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EL11
30 Apr 26 22:57
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Date Joined: 21 Feb 17
| Topic/replies: 14,765 | Blogger: EL11's blog
Oxagon E/W is my pick with Gstaad if fit being a huge player.
Pause Switch to Standard View Who wins the 2000 Guineas?
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Report SHROPSHIRELAD May 1, 2026 7:54 AM BST
BOW ECHO, has a turn of foot, unbeaten, won over course and distance

All the best
Report Delashay May 1, 2026 8:48 AM BST
There’s been a thread running where things were open for discussion for some time.


Delashay • March 30, 2026 10:12 AM BST

Then we had the switch with Gstaad…


Well surprise surprise the substitute ended up getting course experience in the Dewhurst, which if you’ll watch he ran too freely and was reigned back by Soumi (who I don’t think rides the track well)
He then stayed on reversing form and looking much bigger than Zavertari who’d beaten him earlier in the year.

I expect him to go off Fav and be their sole runner.
Report JohanntheGoatHurdler May 1, 2026 8:58 AM BST
I will take a chance on Alparslan.
He didn't appear to handle Newmarket last year, but that could have been down to immaturity (plus he was keen when surrounded by other horses).
He looks to have improved physically and mentally (possibly improved past a few who beat him last year).
The trip is a doubt, but I feel he was going away at the line in the Greenham and there is potentially enough stamina on the dam's side.
The other concern is whether he'll get taken on by Oxagon for the lead.
Worth a nibble at a price though.
If not him, Apppleby's. He normally wins the Guineas.
Report paulo47 May 1, 2026 11:54 AM BST
Thanks to FOYLES I have a small bet at 60s on Needle Match which will do fine .
Report Life-Lucky May 1, 2026 12:26 PM BST
GL OP. I'm on Alparsan and Avicenna at 38/1 and 36/1 respectively. Hoping at least one them has a good go.
Report Jack_Kray May 1, 2026 12:38 PM BST
I'm getting the Alhaarth vibes from Bow Echo, a small unbeaten champion 2 year old who didn't train on and won only once more in his career (Dick hern later, Bin Suroor)

I remember last year a few comments on TV about Bow Echo being a great 2 year old but others would improve past him in the winter due to him being on the small side.

Distant Storm for me, Appleby says he is best fresh, so lack of a run is a plus
Report Jack_Kray May 1, 2026 12:42 PM BST
Distant Storm for me - Appleby says he is best fresh, so lack of a run is a plus in his case.

I'm getting the Alhaarth vibes about Bow Echo - a small built unbeaten 2 year old who didn't train on, and only won once more in his career (Dick Hern, later Bin Suroor)

I remember a few TV comments last year about how Bow Echo is a great 2 year old but others should improve past him over the winter due to his small frame.
Report Delashay May 1, 2026 6:29 PM BST
Going into the Greenham Burke said :

What They Say
Karl Burke, trainer of Alparslan
“He seems to have gone under the radar a bit. He's had only three runs. On his last run, he was thrown in at the deep end in the Dewhurst and didn't really handle the track at Newmarket and came back a little sore. He's wintered really well and he's working very well with horses who've been winning.”


Trainer's view: Karl Burke: "It was a great performance in the Greenham. Everybody said we got the run of the race, but we didn't go out to make the running, you've still got to go from A to B in the quickest time. He'll improve for that run and I'm looking forward to seeing him. He came out of the Dewhurst a little bit sore last year, but it was his third quick run and he's a very sound horse so I'm not overly concerned about the track."
Report Delashay May 1, 2026 6:29 PM BST
Horses can remember bad experiences
Report Delashay May 1, 2026 6:34 PM BST
The Racing Press have made a big deal out of Buick not riding Kings Trail,

Yet they have a second string with Avicenna, who Buick could have ridden surely?
Report Delashay May 1, 2026 6:39 PM BST
I don’t see the Needle Match run as being great, yes he has ability but they finished in a bunch and he wasn’t going past  Albert at a rate of knots and he’s a nah show here.

Needle Match is as low as 10/1 win a Guineas in his 3rd start, Makfi was 33/1 on the day and the last one to do so.

