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workrider
10 Jan 14 19:42
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Date Joined: 29 Jun 02
| Topic/replies: 33,232 | Blogger: workrider's blog
If it survives an inspection , and i think it will , there is money to be made tomorrow with a couple of tasty bets imo...Up first is SI C'ETAIT VRAI ...After its last run surely worth a good bet , he has been highly tried all season , and should finally get his reward for his consistency tomorrow ..We then move on to Elsie 2.55 ..Again another who has been plying her trade at a much higher level , she ran out a game winner against Shesafoxylady only to lose it in the stewards room , having ran against the likes of Don Cossack , Wicklow  Brave ,in the not to distant past , i'm sure she will be right there at the business end tomorrow and at the f/c 6/1 atc site is a great e/w shout ..Add in the fact shes a course winner ...Good luck all punters...

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Replies: 88
By:
tony57
When: 10 Jan 14 19:47
I,ll follow you in with ELSIE wr..but great racing this side of the pond..im sweet on TWINLIGHT..and the tolworth is a cracker..i think my doe will be on GARDE LA VICTOIRE,that,ll be me tomorrow best of luck mate..
By:
workrider
When: 10 Jan 14 20:14
Thanks Tony , haven't looked at the UK races yet , trying to concentrate on making a few quid with the little i know of my own racing...Hoping to get over in april for a week , won't make aintree i'm afraid , tracks i'm hoping to visit from 21th to 26th include , Redcar 21 , Kelso 22 Newcastle 24th  Doncaster 25th  Haydock 26th  ..Hope to see you one of the days ..I'll be staying in York...
By:
tony57
When: 10 Jan 14 20:16
I,ll find you..haydock only 20 mins away..
By:
tony57
When: 10 Jan 14 20:18
I just think TWINLIGHT will have too much for these(if he stays)thought hes been im pressive this year.
By:
workrider
When: 10 Jan 14 20:20
Will have a look at the race soon and get back to you about Twinlight.....
By:
workrider
When: 10 Jan 14 20:32
Tony , he's stepping up in class , if he's to stay he'll never have a better chance today at kempton ..Hes a good jumper , and is progressing very well and has done all that's been asked of him this year ...I think he'll come up a little short today and at around 2/1 i'd be a layer rather than a backer ..Good luck with that ...
By:
tony57
When: 10 Jan 14 20:38
he may be stepping up in class wr..but the rest of them look on the way down to me..his jumping will help..my only worry ie if he stays..
By:
tony57
When: 10 Jan 14 20:39
11/4 with pp..
By:
slickster
When: 10 Jan 14 20:40
He'll need to stay very well if he's running TODAY, and i presume, tomorrow!!!
By:
tony57
When: 10 Jan 14 20:47
jesus just been on rpv..mullins has only a 5%s/r with his chasers this side of the water in the last 5yrs!CryShockedthat's a dreadfull stat...
By:
slickster
When: 10 Jan 14 21:10
Good memory wildone. In fairness, anybody in the game not knowing how to spell one of the greatest ever trainers name should be ashamed of themselves. How was your dinner?
By:
neill d
When: 10 Jan 14 21:57
Probably because they are only running in the top top chases I'd say Tony. Twinlight is probably the best two miler in Ireland bar Flemenstar and maybe Arvika.
By:
paulie wallnuts
When: 10 Jan 14 22:31
I will follow you in too wonks ......6/1 elsie looks very nice odds.....id say a bit of that would be ok.....the only thing is that you would have to tiger kidnap a bookie.....to get that price.....
it could well be fav wonks.....and if its anywhere near 6/1.....I will retire.....
wouldn't mind laying twinlight at 2/1 either......might be difficult though.....
By:
wildmanfromborneo
When: 10 Jan 14 22:53
Why not just give us your own opinion Paulie.
it looks a match to me,Pink Hat is back a half mile in trip and is ridden by Patrick Mullins two major negatives for me but the form of the Clonmel maiden hasn't half been franked by Theatre Bird even some of those behind Pink Hat have run well since,throw in the fact that Pink Hat was given too much to do and we may have a nap.
By:
workrider
When: 10 Jan 14 22:57
Paulie as i said , I took that from the ATR site , I would bite their hand off for that kind of price ..Still around 3/1 will do ...
By:
Bigwillystyle
When: 10 Jan 14 23:13
How much in hand has tyners horse in 3rd race. Must have 30 pounds at least.  Probably a run around tomorrow though!
By:
keen leader
When: 10 Jan 14 23:15
racing is a game of opinions, with a little inside info always a help.

I am going to be the polar opposite to some of you.

think si c'etait vrai is a bit of a monkey and meades will easily see it off with carberry back on board

and I am going to oppose all of the mullins shorties tomorrow. vautour is absolutely no 1/3 shot on form, nothing wrong with harringtons or fahys in that race in terms of form, vautour may win, it is no penalty kick having won a maiden with most of the runners tourists at navan.

I think the days banker is captain chris, a top ranker at this trip on a right handed track...2/1 is a gift, I would be shocked if twinlight came close to bothering it.
By:
easygold
When: 10 Jan 14 23:53
Hi Neil, Hidden Cyclone wud be ahead of Twinlight in my book, and if C.Chris or C.Court run their race he will struggle.
By:
frankalsoran60
When: 11 Jan 14 00:24
lucky15.... sunwild life 11.55 ling,captain chris,mulllaghnoe river,mr fiveyone,...time to oil the wheels on my wheelbarrow.Tongue OutTongue Out
By:
neill d
When: 11 Jan 14 00:27
You could be right there Easy, I'd kind of forgotten him. HC is one that has always been a bit strangely campaigned. The way he travels suggests they might just have belatedly found his best trip. I'd say that run in the Paddy Power might have made a man of him as well.

