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Rico-Dangleflaps
17 Jan 26 13:02
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Date Joined: 07 Sep 18
| Topic/replies: 52,783 | Blogger: Rico-Dangleflaps's blog
would ewe be happy laying 4/9?
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Report wondersobright January 17, 2026 4:20 PM GMT
I thought was slightly underpriced near 2/1 in pl market w/o was 3.4-3.6 but for peanuts expected around 9/4 pl & 3/1 w/o
Report wondersobright January 17, 2026 4:21 PM GMT
was trading 3.4 near off & 4.2 w/o cant remember exact bsp for pl
Report Cider January 17, 2026 4:22 PM GMT
it didn't get it easy and still placed. so it was an incorrect call, regardless of price. but most of us who have pre event calls get plenty wrong !
Report wondersobright January 17, 2026 4:22 PM GMT
you weren't watching then cider
Report wondersobright January 17, 2026 4:22 PM GMT
gidleigh made mistake 2nd fence had soft lead there on
Report Cider January 17, 2026 4:23 PM GMT
unfortunately I was as I backed it to win after the drift lol
Report Cider January 17, 2026 4:26 PM GMT
didn't get it easy, was taken on. sure he saw them off eventually, but that was probably why he didn't have quite enough to see off strong staying jb. I thought Harry gave it every chance, no complaints, good losing ride.
Report uptheirons January 17, 2026 4:26 PM GMT
The time to criticise a bet is pre off not aftertime,WP
Report Cider January 17, 2026 4:28 PM GMT
too true. but also wsb doesn't want to concede he called it wrong lol
Report wondersobright January 17, 2026 4:29 PM GMT
gidleigh & jonbon were upsides 1st fence then they rounded the bend carver took a pull then made a bad mistake 2nd fence presumably tweaked something
jonbon & fav made mistakes when attempting to press 2nd's good jumping meant lead wasn't contested
Report Cider January 17, 2026 4:30 PM GMT
the fav didn't show up, arguably as TA got him out of his comfort zone. but once that happened, a pl in a 4 runner race is looking in jeopardy.
Report uptheirons January 17, 2026 4:30 PM GMT
After all,who could have foreseen Il Etait Temp falling for the first time?
Report wondersobright January 17, 2026 4:30 PM GMT
its a losing bet cider grow up...seems like you don't like being challenged on the bs you post either
Report Cider January 17, 2026 4:31 PM GMT
he didn't get an easy lead. period ;)
Report uptheirons January 17, 2026 4:32 PM GMT
"It seems like Cider doesn't like being challenged".
Never been a truer statement
Report wondersobright January 17, 2026 4:32 PM GMT
Cider • January 17, 2026 4:30 PM GMT
the fav didn't show up, arguably as TA got him out of his comfort zone


except jonbon did that to him too & that doesn't tally with previous evidence
so its clearly all about how bad the fav run & nothing to do with TA
Report Cider January 17, 2026 4:33 PM GMT
I didn't make a pre race call on this event. I wasn't confident TA would win but I thought 10+ was worth a shot and highly likely tradable.

I think claiming TA got an easy lead is desperate. Everyone who makes pre event calls gets it wrong sometimes.
Report wondersobright January 17, 2026 4:34 PM GMT
we just have to take his word for it uti...ignore tangible evidence
Report wondersobright January 17, 2026 4:34 PM GMT
particularly if it suggests to the contrary Grin
Report Whippin Piccadilly January 17, 2026 4:35 PM GMT
I thought you might have something to say Irons!
Report uptheirons January 17, 2026 4:37 PM GMT
And you were correct,WP.
Report Whippin Piccadilly January 17, 2026 4:39 PM GMT
You can learn a lot about the the bets you place after a race. Losing bets will teach you much more than your winnings one's
Report Cider January 17, 2026 4:40 PM GMT
I love being challenged.

I can be stubborn, and persistent, for sure.

But when a 2 mile four runner chase is ran, and three of them are upsides being pushed into the first, if someone claims the horse that won that battle for the lead got it easy. Yup, I'm going to tell them that they are deluded.
Report Whippin Piccadilly January 17, 2026 4:41 PM GMT
Every forum has its resident Pub bore who thinks his opinion is 100% the correct one........
Report wondersobright January 17, 2026 4:42 PM GMT
carver took a pull cider after the 1st then gidleigh made a race ending mistake 2nd fence
you clearly have zero race reading ability or recall

& as for this

Cider • January 17, 2026 4:40 PM GMT
I love being challenged.


