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i think lucky will get a solo on sat ...de ex and 4 will cut across t3 and give lucky a solo ... what do you think..
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SatelliteFlight Joined: 06 May 10
Replies: 7086 31 Jan 11 15:57
Really good final in my opinion.
General Dogsbody is a worthy fav and has been brilliant the last two weeks but i think he is short enough at a best priced 15/8. If he comes away well again and leads he will more than likely win as they will find it nigh on impossible to back run him but he will have to come away.
De Ex Factor is 2nd in at 5/2 but i still think he'd be better drawn off the fence and he will again move off on the run up and thus could cause problems for Ballymac Lomu in 2 and the fav General Dogsbody in 3. As like General Dogsbody if De Ex Factor was to turn in front it's game over for the others. I think his price is a tad on the skinny side but not far off the mark.
Whatsupjack is next in at a best priced 4/1. I personally think he is the worst value in the race. He ran well in his semi but only got around in front due to been drawn inside Three One Three. To win here he must lead and i struggle to see how he will turn in front of the 3 dogs inside him. I can't have him at the prices.
Tyrur Lucky is next in at 9/2 and while some would problem question what im going to say i believe he represents real value here. He has the best of the draw here with Three One Three likely to move inwards on the run up. In his semi he ran a lot better than the 1st round. He was slowly away again (which is a worry) but showed decent pace up and ran the opening bends well again. He really took off down the back and looked the likely winner into the last 2 bends but ran very wide off the last and got tired on the run in. However it was a huge improvment on the previous week and in my opinion he will come on for that semi run again. If he can come away better (he has a 4.79 split from 6 for this trip) he will have a solo to the bend and i can see him leading or at least turning handy. He can then take off down the back but must lead by the 3rd to be winning.
Ballymac Lomu is next best at 10/1. He didn't break as well in his semi and got a bit crowded and bumped on the run up. Here he must ping as he has pace on both sides of him and De Ex factor will move off from 1. I don't like his draw but if getting it right is not without a chance.
Three One Three is the outsider of the party at 16/1. He was unlucky not to get around in front in his semi final but came away well enough and showed decent pace up. He has to ping to stand any chance but thats not impossible as he has not come away as well as he can in the comp yet. He is not without a chance and i would not put anybody off him at the price.
anyhow there's my views, im sure many will disagree with me
I deffo think Lucky has the best of the draw. He has not come away in either round but showed good pace up so if he can come away like he has i think he has big claims. He will need to improve again but looks to me as if the Fahy's are bringing their dogs to the boil slowly this year so expect him to improve again. De Ex Factor will move off from 1 as you say but not sure Whatsupjack will move inwards, for some reason he has a habit of drifting off on the run up. Ballymac Lomu got bother on the run up last week and can go up quicker too so the fav can't afford to make a mistake at the start. Three One Three will edge inwards from 5 and can go up well too but will be out of Lucky's way and he should get a nice solo.
If Lucky can come away i think he wins [;)]
Replies: 7086 31 Jan 11 15:57
Really good final in my opinion.
General Dogsbody is a worthy fav and has been brilliant the last two weeks but i think he is short enough at a best priced 15/8. If he comes away well again and leads he will more than likely win as they will find it nigh on impossible to back run him but he will have to come away.
De Ex Factor is 2nd in at 5/2 but i still think he'd be better drawn off the fence and he will again move off on the run up and thus could cause problems for Ballymac Lomu in 2 and the fav General Dogsbody in 3. As like General Dogsbody if De Ex Factor was to turn in front it's game over for the others. I think his price is a tad on the skinny side but not far off the mark.
Whatsupjack is next in at a best priced 4/1. I personally think he is the worst value in the race. He ran well in his semi but only got around in front due to been drawn inside Three One Three. To win here he must lead and i struggle to see how he will turn in front of the 3 dogs inside him. I can't have him at the prices.
Tyrur Lucky is next in at 9/2 and while some would problem question what im going to say i believe he represents real value here. He has the best of the draw here with Three One Three likely to move inwards on the run up. In his semi he ran a lot better than the 1st round. He was slowly away again (which is a worry) but showed decent pace up and ran the opening bends well again. He really took off down the back and looked the likely winner into the last 2 bends but ran very wide off the last and got tired on the run in. However it was a huge improvment on the previous week and in my opinion he will come on for that semi run again. If he can come away better (he has a 4.79 split from 6 for this trip) he will have a solo to the bend and i can see him leading or at least turning handy. He can then take off down the back but must lead by the 3rd to be winning.
Ballymac Lomu is next best at 10/1. He didn't break as well in his semi and got a bit crowded and bumped on the run up. Here he must ping as he has pace on both sides of him and De Ex factor will move off from 1. I don't like his draw but if getting it right is not without a chance.
Three One Three is the outsider of the party at 16/1. He was unlucky not to get around in front in his semi final but came away well enough and showed decent pace up. He has to ping to stand any chance but thats not impossible as he has not come away as well as he can in the comp yet. He is not without a chance and i would not put anybody off him at the price.
anyhow there's my views, im sure many will disagree with me
I deffo think Lucky has the best of the draw. He has not come away in either round but showed good pace up so if he can come away like he has i think he has big claims. He will need to improve again but looks to me as if the Fahy's are bringing their dogs to the boil slowly this year so expect him to improve again. De Ex Factor will move off from 1 as you say but not sure Whatsupjack will move inwards, for some reason he has a habit of drifting off on the run up. Ballymac Lomu got bother on the run up last week and can go up quicker too so the fav can't afford to make a mistake at the start. Three One Three will edge inwards from 5 and can go up well too but will be out of Lucky's way and he should get a nice solo.
If Lucky can come away i think he wins [;)]
see you tomorrow .....
Sorry for the length of that 
yeah really good card tomorrow, looking forward to it 
yeah really good card tomorrow, looking forward to it
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