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callitasucit
30 Dec 13 16:06
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Date Joined: 27 Sep 11
| Topic/replies: 5,332 | Blogger: callitasucit's blog
After a couple of weeks break its good to have the golf back. And there seems to be a couple of good bets to be had.

Harris English may not yet be a household name, and as such his price of 22-1 may not jump off the page and scream value. But I think English is going to have a big year in 2014, and he can kick off by stating his intent this week. A debutant here, this is of no real concern, as he should be ideally suited to the wide open fairways. He comes into the event in cracking form, having won his last regulation event, and then along with Matt Kuchar took the Shark Shootout.

Players like Kuchar, Dusty Johnson and Webb Simpson have obvious chances, and no doubt at least a couple of them will give their supporters a run for their money, but they don't win nearly as often as they should, and certainly not often enough to warrant an investment at less than 10-1.

On the other hand, English seems to move into a different gear when he gets a whiff of victory, and considering his current form, its not hard to see him being right on the premises.

Because of my lack of faith in those others close to the head of the market, I have also backed Adam Scott e.w at 6s(since gone, but 11-2 still worth backing). Scott has been in superb form in late 2013, only failing to win the Oz Triple Crown due to lack of bottle and a reinvigorated Rory McIlroy.

Scott really should have won that duel, missing umpteen chances to put it to bed on the back 9. My problem with Scott has always been that I just don't think he has the balls for the biggest occasions. This would predominately be majors, but he obviously put himself under huge pressure as the Golden Boy of Oz golf, and with such a massive partisan crowd willing him on to the Triple Crown, he just couldn't handle it, or close it out. No such pressures week, and his stated intent of this being the year where he makes a determined assault on the No. 1 spot, he will not be resting on his laurels.

Zach Johnson has been in wonderful form too, including gunning down the Tiger, but this track wouldn't seem to play to his strengths.
Brandt Snedeker has been struggling with injury, and been out of form, so wouldn't be expecting much out of this week. And in behind them, there is not huge strength in depth.

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Replies: 45
By:
workrider
When: 30 Dec 13 19:06
I have noted Harris myself Callit , sure to win one this year , Dufner has disappointed a little last year when i thought he would really come into his own , either he won to much the year before and took it easy after getting hitched i don't know , but sure to be rearing to go this year...A few young lads on the way up and some old codgers on the way down , so will be backing the youngsters this year overall...
By:
pa lapsy
When: 30 Dec 13 19:26
Like Dufner as well at the price Workrider(25,s),just a 30 man field hoping he will make the top 4.
Martin Laird with a 2nd and 4th at the course thought would be a bit bigger than 28/1,none too consistent so left him out, Scott is in great form though those Aussie tournaments weren,t strong and thought his last few years tries on the course were only very average.
Longish course should suit the big hitters and unless the wind blows little danger with wide fairways so likes of Dustin Johnson,Woodland,English and Kuchar should figure,can,t do them all and hope Dufner has spent the last few weeks practising with his putter.
Good write up Callit,nice to have a good tournament this week and hopefully the golf threads by yourself and the other regulars will surpass last years very good ones.
By:
callitasucit
When: 30 Dec 13 19:31
If I was Dufner, I would have been practising something with the wife, rather than bothering with a putter!! Cracker.
By:
huddys
When: 30 Dec 13 19:31
Havent even looked at the field yet,is it only a 30 runner field this week pa lapsy
By:
pa lapsy
When: 30 Dec 13 20:00
It Is huddys and a good few dukies in it as well.
Haha Callit,never did Tiger any harm, sure Dufner is a total professional and will only have golf on his mind this week.
By:
huddys
When: 01 Jan 14 13:47
Here we go for another year,going for 3 big price selections e/w paying the 4 places,1st selection is Blinx 40/1,has shown abit of form at the end of last year,2nd selection is my old pal Read couldn't let him go at 80/1 in a selected field and 3rd is Merrick who can show some form in the early part of the season at 80/1,the way im looking at it hopefully the fav's wont be fully tuned up for the start of the year,also backed Read e/w 50/1 for 1st round leader,best of luck this week lads,
By:
callitasucit
When: 03 Jan 14 17:43
Couldnt decide between Martin Laird and Chris Kirk for a 3rd string to the bow this week, so decided it safer to add the two of them. Hate to leave one behind in the first week! Added a bit extra to Scott and English to make them biggest winners.

