*Curragh 22nd/23rd May*

The one i like e/w here is Xtension - thought it ran a stormer wen 4th in Newmarket fto for the season- should come on for the run and wil be tough to keep out of the places imo @ 6/1 e/w

Good work BJG.
I couldn`t back anything with Adam Kirby up to win a classic. Terrible jockey.
I think Fencing Master could reverse form from Newmarket, with Stenbeck being the fly in the ointment.

Xtension looks a solid bet in the 2000, perfect trends pick.

Music Show to show her true worth in the 1000.

Backed Fencing Master E/W antepost but gonna have to back him again, going out on jockey bookings second string syndrome when he was always Colms ride.

1000G

1        2-   
Anna Salai
b f Dubawi (IRE) - Anna Palariva (IRE)
9-0 (290) (Godolphin) (Drawn 12)
Mahmood Al Zarooni
A Ajtebi

2        22-82   
Atasari
b f Whipper (USA) - Azra (IRE)
9-0 (B) (15)  (Mrs J S Bolger) (Drawn 3) Rated 105
J S Bolger
D J Moran

3        0-11   
Bethrah
br f Marju (IRE) - Reve D'Iman (FR)
9-0 (15) (Hamdan Al Maktoum) (Drawn 8) Rated 103
D K Weld
P J Smullen

4        25-29   
Blue Maiden
b f Medicean (GB) - Bluebelle (GB)
9-0 (22) (Peter Charter) (Drawn 5)
P J McBride
K Fallon

5        1   
Cnocandancer
ch f Danehill Dancer (IRE) - Dancing Diva (FR)
9-0 (21) (Newtown Anner Stud Farm Ltd ) (Drawn 1)
T Stack
W J Lee

6        175-3   
Crystal Gal
b f Galileo (IRE) - Park Crystal (IRE)
9-0 (57) (P O'Grady & Philip M Lloyd) (Drawn 10) Rated 96
Kevin Prendergast
C D Hayes

7        24-02   
Famous
gr f Danehill Dancer (IRE) - Starlight Dreams (USA)
9-0 (21) (Derrick Smith, Mrs John Magnier & Michael Tabor) (Drawn 17) Rated 103
A P O'Brien
(---)

8        2187   
Full Of Hope
b f Invincible Spirit (IRE) - Tathkara (USA)
9-0 (15) (Michael Tabor, Derrick Smith & Mrs John Magnier) (Drawn 4) Rated 92
A P O'Brien
(---)

9        15-23   
Gile Na Greine
b f Galileo (IRE) - Scribonia (IRE)
9-0 (22) (Mrs J S Bolger & D H W Dobson) (Drawn 19) Rated 110
J S Bolger
K J Manning

10        132-0   
Lady Darshaan
b f High Chaparral (IRE) - Diary (IRE)
9-0 (22) (Coleman Bloodstock Limited) (Drawn 16)
J S Moore
R Hughes

11        361-1   
Lady Springbank
gr f Choisir (AUS) - Severa (GER)
9-0 (57) (Mark Gittins) (Drawn 9) Rated 104
P D Deegan
James Crowley

12        1318-   
Lillie Langtry
b f Danehill Dancer (IRE) - Hoity Toity (GB)
9-0 (199) (Michael Tabor, Derrick Smith & Mrs John Magnier) (Drawn 6) Rated 108
A P O'Brien
(---)

13        11   
Lolly For Dolly
b f Oratorio (IRE) - Heart Stopping (USA)
9-0 (21)  (D Keoghan) (Drawn 14)
T Stack
W M Lordan

14        01-16   
Music Show
b f Noverre (USA) - Dreamboat (USA)
9-0 (22) (Jaber Abdullah) (Drawn 7)
M R Channon
R L Moore

15        7306   
Queen Of Troy
b f Storm Cat (USA) - Warrior Queen (USA)
9-0 (15) (Mrs John Magnier & Paul James Fleming) (Drawn 13) Rated 92
A P O'Brien
(---)

16        2-3   
Remember When
ch f Danehill Dancer (IRE) - Lagrion (USA)
9-0 (22) (Mrs John Magnier & Michael Tabor) (Drawn 11)
A P O'Brien
(---)

17        116-3   
Song Of My Heart
ch f Footstepsinthesand (GB) - Catch The Moon (IRE)
9-0 (43) (Sir Robert Ogden) (Drawn 18) Rated 102
David Wachman
(---)

