Irish Sports
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I think Cue Card is a bet at better than Evens. He has to concede masses of weight all round but I think he's probably a few pounds better than his official rating. He was rated about a stone lighter when winning last year, but it's hardcto see too many dangers. If Somersby was at his best he'd be fav off that sort of weight but he looks regressive whereas Cue Card looked to be still improving towards the end of last season. Williams Wishes is a nice horse and is the one I'd fear. I've taken 11/8. Any thought?
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Im a huge fan of the horse Slabster, backed him in this, the KG, and Ryanair last year. But also think he has a huge task on his hands tomorrow. He did improve plenty last year, but does he really have much scope left off 172?? On the contrary, it would be very doubtful that 152 is the ceiling of Modules ability, or that 153 is as far as Williams Wishes will go. I would expect Fago to reach higher too, though he does have to prove that his last couple of runs weren't a true reflection of his ability. With Somersby also thrown into the mix it starts to make the 2.3 look a bit skinny. I will probably lay Cue Card, This is no slight on him or his ability, he is a cracking sort, but it just may be on this day, others may be better handicapped, and overpriced.
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“He was very good there last year and there is no reason why he shouldn't be as good again. He has a bit more weight and it is not a straightforward job against decent horses, but he is always pretty good first time out. He is working as good as ever, if not better, and if the ground is on the soft side of good that would be perfect for him.”
Tizzard - RP |
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this is a stable that knows how to bet........ya will know by its strength in the market whether what he said is accurate or not.......
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UNLIKE YOURS EH....
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Good post Callitasucit. He obviously wouldn't have stones in hand but I think he's probably rated 3 or 4 lbs lower than what he should be. Not a lot I know but could be the difference between winning and losing. I was surprised to read in today's RP than Evan Williams is "not particularly optimistic". I wouldn't be lumping on CC at 11/10 now but I think he should perhaps be a shade of odds on.
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Well done Callit. I didn't see the race but sounds like the wight was just too much for CC?
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needed the run......the market told the story.....
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Didnt see it yet myself Slabster. Laid him at 2.12. Paulie, i dont know how you can so summarise it so simply, what story did the market tell? He hovered between 2.3 and 1.95 from declaration stage until the off. No drift, and no tale told. On the contary, considering he sould have been about 2-1 imo, i would say they did indeed fancy him, and believe he was ready enough to win.
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neesom who was there......and seems a good judge to me......said he wasn't ready......at the time ya could lay 2.0 for the sweep.....finished up 2.2 or more.......that's a big drift to me.......the previous winner is what I would call a positive......6/4 to kiss yer arrse......although I do take yer point.....it was hardly a seismic shift......but it was a fair drift.....at the most important time in the betting......when they are out of the parade ring.....
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Neesom is a decent judge.
It is annoying when he does the UK spotlights for the RP as he is the only one that seems to bother his backside watching Irish points etc and studying the form, which generally means that his tissues are more accurate and the odds available are less than you would want. It is the same with the French stuff and we see a lot less of the "form difficult to weigh up" etc from him than you do with the others. |
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"form difficult to weigh up" equals "fuc*in lazy".
Its great to have the jumps back though, something decent or a potentially good prospect, to look forward to nearly every day. |
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Paulie found out again , Callit has you sussed as well son...As he says market told NO story ....You coming on here trying to justify it is aftertiming at its best ....
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wonky.....this conversation is a bit out of yer league......stick to the rovers threads......and the god bless ones......suit ya much better altogether......now run along now please......
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Nutty getting taken to the cleaners by everyone now , Invent someone else Paulie , its time ya moved on son....
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