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silvergreaser
12 Nov 12 09:39
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Date Joined: 11 Feb 10
| Topic/replies: 8,287 | Blogger: silvergreaser's blog
Whatuthink was beaten something in the region of 250L's yes thats right 250 in his last 4 hurdle and chase runs, take a breath for a second to get your barings.

Yet yesterday he was able to trounce multible graded winner VLV.

And nobody blinked an eyelid, either VLV has deterioted dramatically or wasn't out of his box for months so unfit was he, at least Flemenstar was fit enough to do himself justice.

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Replies: 60
By:
silvergreaser
When: 12 Nov 12 09:42
Apoligies one of his shocking defeats was a flat race.
By:
redbait
When: 12 Nov 12 09:52
Voler La Vedette is a mare.
By:
silvergreaser
When: 12 Nov 12 09:53
typo redbait, would you like to give an opinion on yesterdays race?
By:
redbait
When: 12 Nov 12 09:58
A typo is a slip of the finger that results in the wrong key being pressed. You typed "his" and "he" is the same sentance, so it wasn't a typo.

Not much to say about the race. The winner was given an enterprising ride that made the best of his race fitness, the mare was ridden patiently in an effort to not give her a hard race on her seasonal reappearance and wasn't able to reel in the winner on the day. Unexpected for sure, but such is racing. Each to their own, but anyone that would consider backing a mare making her seasonal reappearance on testing ground with much bigger targets ahead of her at 1/7 is a very brave punter.
By:
silvergreaser
When: 12 Nov 12 10:06
fine then we'll call her a horse,

How about the almost unbelievable improvement from whatuthink?, should have been 66/1 not 25/1, once the Mullins horse was taken out the heavy hitters couldn't get enough of her, surely even an 80% fit VLV should have hosed up on the bridle?. The ground is no issue for this mare, but Colm Murphy left a tonne of work on her and the heavy hitters can go jump in the ocean as their money was dead before the race even began.
By:
pa lapsy
When: 12 Nov 12 10:13
2 flat races,rated 14lb behind VLV so perhaps on the face of it wasn,t the greatest surprise, VLV had similar rated horses to the winner well behind yesterday.Your point is fair enough though he wasn,t entitled to beat her on any current form whatsoever.Your heading i,d disagree with as its melodramatic to say the least,hot favs get beat by outsiders,it does happen.
Other than that race yesterday the "Good" of Irish racing was shown with the rest of the card,with the decent novice hurdlers Sizing Rio and Our Conor,a breathtaking ride by Carberry in the beginners chase,an above average bumper winner and a good return by top prospect Flemenstar in the feature.
By:
redbait
When: 12 Nov 12 10:14
sg,
It is ill-advised to read too much into the industy SP's, as they are notoriously tight. Betfair SP is a much better reflection and his was 199/1. I couldn't tell you why Whatuthink bounced back to form, but the McKiernan horses tend to be very inconsistent for whatever reason and personally I find them very difficult to read. Regarding VLV, on her best form, of course she should have won, but any horse is vulnerable on their seasonal reappearance when not fully fit, especially in a well-run race as this one was. If they had gone steady, she probably would have won well, but there you go. Like I said, anyone getting seriously involved at 1/7 on a horse with that profile isn't going to be a winner in the long run, IMO.
By:
silvergreaser
When: 12 Nov 12 10:27
Well we can be sure that the real VLV will turn up sometime soon.
By:
redbait
When: 12 Nov 12 10:31
Probably, but it wouldn't be a certainty. She is a mare that has a few miles on the clock and one should never take it for granted that such animals will automatically return to their best every season.
By:
BI
When: 12 Nov 12 13:27
SG, what was your view on Casey bringing an "80%" fit Flemenstar to the races? He was obviously fit enough to win and is a top class horse, but if Aidan O'Brien said that (or did it with St Nicholas Abbey) you would be the first one calling for his lynching.

I've backed McKiernan no hopers the odd time. There is no rhyme or reason to it but they do pop up now and again. A bit like Oliver Brady horses over the last ten years. On that ground, its difficult to give distance when the one in front is not stopping.
By:
silvergreaser
When: 12 Nov 12 16:25
well if Flemestar was only 80% and hosed up on the bridle, I dread to think how unfit VLV was?
By:
silvergreaser
When: 12 Nov 12 16:33
Oh because its your first run of the season excuses a 1/7 shot getting turned over yeh?
By:
hardlyuseless
When: 12 Nov 12 17:05
Odds on chances get beaten all the time, look at Fairyhouse last Wednesday, Naas on Saturday and Limerick yesterday. VLV was given a fair ride and had every chance. She didnt know she was 1/7.

