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30 Aug 11
18:29
Joined:
Date Joined:
09 Sep 03
See the 41 declared entries are out
http://www.irishracing.com/cards/v5card096201109141610.htm
Bideford Legend (7) , Blazing Tempo (8) , Dancing Tornado (12) , Questions Answered (12) , Uncle Junior (12) , Adams Island (14) , Alfa Beat (14) , Daffern Seal (14) , Fosters Cross (14) , Aigle DOr (16) , Lenabane (16) , Ponmeoath (16) , Gonebeyondrecall (20) , Minella Boys (20) , Muirhead (20) , Qulinton (20) , Sarteano (20) , Arklow Ger (25) , Ballyholland (25) , Dr Whizz (25) - Others 25 or more
Can someone name the horses Davy, Enright and Andy Mac ride ?
http://www.irishracing.com/cards/v5card096201109141610.htm
Bideford Legend (7) , Blazing Tempo (8) , Dancing Tornado (12) , Questions Answered (12) , Uncle Junior (12) , Adams Island (14) , Alfa Beat (14) , Daffern Seal (14) , Fosters Cross (14) , Aigle DOr (16) , Lenabane (16) , Ponmeoath (16) , Gonebeyondrecall (20) , Minella Boys (20) , Muirhead (20) , Qulinton (20) , Sarteano (20) , Arklow Ger (25) , Ballyholland (25) , Dr Whizz (25) - Others 25 or more
Can someone name the horses Davy, Enright and Andy Mac ride ?
Show More
Enright will probably ride Bideford unless the weights go up for Russell to ride him.
Does Ballyholland get a penalty for his win at Galway ??
one,
"He'll (Ballyholland) get an entry for the Kerry National and we'll see what the handicapper does to him. Another option is the conditions race he won at Navan (on 24th September) a few seasons ago."
"He'll (Ballyholland) get an entry for the Kerry National and we'll see what the handicapper does to him. Another option is the conditions race he won at Navan (on 24th September) a few seasons ago."
Maybe McCoy & Dancing Tornado can go one better this year one to note 
The coverage from Listowel racecourse was produced for TG4 by Nemeton, the independent production company based in the Ring Gaeltacht in Waterford.
2011 ?
2011 ?
Blazing Tempo still looks good value to me at 7/1 with boyles after declarations to do the Galway plate / kerry national double ..... scotsirish stays in so carrys 11 - 6 ..... know he ll stay and handle the ground having won on heavy a few times before ...... can see him go off half those odds
MINELLA BOYS has successfully arrived in Ireland for a shot at the Guinness Kerry National after initial attempts to cross the Irish Sea were hampered by storms.
Trained by Charlie Longsdon for Penny Zygmant, Minella Boys had been turned away from the ferry on Sunday as high winds caused by Hurricane Katia made travelling treacherous and threatened to do the same on Monday, which would have meant the nine-year-old missed the race.
While describing the trip as "a bit of a nightmare", Longsdon is hopeful that the 20-1 chance can give him victory with his first runner in Ireland.
"We were turned away on Sunday but we got over on Monday night. It was a bit of a nightmare but we did it alright and he's there safely," Longsdon said on Tuesday.
"I'm hoping he'll run well, it's obviously a very competitive race and you never know until you try it. He will like the ground and it's very exciting for us to have a runner in Ireland."
Jockey Andrew McNamara is also expecting a good performance from his mount in the Kerry National, Ballyholland.
The ten-year-old, winner of the 2009 Galway Plate, was successful in a 2m6f chase at Galway on his last start and McNamara is "quietly confident" about the 14-1 shot's chances.
"He's a good chance and has a lovely weight."McNamara told At The Races. "He's a good jumper and I'd be quietly confident about him. I think a horse that travels and jumps like he does always has a chance at Listowel."
Trained by Charlie Longsdon for Penny Zygmant, Minella Boys had been turned away from the ferry on Sunday as high winds caused by Hurricane Katia made travelling treacherous and threatened to do the same on Monday, which would have meant the nine-year-old missed the race.
While describing the trip as "a bit of a nightmare", Longsdon is hopeful that the 20-1 chance can give him victory with his first runner in Ireland.
