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thefly10
04 Apr 11 18:52
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Date Joined: 18 Dec 10
| Topic/replies: 994 | Blogger: thefly10's blog
First evening meeting of the year at Limerick. Seven races on the card with top trainers been represented. Any fancies for tomorrow ? I think West Coast Dream can make it 3-in-a-row, don't think the step back up in trip will be any harm. First race off at 4.45 !

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Replies: 80
By:
neill d
When: 04 Apr 11 21:38
Student night, big piss up expected, first thing to note
By:
BJG
When: 04 Apr 11 21:43
Mite travel down so LaughMischief
By:
BJG
When: 04 Apr 11 22:02
As for the card, there is one standout bet for me and that will be my only bet - dont like the early season flat

Dance Secretary 5.15

Ran a very eyecatching race on debut at Leopardstown over 7f in July - when staying on well to take third beaten just 2l in a race that could nt have worked out much better

Kissable 2l in front in 1st - was 3rd in a G3 nto and was beaten just over 1l into 3rd in the G1 Moylare Stud Stakes
Spin a neck behind in 4th - won by 4 1/2l nto
Inca Princess over 1l behind in 5th - won nto
Sapphire 5l behind in 6th - won nto

Dance Secretary was held up out the back this day and stayed on very eyecatchingly the last2 furlong to get 3rd and it should only be a matter of time b4 she breaks her duck and this looks a good opportunity

-Asheerah was said to be the 2nd coming b4 her debut but has been a beaten fav 3 times in her 3 runs and generally dissaponted
-Vastitas step back upto 7f a plus?? I dont think so
-Sionian well beaten by Sapphire on debut who Dance Secretary has well covered on form

The Weld and Stack newcomers could be anything of course but i think it will take a good newcomer to beat the Oxx horse here - 6/4 or better would do me fine
By:
qc3
When: 04 Apr 11 22:11
7.15,Mutiska @ 12/1
Ran 3 good efforts under S Foley over 12 and 14F. Down to 11F with J Murtagh on board running off 63.
Has to be great E/W value at 12/1.
By:
snap crackle and pop
When: 04 Apr 11 22:42
Was in leopardstown the day Dance Secretary ran BJG and remember being told before the race that it needed good ground, going to be very soft there tomorrow, going was good to firm that day in leopardstown. A lay at that price for me, in these conditions
By:
BJG
When: 04 Apr 11 22:49
Ground is the worry, been rainin on and off here all day[>o]
By:
snap crackle and pop
When: 04 Apr 11 22:56
Thread carefully with that one BJG. Ground could throw up a lot of funny results there tomorrow. I agree with the fly10, West Coast Dream looks the best bet on the card for me, on an upward curve, good jockey and proven in these conditions.
By:
wildmanfromborneo
When: 05 Apr 11 11:45
West Coast Dream looked a sprinter at the Curragh i dont think he will stay the mile,when he last raced over a mile in Dundalk he patently didnt stay,admittedly he is a year older and there is stamina on his dams side but i still think he is a lay and maybe even a place lay.
By:
azzkikr
When: 05 Apr 11 13:06
On Luddenmore 7.15 Limerick and i think thats well worth a small ew punt at the price.A winner over a mile on the flat (good to firm) last year on a 1lb lower mark i think its fair to say he improved over the winter over hurdles for a combination of things,a step up in trip,cut in the ground and a general improvement on anything he should before.A 2L 2nd to highly regarded Plan A (now rated 132 over jumps) was the highlight of several solid efforts.

This is a very average 0-70 handicap and if Luddenmore can reciprocate that improved jumps form back to the flat,i think the cut will suit as will the stiffish 1m 3f trip and a mark of 62 against these gives him decent claims,not one to have the mortgage but at a decent price worth a small ew nibble or one for an ew multiple.



i also like the look of Obligada in the 4.45,she has at least 10lb in hand on official figures,was a winner 1st time out last season and over C/D and can be backed at 6.8 in a 6 horse race,i think thats great value.
By:
Giant Strides
When: 05 Apr 11 13:15
Dance Secretary being backed like soft ground is not an issue.
Oblique really should need further than this on breeding azzkikr.
By:
BJG
When: 05 Apr 11 16:35
4.45 Shelley Beach
5.15 Dance Secretary
7.15 Reach The Stars


