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pa lapsy
06 Aug 12 13:19
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Date Joined: 06 Apr 09
| Topic/replies: 12,639 | Blogger: pa lapsy's blog
Just a quick preview rather than a selection as not matched yet.
Weather doesn,t look great,possibility of thunderstorms for the 4 days which may mean delays.Wind seems constant enough at around 15mph,too early to say will there be any advantage between early and late.
Course seems to have a bit of everything water,bunkers and most particulary waste areas(pga gives a good vid of each hole).Not 100% but sure i read you can ground your club in both bunker and waste area which surprised me).If the wind does pick up long low ball hitter seems to be where the winner may come from.Popular choice this week will be local man Dustin Johnson,according to an interview hasn,t played the course for years,though his caddy Bobby Brown plays there regularly which should help.Of other fancied maybe Donald will be too short for here,Phil and Bubba a little too wayward for me.Week for a surprise maybe.GL with your picks.

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Replies: 79
By:
JayTrumpOldTomDubbl
When: 06 Aug 12 16:20
Pa, Tiger look no further........
By:
the stunning
When: 06 Aug 12 16:37
Jason dufner is in with a chance.

Memories,or maybe nightmares,of ryder cup 91 come flooding backCry.Langer missing that putt against hale irwin,one of the most dramatic evenings i can ever recall.Expect high scores if the wind blows.
By:
pa lapsy
When: 06 Aug 12 16:49
Howya Jay, was really hoping you might have said William Mc Girt,(550ish).A local man he has been practising at the course for the last week,with 5 top 25,s from 23 events and recently just beat by Scott Piercy  comes here in top form.Not a big fan of Tiger at the moment,Jay,odds and current form don,t add up imo,but good luck.
Scott Stallings(350ish) and Angel Cabera(600+) were another couple of outsiders i thought might go well here.Probably start with them and throw in another few long ones.
By:
Kelly
When: 06 Aug 12 19:26
Rory looked better last week than he has for about 2 months . Think I will back him at 22 or 23 and hope he trades a bit lower . Gmac should get on well with the course . Cant remember if Padraig played here before ?

Of the Americans , I think Keegan will put up a good show in the defence of his title .  And there is a bit of Irish in him !

Tigers putting was all over the place in his first 2 rounds last week  , otherwise he would have been in the mix .  Keeps threatening .
By:
Arklearkle
When: 06 Aug 12 21:44
I presume it is the same course but Pod and McGinley won the world cup at Kiawah Island.
By:
huddys
When: 06 Aug 12 22:05
done a trixie 1st selection Pod top irish man at 11/4,2nd selection Rose top english player at 10/3,Ooastuizen top south african player 15/8,
Outright win bet Woods at 9/1 couldnt help take the 9/1,if he gets his putter going will be hard to beat,also backed K bradley the defending champ at 40/1 will be in great form after winning last weekend,and also backed Ooastizen e/w aswell at 35/1,has been playing some lovely golf recently,just if anybody were doing e/w bets powers are playing 6 places,best of luck.
By:
Deplasterer
When: 07 Aug 12 10:23
Feck this is tough, Linksy course and very long, even for these guys, threats of thunderstorms all week too, which will presumably mean the wind will get up, could be a big price winner, wouldn't touch Tiger with a barge pole as he will have to get the big dog out for a lot of the holes and he aint just confident with it at the minute.

Louis Oosthuizen 38's
Steve Stricker 42's
Robert Garrigus 100's

Win & Place.

Lay Tiger at 10.5's
By:
irish_guy_13
When: 07 Aug 12 10:49
Another lottery really , good luck with yer bets. But im gonna wait till the first round is over and see what way its looking.
By:
pa lapsy
When: 07 Aug 12 14:17
^ I don,t disagree irish guy,they are all lotteries really with 150+ fields,same maybe could be said about most forms of gambling racing etc.
While the purist could watch a sport without a bet,think most people need the added incentive of one particulary in minor tournaments,races matches etc.
Most Golf bettors split their allocated bank into whatever say a quarter/third/half or whatever,some done pre-tournament and the reason why is obviously the odds could be a lot less with their fancy if he starts well,you also have an interest of the first shot hoping yours does well while putting the heebeejeebees on the other 149.Think a fairly standard way of playing the golf maybe 3-5 picks(might be one even if fancied) pre tournament adding 1 or 2 each round and selling a bit some to pay if allowed.Not all about finding the winner can be a form of spread betting on performance if you wish.
Anyway i,m waffling on,looking forward to this,roll on thurs.
By:
kavvie
When: 07 Aug 12 15:28
i backed luke last weekend and he was really dissapointing.i wonder what keen leaders take is on it?
By:
rubyisgodinthesaddle
When: 07 Aug 12 22:20
Tiger 9/4 Top 5 for meCool
By:
ShannonSpray
When: 07 Aug 12 23:08
Tiger at 10s on a back to lay basis (hopefully!)
By:
irish_guy_13
When: 08 Aug 12 13:39
I agree with you, pa lapsy. i usually have a formula for the majors not too different from what you said. But in this instance, i've no reaserch done and know very little about the course, weather, previous form etc . So for a change i'm gonna see what way the field is (esp tiger) after day 1. Best of luck all.
By:
Pull Hard
When: 08 Aug 12 15:37
Anybody else offered the 12/1 about tiger via PP text betting?
By:
Deplasterer
When: 08 Aug 12 15:49
It's on their potty prices too, don't fancy him but a fair enough price given he's 10.5 on here, probably limit of £50 though.
By:
rubyisgodinthesaddle
When: 08 Aug 12 19:36
scrap Tiger top 5 at 9/4. Was in Powers earlier and saw they were offering 8/11 on a USA Winner and tripled my bet. Outstanding value. Traders have got that one badly wrong!
By:
huddys
When: 08 Aug 12 20:48
Ye got that 12/1 text aswell from powers,couldnt help but put another 20 on,max stake was 100.
By:
Deplasterer
When: 09 Aug 12 12:17
5 mins to off, weather looks grim first 3 days, can expect delays unfortunately. The draw will play a big part but a toss of the coin who it will suit, maybe morning/afternoon, but delays could wreck that.