"We were turned away on Sunday but we got over on Monday night. It was a bit of a nightmare but we did it alright and he's there safely," Longsdon said on Tuesday.
"I'm hoping he'll run well, it's obviously a very competitive race and you never know until you try it. He will like the ground and it's very exciting for us to have a runner in Ireland."
Jockey Andrew McNamara is also expecting a good performance from his mount in the Kerry National, Ballyholland.
The ten-year-old, winner of the 2009 Galway Plate, was successful in a 2m6f chase at Galway on his last start and McNamara is "quietly confident" about the 14-1 shot's chances.
"He's a good chance and has a lovely weight."McNamara told At The Races. "He's a good jumper and I'd be quietly confident about him. I think a horse that travels and jumps like he does always has a chance at Listowel."
Blazing Tempo for me as well, had decent bet on him at 10s at Galway, goes on ground and has top class form weight maybe only issue.
Also Ruby on expect gamble again as 7s looks big big?
Also Ruby on expect gamble again as 7s looks big big?
Conditions will be very testing - soft to heavy on both the Flat and National Hunt courses, with the Flat additionally described as heavy in places. The NH track is soft in places.
What leading fancies will favour this going ?
Archie Boy NR
What leading fancies will favour this going ?
Archie Boy NR
Tks to Racecaller08 (from other thread) for the following
10 Year Trends for the Kerry National
Age (Win-Place-Runners)
5yo: 0-0-1
6yo: 2-1-14
7yo: 3-6-32
8yo: 2-8-49
9yo: 3-10-47
10yo+: 0-4-28
Not a whole lot to choose between the horses aged 6 to 9 who have landed the last 10 runnings.
No horse aged 10 or over has won the race in the last 10 years from 28 runners (16.4% of total runners).
Weight (Win-Place-Runners)
Horses carrying 10-10 or more: 6-9-56
Horses carrying 10-9 or less: 4-20-115
Horses carrying 10-10+ have won 4 of the last 6, including the first 3 home in past 2 renewals, and in the 2 other runnings since 2004 there was just one runner carrying 10-10+, both top weights carrying 11-10.
Top Weight: 6F731F0565 (1-1-10)
Official Ratings
Horses rated 126 or more: 8-17-85
Horses rated 125 or less: 2-12-86
Horses officially rated 126 or higher have won 8 of the last 10 from approximately 50% of the total runners. The last 3 winners have been rated 135+.
Recent/Past Form
7 of 10 winners won or placed on last start (2 of 3 exceptions unplaced over hurdles)
7 of 10 winners (last 7) had run in 7 or fewer handicap chases
9 of 10 winners were second or third season chasers
8 of 10 winners had gained 2 to 4 previous wins over fences
10 of 10 winners had run in past 50 days
9 of 10 winners had won over 2M 3F or further
7 of 10 winners had won a chase worth 12K+
9 of 10 winners had contested a graded chase
7 of 10 winners had won or placed at a previous Listowel Festival (2 exceptions had never run at Listowel before)
5 of 10 winners had their previous start over hurdles
Other Races
Previous season's winner (Alfa Beat): 76165 (1-0-5)
Galway Plate winner (Blazing tempo): B3 (0-1-2)
Perfect Pint Beginners Chase winner (Daffern Seal): 26 (0-1-2)
www.themalton.com Chase winner (Psycho): 9F (0-0-2)
McSweeney Arms H'cap Chase winner (Bideford Legend): 0F90F (0-0-5)
4 of 10 winners ran in the Galway Plate, finishing 8665
2 of 10 winners ran in Paddy Power Chase at Leopardstown, finishing 70
2 of 10 winners ran in the previous year's Munster National, finishing 34
5 of 10 winners ran in a chase at Cheltenham Festival, finishing 54404
Trainers
Willie Mullins (2-1-11) has won the race twice in the last 6 years as has Eric McNamara (2-1-7) who trained Ponmeoath to win it in 2007 and 2008.
Michael Hourigan (1-5-9) has seen 6 of his 9 runners make the frame while Tony Martin (1-1-5) saddled the 1st and 3rd in 2009 and the 5th in 2010.
Charles Byrnes (1-0-2) is the only other trainer with an entrant this year to have won it since 2001.
