Limerick Bumper

Keen Leader type of race anyone any thoughts on the 2nd fav

He won his points by 2l and 6l,seems better point form than the rest(no expert on these btw).Mullins is quoted on his site as saying Sunteip as a "nice type who should handle the testing conditions".
Suppose Captain Canada shouldn,t mind the trip or ground either and on the little available it would be hard to see him unplacded,3/1 with pp can see where you are coming from TT,swerve the race myself probably. GL.

Bit of a minus maybe t,was Feb. since his last point run.Trying to decipher Willies comments is guesswork at best,struck by the emphatic use of the word "will" he used in regards handling the testing conditions.

A few bits on Captain Canada below.

I am not crazy about the sire myself but maybe he is very much underused rather than moderate.

I never thought a son of Gone West would be siring strong staying pointers on heavy ground.

Strengths

Good Point To Point Form

Of those that have run, Captain Canada looks to have by far the best form, courtesy of his exploits in the pointing field. Having shown promise on his first 2 starts in maidens won by Minella Forfitness and Kilcrea in the 2010/11 season, Captain Canada returned to the track when pulled up in a very strong maiden at Boulta, where he may have needed the run. Next time out, he was in front and travelling well when turning upside down at 3 out at Leadington, in a race won by Green Flag, who has since won a bumper and hurdle for Lucinda Russell.

At Killeagh, Captain Canada made no mistake, leading from the outset and scoring a fairly comfortable 2 length victory in a good time. Once again, on his last start in a point to point, he made all in a Winner Of One at Askeaton, powering clear from 2 out once asked for his effort by Pat Collins. After the race, trainer Terence O’Brien remarked that he thinks a lot of this horse, and with the efforts shown last season that is no surprise.
The form he has shown, and the potential for improvement, suggests he should have little trouble in beating those that have already run, with the 2 newcomers being the potential threats.

Front Running Strong Stayer

Captain Canada will hold an advantage over his rivals if connections choose to use the same tactics as they did in point to points. With many bumpers run at a slow early pace, particularly those on soft or heavy ground, there is the chance for a front runner to gain an advantage, either by setting the pace to suit itself or by ‘stealing’ an advantage of many lengths despite going a sensible gallop, or both.

Pat Collins knows that Captain Canada stays well, and he can turn this into a stamina test over the 2m3f. If no opponent wishes to join him in front, there is a chance for him to gain a few lengths at the start, and gradually extend that advantage whilst still maintaining a sensible gallop.

We have already seen this month, courtesy of Jane Mangan’s ride on Posiden Sea, the benefits of taking advantage of a very slow early pace by kicking on, and it is hoped that Pat Collins will do similar here. Having to chase down a strong stayer on soft to heavy ground could get his opponents out of their comfort zones at an early stage, and it could put any greenness issues for the newcomers under scrutiny.

Weaknesses

290 Day Break
Captain Canada’s worst run of his 6 in point to points came after a 6½ month break on soft to heavy ground, so there is a chance that a break of 290 days since his last run could be a negative here. Any slight issues on fitness are likely to be magnified on testing ground, so there is a chance that he could perform below his previous form today.

However, the Boulta maiden in which he was pulled up was run at a very strong pace throughout, so this would have put maximum pressure on his fitness. In today’s race, it is likely that Captain Canada will be making the running without too much hassle, and Pat Collins can set a pace to suit himself. As he will know how fit Captain Canada is, it is possible that he can set the pace to take away any potential fitness doubts.

Opportunities

Willie Mullins Factor

A Willie Mullins trained newcomer will automatically attract plenty of attention. This can cause horses with good form to be overpriced due to the general expectation that the Mullins trained horse will have plenty of ability, and this isn’t always the case. It is hoped that this will cause Captain Canada’s chance to be underestimated

Threats

Suntiep

Clearly anything that Willie Mullins runs has to be respected, particularly in a bumper, and Suntiep looks the biggest threat to Captain Canada. Willie expects the son of Ungaro to be able to handle the testing conditions. It is noticeable though that although some of Ungaro’s progeny handle soft ground, many have been at their best on quicker ground.

It is also interesting to note that the horse is making its debut as a 6yo, which suggests he is either a late maturing type or has had some problems. While he could be very good, his late debut on the track and the unknown over conditions make him opposable at a short price.

Another Rebel

Another Rebel is the other newcomer in the field, and is trained by Michael Winters, who has am 18% strike rate in bumpers in the last 5 seasons. His sire, Croco Rouge, has a 28% strike rate with national hunt horses, and there is a chance that this €5,000 purchase could improve that here. Another whose talent is unknown, he presents a potential threat to Captain Canada.

Money come for it now

Italaian Chorus pulled up injured there,the fourth consecutive hot fav undone.

Assume she, along with Tempo Du Camp, won't be going back to their yards this evening.

not a good result ffor some, all told a meeting to treat with caution regarding form into the future. well done if you stuck with the wpm horse. tyrone, i am left drawing to tony clarks horse in the maiden at kempton.

You may aswell be backing the virtual stuff as punting on the inside track in Limerick. Has been the same since the track opened.

A lot of favourites were beaten today but it had nothing to do with the inside track,Sarabad is just no good and two favourites were destroyed,the only one who ran a drain was Last Time DAlbain.Nothing wrong with that track today or any other day.

Wildman have you ever walked that inside track? There are holes the size of potholes in it and they just roll it after every schooling meeting. Hardly a meeting goes by without a horse breaking a leg on that track and many more legs are on fire when they come down off the horsebox that evening.

I value your posts Allduckornodinner but find that hard to believe sure you wouldn't get runners if that was the case.

Hope some on here kept the faith with Captain Canada,yours thoughts were vindicated and his inital run was all wrong.