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Delashay
09 Jul 26 19:58
Joined:
Date Joined: 14 Apr 25
| Topic/replies: 9,507 | Blogger: Delashay's blog
So it’s that time of year when we can look at form and discuss the merits of those currently at the top of the market.

Let’s play the game fair but still enjoy the summer season left, whilst looking ahead….
Pause Switch to Standard View Arc De Triomphe ‘26
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Report impossible123 July 13, 2026 7:14 PM BST
Behrayna is 10/11 in the Prix de Malleret at Longchamp tomorrow. She already has a result over Pink Panthera (2f).
Report Delashay July 14, 2026 9:02 AM BST
That’s true Impossible but her two worst runs were on very soft, beaten 4+ & 5+ lengths including against BEHRAYNA. She has to prove that she gets this distance, whereas Dispatches has already won over it.

Her and the Aga filly are both on a higher rating than what Pink P had before her run in the Diane.

Pink P is top rated on that but the other two haven’t run in the class of race to up their rating to match hers. Tonight is their test.

I’m surprised that there’s no preview on the post.
Report Delashay July 14, 2026 9:06 AM BST
Not surprised to see Soace Waltz being tipped in the Grand Prix, as I’d hinted at last night lots short and he stood out.

Just a glance shows that Victoire Magique was beaten 2 1/2 by Varindir and then 3 1/2 by Fabre’s colt.

Their prices of 16/1 and 5/1 were too far apart.
Report impossible123 July 14, 2026 2:40 PM BST
It will be a watching brief for me. The Grand Prix is another. I think the french horses will have the upperhand in this year's renewal unless the Japanese finally hit the bulls eye this time.
Report Delashay July 14, 2026 3:33 PM BST
A Japanese horse was cut earlier today don’t know its form.

This Space Waltz has really shortened, despite Fabre saying he might not even run!
Report impossible123 July 14, 2026 3:56 PM BST
What's your take on today's two races? How'd the two winners impact the betting market? Year on year I'm getting lesser enthusiastic on the race itself.
Report FOYLESWAR July 14, 2026 4:34 PM BST
just the 5 runners ganna be tactical one of fabres pacemaking ? pink panthera unproven at trip but running on in diane behranya could be anything but so could dispatches who is stepping up in grade after winning a listed 3 from 4 and progressing looks a fair price .
Report Delashay July 14, 2026 4:40 PM BST
The Grand Prix de Paris winner is always cut, this race looks like there’s a few Leger types in here. The Joker is the unbeaten colt for the Aga Varindar. 25/1  & 33/1
He was stepped up to 1m 4f early in the year so I’m not so sure about him. The form of his last race doesn’t look anything but he’s lightly raced.
He’s also highly strung.

Then they have the filly with the same profile. She looks more special to me (commentators curse!) And this really is the Vermille come early. I don’t see many who can add to that from the 3 year olds later in the year.

So she’s relatively short at 20/1 & 25/1 for what she’s achieved and if she was to put in a great run that can only make her shorten. Why?
Because we have the formline to another unbeaten filly multiple G1 winner Diamond Necklace with Pink P. (It’s already there but the ground might have been against her PP, but I felt more so the distance of 1m 3F.)

Today she can confirm that form at the course and distance.

Dispatches is the intriguing one, she made a big impression on her first two starts this year. She ran in an important maiden Prix des Marettes.
Last time she beat Calista Calandagan’s sister, she won next time out, beating a could have Haggas’ one Sea the Storm who has a line to Legacy Link.

The winner of that maiden Kiss Melody was beaten by Zlata next time out who was first up. She’s not shown up as they’d of hoped, been beaten 2L twice by BEHRAYNA but she has looked very green. She might be aiming for the Royeleau on Arc weekend as she seems to really stay.
Report Delashay July 14, 2026 4:57 PM BST
[img]https://images.onesite.com/community.betfair.com/user/delashay/2f66df6a...
Report Delashay July 14, 2026 4:59 PM BST
She is on those lines Foyles albeit over diff distances and a winless runner! Moores onboard tonight so it gives another form link to rate it by.
He’s crafty getting a ride in it as the Aga filly has been largely avoided.