18        11-   
Termagant
b f Powerscourt (GB) - Rock Salt (GB)
9-0 (267) (J Vasicek) (Drawn 2)
Kevin Prendergast
D P McDonogh

19        146-4   
What About Me
b f Bertolini (USA) - Marefonic (GB)
9-0 (43) (Mrs Annette Nolan) (Drawn 15) Rated 94


Racecaller's trends

Age
Race for 3yos

Breeding
Irish bred: 7-12-92
British bred: 3-1-20
American bred: 0-5-27
French bred: 0-1-1
8 of 10 winners were sired by a group 1 winner
3 winners were sired by Sadler’s Wells and 2 were sired by Pivotal
It’s worth noting that Danehill Dancer sired the winner of both the Irish 1000 and 2000 Guineas in 2009.

Recent/Past Form
9 of 10 winners had had at least 4 previous starts
9 of 10 winners had run that season
8 of 10 winners ran in the last 21 days
10 of 10 winners had won over 7F+
7 of 10 winners had won a group or listed race
7 of 10 winners had won or placed in a group 1 (2 of other 3 had been unplaced in 2 group 1's)

Other Races
English 1000 Guineas winner: 181 (2-0-3)
Record of horses that finished 2nd/3rd/4th in 1000 Guineas: 45230250660500 (0-3-14)
Rockfel Stakes winner (Music Show): 5102 (1-1-4)
Moyglare Stud Stakes winner (Termagent): 042651 (1-1-6)
Leopardstown Debutante Stakes winner (Lillie Langtry): 00681 (1-0-5)
C. L. Weld Park Stakes winner (Lady Springbank): 61090085 (1-0-8)
Derrinstown 1000 Guineas Trial (Bethrah): 00962343 (0-3-8)
Leopardstown 1000 Guineas Trial (Lady Springbank): 258003 (0-2-6)
Athasi Stakes winner (Lolly For Dolly): 9880 (0-0-4)
5 of 10 winners ran in English 1000 Guineas last time, finishing 88161
2 of 10 winners ran in French 1000 Guineas last time, finishing 23
3 of 10 winners ran in the Moyglare Stud Stakes, finishing 631
3 of 10 winners ran in the Prix Marcel Boussac, finishing 610
3 of 10 winners ran in the Rockfel Stakes, finishing 231
3 of 10 winners ran in the Weld Park Stakes, finishing 127
2 of 10 winners ran in the Leopardstown Debutante Stakes, finishing 12
2 of 10 winners ran in the Leopardstown 1000 Guineas Trial, finishing 22
2 of 10 winners ran in the 2yo Meon Valley Stud Fillies Mile, finishing 41

Trainers
Aidan O’Brien (3-6-38) has won 3 of the last 10 however he has sent out 38 runners in the race in the past 10 years (approximately 27% of total runners). His first strings have a record of 1-4-10.
Dermot Weld (1-3-15), Jim Bolger (1-3-12) and David Wachman (1-1-6) have all saddled the winner once in the past 10 years.
British-trained runners (3-4-30) have won 3 of the last 10 from approximately 21.4% of the total runners.

Price
7 of the last 10 winners came from the first 4 in the betting
There were a few shocks around the turn of the century but the longest priced winner since 2002 has been 12/1 with 6 of last 8 winners going off at 13/2 or shorter.
Favourites (4-2-10) have won 4 of the last 10 and show a level stakes profit of 3.40 over past 10 years.

Summary:
Based on the trends from the past 10 years you are looking for a horse:
·         Sired by a group 1 winner
·         Run at least 4 times
·         Had last start in past 21 days
·         Won over 7F or further
·         Won or placed in a group 1
·         Ran in the English 1000 Guineas last time out
·         Trained by Aidan O’Brien or in Britain
·         From first 4 in the betting

Tattersalls Gold Cup

1        11-1   
Cutlass Bay
m Halling (USA) - Dunnes River (USA)
4, 9-0(Tonguestrap) (43) (Godolphin) (Drawn 2)
Saeed Bin Suroor
A Ajtebi

2        51-44   
Dixie Music
b c Montjeu (IRE) - Dixielake (IRE)
4, 9-0 (21) (Mrs John Magnier, Michael Tabor & Derrick Smith) (Drawn 4) Rated 101
A P O'Brien
(---)

3        66-31   
Fame And Glory
b c Montjeu (IRE) - Gryada (GB)
4, 9-0 (21) (Derrick Smith, Mrs John Magnier & Michael Tabor) (Drawn 5) Rated 128
A P O'Brien
(---)