You can now back Kings Trail at a little less and he’s unbeaten going into it with only the two wins.
Report Delashay May 1, 2026 6:51 PM BST
uptheirons • May 1, 2026 6:47 PM BST
Delbert fuming that another poster started his own threadLaugh

Question? What rhymes with thread?
Report Delashay May 1, 2026 6:53 PM BST
And no one is fuming, it’s just not cricket to start a discussion elsewhere when one was created for all.

But this is the I tipped the winner thread I guess and that’s the egos instead of genuine debate.
Report uptheirons May 1, 2026 7:01 PM BST
Delbert fuming againLaugh
Report uptheirons May 1, 2026 7:02 PM BST
Perhaps some posters do not wish to debate with an Autistic loon,DelbertLaugh
Report Delashay May 1, 2026 7:03 PM BST
INBRED is the answer and I’m calm as ****!

Keep it in the family Wink
Report uptheirons May 1, 2026 7:05 PM BST
You sound very calm,DelbertLaugh
Report saxon farm May 1, 2026 7:07 PM BST
King’s Trail
Report Delashay May 1, 2026 7:10 PM BST
You can sling it too
Report Delashay May 1, 2026 7:17 PM BST
uptheirons • May 1, 2026 7:11 PM BST
I will put up my opinion now.
I will not be having a bet on equine Bingo at this time of year.


So stay off relevant threads Wink
Report uptheirons May 1, 2026 7:18 PM BST
I am afraid that you do not get to tell posters what they may do,Delbert
Report Delashay May 1, 2026 7:22 PM BST
Dat cool P.Rico change hands soon? Laugh
Report Delashay May 1, 2026 7:23 PM BST
Or change finger and thumb? Wink

Hey Tids! Laugh
Report uptheirons May 1, 2026 7:26 PM BST
The homophobic insults soon come from the hapless,non punting Delbert
Report Delashay May 1, 2026 7:29 PM BST
They are an observation of a very small so called man
Report Delashay May 1, 2026 7:30 PM BST
Nothing phobic just a truth, keep using trigger words hoping to get me banned! Whilst you call people grasses!
Report Delashay May 1, 2026 7:31 PM BST
I’d ask when you last had a 5 knuckle shuffle but I know you’ve never had one! Laugh
Report uptheirons May 1, 2026 7:31 PM BST
A persecution complex as wellLaugh
Report uptheirons May 1, 2026 7:32 PM BST
Autistic behaviour at its bestLaugh
Report Delashay May 1, 2026 7:32 PM BST
We all are thankfull that we aren’t you Wink
Report Delashay May 1, 2026 7:34 PM BST
Demented

Sad little pussey of a spam
Report Delashay May 1, 2026 7:34 PM BST
Notice spam becomes man? Laugh
Report uptheirons May 1, 2026 7:35 PM BST
Just the one bet will do,DelbertLaugh
Report Delashay May 1, 2026 7:35 PM BST
Cut down on your pork life! Laugh Oi oi! Savaloy Laugh
Report differentdrum May 1, 2026 8:57 PM BST
Don't think last year's exposed 2yo's were anything special so on that basis it might be worth throwing a dart at an outsider. My pin came down on Thesecretadversary. He isn't the best looker you will ever see, but on the plus side he seems to appreciate quick ground, seems to have a decent attitude, and shapes as if a stiffer test of stamina will suit. Who knows whether he will handle the track, but there are several others in that same boat. Surprised that there are not more bookmakers offering 4 places. There is no obvious winner.
Report penzance May 1, 2026 9:17 PM BST
Won the same race as Poetic Flare did before causing a bit of
an upset.
Report Delashay May 1, 2026 9:35 PM BST
Interesting
Report appformat May 1, 2026 10:35 PM BST
Needle Match e/w
Report saxon farm May 2, 2026 1:38 AM BST
differentdrum
Thank you for your diligent and well researched views, much appreciated.
I reckon you could make a few quid on here by laying though, rather than slagging the bookies odds.
It’s easy enough to lay the odds, if they’re too short in your opinion.
Essentially bookmaking is supply and demand.
Report Storm Alert May 2, 2026 9:23 AM BST
In recent years favs have won 7 of last 12. If it's not the fav then always an outsider. Bow Echo surely would be fav if not up against O'Brien's Gstaad who also looks solid. As neither has had a run I'm siding with Alparslan at a tasty 25/1.
Report JohanntheGoatHurdler May 2, 2026 12:51 PM BST
Can't work out why Into the Sky is shorter than other horses with stronger form.
Can only be because of his debut win, or someone knows something we don't...
Report JohanntheGoatHurdler May 2, 2026 1:00 PM BST
Form of its debut looks well below-par and the Mill Reef winner doesn't look exceptional by any means. Also breeding doesn't scream a mile...
Report JohanntheGoatHurdler May 2, 2026 1:04 PM BST
On a side note, the supporting card at Newmarket is very disappointing with 6 handicaps, 1 Group 3 and a listed race.
Report impossible123 May 2, 2026 1:43 PM BST
As I'm at home I'll go with Gstaad (15:45) & Double Rush (13:45) for a double.
Report Delashay May 2, 2026 1:55 PM BST
Delashay • May 1, 2026 6:29 PM BST
Going into the Greenham Burke said :