Of course Fabre has a line to her with his Zlata, twice beaten.
Report FOYLESWAR July 14, 2026 6:04 PM BST
ive had a few quid on  dispatches for the malleret and the arc ew 66s ,see what happens soon enough .
Report Delashay July 14, 2026 6:41 PM BST
She’s special
Report FOYLESWAR July 14, 2026 6:43 PM BST
yeah she did it well in the end considering she was short of room 2 out
Report Delashay July 14, 2026 6:43 PM BST
Was more excited to see that than the colts race, Dispatches wanted to go faster
Report impossible123 July 14, 2026 6:48 PM BST
I'd 104p on Behrayna. She was cut off at the critical juncture by the 2nd Pink Panthera who'd 1st run and possibly a length or more infront. Lets hope France can do the business in the World Cup 2026.
Report Delashay July 14, 2026 6:50 PM BST
She will only be better with a stronger pace, but she’s shown that she’s got fight and a turn of foot.

The form has been confirmed. Diamond is single figures and she gets beat by the Aga filly for me.

Pp wouldn’t have got home in a truly run race, it’s like the prix Niel they trot win and don’t stay in a ture ran race.
Report Delashay July 14, 2026 6:50 PM BST
But class came out on top.
Report FOYLESWAR July 14, 2026 6:51 PM BST
nemaine routh said back in april or may is she tough enough ,well she showed today she is tough and classy
Report Delashay July 14, 2026 6:51 PM BST
Interstate Impossuble I don’t do ratings like that but can’t see the older mates living with her
Report Delashay July 14, 2026 6:52 PM BST
True Foyles
Report Delashay July 14, 2026 6:58 PM BST
Sorry for the mistypes * older mares *diamond isn’t single figures either.

Thundering on? estrange?

I can’t see them beating her in the Vermille, PP is a beaut Breeders Cup Filly and Mare? Needs it quick.

Was disappointed that Dispatches didn’t show more, Keen yet to ride a winner there i think?
Report FOYLESWAR July 14, 2026 7:00 PM BST
20s bills and 25s corals behranya according to atr odds chart
Report Delashay July 14, 2026 7:03 PM BST
Did you see Barza interview ?
Report Delashay July 14, 2026 7:04 PM BST
Laugh
Report impossible123 July 14, 2026 7:06 PM BST
What did Barza say? Her jockey was caught napping when Pink Panthera moved up on the outside.
Report Delashay July 14, 2026 7:07 PM BST
He said that the Vermille is next then the Arc, on the bridle when held in no worries!
Report Delashay July 14, 2026 7:09 PM BST
He said we can judge her in the Vermille, I guess against older mares, no 3 yr old of her sex will beat her.

They know what they have, I posted quotes about whether the Arc was the aim for Daryz, they like to strike when the iron is hot! Wink
Report Delashay July 14, 2026 7:12 PM BST
The Vermille is a test and a c&d again but I can’t see any 3 year old filly beating her or older mare.

Thundering on? Estrange?

Kaplana?
Report Delashay July 14, 2026 7:13 PM BST
It’s being prepped for the one race Wink back it like Zafonic!
Report Delashay July 14, 2026 7:22 PM BST
The colts nah good but Epsom was franked pen
Report impossible123 July 14, 2026 7:35 PM BST
I felt sorry for AMO. They just got chinned with Ancient Egypt. The AOB / Coolmore runner was useless.
Report Delashay July 14, 2026 10:11 PM BST
Hugo-Hackenbush • July 9, 2026 10:26 PM BST
Delashay 24 Jun 26 18:12
Mbappe is over rated

this the clown that starts this fred ^  pmsl
Report Delashay July 15, 2026 11:19 AM BST
Here’s the write up for the Grand Prix :


Maltese Cross looked one of the best of the home-trained contingent heading to the Derby, having taken Newbury's key 10-furlong novice in April which has a history of producing future stars and having followed up in the Lingfield Derby Trial. Haggas had been concerned about the state of the ground before the Blue Riband and it may ultimately have been his colt's innate fight that got him ahead of everything bar Christmas Day there.

Given time to rest and recover with this target in mind, he was handed the one stall which looked a blessing but quickly became a hindrance as he was snared behind with Causeway (Wootton Bassett) surprisingly pressing on ahead. By halfway, he had only one behind and was needing luck which wasn't coming his way after straightening for home as Alam was holding him in a pocket. Muscling between Varandir and Ancient Egypt in the dying strides, he carved out a final time of 2:24.79 which is the third-best in the race since it was transformed in 2005 when Scorpion set the record.

