*Curragh 22nd/23rd May*

The one i like e/w here is Xtension - thought it ran a stormer wen 4th in Newmarket fto for the season- should come on for the run and wil be tough to keep out of the places imo @ 6/1 e/w

Xtension looks a solid bet in the 2000, perfect trends pick.

Music Show to show her true worth in the 1000.

1000G

1        2-   
Anna Salai
b f Dubawi (IRE) - Anna Palariva (IRE)
9-0 (290) (Godolphin) (Drawn 12)
Mahmood Al Zarooni
A Ajtebi

2        22-82   
Atasari
b f Whipper (USA) - Azra (IRE)
9-0 (B) (15)  (Mrs J S Bolger) (Drawn 3) Rated 105
J S Bolger
D J Moran

3        0-11   
Bethrah
br f Marju (IRE) - Reve D'Iman (FR)
9-0 (15) (Hamdan Al Maktoum) (Drawn 8) Rated 103
D K Weld
P J Smullen

4        25-29   
Blue Maiden
b f Medicean (GB) - Bluebelle (GB)
9-0 (22) (Peter Charter) (Drawn 5)
P J McBride
K Fallon

5        1   
Cnocandancer
ch f Danehill Dancer (IRE) - Dancing Diva (FR)
9-0 (21) (Newtown Anner Stud Farm Ltd ) (Drawn 1)
T Stack
W J Lee

6        175-3   
Crystal Gal
b f Galileo (IRE) - Park Crystal (IRE)
9-0 (57) (P O'Grady & Philip M Lloyd) (Drawn 10) Rated 96
Kevin Prendergast
C D Hayes

7        24-02   
Famous
gr f Danehill Dancer (IRE) - Starlight Dreams (USA)
9-0 (21) (Derrick Smith, Mrs John Magnier & Michael Tabor) (Drawn 17) Rated 103
A P O'Brien
(---)

8        2187   
Full Of Hope
b f Invincible Spirit (IRE) - Tathkara (USA)
9-0 (15) (Michael Tabor, Derrick Smith & Mrs John Magnier) (Drawn 4) Rated 92
A P O'Brien
(---)

9        15-23   
Gile Na Greine
b f Galileo (IRE) - Scribonia (IRE)
9-0 (22) (Mrs J S Bolger & D H W Dobson) (Drawn 19) Rated 110
J S Bolger
K J Manning

10        132-0   
Lady Darshaan
b f High Chaparral (IRE) - Diary (IRE)
9-0 (22) (Coleman Bloodstock Limited) (Drawn 16)
J S Moore
R Hughes

11        361-1   
Lady Springbank
gr f Choisir (AUS) - Severa (GER)
9-0 (57) (Mark Gittins) (Drawn 9) Rated 104
P D Deegan
James Crowley

12        1318-   
Lillie Langtry
b f Danehill Dancer (IRE) - Hoity Toity (GB)
9-0 (199) (Michael Tabor, Derrick Smith & Mrs John Magnier) (Drawn 6) Rated 108
A P O'Brien
(---)

13        11   
Lolly For Dolly
b f Oratorio (IRE) - Heart Stopping (USA)
9-0 (21)  (D Keoghan) (Drawn 14)
T Stack
W M Lordan

14        01-16   
Music Show
b f Noverre (USA) - Dreamboat (USA)
9-0 (22) (Jaber Abdullah) (Drawn 7)
M R Channon
R L Moore

15        7306   
Queen Of Troy
b f Storm Cat (USA) - Warrior Queen (USA)
9-0 (15) (Mrs John Magnier & Paul James Fleming) (Drawn 13) Rated 92
A P O'Brien
(---)

16        2-3   
Remember When
ch f Danehill Dancer (IRE) - Lagrion (USA)
9-0 (22) (Mrs John Magnier & Michael Tabor) (Drawn 11)
A P O'Brien
(---)

17        116-3   
Song Of My Heart
ch f Footstepsinthesand (GB) - Catch The Moon (IRE)
9-0 (43) (Sir Robert Ogden) (Drawn 18) Rated 102
David Wachman
(---)

18        11-   
Termagant
b f Powerscourt (GB) - Rock Salt (GB)
9-0 (267) (J Vasicek) (Drawn 2)
Kevin Prendergast
D P McDonogh

19        146-4   
What About Me
b f Bertolini (USA) - Marefonic (GB)
9-0 (43) (Mrs Annette Nolan) (Drawn 15) Rated 94


Racecaller's trends

Age
Race for 3yos

Breeding
Irish bred: 7-12-92
British bred: 3-1-20
American bred: 0-5-27
French bred: 0-1-1
8 of 10 winners were sired by a group 1 winner
3 winners were sired by Sadler’s Wells and 2 were sired by Pivotal
It’s worth noting that Danehill Dancer sired the winner of both the Irish 1000 and 2000 Guineas in 2009.

