Irish Sports
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Really think this fella is worth a good punt each way today at 4/1 .....I know a lot will be put off by the fact that he has to beat a 2/11 shot in Blood Contil but I would price it more 1/2 and 7/4 ....
Lapsy what way would you price it ?
Castle Wings was quietly punted the last day in limerick and will love the ground and the other 5 in the race look dead wood to me ?
Looks a massive free each way bet to me and could just topple the willie Mullins hot pot
Lapsy what way would you price it ?
Castle Wings was quietly punted the last day in limerick and will love the ground and the other 5 in the race look dead wood to me ?
Looks a massive free each way bet to me and could just topple the willie Mullins hot pot
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What bookie will lay you each way in this race?
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Dinglemick , I seem to remember this lad smashing through a few fences during his early days , would need to improve in that department to trouble Blood...
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Castle wings 3 lenghs second to The Paparrazi Kid looked a very good run. An e/w bet to nothing, though I would prefer to see Jane Mangan on board.
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1/3 and 5/2 Dinglemick,Blood Cotil is around a stone better on hurdles ratings and be no surprise to see him 2 stone better on chase ratings,he seems a fair bit above him in class.
Ground isn,t going to help you Dingle,though the fences might particulary in the straight as they take some jumping hence long odds on in a begs there is a brave mans bet, with a clear round can,t see him beat and he seems to jump hurdles well. Idea is good in general but not sure is the make up of the race right (7 runners in beginner on a tough jumping track though accept you are right with it should concern the 2) All the same really think you are relying on a mishap to the fav and that could happen to Castle Wings as well.Maybe a dutch of two of the rags for a place at around 5/1 could be the way to play it? |
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an alternative look at this race. powers are betting without 2, ie the race between the rags
they bet as I write our Ollie 2/1 leap dearg 7/2 merry in Moscow 7/2 trixiebarry 7/2 west council 7/2 the odds suggest an element of "haven't a clue", and gives the punter a chance. crunching through the form figures, leap dearg has shown nil and looks useless. trixiebarry is a maiden pointer, will never be accused of winning a race and returns from an injury, again no chance. this reduces the game to 3....west council has a hurdles mark in the 90s as a result of a few mid div finishes in hurdles on soft early last year. first run over fences, but jumped very badly in 2 point runs. off since October, wouldn't dismiss, unlikely. our Ollie...a maiden,fell in only point, a fair 2nd in a maiden hurdle at Sligo in 2012, returned before Christmas when finishing in own time when 3rd of 3 to un de sceaux at thurles, that run could have helped fitness, might want better ground. still a chance. merry in Moscow...the only previous winner of the 5 of any sort of race, winning a point in 2010, and also 2nd in a winners point that same season, can jump fences. 2nd in track bumper on heavy same season. parked up with injury, likely a leg for 3 years and back this winter...ok runs over hurdles at naas and here 5th to azorian. no show last 2 runs. the positives, jumps, acts on ground, fit, yard in good form, track form...negs, past injury, last 2 runs.....still on the overall basis I make him the best of the quintet. I would price the without 2 at merry in Moscow 11/8 our Ollie 9/4 west council 4/1 lamh dearg 10/1 trixiebarry 25/1 so the value is most certainly in merry in Moscow at 7/2 at current prices. |
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That analysis deserves a winner Keen Leader , no bet for me , but i'm sure your followers will follow you in in droves ..Good luck with that bet...
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Well done mick, thanks, that's my type of bet
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GOOD STUFF DINGLEMICK
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Good shot,Dingle.
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If you keep doing the right things, you get the luck I guess!!
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Well done Dinglemick , great call .....Lets keep these kind of threads going...
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Yeah well done dingle, as always with these beginners chases you can often get the double whammy with the ew bet to nothing, don't back in these type of chases as a rule myself.
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well done lads.with dingle wr pa and tony tipping winners the forum has taken a turn for th better.!!
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Any boookie will tell you they hate bets like this, there well may be a couple tomorrow at naas and southwell[ depending on non/runners] for e/way thieves, well done dingemick.
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