I feel the only story here is the winner and his recent form. Did the stewards at Navan ask a question? The fact the its not reported in the Examiner suggests they didnt and that may have been following consultation with the handicapper. Maybe.

Remember, there is no one batting for the punter. Ye are very much on your own.
By:
silvergreaser
When: 12 Nov 12 17:42
did anybody dare ask?, in Hong Kong all hell would've been let loose, in Ireland ah well these things happen?
By:
pa lapsy
When: 12 Nov 12 17:45
If horses could talk we might all be wiser.
By:
silvergreaser
When: 12 Nov 12 17:51
In Hong Kong they live and breathe the punters money thats why trainers and jockeys can barely even breathe, in Ireland unfortunately they live on goverment handouts, why trainers and the authorities take the p!ss without turning a hair, but look out guys I need a shrink?
By:
soapp
When: 12 Nov 12 18:00
I'd like to think the win was more due the an opportunistic ride by Tom Doyle. He is very good on front runners. I done my dough at 1.16 Cry
By:
pa lapsy
When: 12 Nov 12 18:03
Don't think anyone was taking the "p1ss" nor would i think "millions" backed her.She clearly underperformed, her kick wasn,t evident.Like us they clearly have "bad days", yesterday might have been one?
By:
silvergreaser
When: 12 Nov 12 18:12
always an excuse guys?, the day when somebody grows a pair is the day wwhen punters might get a fu!king look in.

Millions upon millions of money is backed every day, surely that money deserves some protection don't you think?

Not some effing trainer who unfortunately has at least a million euro riding on a horse he never for one second even tried to win a race?, and he sleeps well that night, and the punter who lost his socks should except it as fact?, yeh except it guys, keep on excepeting it guys?
By:
kingrat
When: 12 Nov 12 20:44
yre wasting yre time sil......the majority of these mugs are 2 euro punters,most likely dole merchants and OAPS.....thats why they dont give a sh1teLaugh
By:
Eddie Batt
When: 12 Nov 12 20:50
Why are you so angry silvergreaser -are you not able to handle the unpredictability of horse racing.
By:
paulie wallnuts
When: 12 Nov 12 21:12
Why are you so angry silvergreaser ,,wake up,,because he bet the 7 on,,what else
By:
GANT007
When: 12 Nov 12 21:20
Paulie.......The town of newbridge has always had a love/hate affair with gambling/racing and the influx of stable staff........It could be personal but silvergreaser seems to target/bad mouth those outside of the Curragh..
By:
flushgordon1
When: 12 Nov 12 21:21
been very mild perhaps she was in season.
By:
silvergreaser
When: 12 Nov 12 23:15
Thats why I'm angry its the apathy that galls me more than anything else, they can defraud on a daily basis and know full well that the so called authorities all sing from the same hymn sheet.

The authorities all own stud farms who sell to owners who put those horses in training ridden by jockeys, how in the name whatever god or any you believe in can you win?.

And the media sup sumptuous gravy, while remaining blind and deaf, because why bite the hand that feeds?.
By:
kingrat
When: 12 Nov 12 23:36
i hear u sil .but yre dealing with nickel and dime merchants here...they dont fcking care .....its all about the next race!go in to any bookies in ireland and have a good look around uShocked
By:
silvergreaser
When: 12 Nov 12 23:48
Believe me rat I know that, I was virtually reared in a bookie shop, my mother spent virtually her whole life working for some bookmaker or other, I myself worked part time for donkeys years, I know the whole ins and outs, yet I'll never except that trainers can do what they want when they want, its wrong, but of course they know horses can't talk, the fail safe they fall back on time and time again, dare question them and they hit you with some sort of litigation threat, knowing full well the burden of proof is on you and as we said the dumb animal can't talk.

As mentioned Hong Kong, they routed the corruption so much so trainers and jockeys are but serfs, the punter is king, in Ireland the punter is a victim of apathy.
By:
kingrat
When: 13 Nov 12 00:28
u have got to understand ,the mugs cant accept that they have been played for saps,although deep down they know itLaughits like admitting that they are stupid cnts....what their wives have been saying for years.....hence the pretense of bullsh1te to defend their gambling
By:
silvergreaser
When: 13 Nov 12 00:41
But are they not entitled to gamble regardless if their mugs rat?, its wrong that some horse trainer or other decides their faith, basically its not off today you poor dregs of society in the bookie shop, so go **** yourself.