Bets this week,
4pts e.w Scott 6-1
1.2pts e.w English 22-1
0.8pt e.w Kirk 28-1
0.8pt e.w Laird 30-1
By:
pa lapsy
When: 03 Jan 14 18:11
Good coverage on Sky4(9.30pm-3.00am)tonight for it.
See the entry thread is up on the golf forum for their comp,good bit of fun which keeps an interest in at least the first few months of the season.
By:
BJG
When: 03 Jan 14 18:16
Webb Simpson 10/1 ew
Martin Laird 28+30/1 ew
Brian Gay 100/1 ew


gl all Cool Lets hope its another profitable season
By:
workrider
When: 03 Jan 14 18:53
BACKED R MOORE @ 28/1 AND 6.4 FIRST 4 ..ALSO BACKED B .HAAS @ 32/1 AND 6.8  FIRST 4...GOOD LUCK ALL PUNTERS...
By:
pa lapsy
When: 04 Jan 14 16:25
First 2 ball out at 5.30 this evening,a fair bit earlier than yesterday,coverage on sky at 7.30.
By:
workrider
When: 04 Jan 14 16:33
Tks pa , a monster of a track ..every pin looks to be in an unassessable place...
By:
pa lapsy
When: 04 Jan 14 16:43
Really enjoyed the coverage last night and stayed up til nearly 3,WR Think there could be thunderstorms so thats why they brought it forward.
Can,t always believe the weather forecast but seems the wind will be around 25mph for the remainder of the tournie, kinda needed as well as it was a bit easy yesterday with too many birds, still going okay for most of us here as we all have someone up there.
By:
workrider
When: 04 Jan 14 17:01
That first hole is amazing Pa , never in my life did I see so many players miss the green to the left ...Only one I saw who took it on was Simpson and he nearly lost his ball , he then played a magical recovery shot ...
By:
kavvie
When: 04 Jan 14 17:04
i backed harris english at 22/1 ew still hanging in there after a bad 12 holes..i also backed the lad whos  last by 3  to finish last at 7/1..lets hope he stays there!!
By:
workrider
When: 04 Jan 14 17:40
Good man Kavvie , you must be due a change of luck as well....
By:
kavvie
When: 04 Jan 14 17:46
big time..that man we discussed has one running sunday...might be intresting..
By:
workrider
When: 04 Jan 14 17:59
OK , Will be going to naas , so will give you a ring...
By:
huddys
When: 05 Jan 14 12:27
Was out yesterday so couldn't post that I backed Dustin Johnson yesterday at 16/1
By:
callitasucit
When: 05 Jan 14 12:29
Good stuff Huddys, he right in it now.
By:
huddys
When: 05 Jan 14 12:31
Ta call well done yesterday with your horse selections,
By:
workrider
When: 05 Jan 14 17:25
Just in case anyone might get caught on this tonight , it finishes on MONDAY...
By:
callitasucit
When: 05 Jan 14 18:14
Hopefully Zach eases up with a lap to go WR!! Contemplating putting few quid on Spieth. I would rate him as more likely winner than everyone around him, other than Zach. Dusty, Webb and Kuch just don't get it done often enough. Spieth has balls aplenty.
By:
callitasucit
When: 05 Jan 14 19:45
Striking a few 2 balls to add some interest to tonights viewing. A couple stand out as really good bets.

Jordan Spieth at 13-10 to beat Kuchar and Michael Thompson at 9-4 to beat Simpson being the best of them.
Kuch and Webb are two players who seem to find Saturdays(I know its Sunday) hard to nail. On quite a few occasions last year, they messed up really good positions, with very poor 'Moving Days'. I am going to take them on where appropriate this year. And Spieth at 13-10 is more than appropriate against Kuch.

Thompson is less convincing than Spieth, but he is quite steady, and also he is a lot bigger price. And Kuch is just as capable of Webb of throwing in a wobbler.

