Irish Sports
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18 Apr 14
11:00
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09 Dec 09
has to be Magic Florence in the 2.10 at Musselburgh @ 9/4.
This filly knew her job first time out, broke alertly, cut out much of the running for a long way but faded close home. So it is debatable if there will be much if any improvement from first to second run imo.
While at first glance the form of her debut fourth might appear strong on paper with the 2nd and 3rd having gone on and won since, if one delves a little deeper, one can see that it might not be as good as it looks with flyball running a shocker at Newmarket just the other day. The Brocklesby this year imo wasn't that strong a race and the form is quite suspect imo.
With a few well bred newcomers in the line up as well as one of the most visually impressive 2 year old winners this season in the line up, this has the makings of a big, big lay imo.
This filly knew her job first time out, broke alertly, cut out much of the running for a long way but faded close home. So it is debatable if there will be much if any improvement from first to second run imo.
While at first glance the form of her debut fourth might appear strong on paper with the 2nd and 3rd having gone on and won since, if one delves a little deeper, one can see that it might not be as good as it looks with flyball running a shocker at Newmarket just the other day. The Brocklesby this year imo wasn't that strong a race and the form is quite suspect imo.
With a few well bred newcomers in the line up as well as one of the most visually impressive 2 year old winners this season in the line up, this has the makings of a big, big lay imo.
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Strange discussing racing on Good Friday.
A very dangerous lay. I don't know how you can say Cheerio Sweetie was " one of the most visually impressive two year olds " she won an All weather Lingfield median auction maiden.She certainly knew her job first time out,doubt much improvement there. She is by Captain Rio who's progeny need soft ground now running on good to firm. Magic Florence debuts in the Brocklesby Conditions Stakes at Doncaster a seventeen runner race on soft ground. She is by Zebedee so chance she will prefer the better ground,her form is far superior to me. The two fillies are the only ones with racecourse experience but there seems no confidence behind the colts. |
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It hard to assess how strong the form of Cheerio Sweetie's win was as none of those in behind have ran since.
Agreed she looked to know her job but same can be said for Magic Florence. To my eyes at least any 2 yr old that wins a maiden by 9 lts is above average in my book be it at Lingfield or wherever else. Could easily see her bouncing out, making all and leaving them for dead, unless one of the newcomers is above average and there seems to be a bit of money for Casterbridge in it now also. |
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Would you worry about the ground?
There is one hell of a difference between the Brocklesby and a Lingfield Median auction maiden. |
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Magic Florence looks a decent bet to me.
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Wouldn't be overly concerned about the ground, most who act around Lingield handle good to firm perfectly well and her action that day didn't scream out to me that she was crying out for cut in the ground.
This years Brocklesby was nothing to write home about imo, form is very suspect in my book. |
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wildmanfromborneo 18 Apr 14 12:42
Strange discussing racing on Good Friday. A very dangerous lay. I don't know how you can say Cheerio Sweetie was " one of the most visually impressive two year olds " she won an All weather Lingfield median auction maiden.She certainly knew her job first time out,doubt much improvement there. She is by Captain Rio who's progeny need soft ground now running on good to firm. more winners on G/F .. |
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good call
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Thanks tips.
Only other worthwhile play today is backing Grandeur 5.20 Lingfield. A serious bet at 9/4 imo. |
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I hope I didnt put you off Snap although I doubt it as you were so confident,well done.
Now if I could only get your thoughts on Irish racing...... |
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Thanks wildman, had a fairly strong view on the race, so played it in accordance.
Nice looking card in Mallow tomorrow! |
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well played snap.
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Good shot Snap,weakened again close home as you said on the tin.
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Well done Snap,
Great to see some confident selections obliging and it's pleasing to see that the completely unprovoked attack on you has not deterred from sharing your thoughts. |
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what are you on about dj..compleat unprovoked attack..?were are you bagdad?..ffs..this place is full of ****..
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Excuse me Tony,
I do not want to be accused of being a member of the grammar naz1 but I really struggle with that the "Scouse English" and could do with an interpreter: What does this mean please:"were are you bagdad" |
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 funny dj..its what it says what is this compleat unprovoked attack? its sounds like a war zone? |
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That really suits you dj,cop on to yourself, the horse WILL win and 10/11 was a great price,neither was a true as you well know and well out to boot, i said it after and what i said was only the truth,and if i ever said a statement that was out like that,i could only hold my hands up and take it. No selection should EVER be said it will win. Get off your pedestal.
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I just think it's incredibly harsh to make your point 30 seconds after the race, it seemed you could not wait to get the boot in at an opportune moment.
We all express ourselves differently and Snap's colourful and confident language has to be taken with a pinch of salt, he does not mean it literally but I thought we were all aware of that at this stage. |
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So you do,do you? Not quite sure it was 30 seconds but make up whatever suits you,your mindset is trying to maintain i was sticking a boot in,again whatever suits you to paint the worst possible picture, i read his post and objected to the word WILL,thats why i posted what i did, and it was just the truth.
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Burtonwood in the 5.15 at Nottingham is a marvellous big lay at 11/10 in my book. His form is very ties in with the Brocklesby form, form which I will be looking to oppose at every opportunity. Seemed to know his job fairly well first time up at Leicester, could see him cutting out much of the running but being collared close home.
Zaeemah 7.15 Nottingham. Backed this at evens this morning. Only a matter of going down and coming back to collect I'm reliably informed. |
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Fiercely competitive action at Mallow and Fairyhouse today.
Will be looking at the 2.05 at Musselburgh for the main play today. Where Echo of lightning is a great bet at 9/4 imo. |
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Nice one again ,Snap. Well done. You really know your flat racing.
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Thanks santry. Won nicely.
2 plays today. Abseil 1.50 Yarmouth can't for the life of me see this getting turned over. Still a flaking good bet at 8/11 in my book. Lawyer 3.00 Yarmouth. Value at 5/2, had made him a 7/4 shot at best in this race. Doesn't have much to beat. Is very much on an upward curve with plenty of well exposed and harshly handicapped horses in the line up against him. Could make for a tasty double with Abseil also. |
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Longshadow 2.45 Redcar is a real good bet at 7/2 also. If it runs to within half a stone of its Pontefract run won't see another rival. Couple of dubious enough stayers in this line up too.
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Good start snap well done
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fair play, welld one snap..drifted like a barge one bet of 4000?...well done, I backed lawyer a few times last season, the worry is the yards horses normally need there first run..but hope your right again.
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lawyer's sire acclamation, you only want to backing those in 5/6f races, has 36% strike rate, drops down 23% for 7/9f. WD with abseil
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A nice little Trixie for a Tueaday:
Freedoms Light 5.55 Yarmouth Global leader 8.15 Wolverhampton Whispering star 8.45 Wolverhampton For those inclined to favour hitting the pink button more often, think Golden Steps 4.55 is a corker of a lay at 11/8 |
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whats your views on lawyer? was it the trip ? you said it was an improver, thats on my notebook list, and so was the winner SHYRON
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Don't think the trip was the issue. Had won well over 7f previously. Travelled like the best horse in the race for most of it, thought he got caught flat footed a furlong out and was staying on again at the finish once he found his rhythm.
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