Some of the nicest guys I ever met were betting shop fodder.
By:
kingrat
When: 13 Nov 12 01:01
ok,the mugs here defended and made excuses for vlv defeat.....they dont fcking care ,so they are going to get what they deserve....its their money......they are entitled to a fair twist but they dont care.thats the point
By:
redbait
When: 13 Nov 12 08:53
Two losing punters, drunk as lords on a Monday night, trying to convince each other that the game is the problem, not their poor judgement. Lads, there are hundreds if not thousands of winning punters in Ireland that know how the game works. Anyone can make it pay if they open their eyes and are willing to learn, but some are too simple and/or stubborn to do that and are destined to lose, just like you too. Sad.
By:
thegalwayman
When: 13 Nov 12 09:09
Fairly sure that silvergreaser is drunk most of the time.
By:
BI
When: 13 Nov 12 09:31
SG, you decided to duck out of my question re Casey/O'Brien and their 80% fit horses. You have a view on most things, I'm surprised you didn't point this one out yourself. What's your view? Is it ok for the little guy to do it?
By:
silvergreaser
When: 13 Nov 12 10:34
BI I'm sure Frankel wasn't a 100% for his debut this year, but at least fit enough to do himself justice ref Flemenstar, the messiah down Ballydoyle way sends horses to the racecourse not 80%, well considering they often run like 3 legged tortoises its fair to say they're something in the region of about 40%.

Oh yeh I like a drink, they do say that people are more honest with drink in them, truth serum, you should try it sometime, you've only got one life btw, you'll be dead sometime in the future and that is a fact, I despise political correctness from mere mortals.

If your pleasure in life is eating silvermints or cheese so be it, I like a drink and I feel no guilt whatsoever, in fact I'm off today and will probably drift down town for a few in the Granary pub with the philosphical drinker.
By:
silvergreaser
When: 13 Nov 12 10:48
Redbait I've often won huge money for small stakes, I'm aware that not all races are corrupt but some are.

Trainers do send horses to the racecourse with no intention whatsoever of winning the race, basically trying to pull the wool over your eyes for their own selfish gain, but thats ok, its horse racing after all its inherently corrupt we should just except that fact and get on with it?, or maybe somebody with a pair can make a concerted effort to clean the stinking game up, like Hong Kong, they were infiltrated by criminal gangs, bought trainers and jockeys, did they just sit back and relax and say ah thats the way it is?, no they went for the jugular and routed the corruption from the face of the earth, so much so racing in Hong Kong is almost 100% clean these days, Irish racing will as always remain a guessing game, guessing which one is off today?.
By:
p_r_e_m_i_e_r__f_a_n_t_a_s_y
When: 13 Nov 12 11:13
Do you still bet on horse racing silver?
By:
silvergreaser
When: 13 Nov 12 11:35
Yeh premier but mostly only w/ends, or when there is a big midweek meeting like say Ascot or Newmarket etc.

Racing has changed enormously, back say in the 80s you never really had anymore than a couple of meetings during the day, maybe 4 on a Saturday?, no Sunday racing, it was much easier to get your head around it, nowadays you're saturated with meetings daytime and night time, especially during the summer months, not to mention the introduction of the exchanges, which has made it almost impossible to get your head around.

To be honest I probably speculate more on sporting events these days, at least you know you've only got 3 outcomes, home win, away win or draw, Golf can be extremely difficult with 150 strong fields, but I generally have a small bet just for interest purposes, apart from say when Tiger was in his prime usually as short as 6/4 (no thanks), how many favs actually win a golf tournament?, very few, but a least you know its not a guessing game unlike horse racing.

I'm no big punter, I'm mostly a tenner each way punter, its what I can afford, gambling doesn't upset my family life, its my pocket money, mine to do as I see fit.
By:
redbait
When: 13 Nov 12 11:49
sg,
Do you not think that you would save yourself a lot of mental anguish by just leaving racing alone and betting on other sports instead?
By:
silvergreaser
When: 13 Nov 12 11:56
Actually redbait by letting off steam on the Betfair forum is almost therapeutic.
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