George Waud said, “Time and time again, he delivers because he has all the ability but also such a good brain. He knew what was going on and he made the space for Tom. Second in the Derby was one of the best days of my life, but winning a Group 1 is comparable.â€

Maureen Haggas said, “I thought he did unbelievably well to win from a difficult position. He does like something to aim at and he's tough and has a strong will-to-win, which is one of his greatest attributes. Tom said it was messy, but he can squirm through those gaps. It's the first time he's travelled and he's taken the whole experience in his stride and was very cool tonight even though it was hot. We always felt he'd be a very nice four-year-old and that the best was yet to come, so there are a lot of positive things to take out of this.â€

For Charlie Johnston, the outcome was the second time in quick succession that Ancient Egypt had come off worse in a tight finish and the disappointment was palpable. “I'm proud of the horse and he was once again underestimated–Causeway was 9-4 and we were 20-1 this morning and that's a lack of respect for the horse and how good he is,†he said. “He nearly showed them. When he kicked two down, I couldn't see anything making substantial headway, then when Varandir came at him I thought he might be third or fourth but he's unbelievably tough and very nearly fought them all off.â€

“Given his pedigree and his stallion potential, the team are keen to keep at this trip going forward and quite what the next move is, I'm not sure,†he added. “We've campaigned him hard, but he's got better with every race and looked a million dollars in the paddock today. He's a very good mile-and-a-half horse on fast ground and those are his conditions. I know Kia is quite keen on the Champion at the end of the season, but my reservation would be that ground at that time of year. He might like the Breeders' Cup, so we could give him a break and prepare for that–we'll see.â€

Mikel Delzangles said of Alam, “Pierre-Charles Boudot told me he was very pleased with him, that he had behaved well, but that he was still a bit sluggish at the start. He didn't give in, he continued his effort to the end. Personally, before the race, I thought he was better than before the Prix du Jockey Club, more mature, and he still needs to improve. I don't think we'll see him again this summer. He will probably be aiming for the [Sept. 6 G2] Qatar Prix Niel.â€

- - - - -

Great final time, the winner and Alam were at the back and matched eachother coming down the home straight. Stamina seemed kick in for both as they caught the front two.

Maltese is as low as 12/1 whereas Alam as big as 80/1

The latter won’t mind cut but Maltese has shown he’s better on quick going as they’d thought.
Report Delashay July 15, 2026 11:26 AM BST
She has the pedigree to win an Arc and while Behrayna (Sea The Moon) has a way to go to get there, Tuesday's experience in the G2 Cygames Prix de Malleret will stand her in good stead.

When things got tactical in the night's support act over the ParisLongchamp track and mile-and-a-half trip of the big one in October, the unbeaten Aga Khan Studs homebred was able to overcome and prevail like the class filly she is. Pierre-Charles Boudot was unable to benefit from his manoeuvre to get a jump on the 3-5 favourite at the top of the false straight, eventually succumbing on Pink Panthera (Chachnak) by a neck.

Adding to the Stud, Francis Graffard and Mickael Barzalona's abundance of talent heading to the autumn showpiece, Behrayna descends from the 1989 Prix Saint-Alary winner and Arc runner-up Behera. Now four-for-four, having garnered the Listed Prix de la Seine here and G3 Prix de Royaumont at Chantilly in May, she was able to emerge untroubled by the potentially disruptive wide move of the Diane runner-up and show her speed to close out the contest's final three furlongs in 32.47. Juddmonte's Dispatches (Frankel) was three lengths behind in third.


“She is a very talented filly and found her rhythm quickly tonight, but the pace was slow and then picked up pretty quickly in the false straight,†Barzalona said. “She showed she is a proper mile-and-a-half filly and was able to pick up straightaway when I asked. She's a promising filly and we'll be able to judge her in the Vermeille.â€


In Europe and around the world, unbeaten three-year-old fillies who have won multiple Group races can be counted on the fingers of one hand, and Behrayna is one of them… Facing Pink Panthera, who finished second in the Prix de Diane behind Diamond Necklace (who, to date, has also never been beaten), Behrayna proved a worthy opponent, but the duel ultimately went in favour of the Aga Khan Studs’ representative. And as the race progressed towards its final stages, the Sea The Moon filly steadily increased her lead over her rival. Despite being slightly pushed back coming out of the bend (by Pink Panthera), Behrayna found the resources to make up ground, metre by metre, in a race run at a moderate pace.
It is this dual challenge that highlights the performance of Francis Graffard’s charge: “She’s a mare who improves with every race; she’s got a lot of class and an excellent temperament,†recalls her jockey, Mickaël Barzalona. “These things happen (referring to her losing ground), but on good ground it’s easier to pick up speed again, and I wasn’t particularly worried about it because it requires a reasonable amount of effort (editor’s note: on softer ground, it would have been much more difficult). She’s got a lot of class.â€