Have also plumped for a double on Kirk at 8-13, and John Merrick at 4-7. Personally think they should pay out now on that!! Derek Ernst playing Merrick, is probably the worst player to ever win a full tour event. Anything around par from Merrick, and he will win this on the bridle.
Kirk plays Woody Austin, another who has no pretensions to being anything other than a journeyman. Kirk has quite a few decent rounds around here. I would be surprised if he didn't bounce back from yesterdays effort.

For devilment, also done a yankee, them 4 and Adam Scott to beat Dufner. Dufners round on Thursday was held together be a sequence of putts that he usually wouldn't be making a similar percentage of. Scott hasn't made a putt in two days, yet still lies level with him. 4-5 seems fair.

First match off at 8.07pm.
By:
callitasucit
When: 05 Jan 14 22:41
Invested on Spieth at 15-2 with Powers.
By:
pa lapsy
When: 06 Jan 14 12:05
With Zach going backwards left a few of ye with a late night tonight.
Callit spot on with Dufner,knew he wasn,t a great putter but he was brutal except for the first 9 holes of the tournie,pity for him as he has such a lovely game other than that.Disappointed to see him gobbing so much last night.
By:
callitasucit
When: 06 Jan 14 13:07
Yeah, there was quite a few of them gobbing Pa, yet David Livingstone only talks of Tiger doing it. Pr*ck. I will always be Tigers number one fan, but Jordan Spieth is such a talent. Not only that, plenty of kids have talent, but his attitude and winning mentality are a joy to watch. Almost Tigeresque.

It may sound crazy when he has a player like Dusty who has won every year since coming on tour, Webb who has won plenty and a US Open, and Zach who is also a multi tournament and major winner, surrounding him, but to me Spieth is still the most likely winner, and the least likely to bottle it. He is mature beyond his years, and has absolutely no desire to be second in anything. I'm a lover of most sports, but its the winners in them that floats my boat. AP, Tiger, Federer, Nadal, Schumacher, Messi,........they don't compete to be second best, and Spieth can join them, because he has a one dimensional view of life. Win at all costs, and f*ck the begrudgers.

I'm topping up!!
By:
Distant View
When: 06 Jan 14 15:43
I put this on the wrong thread earlier!

Studying this week's events at the moment after taking this tournament off.

I agree Spieth looks the most likely winner despite his inexperience. He has nerves of steel and his ranking of 4th in Final Round Scoring Average last year says plenty about him.

Had a small nibble at Gary Woodland at 40/1 each way. A quick start and he could be right among the leaders and he can really attack the closing holes if he is in contention.

Good luck to all who are involved.
By:
BJG
When: 06 Jan 14 17:59
Zach Johnson at 11/8 in his 2 ball tonight seems a bit of an overeaction to a bad round - must back at that price! Is 2 shots further back too which will prob decrease the pressure on him
By:
BJG
When: 06 Jan 14 18:00
**2 ball v Dustin Johnson
By:
workrider
When: 06 Jan 14 18:06
Layed K Streelman @ 2.68...
By:
callitasucit
When: 06 Jan 14 19:34
Yeah I would agree with that BJG. More chance of Dusty throwing in a wobbler than Zach. Had no bet in it though, as I want them both to **** up!! Done combo trebles and acca on Scott, Sned, Kirk and Moore. Heading out for few pints, game o poker, and keep eye on the golf. Good Luck all.
By:
BJG
When: 06 Jan 14 21:15
Zach 3 ahead after 2 holes!
By:
kavvie
When: 06 Jan 14 21:20
not as far as i can see?
By:
Dan Chipowski
When: 06 Jan 14 21:30
BJG is referring to the 2 ball with Dustin Johnson. PlainPlain
By:
BJG
When: 06 Jan 14 21:31
The 2 ball which i backed above kavvie ^^^
By:
kavvie
When: 06 Jan 14 21:33
sorry...
By:
pa lapsy
When: 06 Jan 14 21:41
Some beaut Duffer missed 3 10ish ft birdie putts first 3 holes and a 6ft par on fourth and sinks a 60ft eagle on 5.
Very open now.
By:
kavvie
When: 06 Jan 14 22:08
spleit going well but hes missing a lot of putts by millimetres..
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