Leopardstown

im on PLINTH,carnt see why mullins horse will turn it around,DON COSSAK @13/8 is a bet for me,and depending on the price I will back the mullins bumper runner atm @11/8,some good novice hurdles @Exeter with 2.25 a decent race, im with TIQRIS @7/2

Have had a decent e.w bet on Quel Esprit in the Hunters at 4s. Massive price imo. I doubt they will see which way he goes.

Feb 9, 2014 -- 2:20AM, callitasucit wrote:

Have had a decent e.w bet on Quel Esprit in the Hunters at 4s. Massive price imo. I doubt they will see which way he goes.

Only cos he'll have unseated his rider after the 1st

mullin says in rp preview quel worked badly in punchestown last week so be carful.

max Id take anything Mullins says with a rather large pinch of salt, that could just as easily mean Quel is the biggest certainty of all time, virtually everything he says comes with a cautionary note.

Very Good Mr. M

I thought Lyreen Legend ran a cracker in the Lexus, considering it was his first time out of novice company and first run of the season.He was beaten a little over 8 lengths by a Gold Cup winner which is solid form. He has more potential for improvement than any other horse in the race and I expect a good run.
Tammys Hill is the value in the hunters chase. I like the fact that a top jockey is on board because he jumped badly the last day. With a clean round of jumping I expect him to be much closer and hopefully ahead of On the Fringe (who could suffer from the dreaded "Bounce")There are a couple of former top class performers in the race but it is debatable whether they retain their old ability.

1.15 - Plinth probably should win this, will back chance orgiglio bay who looks over priced
1.45 - Tudor fashion e/w bet
2.15 - Have backed tullow tank for cheltenham and think he will win today as well, should be odd on today imo
2.45 - no bet race but have a feeling ruby might nick it from the front
3.15 - the might milan a very big price here
3.45 - not a big first lieutenant fan,no bet for me but would probably go with tidal bay if pushed
4.15 - On the fring a terrible price imo and will probably lay him, expect tammy hill to reverse the form
4.45 - very tough race, fentons might win this

On The Fringe certainly seems very short to me. Its not the first time he has been over hyped before a big assignment.

I think First Lieutenant would be a certainty on good ground, but todays surface takes a bit of class out of it, and the war of attrition element into it. Ruby being back on board Tidal Bay is obviously a massive plus. I am still sore about the Welsh National!!

Small fields in the big races the order of the day it seems , first a match , O'briens or Mullins  ..The match makes it no easier , Willies lad will be all the better for that Naas win .AOB'S got first run on him the last day they met  I think Ruby was too confident and was caught sleeping , having said that  Plinth after making a hash of the last won going away ..So a tough call between the pair , who said this game was easy ...The grd 1 nov is something similar , with TTT v VAUTOR been the main protagonists , some on here seem to think Quickpick is a danger to both , can't see that been the case myself ..Willie has a line through M .P with  TTT so must be fairly confident , again its begs the question , whoever said this game was easy ..We moves on to the best N/Chase this season so far imo ...Full of intrigue , all three having a massive chance , Don Cossack finally put to bed any doubts one might have had about him with his gutsy win the last day . Ballycasey full of potential after a smooth Navan win at a distance too short for him .Willie held this fellow in the highest regard and viewed him as his best chance at Cheltenham last season , sadly for me and to my cost he was withdrawn on the morning of the race ..Carlingford is a horse thats been there done that , more like a hardened h/capper than a novice , his win last time been very impressive , the question is , will he be as effective dropping back in trip ...I will be laying Ballycasey ...Enjoy the day ...

I still think Ivan could turn out to be a massive price post race.

Sailors Warn interests me decent hurdler in the past and showed a modicum of promise on his comeback, might be more forward today?, so might risk a small few quid ew on him.

1.15 Ivan Grozny put in improved run at Naas and I think will win today.
2.15 I will follow The Tullow Tank until beaten and I dont think it will be today.
2.45 Good race despite only 3 runners but trip and ground in Don Cossacks favour.
3.50 First Lietenant to finally get a big one.
4.20 On the Fringe a crazy price and I think Tammys Hill is good value.
4.50 A competitive bumper . Take a chance with Volvalien.