Behrayna sets her sights on the Prix Vermeille (Gr. I)

As he welcomed Mickaël Barzalona back to the paddock, the look on Francis Graffard’s face betrayed a great sense of relief, and speaking of the royal filly, he commented: “You could tell from her demeanour that she was keen to catch up with the filly who had pulled ahead. It’s very satisfying, and I think that if the pace had been a bit faster, she would have performed even better. From now on, she’ll be given a break – she certainly deserves it – and we’ll see her again in the Prix Vermeille.†Entried in the Prix de l’Arc de Triomphe, Behrayna will thus aim to secure a fifth consecutive victory in September, right here on this 2,400-metre course that seems to suit her so well.

Losing by the narrowest of margins, Pink Panthera was making her debut at the distance, moving up from 2,100 to 2,400 metres, and she ran out of steam in the closing stages, but there is no doubt that Patrice Cottier’s charge will once again be highly competitive at the very highest level over a shorter distance.
Report Delashay July 15, 2026 11:33 AM BST
The final times were both different but you can see from her win last time out that she relishes a strong pace to run at.

Minnie Hauk had been 10/1 for this last year after her Irish Oaks win when she wasn’t that impressive, people had her down as a Leger type, this filly has shown gears.

Though the two race times are miles apart the form is still there both Alam and Pink Pantera bring a line from Regal resolve and ran up to their marks.

That formline is mentioned going into the Prix Diane and it’s come to the fore again.
Report CagliariG July 15, 2026 12:26 PM BST
"The colts no good" you stated Delashay!! What does that say about Behrayna who you are bigging up but who's time suggests she has a furlong in distance to make up on Maltese Cross who also carried 4lb more, no doubt you will have a magic quote that explains your comment?
Report Delashay July 15, 2026 1:09 PM BST
Another knocker with a grudge appears! No opinions just snipes!

Yes the, “Colts are no good.â€

If blanket finishes are your thing then good luck!

Forget where I said that it looked like a great Leger trial!

That for it was.

“P P made Maltese Cross their new St Leger favourite, halving his odds to 3-1 (from 6) ahead of Derby winner Christmas Day at 7-2.â€

They agreed also Wink

As for, “Biggin’ her up†I’ve talked about her being the wrong price when compared to Diamond Necklace on formlines that are there for all to see.
Report Delashay July 15, 2026 1:10 PM BST
*that for me it was
Report impossible123 July 15, 2026 3:30 PM BST
I think Behrayna ran a good trial.

"She's a good filly, and you'll see an even better version when she gets a race where they go a better gallop," said Graffard. "She'll have a break now and will go for the Prix Vermeille, and then we'll see."
Report Delashay July 15, 2026 3:40 PM BST
I did too Impossible, it’s twice that she’s been hampered and over come it to win.

Her finishing speed and sectionals were impressive on viewing.

What the Regal Resolve formline with Pink P also shows for those that have missed it, is the comparison between the colts facing the fillies.

The links Behrayna to Constitution River through Alam and there’s not much if anything between them, yet there is a difference in their current prices.

She’s proved she gets the mile and half, neither Diamond Necklace or River have.
Report impossible123 July 15, 2026 3:47 PM BST
Con River will not run in The ARC. Coolmore do not run their "best" 3 yr old colts here as long as John Magnier is alive. Their Epsom Derby winners for the last decade and more have been much of a muchness and ineffective.

I'm loaded on Behrayna; Behrayna is effective on any ground. I hope to be able to offload a bit just prior to The Vermielle. I think she'll be strongly fancied for the race.
Report Delashay July 15, 2026 4:04 PM BST
You’ve said that before and you might be right about that Impossible, he has the French Premium that you mentioned earlier in the season though.

She will be very strongly fancied for that and will of course gain more important course and distance experience.

The Irish Oaks is coming up, recovery mission for the fav there.

Of the older mares Sunly is the only one I’d be looking at to test her but then again Graffard already has that guide having worked Behrayna with Calandagan.
Report Delashay July 15, 2026 4:29 PM BST
Maltese Cross is the 7-2 joint-favourite alongside Christmas Day for the St Leger on September 12 and a 16-1 chance for the Prix de l'Arc de Triomphe on October 4. Haggas has no doubt he would relish another two and a half furlongs at Doncaster, while he also has crucial course experience at Longchamp.

