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kiddo112
26 Jun 12 23:53
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Date Joined: 24 Apr 04
| Topic/replies: 1,794 | Blogger: kiddo112's blog
Spain posession:

Over 65% @7/2 with WH
Under 66.99% @10/11 with SJ or under 65.5 @7/10 with VC

Can't get on with SJ or VC, and would expect to get short shift in any of the Betpack shops.

GL if you can get on.
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Report BJG June 27, 2012 12:14 AM BST
72% v Croatia

66% v Italy

76% v Ireland

59% v France

The 7/2 is fair in its own right imo
Report BigRob1 June 27, 2012 11:36 AM BST
Check who they use to get their stats from first.

As far as I know different bookies are using different sources which can be out by a couple of per cent
compaired with each other.
Report kiddo112 June 27, 2012 1:47 PM BST
Yeah Bigrob is right, looks like Hills use uefa & others use opta. Prices long gone anyway.

Over 65% now 15/8 with Hills so looks like BJG was right although that may just arbers money as well.
Report db1974 June 27, 2012 2:38 PM BST
It's arbers and they have fcuked up!

Billy uses UEFA and Stan uses OPTA and the differences are staggering, to say the least.

According to UEFA, Spain have only had >65% possession in one game, against Ireland when they had 66%. According to OPTA Spain had 75.9% in the same game.

The only other game so far where UEFA had one team with more than 65% was Germany against Greece. Again OPTA had Germany with 75.9% (purely coincidental IMO)

In 25 of the 28 matches so far, the team with the most possession has a higher percentage in OPTA than with UEFA. The 9.9% differential above (75.9 - 66.0) is the max difference so far.

Now I'm no possession expert but how-the-fcuk can 2 different sites be so different with their stats.

It must be to do with how they determine change of possession when the ball is out of play or something like that. So if a ball goes out for a goal kick, one site must treat possession belonging to the attacking team until the goalkeeper puts it back into play while the other must treat possession as changing hands immediately the ball goes dead.
Report BJG June 27, 2012 6:29 PM BST
Ta db
Report db1974 June 28, 2012 9:48 AM BST
Just for a bit of closure

UEFA: Spain 57% - lost
OPTA: Spain 64.4% - won

Some difference there again
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