All bein smashed up ShockedShockedShocked
By:
BJG
When: 05 Apr 11 16:41
Been dry here all day so hopefully dried out a bit and as i say, till they get beaten on it, i wont say they cant go on itLaugh
By:
playthegameboy
When: 05 Apr 11 16:48
Good start for layers, FFS Cry
By:
BJG
When: 05 Apr 11 16:49
wd azzkikrCool

Betfair Starting Price:       8.468051Shocked
By:
Dan Chipowski
When: 05 Apr 11 17:17
Unlucky BJG Cry
By:
itcanbedone
When: 05 Apr 11 17:17
Some race.  Two decent looking hosses.
By:
BJG
When: 05 Apr 11 17:19
Cry[>o]
By:
BJG
When: 05 Apr 11 17:20
Backed the winner on her 3 runs last season Laugh
By:
workrider
When: 05 Apr 11 17:23
had a small few pound on the winner dutched it with offa ...thought it was going to hiss up at one stage ..murtagh hard to pass ...
By:
Bigwillystyle
When: 05 Apr 11 17:30
Wonky d supreme after timer. LOL
By:
workrider
When: 05 Apr 11 17:32
stay off the wine ffs littlewilly ..
By:
workrider
When: 05 Apr 11 17:33
2011-04-05
17:24    14261537932     2011-04-05
17:11     IRE Lim 5th Apr / 17:15 7f Mdn / Asheerah
Back          5.50    25.00    Won         112.50
By:
workrider
When: 05 Apr 11 17:55
swampfire ..might be the answer to the next ...blinkers will liven this fellow up ..he hung like mad at leop ..so going right handed just might be a help....
By:
soapp
When: 05 Apr 11 18:03
Young Joseph put up 3 lb o/weight on Sionan in the 5 15. I thing the stewards will allow 3 lb overweight. Surely they won't allow this to happen on a regular basis.
By:
soapp
When: 05 Apr 11 18:13
I see Lady O'Reilly had a winner Obligada in the first race.

That reminds me of Chris Hayes. He is really going to struggle this year if as seems likely he has lost the retainer to her. I know he is sitting out a suspension at the moment.
By:
Giant Strides
When: 05 Apr 11 18:44
Always amazes me this forum.
Atop meeting on Sunday and barely a post throughout.
An average meeting tonight and posts galore! Confused
By:
Giant Strides
When: 05 Apr 11 19:01
Well done azzkikr. Certainly flummoxed me that one.
First time out winner is an angle I like too, but the pedigree screams distance. Beat Hollow a 10f animal, and I remember backing the dam for SM Prescott. Also a Lo`R mare who only got the message over 12/14f as a 3 yo! They would make a mockery of you.
It did actually win that race last summer over the slightly longer trip though.
By:
wildmanfromborneo
When: 05 Apr 11 19:06
Giant Strides we were all at the races on Sunday hence few posts.
By:
workrider
When: 05 Apr 11 19:09
... looking back on it giant ..swampfire was the bet of the night ...
By:
Giant Strides
When: 05 Apr 11 19:14
Surely not everyone wmfb?
Happens on a regular basis. A summer hurdling meet at Kilbeggan will get more interest. I don`t get it!
Well done wr. Top ride from Murtagh. He wasn`t letting lightning strike twice! Watch for the 2nd over shorter. Surprised they asked her to go a mile on debut. The family were all sprinters
By:
Bigwillystyle
When: 05 Apr 11 19:21
Enjoying a fine Muga here wonky, not that u would know ajything about decent wine.
By:
tobellie
When: 05 Apr 11 19:25
berry very weak there
By:
workrider
When: 05 Apr 11 19:30
littlewilly i notice its allowance day today ..your mother buy you a bottle of red biddy then.....Laugh
By:
workrider
When: 05 Apr 11 19:32
i agree with wildman ...most on here are out on a sunday giant...either racing or gaa..always quiet on sundays...
By:
Bigwillystyle
When: 05 Apr 11 19:40
I can assure you I work for a living Wonky thank god. I am able to afford a few nice things in life and wine is a fav of mine.
By:
workrider
When: 05 Apr 11 19:43
dont we know littlewilly , dont we know....
By:
workrider
When: 05 Apr 11 19:49
gosh the place is packed tonight with students ...good piece of p.r. there , well done limerick....
By:
Bigwillystyle
When: 05 Apr 11 19:54
Serious eye catcher in d last there. Not off a yard. Hope it gets a mark in low 60's or less.
By:
wildmanfromborneo
When: 05 Apr 11 20:01
Care to name him Bigwillystyle.
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