"I think he'd stay the St Leger trip, that wouldn't be a problem," he said. "The Arc's a different beast, but they'd go a good pace and it was clear he enjoyed that last night. You can get soft or even heavy ground and although he handled it at Epsom, you'd have to think last night was his best performance."

On the prospect of training Maltese Cross as a four-year-old, he added: "Sometimes horses become too valuable but there's not a lot of point in giving horses time and looking after them and then retiring them. If we could have him next year it would be great."

- - - - -

Delashay • July 13, 2026 5:28 PM BST
The colts version looks off regarding odds.

Lots of eggs in one bookie basket & lots of Leger hackers in there.
Report impossible123 July 15, 2026 4:43 PM BST
The Classic results at Epsom were too far fetched and cannot be taken on face value. I think Amelia could atone in the Irish Oaks this Saturday. She's 8.6 here, but no takers though. And, with this outfit fraud is aplenty.
Report Delashay July 25, 2026 3:57 PM BST
Well after the King George today last years Arc form took a battering. Yes Kalpana ran in but the front two look to have benefitted from their allowance.
Report Delashay July 25, 2026 6:39 PM BST
After today are people with or against the 3 year olds? Confused
Report uptheirons July 25, 2026 6:42 PM BST
I am certain that you will tell us after the race as in today's KG,you utter bullshatter
Report Delashay July 25, 2026 8:06 PM BST
You don’t have a view with regards the question?
Report uptheirons July 25, 2026 8:08 PM BST
I have view about mongrels whose word is worthless,you cretin
Report Delashay July 25, 2026 8:10 PM BST
Ahh come on lighten up, I’m well bred with good genes by the way Wink
Report Angela Rebecchi July 25, 2026 8:12 PM BST
Can't believe I could get 20/1 each way on Kalpana for the Arc after today. Crazy price. Clearly on the up and despite what they say not sure the ground perfectly suited it last year so a bit drier this year and would really fancy it.
Report uptheirons July 25, 2026 8:14 PM BST
Is that all,Angela?
Delbert will be on at 50,if it winsLaugh
Report Delashay July 25, 2026 8:15 PM BST
Good luck Angela and well snagged we were talking about it on the KG thread, not preforming there before would put me off, but her price can only go one way with other other races between then and now.
Report Angela Rebecchi July 25, 2026 8:21 PM BST
Cheers chaps Cool Let's hope it gets one of these lovely draw numbers and not out wide !
Report impossible123 July 26, 2026 9:05 AM BST
20/1 for Kalpana is a stonking trading price. She'll be a lot shorter if the ARC trials are anti-fav friendly. But, I think a 3yr old will win it, and not a colt from AOB / Coolmore either.
Report smartpunter July 26, 2026 10:43 AM BST
The  Arc. first "stop" 90% certain it will be  soft  ground. LETS  get  "GOING" ???
Report formoftheace July 26, 2026 11:00 AM BST
Shouldn’t be discussing until September imo
Report Delashay July 26, 2026 11:12 AM BST
Angela I guess that leaves 8 stalls that you’d like? Was dream 10 last year and no one wants 1!

On another issue I had a look at the biggest field that she’s ran and won in, as I could only remember her in relatively smallish fields where she’s able to sit handy.

You have to go back to her first F&M at Ascot where she beat a field of 14 runners.

Guess who was 3rd that day? Confused Tiffany she was beaten 5L that day and IS and great yardstick, who beat her last year when running away like a train when he first got soft in Germany?

Bay City Roller by 7L!
Report Delashay July 27, 2026 9:20 AM BST
â€Shouldn’t be discussing until September imoâ€

That’s one way of looking at it or you could look and see that we’ve had the Grand Prix Saint - Cloud (which has had a bearing on past Arcs) , now the King George (which has promoted Kaplan’s to 3rd favourite lowest price 8/1) , this week the Nassau Stakes with the current 4th favourite to run Diamond Necklace currently 14/1