What They Say
Karl Burke, trainer of Alparslan
“He seems to have gone under the radar a bit. He's had only three runs. On his last run, he was thrown in at the deep end in the Dewhurst and didn't really handle the track at Newmarket and came back a little sore. He's wintered really well and he's working very well with horses who've been winning.”


Trainer's view: Karl Burke: "It was a great performance in the Greenham. Everybody said we got the run of the race, but we didn't go out to make the running, you've still got to go from A to B in the quickest time. He'll improve for that run and I'm looking forward to seeing him. He came out of the Dewhurst a little bit sore last year, but it was his third quick run and he's a very sound horse so I'm not overly concerned about the track."



Report• Quote • Block User Delashay • May 1, 2026 6:29 PM BST
Horses can remember bad experiences

NON was telling porkies
Report leif May 2, 2026 2:33 PM BST
Supposedly wide open, and I appreciate Appleby isn't pulling up trees, even so a Hail Mary r/fc of his pair for an interest.
Gstaad fav by default. Where does the thing rank among Apob's 3 year olds.
Report leif May 2, 2026 3:01 PM BST
Doyler appears happy to be aboard his steed.
Report Whippin Piccadilly May 2, 2026 3:16 PM BST
Bow Echo and Distant Storm look solid and should be there abouts, the latter would be my no1 pick. Also there's one that I'm going to watch for the future. (I may have a small bet) 
Into the Sky shouldn't really stay the trip but its very clever what connections have done here. If he stays then lots of options open up for him, but if he doesn't they can drop back in trip for the Commonwealth Cup. I can see him going well for a long way and then its case of hoping the stamina gauge doesn't completely empty! lol
Report ImSoLuckyLucky! May 2, 2026 3:19 PM BST
Gstad looks
FAT
Laugh
Report Storm Alert May 2, 2026 3:22 PM BST
Bow Echo, a lot smaller than I expected. Do nippy types win the 2000g?
Report Whippin Piccadilly May 2, 2026 3:26 PM BST
Ticks in all the boxes for ITS. Will he stay? Probably not but I've placed the bet fully aware of this.
Report impossible123 May 2, 2026 3:40 PM BST
That was impressive from Bow Echo. A 1st Guineas for Loughnane.
Report FOYLESWAR May 2, 2026 3:41 PM BST
a good winner no excuses
Report brandyontherocks May 2, 2026 3:41 PM BST
Very good winner
Report ashleigh May 2, 2026 3:41 PM BST
so glad for billy.Happy
Report StillLearning May 2, 2026 3:42 PM BST
strung out like a 1m seller at catterick
Report Whippin Piccadilly May 2, 2026 3:43 PM BST
A very good horse. Can't see him getting beat this season
Report SHROPSHIRELAD May 2, 2026 3:46 PM BST
Luvvly Jubbly!
Report JohanntheGoatHurdler May 2, 2026 3:46 PM BST
Great work Shropshire.
Report Whippin Piccadilly May 2, 2026 3:47 PM BST
He has a first class temperament to go with his talent
Report Rico-Dangleflaps May 2, 2026 3:47 PM BST
Storm Alert 02 May 26 15:22 
Bow Echo, a lot smaller than I expected. Do nippy types win the 2000g?