4        1P05   
Halicarnassus
b c Cape Cross (IRE) - Launch Time (USA)
6, 9-0 (23) (Doric Racing) (Drawn 1)
M R Channon
R L Moore

5        45-22   
Recharge
b c Cape Cross (IRE) - Rebelline (IRE)
4, 9-0 (21) (Lady O'Reilly) (Drawn 3) Rated 107
Kevin Prendergast
C D Hayes

6        110-1   
Chinese White
gr f Dalakhani (IRE) - Chiang Mai (IRE)
5, 8-11 (22) (Lady O'Reilly) (Drawn 6) Rated 113
D K Weld


Racecaller's Trends
The Tattersalls Gold Cup takes place on the undercard of the Curragh’s 1000 Guineas day on Sunday 23rd May. It’s a group 1 race run over 1M 2½F and has been won by some top class horses in the past decade, including Montjeu, Fantastic Light and Hurricane Run. It’s disappointing to see that only 7 horses have been entered at the 5-day stage this year.

Below we take a look at the trends for the past 10 years:

Age

	Win		Place	Runners
4yo	8		7	40
5yo	2		4	18
6yo	o		1	4

8 of 10 winners were aged 4yo, though they have represented approximately 65.4% of the total runners.
The two 5yo winners were the only two winner trained in Great Britain.

Gender
The nine mares to run in this race have finished 818228623 (1-2-9)

Recent/Past Form
10 of 10 winners won over 1M 2F+
10 of 10 winners had won a group 1 or 2
7 of 10 winners had won a group 1 (all 3 exceptions had been placed in a group 1)
10 of 10 winners had run no more than twice that season
6 of 10 winners had won at the Curragh (2 exceptions were having first course start & other two had finished in the first 3 in a group 1 here)
10 of 10 winners were officially rated 110 or higher

Other Races
Previous season's Irish Derby winner (Fame And Glory): 1112 (3-1-4)
Prix Ganay winner (Cutlass Bay): 2221 (1-3-4)
Prev season's Derrinstown Stud winner (Fame And Glory): 21 (1-1-2)
Previous season's Prix Greffulhe winner (Cutlass Bay): 1 (1-0-1)
Mooresbridge Stakes winner (Fame And Glory): 5613 (1-0-4)
5 of 10 winners ran in the previous season's Irish Derby, finishing 16112 (one other finished 7th in the Irish Oaks)
4 of 10 winners ran in the previous season’s Arc, finishing 1001
3 of 10 winners ran in the previous season's French Derby, finishing 152
2 of 10 winners ran in the Irish Champion Stakes, finishing 24
2 of 10 winners ran in the Judmonte International Stakes, finishing 14
2 of 10 winners ran in the Prix Ganay, finishing 91
2 of 10 winners ran in the Newmarket Champion Stakes, finishing 88
2 of 10 winners ran in the Eclipse, finishing 52

Trainers
Aidan O’Brien (3-2-11) has won 3 of the last 7 runnings of this race.
Dermot Weld (2-1-7) trained the winner in 2005 and saddled the first two home last year.
Saeed Bin Suroor (1-2-7), Michael Stoute (1-1-3) and Kevin Prendergast (1-0-4) have all saddled the winner once in the past decade.
British-trained runners (2-6-23) have won only 2 of the last 10 from approximately 37.1% of the total runners.
French-trained runners (2-1-3) have gained 2 wins and a second from 3 runners. Cutlass Bay had been trained in France by Andre Fabre until she moved to Saeed Bin Suroor earlier this month.

Price
10 of the last 10 winners were priced 7/1 or shorter
Nine runners has been the biggest field for this race since 2000 so it’s no surprise that all winners have gone off at single-figure prices.
Favourites (4-4-10) have won 4 of the last 10 however 4 of the 7 odds-on favourites to run in this have been turned over in the past decade. Favourites show a level stakes loss of 3.84 over past 10 years.

Summary:
Based on the trends from the past 10 years you are looking for a horse:
·         Aged 4
·         Won over 1M 2F or further
·         Won a group 1 or 2 (finished in first 3 in a group 1)
·         Course winner
·         Officially rated 110+
·         Ran in the Irish or French Derbys last season
·         Trained by A O’Brie

No Glass Harmonium! Lucky Godolphin supplemented theirs or else it would be a non event. Very disappointing.

I nearly backed GH e/w AP yesterday - phew

Just to clarify. Cutlass Bay is a colt!