That will give us further insight into the form and the gap between the generations.
Report Delashay July 28, 2026 10:27 AM BST
Matched:  GBP 43,675
Report Delashay July 28, 2026 10:40 AM BST
That’s a fair chunk who look at the race before September
Report Delashay July 28, 2026 6:56 PM BST
There’s something wrong with the market on here
Report Delashay July 28, 2026 6:58 PM BST
CALLING BETFAIR TRADERS
Report Delashay July 28, 2026 7:00 PM BST
Anyone out there honest and spotted it? Confused
Report Delashay July 29, 2026 6:12 PM BST
BETFAIR is running a false market
Report Delashay July 29, 2026 6:13 PM BST
Prix de Larc de Triomphe (FRA)
ParisLongchamp 4th Oct


Matched:
GBP 43,991

72 selections
Report Delashay July 29, 2026 6:14 PM BST
Is it a mistake in this day and age?
Report Delashay July 29, 2026 6:14 PM BST
I’ve contacted them twice about this.
Report Delashay July 29, 2026 6:15 PM BST
The layers must love it, a horse that has 1L & 1/2 to find not quoted!
Report Delashay July 29, 2026 6:16 PM BST
QATAR PRIX DE L'ARC DE TRIOMPHE
FICHE COURSE

Imprimer
8ème(P/ 557), — 04/10/2026 00h00, PARISLONGCHAMP

PLAT , 2.400 mètres , Corde à DROITE
5.000.000 (2.857.000, 1.143.000, 571.500, 285.500, 143.000)
Après Engagements : 73 Engagés. 73 Partants. - Course Premium -

GROUPE I
Report Delashay July 29, 2026 6:20 PM BST
Beat Bay City in the Niel and trained by the winning most trainer! Shocked
Report FOYLESWAR July 29, 2026 6:27 PM BST
cauliflower
Report Delashay July 29, 2026 6:31 PM BST
I’ve written to have him added but to no avail, SUNLY is quoted for the Yorkshire Oaks next.
Report uptheirons July 29, 2026 6:31 PM BST
Delbert doesn't betLaugh
Report Delashay July 29, 2026 6:31 PM BST
If you’re backing anything then it’s a bit dodge, but a nice one to have onside for the layers.
Report Delashay July 29, 2026 6:34 PM BST
I’d also prefer PC on it with the way that he’s riding. But you follow the crumbs and he’s there of the older brigade on that last run and that one with Bay City, one to have onside as they say.
Report Delashay July 30, 2026 3:46 PM BST
Delashay • July 27, 2026 9:20 AM BST
â€Shouldn’t be discussing until September imoâ€

That’s one way of looking at it or you could look and see that we’ve had the Grand Prix Saint - Cloud (which has had a bearing on past Arcs) , now the King George (which has promoted Kaplan’s to 3rd favourite lowest price 8/1) , this week the Nassau Stakes with the current 4th favourite to run Diamond Necklace currently 14/1

That will give us further insight into the form and the gap between the generations.

- - - - -

Now 8/1

And STILL NOT A FULL MARKET offered on the ARC

Still ONLY 72 quoted!
Report Delashay July 30, 2026 3:56 PM BST
Watch your bets on her for the ARC Wink
Report duffy July 30, 2026 4:03 PM BST
I've nicked some 40's and 20's about her for the Juddmonte immediately post race just in case, perfect race for her, shame that they've got CR but you never know, worth it at those prices.
Report Delashay July 30, 2026 4:05 PM BST
Good luck Duffy you never know with them but I love listening to him just after the race as he’s buzzing and let’s slip! Wink
Report Delashay July 30, 2026 4:06 PM BST
He gets a massive adrenaline rush it seems! Which is refreshing that it matters.
Report duffy July 30, 2026 4:06 PM BST
Missed it, what did he say?
Report impossible123 July 30, 2026 4:07 PM BST
Do you honestly think Diamond Necklace (DN) will run here? Personally I'd doubt it. Minding won at Epsom (12f) but skipped here. I think DN may go for the Fillies and Mares Stakes at Ascot on Champions Day. Prior to France on ARC Day.
Report Delashay July 30, 2026 4:11 PM BST
All roads lead to France, they might try her at Mile and half for the Vermielle to nab a 12f race. But she has Opera written all over her for which she’s entered.
Report impossible123 July 30, 2026 4:14 PM BST
The Opera is the race I've in mind on ARC Day.
Report Delashay July 30, 2026 4:16 PM BST
I don’t think you’re far off Impossible.

Sadly something might be amiss with the AGA Filly?

Baldy has eased her to 16/1 and she’s drifted in the exchange.

