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Wouldn't touch him catch,
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The last hole-in-one made on No. 17 was by Miguel Angel Jimenez in 2002.
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Kaymer back to his best . Scoring very good all round even though greens are not as good as normal .
Traded out on Bubba ( and also on Kaymer ! too soon ) . Some punters caught a cold on the 1st round leader market , 2 grand on Henley at 1/4 , plus other smaller . Didn't see Kaymers 63 coming in the afternoon . Great viewing though . | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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Great round by Kaymer , nice guy as well. good luck with your bets Kelly.
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Some big scores, from some big names. Kaymers round must be a candidate for round of the season so far.
Sergio is still right in it, Zach hanging in there after a colourful card, and Stenson can hopefully take advantage of an early tee time tomorrow. But if Kaymer can keep his head, and obviously his form, this could be blown apart by tomorrow evening. I rarely re load before the weekend, as things can look a lot different after 36 holes than 18, and discarded bets can suddenly look full of promise. And when I have players in contention, I generally don't bother. Also I cant remember the last time I have backed a day one leader after 18 holes, as quite often they have had the best of the conditions, and the field can compact by Friday evening. But waiting until Saturday could mean this particular ship has sailed, and Kaymer looks a cracking bet at 6.8. Of the top 28 players, only 8 of those had afternoon tee times. For the German to produce a 63 was incredible. He gets out early tomorrow, seems very much at ease with his game, and wont shirk a challenge. Yes it has been awhile since he hit the lollipop first, but he has bottle aplenty. It can be hard to back up such a great round, but I would be surprised if the former world number one doesn't knock in a 69 or better tomorrow. Given most of the chasers, and big names, in behind are out in the afternoon, and that only 8 afternoon starters today shot 69 or better, its not hard at all to envisage the German having a 4 shot lead or more by cut time. So I'm getting on before this Bismarck leaves the port. 4pts win Martin Kaymer 6.8 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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fully agree callit , did my own prices and made kaymer around a 3/1 chance , switched on this morning and couldn't believe 6/1 , i've piled on but you know golf will we look stupid later tonight
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Thats the great thing about the exchanges , patches , there will nearly always be people on either side prepared to take a stance . The bookies used to be like that , but they are all ruled by bean counters nowadays .
While I backed (only) 3 players --Watson ( mainly) , Goosen and Kaymer for a small interest , didn't see Martin springing a 63 . Interesting to see if he can keep up the gallop . | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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Some of today's times.....Kaymer already -1 thru3 holes.
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There were a total of 522 birdies made yesterday, the exact same number as last year’s opening round.
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Its only 5 months since Henrik Stenson looked unbeatable. He too has had changes to his game, mainly his bag. But he has been showing sporadic signs of his brilliant best in recent weeks, and where better to put it all together than at one of his favourite venues. He announced to the golfing world that he was going to be a force once again on this stage a year ago, and it doesn't take much imagination to see him going 4 better this year. Again its his tee to green game which can see him on the Sunday leaderboards.
Added at 40's (just birdied 10th - his first hole today) | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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.....and another bird on his second hole.
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Spoils still 1/4 - 5 places !
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Just jumped on the board the Sang Moon Bae and Bill Haas train too.....33 & 25's as morning starters.
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Current 84 players at E or better.
....with the likes of Donald +1, Snedeker (at +2, -1 thru 2 today), Poulter (+2, E thru 1 today), Mickelson +3, Scott (+4, -1 thru 2 today) & Holmes +4. All have work to do ! | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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Cabrera get's it to -5 (-3 thru 4 - started on the back nine today).
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