British–trained runners (0-1-13) have gained 0 wins and just 1 place from 13 runners in past 10 runnings.
Jockeys
Ruby Walsh (4-0-8) has a super record in this race in the past 10 years, riding 4 of the last 7 winners.
Barry Geraghty (2-2-7) has gained 2 wins and 2 places from his 7 rides in this since 2001 while Paddy Flood (2-0-4) won the race twice on Ponmeoath in 07 & 08.
Price
8 of 10 winners were priced between 4/1 and 10/1
7 of the 10 winners came from the first 5 in the betting and no winner has gone off bigger than 14/1.
Favourites (1-5-11) gained their first win in the race for over 10 years in 2009. Level stakes loss of 5.00.
Summary:
Based on trends from the past 10 years you are looking for a horse:
• Aged 6 to 9
• Carrying 10-10 or more
• Officially rated 126 or higher
• Won or placed last time out (in last 50 days)
• Ran over hurdles last time out
• Run in 7 or fewer handicap chases
• Second or third season chaser
• Won over 2M 3F+
• Won a chase worth 12K+
• Won or placed at a previous Listowel Festival
• Ran in a chase at the 2011 Cheltenham Festival
• First 6 in Galway Plate and/or Munster National
• Trained by W Mullins, M Hourigan, E McNamara or A J Martin
• Ridden by Ruby Walsh or Barry Geraghty
• Priced between 4/1 to 10/1 (first 5 in the betting)
10 Year Trends for the Kerry National
Age (Win-Place-Runners)
5yo: 0-0-1
6yo: 2-1-14
7yo: 3-6-32
8yo: 2-8-49
9yo: 3-10-47
10yo+: 0-4-28
Not a whole lot to choose between the horses aged 6 to 9 who have landed the last 10 runnings.
No horse aged 10 or over has won the race in the last 10 years from 28 runners (16.4% of total runners).
Weight (Win-Place-Runners)
Horses carrying 10-10 or more: 6-9-56
Horses carrying 10-9 or less: 4-20-115
Horses carrying 10-10+ have won 4 of the last 6, including the first 3 home in past 2 renewals, and in the 2 other runnings since 2004 there was just one runner carrying 10-10+, both top weights carrying 11-10.
Top Weight: 6F731F0565 (1-1-10)
Official Ratings
Horses rated 126 or more: 8-17-85
Horses rated 125 or less: 2-12-86
Horses officially rated 126 or higher have won 8 of the last 10 from approximately 50% of the total runners. The last 3 winners have been rated 135+.
Recent/Past Form
7 of 10 winners won or placed on last start (2 of 3 exceptions unplaced over hurdles)
7 of 10 winners (last 7) had run in 7 or fewer handicap chases
9 of 10 winners were second or third season chasers
8 of 10 winners had gained 2 to 4 previous wins over fences
10 of 10 winners had run in past 50 days
9 of 10 winners had won over 2M 3F or further
7 of 10 winners had won a chase worth 12K+
9 of 10 winners had contested a graded chase
7 of 10 winners had won or placed at a previous Listowel Festival (2 exceptions had never run at Listowel before)
5 of 10 winners had their previous start over hurdles
Other Races
Previous season's winner (Alfa Beat): 76165 (1-0-5)
Galway Plate winner (Blazing tempo): B3 (0-1-2)
Perfect Pint Beginners Chase winner (Daffern Seal): 26 (0-1-2)
www.themalton.com Chase winner (Psycho): 9F (0-0-2)
McSweeney Arms H'cap Chase winner (Bideford Legend): 0F90F (0-0-5)
4 of 10 winners ran in the Galway Plate, finishing 8665
2 of 10 winners ran in Paddy Power Chase at Leopardstown, finishing 70
2 of 10 winners ran in the previous year's Munster National, finishing 34
5 of 10 winners ran in a chase at Cheltenham Festival, finishing 54404
Trainers
Willie Mullins (2-1-11) has won the race twice in the last 6 years as has Eric McNamara (2-1-7) who trained Ponmeoath to win it in 2007 and 2008.
Michael Hourigan (1-5-9) has seen 6 of his 9 runners make the frame while Tony Martin (1-1-5) saddled the 1st and 3rd in 2009 and the 5th in 2010.
