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keen leader
07 Feb 14 20:34
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Date Joined: 05 Feb 02
| Topic/replies: 634 | Blogger: keen leader's blog
in the naas bumper tomorrow, it is obvious that gigginstown will win it. might not be much between the 2 they have entered no more heroes and milsean and I can see a morning price of 1/1 and 11/10 sort of affair.

In the past it have been a marked trend that gigginstown will pull out one of the two before racing...in fact it happened with don poli and no more heroes at navan in December.

in the event of one of them being pulled out, the market would be the gigs rep 1/3 or less grand partner 3/1, 10/1 bar.

however if you risk backing the 2 gigs in the morning and say take evens on both.....if one is a non runner, then with at worst a 45p rule 4, you still get 8/15 on the remaining runner.....the 2 giggs run, you get your money back with either winning.

could be another chance to exploit the rule 4 to your advantage if things pan out as outlined.

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Replies: 8
By:
allways collects
When: 07 Feb 14 23:22
I know your good and have a very valued opinion on here, but if you think your going to get 1/1 on No More Heros your BONKERS !!!
By:
timberman
When: 08 Feb 14 00:10
are we not keen to lay milsean after last time?
By:
paulie wallnuts
When: 08 Feb 14 08:22
always collects......its you are the one who is bonkers.....if he's not evens he will be very close to it......there is no way he will be worse than 4/5.......
By:
Mr Mischief
When: 08 Feb 14 09:17
Powers have opened 10/11 NMH, 5/4 Milsean
By:
allways collects
When: 08 Feb 14 10:16
They must be listening to you timberman 15/8 on here at the mo, paulie wallnuts you could be right but if i were you, with the big drift on milsean i would be taken as much 10/11 as you can get..
By:
wildmanfromborneo
When: 08 Feb 14 10:47
A Navan bumper winner against a Leopardstown one
A Willie Mullins bumper horse against a Gordon Elliott one
One going up in trip another coming back
One by Milan the other by Presenting

The last point is about the ground,Presenting dont like it that deep.
When No More Heroes won in Leopardstown Gordon Elliott told all that Fort Worth was far superior,he got beaten out of sight.

39 lengths is a long way but Bosman Rule was second,,it was a poor bumper.

Milsean is sweet enough for me.
By:
frankalsoran60
When: 08 Feb 14 22:07
A very good example of what K.L. was on about happened in the race below,


Southwell (AW) Result
28 Jan 2014
« 2:20 » CORAL APP DOWNLOAD FROM THE APP STORE SELLING STAKES
(Class 6) (4yo+) 1m4f Standard
£2,264.15, £673.75


RESULTRATE RACE

              HORSE/SP    AGE    WGT    TRAINER/JOCKEY    OR    TS    RPR    

«    1 3          Stand Guard 1/80F     10    9-5     John Butler    87    *    *   
Tom Queally
        

«    2 4    1      Bix (IRE) 20/1    4    8-3     Alan Berry    44    *    *   
Jordan Hibberd7
        

2 ran TIME 2m 46.90s (slow by 11.90s) Total SP 104%
NON RUNNERS: Aureate, Conducting, La Estrella (USA)
1st OWNER: Maxilead Limited BRED: Juddmonte Farms Ltd TRAINER: John Butler
2nd OWNER: Alan Berry
TOTE WIN £1.02
There was no bid for the winner.

la estrella was the evens fav with the winner but was withdrawn 15 mins before the race, with the rule 4 comeing into play Stand guard if you were quick payed 1/2,.. i was slow on the uptake and a few mins later the bookies changed there odds on the race..stand guard won at the above odds of 1/80.. Sad
By:
dj876
When: 09 Feb 14 00:03
Thanks for keeping us informed Frank,beware of the Don C.
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