sometimes.
Report loper May 2, 2026 3:48 PM BST
Fantastic reception for the winner, more like the jumps than the flat.
Report ImSoLuckyLucky! May 2, 2026 3:51 PM BST
Probably 6-4 for the SJP
Devil
Report impossible123 May 2, 2026 3:53 PM BST
Good to see a small stable can still sock it to the big wigs of Coolmore. Bow Echo is a phenomenon.
Report Whippin Piccadilly May 2, 2026 3:53 PM BST
Into the Sky was game as you come to get 4th. Was running on fumes in the last furlong
Report impossible123 May 2, 2026 3:54 PM BST
6/4? More like 1/1 money for the SJP.
Report impossible123 May 2, 2026 3:56 PM BST
The winner only gets £300k. I understand £300k is a lot of money, not in Flat Racing though.
Report leif May 2, 2026 3:58 PM BST
Distant Storm wa staying on at the end having been done for toe.
Report Angela Rebecchi May 2, 2026 4:01 PM BST
Thought Oxagon was going to try going from the front and might win, shocking bet by myself.
Report Delashay May 2, 2026 4:06 PM BST
Distant Storm has only won a G3 he’s not top class.

Oxagon took advantage of the small field in the Craven and mugged them all and beat very little.
Report impossible123 May 2, 2026 4:11 PM BST
I hope the winner Bow Echo goes to Ireland and kicks s again. I think he'll rule the Mile division this season here, Ireland and France given similar conditions.
Report DancingBraveTheBest May 2, 2026 4:15 PM BST
Its not the prize money they are after in this race.....its the breeding and Bow Echo is instantly worth 10 mill plusHappy
Report differentdrum May 2, 2026 7:12 PM BST
Two separate races, with nothing emerging from leftfield. Horrible race for each-way backers with the first three places being filled by the top of the market, and an expected non-stayer just holding on to a distant fourth. Thesecretadversary had a really bad trip, pulling with virtually no cover, and with even a slightly better passage, would surely have landed the fourth?

Hopefully, the winner turns out to be above average, but time will determine that. At the moment, an unbeaten winner is ideal for those who like a bit of cheerleading. He isn't the most substantial so it will be interesting to see how many races he will be able to take, and whether they will ever risk him on a softer surface. Night Of Thunder had a little form on soft, but his best produce have favoured quick ground. The dam had no form on soft ground.
Report ThePomp May 2, 2026 8:00 PM BST
Into the sky dropped back to 6/7 will be very good.m
Report impossible123 May 3, 2026 11:16 AM BST
Bow Echo (9/4) and Gstaad (7/4) could meet in Ireland. The bookie sponsor Hendo is 4/1 (a big inch of salt). But, will the former turn up though? The SJP is more assured given its prestige, superior prize money and the Royal appearance.
Report ImSoLuckyLucky! May 3, 2026 11:31 AM BST
Timeform rating-131

Seems a bit high

I give it JUST 128p

Devil
Report impossible123 May 3, 2026 1:13 PM BST
A pretty decent rating. His winning time was 0.5s below standard.
Report impossible123 May 4, 2026 4:44 PM BST
Bow Echo is 1/1 (best) for the SJP at Royal Ascot.
Report JohanntheGoatHurdler May 4, 2026 5:01 PM BST
Both Guineas winners came up the stands side.
Is there traditionally any track bias at Newmarket, and could this have affected the poor performances of the horses behind the front 3 in the 2000 Guineas, who all ran well below their ratings?
Report leif May 4, 2026 6:13 PM BST
Decent enough reappearance by Hawk Mountain today.
Going for the 10F French derby, possibly.
Needs juice in the ground.
Report ImSoLuckyLucky! May 5, 2026 3:23 PM BST
Well i see the bhb give a mark of just
126

Thought the Timeform figure was too RICH

Laugh
Report JohanntheGoatHurdler May 6, 2026 6:21 PM BST
I still can't work out why all the beaten horses (with the exception of Gstaad) ran so far below their official ratings.
Most peculiar.
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