Charles Byrnes (1-0-2) is the only other trainer with an entrant this year to have won it since 2001.
British–trained runners (0-1-13) have gained 0 wins and just 1 place from 13 runners in past 10 runnings.
Jockeys
Ruby Walsh (4-0-8) has a super record in this race in the past 10 years, riding 4 of the last 7 winners.
Barry Geraghty (2-2-7) has gained 2 wins and 2 places from his 7 rides in this since 2001 while Paddy Flood (2-0-4) won the race twice on Ponmeoath in 07 & 08.
Price
8 of 10 winners were priced between 4/1 and 10/1
7 of the 10 winners came from the first 5 in the betting and no winner has gone off bigger than 14/1.
Favourites (1-5-11) gained their first win in the race for over 10 years in 2009. Level stakes loss of 5.00.
Summary:
Based on trends from the past 10 years you are looking for a horse:
• Aged 6 to 9
• Carrying 10-10 or more
• Officially rated 126 or higher
• Won or placed last time out (in last 50 days)
• Ran over hurdles last time out
• Run in 7 or fewer handicap chases
• Second or third season chaser
• Won over 2M 3F+
• Won a chase worth 12K+
• Won or placed at a previous Listowel Festival
• Ran in a chase at the 2011 Cheltenham Festival
• First 6 in Galway Plate and/or Munster National
• Trained by W Mullins, M Hourigan, E McNamara or A J Martin
• Ridden by Ruby Walsh or Barry Geraghty
• Priced between 4/1 to 10/1 (first 5 in the betting)
MY 3 LENABANE /ADAMS ISLAND AND OUTSIDER GONEBEYONDRECALL JUST THINK THE GROUND WILL BE AGAINEST BALLYHOLLAND AND BLAZING TEMPO WHO COULD WELL STILL BE IMPROVER AND MAYBE COULD BE A LIVE JAMES NICHOLSON CONTENDER
The 2 i like are Uncle Junior @ 10s and Minella Boys @ 18s. Both stay well and both go on soft.
OUT 56 GRAND BET OVER 22 GRAND MATCHED ON DR WHIZZ SUMBODY OR JP REALLY FANCY THIS RUN BIG RACE AS THATS ALOT BET ON OUTSIDER IMO
Dr Whizz will probably win today seen as i'm not on but i think he's better on better going and the trip?
4.10 Listowel - Kerry National
Wide open as you would expect. Goin for a horse has had 3 runs at the track, a win & 2 places, seems to have been laid out & had a recent flat spin to blow away the cobwebs. Has to race beyond 2m 4f today & wouldn't want ground too soft, but at 20-1 I'll take a chance:
Gonebeyondrecall. W & Pl.
Wide open as you would expect. Goin for a horse has had 3 runs at the track, a win & 2 places, seems to have been laid out & had a recent flat spin to blow away the cobwebs. Has to race beyond 2m 4f today & wouldn't want ground too soft, but at 20-1 I'll take a chance:
Gonebeyondrecall. W & Pl.
MUST GO CLOSE AGAIN IN THE MUNSTER NATIONAL (Limerick this Sunday).
Bideford Legend (6) , For Bill (9) , Qhilimar (9) , Faltering Fullback (12) , For A Finish (12) , Muirhead (12) , Uncle Junior (12) , Ahorsecalledmolly (14) , Somatic (14) , Indifference Curve (16) , Tharawaat (16) , Toomdeely (16) , Your Busy (16) , Casey Top (20) , Elysian Rock (20) , Golden Kite (20) , Tinakellylad (20) , Arklow Ger (25) , Baizically (25) , Glenstal Abbey (25) - Others 25 or more
Bideford Legend (6) , For Bill (9) , Qhilimar (9) , Faltering Fullback (12) , For A Finish (12) , Muirhead (12) , Uncle Junior (12) , Ahorsecalledmolly (14) , Somatic (14) , Indifference Curve (16) , Tharawaat (16) , Toomdeely (16) , Your Busy (16) , Casey Top (20) , Elysian Rock (20) , Golden Kite (20) , Tinakellylad (20) , Arklow Ger (25) , Baizically (25) , Glenstal Abbey (25) - Others 25 or more
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