After today and the Diane form being confirmed and in to the Mallert I’m surprised she’s not been shortened.
Report Delashay July 30, 2026 4:16 PM BST
*turn
Report Delashay July 30, 2026 4:19 PM BST
Two days ago bets in numbers cut her to 16 from 20.

I’m hoping that it’s just Fred’s pushing her out in line than rather a set back as the clash of unbeaten fillies would be great!
Report Delashay July 30, 2026 4:23 PM BST
JEAN ET LOUIS ROMANET 10f G1

23/08/2026 00h00, DEAUVILLE

DN is entered for this against older mares.

02/08/2026    DEAUVILLE    P - 499 - ROTHSCHILD 1m G1 she’s not entered!

"She’s slowly moving up. What she does next – she could go to York, to an Arc trial or to France for the Prix Rothschild. Constitution [River] goes for the Juddmonte International, and Minnie Hauk may come back for the Yorkshire Oaks. Whether this filly needs to go to a mile and a half, I’m not sure."

Throw that quote away! Laugh
Report impossible123 July 30, 2026 4:29 PM BST
Paddy and 'Sly' still on 12/1; BV is 14/1; 365, Billy, Boy and Ladcrookes are on 16/1. I hope she's being trained for the Vermeille as originally indicated..
Report Delashay July 30, 2026 4:31 PM BST
Yes she’s only entered for that Impossible.

04/10/2026    PARISLONGCHAMP    P - 557 - ARC DE TRIOMPHE
06/09/2026    PARISLONGCHAMP    P - 533 - VERMEILLE   
14/07/2026    PARISLONGCHAMP    P - 491 - DE MALLERET
Report Delashay July 30, 2026 4:32 PM BST
No side tracking at Deauville.

And double the price of DN
Report impossible123 July 30, 2026 4:35 PM BST
Minnie was 13/8 for The Yorkshire Oaks prior to her "excursion" - a change of tactic - in the King George. She's 5/1 presently.
Report Delashay July 30, 2026 4:42 PM BST
I’m not sure Impossible I’d hoped that Sunly might make the journey.

The race is on 20th at York.

But she’s entered here

30/08/2026    DEAUVILLE    P - 523 - GD PX DEAUVILLE 2,500 m
15/08/2026    DEAUVILLE    P - 511 - ALEC HEAD 2,500 m
Report impossible123 July 30, 2026 4:44 PM BST
I'd not read too much into the price movement of DN in the last 24hrs. It's just an anticipated market reaction to a probable victory for DN in The Nassau. I'm no layer but I'd have done the same to any naive or unsuspecting player.

With 2 days of Goodwood left I can say the best news for horseracing is Bow Echo winning The Sussex despite a battalion of spoilers deployed by AOB / Coolmore.
Report impossible123 July 30, 2026 4:55 PM BST
Someone just snagged £4 Behrayna at 22 here. I think Minnie at 21 is an enterprising price for trading. I think Minnie is a near certainty to run, all being well.
Report Delashay July 30, 2026 4:57 PM BST
Both he and DN won well, I’ve just been waiting for the clash of the age groups this week.
Report Delashay July 30, 2026 5:03 PM BST
Before the Nassau today Balding was told that See the Fire has been beaten in whatever amount of G1’s (into double figures)

This year Minnie Hauk has already been beaten in 3 the soft ground of an arc might bring about improvement but then again so might a well placed rocket!
Report impossible123 July 30, 2026 5:58 PM BST
Yes, Minnie is a better filly with a bit of soft in the ground. But, she's not an Enable, Minding or Found. However, I think the 3 yr old colts and fillies will dispatch their elders to the stands if coming through their ARC trials eg Behrayna, Thundering On, Bay City Roller, etc. The acid test is the trials at Longchamp in September. I still think the 2025 ARC renewal was inferior to the past.

At the moment I'm passive with betting. I'm just going through the motion eg waiting on the finality of antepost bets eg St Leger, ARC, Gold Cup, etc. Bow Echo did me a big favour in The Sussex although on a reduced exposure for a guaranteed positive return.

Having to tread very carefully given the influence of the Argentina entity of horseracing antepost betting / market is dying slowly. Only selections outside this despicable outfit can be included for a probable run, all being well.
Report Delashay July 30, 2026 6:06 PM BST
Good luck impossible I know you’ve been burnt a couple of times with the AP favs on your multis it’s why I generally don’t entertain them.

I wonder where Christmas Day will go?  He’s quoted by some for the Arc yet isn’t entered.
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