Good Luck all.

why is on the fringe a crazy price?..on its form its entitled to be fav.add in nina and its a fair price

Actually fancy Tammy's hill to reverse the form with O T F Tammy's lost a good bit of ground at start at d/royal last time no bet yet and not sure either will win race having a decent bet on mullins in the 1st and take it fron there ballycasey looks a bet also

Opinions are what it is all about but for me On The Fringe at 5/4 in a very hot race that 3 live dangers in Quel Esprit,Tammys Hill and Pandorama and a few live outsiders as well is a crazy price win or lose. I thought Tammys Hill seemed to be ridden as if he only had Salsify to beat at Down Royal and will be better today. Plus the fact On the Fringe is a horse there has always been a lot of hype about.

A proper racing thread , long may it continue ..Lets keep it that way , Opinions is what its all about , good afternoon gents ...

texas jack for me in the big one, a carberry special landing just in front right on line

yes im really looking forward to the hunter, looks a cracker..not sure wee my pin will drop yet?

Quel esprite looking like a good e/w bet

it is lay time today

race 1  lay guitar pete
race 3  lay quickpick vic
race 5  lay lyreen wonder
race 6  lay quell esprit  and top up with a place lay as well
race 7  lay on your eoin.

money for old rope.

Any opinion on the Tullow Tank KL?

I can give you positives or negs about the tullow tank, footie....end of day danny mullins at 11/10 in a grade 1....can win on his own steam.......look if you want a bet go through the menu on louth v laois.....-1 5/4,-2 7/4, -3 12/5....that should collect unless louth implode.

Plinth has a good engine but not a natural jumper.
I'd keep him for the flat henceforth.

Plinth didn't jump a hurdle. Still managed to confirm form with Ivan. I think that puts paid to the silly prices on Ivan for the Triumph.

Dodgy start for the lays

Fair point KL Cheers

very disappointing the 2 of them imo..as has been said plinth carnt jump, and the mullins horse may just not be good enough? although I will always forgive one bad run?..is the winner good enough to win the triumph?won well enough there to be fair!

Tiger Roll ran well on only his 2nd start, was been ridden a fair way out - looked a stayer
I see he has a decent half brother Ahzeemah (by Dubawi) who has shown he's a high class stayer on the flat

Im happy with my Le Rocher docket anyway. Saw nothing there to be remotely worried about.

that going is not heavy guys unless the first race was a furlong shorter

carnt belive the nicholls horse wins so easy@exeter..i backed it the last twice and it through in the towel when looking all over the winner,this game just boots you in the balls

a master class of a ride by ruby!

Yeah, we'll miss him when he finishes for sure. Great ride, knew exactly what he had and didn't give the horse a hard time over the last few as he knew the Tank wasn't going to lay a glove on him.

Louth Implode LOL

really think Ballycasey is a massive price  3.2 on the machine ....The only reason Don Cossack beat Carlingford Lough the last day was McCoy hit the front too soon and horse idled  ( which he admitted ) .... I fancy Ballycasey out of the way here ....

Agree Mick, gone in as well

laid the Don, fancy one of the two will beat him I should say

nice call dingle

There's your RSA winner boys

wd Dingle

Delighted with that. 25s for Sun Alliance looking nice. Superb leaper.

Mullins is due another Gold Cup horse.

He has 3 of them potentially and all owned by Ricci. Unusual he's not there today.

The **** must be hitting the fan again over DJ, working on a Sunday!!

Baily Green drifted significantly before the off and ran like the drift suggested! Well done winners, Vautour and Ballycasey very impressive.

slabster only seen your post now but that is 6 unplaced efforts outa 6 for baily green at leop

ballcasey surprised me, found plenty..welldone to all who backed the mullins pair.

what a ride from Robbie mac!

I don't know Tony, nearly got the best horse beat imo. If On the Fringe pings the last, or Tammy misses it, he would have got beat. Delighted he got him up, but wouldn't be giving him any awards.

It went 10's in running and was travelling really well which would lead you to think that the layers thought McNamara had it badly positioned. I was thinking of backing it then but assumed he'd gotten out of his ground, he was 4.8 in another second and the chance had gone.

thought robbie mac gave it a great ride also ... was struggling to get it settled during the race missed the second last didn t panic held on to him ... nice price 9/1 powers earlier in week ....

Wasn,t that a funny thing for Robbie Mc to say after being brought in on Tammy's Hill," I,ll be making it 3 from 3 in the minute". Obviously talking about Vigil in the bumper,fair bit of confidence there or heat of the moment after Tammy?
WD winners,there are a good few of ye.

hope he s right lapsy backed ew last night at 5 s .... i hear the mullins one is fancied though

Hope so too Dingle hit the button at 5/2 before he said the second 3.

piece of work that

WD Robbie Mac,wouldn,t doubt ya.