No opinion on the 2000 guineas.

I think Gil Na Greine can confirm her Newmarket superiorty despite the Rowley Mile draw bias.
Lolly For Dolly is unexposed and should be in the mix at the business end.

2.40 - Moment of Weakness @4/1 - form of his last win was well and truely franked on Thursday.

3.10 - Rain Delayed @6/1 (Nap) - looks a solid ew bet here, should be good enough to win this.

3.45 - Xtension ew @ 13/2 - has the most solid profile, clear trends pick, and will love the conditions.

4.20 - Shamwari Lodge - short enough @ 8/11, but is a mile clear on ratings and looks one for the doubles and trebles.

GL all.

in 2 minds wheather to go or wait for tomorrow .its not a great card imo.

1.40 nb - Leah Claire @ 9/1 e/w worth another chance after a disappointing run lto - a CD winner 2 runs ago wen travelling wel and showin a good turn of foot didnt get home over 12f lto at Roscommon imo

3.10 Markab an e/w bet to nothing imo - made al at Thirsk lto on g/f and battled bravely to hold on- could be tough to pass here

3.45 The one i like e/w here is Xtension - thought it ran a stormer wen 4th in Newmarket fto for the season- should come on for the run and wil be tough to keep out of the places imo @ 6/1 e/w

4.20 Nap Shamwari Lodge looks an absolute penalty kick imo - aint gonna get rich at 8/11 but hard to see how this loses

Aghadoe in de last bein smashed up

Pity they can al win like that

Wd, hard to beat those English sprinters over here!

Xtension to save my day

Cant believe he was nt in the 3, 4th of course


Some performance from Canford - could nt do that last time

shamwari lodge LAY

also lay in place market

gl

Av backed it at 8/11 - cant see anythin in this bein good enough to beat it myself

someone tell ted its canford cliffs not canford hills

latin love one to watch after that

A bad day to be a bookie at de Curragh imo

long queues at all bookies..specially davy..

Music Show at 9/2 e/w in de 1000G looks a serious bet to nothin imo

if you fancy music show then blue maiden must enter calculations at 25/1 ew (29 here)

he couldnt get out in the race with music show and lost by a closing neck.

in the newmarket 1000, he was drawn on the wrong side hence had no chance

fallon booked for the ride

she*

And she was not hampered as badly as many say in the Nell Gwyn, she was beaten fair and square getting 3lbs. mS had a similar or worse path throw that race.

Music Show wins this, but GL with BM kev she does look a nice ew bet.

cheers down

and i should of said "she" incase the grammar police are out in full force

would be a great story for a small trainer like mcbride to win a big one like this

more of a gender issue imo

Wouldn't begrudge him a big win, but i've just gone in big on MS, so..... [;)]

ZHUKHOV EW 210
SHINTOH EW 240
GIMLIS ROCK/KEVCAT EW 310
TERMAGANT EW NAP 415
GREEN ART EW 520

DOWNPATRICK

1 MR DAZZA EW 220
2 SWIFT LADY  EW 250
3  CILLIN HILL EW 320
4 AGHILL EW  SAVER ON FIERY OSCAR RESERVE IF GETS IN 355
5 WITHOUT THE BOP /CORPORATION  EW
6 WHATS ON THE MENU / SPEEKSTOWN EW

GOOD LUCK PUNTERS

NORN enter the tipping comp ffs

and i should of said "she" incase the grammar police are out in full force

Oh the ironing.

DAS SWEAR IM 2 BUSY IVE 4 HRS COMPUTER WORK TOO DO THE DAY . BUT IF FIND TIME WILL SUMMER IS BUSY 4ME HAVE TAKE JUNIORS 4 TIMES A WEEK INC SUNDAYS WITH HANGOVER JUS BAC NEED PINT  BUT WAIT TIL GET WORK ANN SEE GUINEEAS

2.40, jan vermeer lay

back to your ironing galwayman

no wonder this forum is dead nowadays with a complete gobsh1te like you trolling around all the time

That was an impressive comeback from JV.

how many will o brien have for the derby

7?
looked handy but nothing to suggest he'd jump off either st nicholas or cape blanco

SNA
Cape Blanco
Midas Touch &
JV.

Nothing better than the Curragh on a sunny day. Magnificent setting for a great week-ends racing.

Fair dues to staff down there. I was passing at lunch time and there were 6 staff out in the straight with their walking sticks putting back the divots.