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winsamsoon
11 Jan 14 17:28
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Date Joined: 08 May 10
| Topic/replies: 741 | Blogger: winsamsoon's blog
Saints +10 @ Seahaw;s 20/23
Patriots -7  v  Colts    20/23

I think Seattle should see off the Saints but might not cover the 10pt handicap in the pissing rain. The Saints were better than I expected last week but need to step up again but against a fully fit Seahawks will  probably come up short.
While Andrew Luck was super-impressive last week he will never again play against a defence as open (Vernon Kay would have thrown for five TD last week). By default the Pats who have not been as impressive this year as others are going to be back in the conference finals next weekend.
I won't be nailing anything this week but this double will hopefully put us back on track after last weeks rollercoaster defeats.
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Report Mr Mischief January 11, 2014 7:31 PM GMT
Saints moneyline @ 7/2 is proper value in a 2 horse race. Seahawks overrated and too much is being made of their home record. Drew Brees should not be 7/2 against anyone at this point of the season. Also Brady can cover that spread by himself in the other game.
Report mr phantom January 11, 2014 9:09 PM GMT
Just back from a few days away so not had much chance to give this weekends games a proper view yet.

I backed Saints plus 10.5 points and under 56.5 total points special price double at 10/11. I think the Saints can stay in this and learn from their mistakes when last visiting Seattle. Weather conditions will not be hardly conducive for points hence my reason for doubling.
Report mr phantom January 11, 2014 11:02 PM GMT
Saints defense have stepped up unfortunately the offence have not. Brees putting in a similar display to his first half against Philly. Missed field goal sums the offence as a whole.
Report mr phantom January 12, 2014 12:50 AM GMT
What a bonehead play from Colston at the end there. We just got there on the handicap but final result was a fair reflection. As for the 2nd game tonight its a no bet game for me. I initially wanted to be with the overs and Indi getting points but the weather is wet and cold which again could curtail points, and Brady is used to such conditions. As I don't like going against what I felt initially, I am leaving this game alone and wait till tomorrow.
Report walllace007 January 12, 2014 1:19 AM GMT
I've gone heavy enough on blount for patriots to rush +70 yards. With the wet day I expect the patriots to rush the ball a lot and colts are poor at defending the run.. Really fancy this 10/11
Report walllace007 January 12, 2014 1:14 PM GMT
Good profit for all yesterday it seems...
Any fancies for this evening lads?
My main bet is ive taken Boldin to receive less than 62.5 yards for the 49ers at 10/11. Crabtree is targeted a lot more these days as Kap seems to like throwing to him. Vernon Davis is there to share the load too and i expect him to be a lot more prominent than in Green Bay.

I was on the stanley jammes website and there is an error. Frank Gore to rush for less than 70 yards is 10/1 whereas over 70 is 4/5 or something like that, i assume this has to be an error. The most they would let me put on is 45 euro but still.. My bet is placed maybe if it comes to paying out it might be a differnet story. Still anybody with an account should get on..
Report punkha1 January 12, 2014 2:09 PM GMT
Just a warning to people I placed a winning 1st TD scorer bet last night with these that scored a second and as such was entitled to Double the Odds under their NFL special only to be informed today AFTER the event that I no longer qualified for such bonus.
Considering I have received similar bonuses in the last fortnight & wasn't informed that I wasn't eligible for such offers to suddenly tell you after the event is incredibly poor form imo.
Report punkha1 January 12, 2014 2:10 PM GMT
that's with PP obviously.
Report Distant View January 12, 2014 2:20 PM GMT
Not a chance that Stan James will pay that out.

It is surely meant to be 10/11 and that is what they will pay.
Report ACE JACK DOUBLE SUITED January 12, 2014 2:39 PM GMT
Well done winsamsoon
Report walllace007 January 12, 2014 3:24 PM GMT
Distant view, it will be interesting to see what happens if the bet comes up as i think it might.. Does the punter have a leg to stand on in these situations??
Report Distant View January 12, 2014 3:26 PM GMT
I very much doubt it. It is a clear case of the horrible palpable error that they lean on. If they make silly mistakes they should be held accountable.

The only recourse is IBAS I suppose and that organisation may well not exist as far as the punter is concerned.
Report mr phantom January 12, 2014 5:16 PM GMT
Congrats to all winners last night seems we all made some money. Especially winsam as I know last week was close but not quite the cigar. Nice bet on Blount Wallace I only seen your post after the game had started. He was also 5/6 for anytime touchdown but alas I left it alone.

Again looking forward to tonight's games. I am siding with the 49ers in the first match up. My decision basically comes down to the fact that i feel they just have that little bit more on the offensive side of the ball. Both defenses are excellent, probably just give Cam the edge over CK but Crabtree, Davis, Gore and Boldin is what I believe will give the 49ers the slight advantage here. It is a pick em and could not argue with anybody fancying Carolina either but I just feel they might be a year or two away yet, and in Jim Harbaugh I feel the 49ers have the edge on the touchline. Going to back the 49ers on moneyline at 10/11 and also some of the 6/4 on the 49ers to win by 1-13 points. I will post feelings on later game in due course.
Report walllace007 January 12, 2014 7:40 PM GMT
My Boldin bet is up in smoke almost, he's a big game clutch player, i should have left him alone in hindsight.. Great game 49ers started bad but looking better now. I hope they can complete the job..
Report winsamsoon January 12, 2014 7:48 PM GMT
WD lads. I hope the Broncos win well tonight and I'm going to be all over Brady to take down Manning next weekend.
Report mr phantom January 12, 2014 7:58 PM GMT
Yeah I was thinking that wallace, guess that 16 probably does it. What you fancy in late game winsam? Just about to have a look at markets now but I am thinking points and possibly SD keeping within the handicap.
Report winsamsoon January 12, 2014 9:16 PM GMT
Broncos to win 7-12 4/1 Lad if I had to have a bet.
I couldn't call this one, holding my powder til next week. Not a fan of the Broncos, but Manning could do anything, throw 400yds tonight, 100 next week.
Report mr phantom January 12, 2014 9:27 PM GMT
I am finding this game difficult to call also so keeping stakes to a minimum. I have had a small interest on SD plus 11.5 points and total to go over 54.5 points at 2/1. Main bet is Demaryius Thomas anytime TD at 5/6 and for smaller interest Ryan Matthews anytime TD at 7/5. Thomas had alot of success in AD in the first meeting of these sides scoring a hat trick of TD's. Of course this was not repeated in second game but 5/6 is a fair price. Ryan Matthews scored a TD in both previous meetings and has impressed me anytime I have seen him. As I said small stakes as more for interest.
Report mr phantom January 12, 2014 9:27 PM GMT
*SD not AD
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