Fair play to you Old Pa!

hadn't heard the jock say that...went laaarrgre when you relayed his comment

wow nice horse welds..screwed me..i had a decent bet on the 2nd..weld got 2 for the festival?

as John Mccrirrick used say Lapsy " They Knew "

yes pa, im sorry to say I was already on!no complaints ran well enough..

ozy surprised ye had anything left after laying guitar pete and then tanking louth at all them fancy prices.....

Wasn't out of the scratcher in time to lay that first one, Dickie.

Only a small interest on Louth given the 'implode' caveat.

Yeee..hawww!

no disrespect to welds owner..but what the **** was he saying?couldn't understand a word!

hows things rich?

ATR could do with subtitles for some of these Hoss Folk.

no sometimes country folk in Ireland are hard for the likes of me to understand..but he would be hard for any of us!

Good night then Ozy I wish I'd have stayed in bed for the first, but a great day's racing overall. Possibly the best NH day of the year we have here.

not bad tony,just got in for the last few at leop,ballycasey nice win for his 2nd time over fences,was at navan the day he won his beginners,beat ned buntline that day,will be interesting to see where they go with ned buntline?

yes bally impressed me, don had no answers to him today,..close but no cigar, move on tomorrows another day,gutted I missed Robbie mac tho..I had already backed mullins this morning..so that was that..

Don Cossack has always been a ****, but why do I get  the feeling there will be a flood of late money for Ivan Grozny come Cheltenham?

sil did his gargle money on ivan.he was warned but he knows it all and now its a conspiracy.ivan is like the kildare footballers,looks good but sfa under the bonnet!

watch this space ratfingers.

some 1 buy sil a pint,ffs!

Was surprised Ivan was beaten myself but did someone not say something this evening on either ATR or RTE that the horse was found to be distressed after the race

Was surprised Ivan was beaten myself but did someone not say something this evening on either ATR or RTE that the horse was found to be distressed after the race

Was a bit distressed myself but had a very good day afterwards. If LI gets to Cheltenham fit and well will be very difficult to beat. The class horse of the field.

In all fairness richters have never seen ya tip up a horse on here all ya seem to see is you giving out about this that and the other nothing about horses

my bad olt....ye havent read much of the forum then OLT...

Que?

did ye get confused which username ye were logged in as oz?that post seemed very premature....

Not really after about 10 odd pints of carlsberg which I hav to say were delightfull haven't really seen much of ur contributions ( thank feck for spelling ) to horse racing it's more  arugementive  than positive

Was expressing my surprise in Spanish, Manuel-style, at your latest assertion, dickie.

what assertion was that you speak of ozy man deuce?

The one preceeding the 'que', Dickie. Even a man of your intellect could figure that out, shirley?

BTW what is everyone's views on AP's UR on Carlingford Lough? It's as soft an Unseated Rider as I've ever seen

I said the same thing yesterday after watching it live , I might watch the replay to see if there were any mitigating circumstances ...

I've watched it a few times Workrider and you could say that the horse didn't even make a mistake. If it was any other jockey, I think we'd be hearing a lot more about it!

Just going to watch it now Childofmine , will get back to you in a mo...

As i thought yesterday , a soft fall , I was of the opinion he was coming to win his race , I'm even more sure now , less than a length off the winner with that hill to come ....

The horse got squeezed and hit the rail on the side of the fence.

Without the benefit of the head on i can't really see that Wildmanfromborneo , he might have been tightened up alright , but cant see him hitting the rail ..A P earlier before turning in had the option of going on the outside but refused and decided to sneak up the inner ..Which in fact cost him the race imo...

Cooper received a 6 day suspension for causing interference.....which resulted in McCoy being dislodged.....having looked at the race again.....it was no fault of McCoy's.....and it was far from beat also.....

I've seen the head on and imo, there was very little interference. They showed the head-on on RTE racing and if you go to their RTE Player, you can watch it again. As I said, it was as soft an unseated rider as I've ever seen.

best horse won

The horse and/or the jockey hit the wing of the fence and hit it quite hard and the head-on I saw showed the wing vibrating to quite a degree and no doubt contributed to the unseat. I would not blame BC for it as AP was trying to come up his inner and very many horses veer off straight lines when jumping fences anyway. IMO the winner would have won regardless.

It was blatant interference......why do ye think Cooper got 6 days.....the stewards have a lot of angles to look at.....and they deemed that the interference warranted a 6 day ban.....and its baffling how anybody can say Ballycasey would definitely have won.....Carlingford Lough is a good horse in a finish.....and any horse that can run down Morning Assembly is plenty capable in a struggle......