Forums
Welcome to Live View – Take the tour to learn more
Start Tour
There is currently 1 person viewing this thread.
MANUELPADILLAJNR
18 Feb 26 13:45
Joined:
Date Joined: 03 Feb 11
| Topic/replies: 381 | Blogger: MANUELPADILLAJNR's blog
Hi all, took a look at the festival handicaps and found something very interesting, do you know that Dan Skelton who likes the odd handicap plot has lots of entries in all the handicaps excluding one, that's right, in just one festival handicap he has just one horse entered, the race is the Ultima on the first day and the horse in question is Holy Joe Smoke. He is the stable's only in that handicap and off a mark off 131 its questionable as to whether he will get in, he would probably need a 5 or 7lb penalty to be sure. Low and behold he is second favourite for the big race on Saturday at Kempton which was the old Racing Post Chase, should he win that he gets his penalty, is sure of a run and will be 10-1 or less for that race even allowing for the competitive nature of the Ultima. He also has run three times this season and all \t Cheltenham and all are decent form, indeed take a close look at the form of those races and you will see its extremely solid form which may have gone under the radar. Its 25-1 non runner no bet, I have backed it and hopefully it goes and wins on Saturday and then gets in off a decent mark at the festival, please check out the form of his three races, see for yourself, the right stable for a plot also.
Pause Switch to Standard View POSSIBLE FESTIVAL PLOT
Show More
Loading...
Report barstool February 18, 2026 2:02 PM GMT
Has the top weight in the same handicap as well. Boombawn (12st).

Will be interesting to see if they both run.
Report differentdrum February 18, 2026 2:17 PM GMT
Bookmakers will be raising several glasses of champagne if JP and Skelton don't win a handicap between.
Report MANUELPADILLAJNR February 18, 2026 2:17 PM GMT
Boombawn is not in this handicap he is in the 2m4f, in the Ultima there is only Holy Joe Smoke, to be fair he is also entered with Boombawn in the 2m4f there might be another couple also, but in the Ultima he is the only one entered.
Report Mick Sturbs February 18, 2026 2:53 PM GMT
Well spotted Manuel hope he gets in and runs well for you
Report differentdrum February 18, 2026 3:12 PM GMT
Barstool is talking about the Ladbrokes Trophy.
Report barstool February 18, 2026 3:19 PM GMT
Correct dd.
Report saxon farm February 18, 2026 3:30 PM GMT
Holy Joe Smoke is a faint hearted mongrel imo
Report StillLearning February 18, 2026 3:45 PM GMT
12's into 6's for the race on saturday
Report MANUELPADILLAJNR February 18, 2026 3:46 PM GMT
Just looks like a plot but we may no more after Saturday, besides non runner no bet also helps
Report penzance February 18, 2026 4:14 PM GMT
There's a race which he won last year on the Saturday before Cheltenham
@ Sandown (127),wouldn't surprise if he goes there as both of his career
wins have been over that C&D.
Report formoftheace February 18, 2026 4:20 PM GMT
Most of the Irish runners are plots,starting last year tbh…..
Report brandyontherocks February 18, 2026 4:59 PM GMT
Probably the most misspelt horse of all time.
Report saxon farm February 18, 2026 5:37 PM GMT
Indeed brandy

Hoe Joly Smoke
Report MANUELPADILLAJNR February 18, 2026 5:49 PM GMT
I AM NUMPTY OF THE WEEK FOR THAT SPELLING
Report duffy February 18, 2026 5:59 PM GMT
I don't think it's a plot in the traditional sense, he just needs a win to get in, he runs on his merit every time IMO , but he is a tricky ride that would benefit from a try with headgear, he always travels well but has on occasions looked to pull himself up when hitting the front or coming under pressure, there two examples at Sandown and Cheltenham of this IMO.
Report nineteen points February 18, 2026 8:55 PM GMT
Skelton mentioned this race and the prize money when interviewed after another of his won a race about a month ago. Wouldnt surprise me if OP is spot on.
Post Your Reply
<CTRL+Enter> to submit
Please login to post a reply.

Wonder

Instance ID: 13539
www.betfair.com