GL.
By:
pa lapsy
When: 09 Aug 12 12:22
Yes deplasterer tried to fathom out the draw myself and realised it could backfire easily,be nice if the delays happen during non televised times.
By:
Kelly
When: 09 Aug 12 12:39
Anyone figure out the huge support for Dustin .  33/1 to 22/1 in last few days or so . Has he got radar assistance to keep the ball out of trouble , or is there no trouble ?  Watching with interest , think it is emotional money rather than logical .  Like him , but his record is littered with ups and downs .
By:
Deplasterer
When: 09 Aug 12 12:45
Local boy Kelly, hits it long but his form has been patchy this past while, capable though. Pod out to 90's, tempting me now that is!
By:
Deplasterer
When: 09 Aug 12 12:46
Local boy Kelly, hits it long but his form has been patchy this past while, capable though. Pod out to 90's, tempting me now that is!
By:
pa lapsy
When: 09 Aug 12 12:57
Woods group supposed to be behind the red button according to someone on the golf forum at 1.30,can,t see any sign of it advertised on sky sports website though.
By:
BJG
When: 09 Aug 12 13:40
Ryan Palmer 150
Bubba Watson 36
Anders Hansen 320
Dustin Johnson 30
Robert Garrigus 110
Nicolas Colsaerts 75
Scott Piercy 130
Kyle Stanley 130
Thomas Aiken 480
Simon Dyson 320


Johnson and Bubba main bets
By:
Kelly
When: 09 Aug 12 13:50
Backed Rory 22/1 , traded out already at 17 to 18 .  Go Rory go !
By:
Kalanisi
When: 09 Aug 12 14:00
Luke Donald 23/1
By:
p_r_e_m_i_e_r__f_a_n_t_a_s_y
When: 09 Aug 12 14:07
Backed:

Dustbin
Bubba
Quiros
Rory
Phil
Whatney
By:
Deplasterer
When: 09 Aug 12 14:18
http://www.vipbox.tv/watch/66948/1/pga-featured-group---woods-kaymer-bradley-live-stream-online.html

Link to Tigers group apparently.
By:
workrider
When: 09 Aug 12 21:30
had the small interest of 9 on a baddley @ 265 and 10 on b haas 112...
By:
ShannonSpray
When: 09 Aug 12 22:56
Laid off my Tiger bet- all green - job done.
By:
Kelly
When: 10 Aug 12 01:52
My 5 to watch are all doing well , I would be most hopeful about Rory who played and putted well .  Tiger putted the lights out today , 22 putts as against 33 in one of his most recent rounds . Gmac and Padraig played in arguably the toughest conditions , hung in there well , and Keegan hit the front early but finished 3 under .

Roll on tomorrow , weather might play a bigger part than today , early out might be the dart . Cheers .
By:
pa lapsy
When: 10 Aug 12 12:32
2.5 inches of rain last night,wind supposed to be strong at the moment,could be big numbers today.Irish players doing well but so many in with a chance.Lot of ye still in with chances with your picks,had to throw in another few in myself as yesterdays dukies were dire.GL
By:
mrtopnotch
When: 10 Aug 12 12:39
Thought the coverage on Sky was terrible Surprised
By:
Deplasterer
When: 10 Aug 12 12:46
winds 6mph SW, AM, Winds 15mph SSW, 60% chance of isolated thunderstorms PM. looks like the morning boys may have the best of it. Time to back Pod & McDowell maybe?
By:
pa lapsy
When: 10 Aug 12 12:46
Yeah,tend to stick to the marquee groups too much,show a good shot/bird from a lesser light and it can be up on the scoreboard for a few minutes.
Jayzus the alligator made some job on that snake last night and he wasn,t a small snake either.Shocked
By:
pa lapsy
When: 10 Aug 12 12:56
Larrazabal who is +5 tweeted if he shoots level he thinks he will make the cut,(sky sports live commentary website) so it you would think its bad there and most bogeying first hole,Don,t know deplasterer looks a real lottery today to me,should handle conditions better than most though.
By:
tony57
When: 10 Aug 12 13:00
pa if you were having a small win bet now who would you go with?..or a e/w?
By:
Deplasterer
When: 10 Aug 12 13:01
Yep, early scores suggest wind is up already Pa, wouldn't be rushing to take 6's about Rory or Tiger for that matter, could be a day for Pod to grind a score out maybe.
By:
kavvie
When: 10 Aug 12 13:04
im in a bit of a fix id say.i backed the winner to be from usa at 4/5.a drink fuelled bet after clare won the munster u 21 the other nite..mite be a costly evening yet
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