Recent/Past Form
9 of 10 winners had had at least 4 previous starts
9 of 10 winners had run that season
8 of 10 winners ran in the last 21 days
10 of 10 winners had won over 7F+
7 of 10 winners had won a group or listed race
7 of 10 winners had won or placed in a group 1 (2 of other 3 had been unplaced in 2 group 1's)

Other Races
English 1000 Guineas winner: 181 (2-0-3)
Record of horses that finished 2nd/3rd/4th in 1000 Guineas: 45230250660500 (0-3-14)
Rockfel Stakes winner (Music Show): 5102 (1-1-4)
Moyglare Stud Stakes winner (Termagent): 042651 (1-1-6)
Leopardstown Debutante Stakes winner (Lillie Langtry): 00681 (1-0-5)
C. L. Weld Park Stakes winner (Lady Springbank): 61090085 (1-0-8)
Derrinstown 1000 Guineas Trial (Bethrah): 00962343 (0-3-8)
Leopardstown 1000 Guineas Trial (Lady Springbank): 258003 (0-2-6)
Athasi Stakes winner (Lolly For Dolly): 9880 (0-0-4)
5 of 10 winners ran in English 1000 Guineas last time, finishing 88161
2 of 10 winners ran in French 1000 Guineas last time, finishing 23
3 of 10 winners ran in the Moyglare Stud Stakes, finishing 631
3 of 10 winners ran in the Prix Marcel Boussac, finishing 610
3 of 10 winners ran in the Rockfel Stakes, finishing 231
3 of 10 winners ran in the Weld Park Stakes, finishing 127
2 of 10 winners ran in the Leopardstown Debutante Stakes, finishing 12
2 of 10 winners ran in the Leopardstown 1000 Guineas Trial, finishing 22
2 of 10 winners ran in the 2yo Meon Valley Stud Fillies Mile, finishing 41

Trainers
Aidan O’Brien (3-6-38) has won 3 of the last 10 however he has sent out 38 runners in the race in the past 10 years (approximately 27% of total runners). His first strings have a record of 1-4-10.
Dermot Weld (1-3-15), Jim Bolger (1-3-12) and David Wachman (1-1-6) have all saddled the winner once in the past 10 years.
British-trained runners (3-4-30) have won 3 of the last 10 from approximately 21.4% of the total runners.

Price
7 of the last 10 winners came from the first 4 in the betting
There were a few shocks around the turn of the century but the longest priced winner since 2002 has been 12/1 with 6 of last 8 winners going off at 13/2 or shorter.
Favourites (4-2-10) have won 4 of the last 10 and show a level stakes profit of 3.40 over past 10 years.

Summary:
Based on the trends from the past 10 years you are looking for a horse:
·         Sired by a group 1 winner
·         Run at least 4 times
·         Had last start in past 21 days
·         Won over 7F or further
·         Won or placed in a group 1
·         Ran in the English 1000 Guineas last time out
·         Trained by Aidan O’Brien or in Britain
·         From first 4 in the betting

No Glass Harmonium! Lucky Godolphin supplemented theirs or else it would be a non event. Very disappointing.

Just to clarify. Cutlass Bay is a colt!

2.40 - Moment of Weakness @4/1 - form of his last win was well and truely franked on Thursday.

3.10 - Rain Delayed @6/1 (Nap) - looks a solid ew bet here, should be good enough to win this.

3.45 - Xtension ew @ 13/2 - has the most solid profile, clear trends pick, and will love the conditions.

4.20 - Shamwari Lodge - short enough @ 8/11, but is a mile clear on ratings and looks one for the doubles and trebles.

GL all.

1.40 nb - Leah Claire @ 9/1 e/w worth another chance after a disappointing run lto - a CD winner 2 runs ago wen travelling wel and showin a good turn of foot didnt get home over 12f lto at Roscommon imo

3.10 Markab an e/w bet to nothing imo - made al at Thirsk lto on g/f and battled bravely to hold on- could be tough to pass here

3.45 The one i like e/w here is Xtension - thought it ran a stormer wen 4th in Newmarket fto for the season- should come on for the run and wil be tough to keep out of the places imo @ 6/1 e/w

4.20 Nap Shamwari Lodge looks an absolute penalty kick imo - aint gonna get rich at 8/11 but hard to see how this loses

Pity they can al win like that

Cant believe he was nt in the 3, 4th of course


Some performance from Canford - could nt do that last time

also lay in place market

someone tell ted its canford cliffs not canford hills

A bad day to be a bookie at de Curragh imo

Music Show at 9/2 e/w in de 1000G looks a serious bet to nothin imo

she*

And she was not hampered as badly as many say in the Nell Gwyn, she was beaten fair and square getting 3lbs. mS had a similar or worse path throw that race.

Music Show wins this, but GL with BM kev she does look a nice ew bet.

more of a gender issue imo

Wouldn't begrudge him a big win, but i've just gone in big on MS, so..... [;)]

NORN enter the tipping comp ffs

DAS SWEAR IM 2 BUSY IVE 4 HRS COMPUTER WORK TOO DO THE DAY . BUT IF FIND TIME WILL SUMMER IS BUSY 4ME HAVE TAKE JUNIORS 4 TIMES A WEEK INC SUNDAYS WITH HANGOVER JUS BAC NEED PINT  BUT WAIT TIL GET WORK ANN SEE GUINEEAS

back to your ironing galwayman

no wonder this forum is dead nowadays with a complete gobsh1te like you trolling around all the time

how many will o brien have for the derby

7?
looked handy but nothing to suggest he'd jump off either st nicholas or cape blanco

Nothing better than the Curragh on a sunny day. Magnificent setting for a great week-ends racing.

Fair dues to staff down there. I was passing at lunch time and there were 6 staff out in the straight with their walking sticks putting back the divots.