One of the RP lads Jennings is very high on Twinlight. Wouldn't be one I'd think is necessarily wanting the trip but Mullins has always seemed positive about him. He's been brought along slowly and I don't think they'd want to be cashing out on him yet by sending him over for a hard time if he wasn't up to it.
By:
The Gotchee
When: 11 Jan 14 00:32
I am going to go against you workrider in the mares hurdle. The best hurdle form on show is Dantes Firth. Last time out she finished second in a maiden hurdle to The Cookie Jar (beaten 3 lengths giving 13 lbs) who had previously finished 3rd in a Grade 3 hurdle at Down Royal. It was Dantes Firth's first run over hurdles and she jumped like an old pro.(sure to come on for the run) I know some in the race have better bumper form but they will have to be on top of their game to beat DF now that she has a run under her belt. She is a solid E/W bet at about 6/1
By:
easygold
When: 11 Jan 14 00:35
I know David, he is an o.k judge but could be a bit bias here, the trip is a massive neg... the pace will be solid t/out and not hiding place for him. He looks an out and out 2 miler and I can see him drift in the market t/out the day. Best of luck anyway if your playing. Keep well
By:
The Gotchee
When: 11 Jan 14 00:35
If you can get 6/1?
By:
neill d
When: 11 Jan 14 00:42
Thanks Easygold, won't be backing him with all the negativity over the trip but I've a feeling he will win a 2 mile Grade 1 somewhere along the line.
By:
huddys
When: 11 Jan 14 01:42
Done  Trixie for tomorrow Glens Melody 13/8,Rathvinden 15/8 and Galician 2:35 lingfield 15/8,will get the better prices if they go out,best of luck tomorrow lads
By:
callitasucit
When: 11 Jan 14 01:48
I was very much against Glens Melody the last day, but think she is a cracking bet tomorrow. Different class of event altogether. I would expect her to win on the snaff.
By:
Santry
When: 11 Jan 14 06:29
The two that I like are Glens Melody in the first at Warwick,who looks a class apart and will have trip and ground to suit and Mullaghanoe River in the first at Punchestown-had a few decent horses a long way back when 2nd to Sizing Gold at Navan and Carberry back on board a big plus . Good Luck all.
By:
callitasucit
When: 11 Jan 14 08:43
5-1 on Aegean Dawn in the 12.25 K
By:
callitasucit
When: 11 Jan 14 08:45
5-1 on Aegean Dawn in the 12.25 Kempton looks a steal. Beaten only through lack of stamina on his last oting, he steps back down to a more suitable 2m4f today. His last outing was over hurdles, but although falling on chase debut, he has always looked every inch a chaser. Running again off 134 today, there is certainly nothing in this field with anywhere near his scope. With his well being ensured, he has to be backed.
By:
silvergreaser
When: 11 Jan 14 09:24
Nothing really standing out at Punchestown screaming back me, though might have a few quid ew Whisper Rock 2.55P, showed some ability in 2 bumpers (Elise behind 2nd time) before running a nice 2nd to a newcomer at Limerick over xmas.

Pink Hats form has been boosted by Theatre Bird but I always feel if a Mullins horse makes its debut at the likes of Kilbeggan in the middle of the summer its not one of his better ones and might prefer better ground, at around 12/1 small ew Whisper Rock.

I'd be loathe to oppose Vautour with anything, his immediate victim who he beat hard held and had previous good form has since hosed up at Fairyhouse.

Going to concentrate most of my bets across the water.

McMurrough 2.50W
Don Pooleoni 12.45W
African Gold 2.25W
River Maigue 2.40K
Deep Trouble 3.50K

and going to combine the above 5 in an ew L31.

Hey Big Spender loves Warwick (previous winner of todays race 2012) think Tizzard might have been aiming him for this race, at around 14/1 well worth a stab ew.

Soccer Accum:

Huddersfield
MK Dons
Brentford
Rotherham

Good Luck!.
By:
huddys
When: 11 Jan 14 09:40
Ye Callitasucit Glens Melody looks a great bet today,its my nap of today,River Maigue looks a great e/w bet aswell in the lanzorate,
By:
callitasucit
When: 11 Jan 14 09:43
River Maigue should love the step up in trip. Competitive heat though, with a good few improvers in it.
By:
workrider
When: 11 Jan 14 10:36
I would be very reluctant to take such a short price on Hughes in the first , thought it would have been around the 7/4 mark tbh , and with both Willie and  Noel having a strong hand its price has become uninviting ....
By:
Swardean
When: 11 Jan 14 10:58
I respect Aegean Dawn, but think that Toby Lerone may be improving fast.   I know the stable rate this one and was still going ok until an unusual blunder in a 43k race LTO.  Ground and trip ideal and I think is still very well handicapped.  GL
By:
tony57
When: 11 Jan 14 12:28
welldone to all who backed glens melody..didn't fancy it myself..went with the 2nd..but welldone..hope your wrong kl..about twinlight?..but I did say my worry is if he stays..and I backed it before I knew that stat!Scared..best of luck lads...wr have a good day..
By:
Ozymandius
When: 11 Jan 14 12:47
Thank You, keen leader.

You Sir, are, A Prince among Thieves!
By:
Swardean
When: 11 Jan 14 12:50
WD winners, would have won a street if hadnt been hampered or ploughed through the second last
By:
punchestown
When: 11 Jan 14 12:56
Well Glens Melody punters,I suppose giving weight away to all on that ground not easy.
By:
kingrat
When: 11 Jan 14 13:50
yeah ,i will be following kl on capt chris.the horse is top class.cheers and gl.
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