Laugh
Report Cider January 17, 2026 4:43 PM GMT
everyone thinks they are right, surely. but if someone claimed today is Sunday, I would tell them they are wrong Grin

Thistle Ask got an easy lead today

Laugh
Report uptheirons January 17, 2026 4:44 PM GMT
Correct,WP.
Step forward CiderLaugh
Report wondersobright January 17, 2026 4:45 PM GMT

Jan 17, 2026 -- 4:44PM, uptheirons wrote:


Correct,WP.Step forward Cider


Grin

Report wondersobright January 17, 2026 4:46 PM GMT
I would ask for his analysis of the sectionals when released but I imagine he'll think its not worth quantifying
Report wondersobright January 17, 2026 4:46 PM GMT
just accept his view, learn from it & move on
Report uptheirons January 17, 2026 4:47 PM GMT
If Jesus Christ appeared to Cider he would argue
Report wondersobright January 17, 2026 4:48 PM GMT
Laugh
Report Whippin Piccadilly January 17, 2026 4:48 PM GMT
Wonder & Irons putting up losing odds on bets in the same race but still giving it the big one....you've gotta love the Betfair forum! haha
Report Cider January 17, 2026 4:49 PM GMT
you as well. so you think the three upsides, going full bore into the first equates to an easy lead. righty ho.

clearly they set out specifically not to give TA an easy lead. PT was happy to sit off it.

these jockeys might not be top draw but they weren't stupid enough to keep taking him on.

in my world, an easy lead means you're not taken on for the lead. clearly not in UTIs world.

and he jumped into this argument to accuse me of arguing

double LaughLaugh
Report ----you-have-to-laugh--- January 17, 2026 4:51 PM GMT
Fav was never going well, even pushed a bit at start.

Didn't jump well, and got back into race only to
make more blunders, ultimately falling.

Possibly too brave for own good today.



Easy lead,... it was flat out, pushing the rest

A easy lead to me is where leader isn't flat out
and able to save a bit.

Uncontested lead, most of the way, might be a better
description.
Report uptheirons January 17, 2026 4:51 PM GMT
Everybody who actually bets will inevitably back losers.
No excuses made by me,you aftertimer,WP
Report wondersobright January 17, 2026 4:55 PM GMT
it was flat out, pushing the rest

I don't think so but we'll see in the sectionals
wasn't able to record ATR today so haven't got them yet
Report JohanntheGoatHurdler January 17, 2026 4:56 PM GMT
And there would plenty to argue about...for example, why did your "dad" instruct the Israelites to wipe out all the Canaanites, including the non-combatants, the children and even the animals?
Report JohanntheGoatHurdler January 17, 2026 4:57 PM GMT
There's something about Ascot that doesn't seem to suit WP Mullins' horses.
Report Whippin Piccadilly January 17, 2026 5:04 PM GMT
Muggy odds on backing bore, say what?

Delashay • August 23, 2025 6:24 PM BST
Re: The Fav Rosallion EVEs Fav

3:00
York
23 Aug 2025
Sky Bet City Of York Stakes (Group 1)


uptheirons • August 23, 2025 3:36 PM BST

Fav looks regressive to me.
No bet here

Again NO such opinion given before the race.
Report Whippin Piccadilly January 17, 2026 5:06 PM GMT
uptheirons • January 17, 2026 4:26 PM GMT
The time to criticise a bet is pre off not aftertime,WP


Laugh
Report uptheirons January 17, 2026 5:07 PM GMT
Delbert postsLaughLaugh
You cretin,WP.
Report uptheirons January 17, 2026 5:08 PM GMT
But that was not a criticism of a pre race bet,WP,was it?
Report uptheirons January 17, 2026 5:13 PM GMT
Do you actually bet,WP?
Report Whippin Piccadilly January 17, 2026 5:14 PM GMT
After timing that you didn't back it. Literally giving it the big one after the race. The thing is, I bet you did back it (NAP)
Report Whippin Piccadilly January 17, 2026 5:15 PM GMT
No Irons, I just spend 16 hours per day on the Forum insulting people!
Report formoftheace January 17, 2026 5:17 PM GMT
uptheirons 17 Jan 26 17:13 
Do you actually bet,WP?

Much did you lose ?
Report uptheirons January 17, 2026 5:20 PM GMT
What has that got to do with a two bobber like you,Aceform?
You claim bets and then cannot post them.
I wonder why?
Report formoftheace January 17, 2026 5:38 PM GMT
Anger is not good in the punting game…..
Report Rico-Dangleflaps January 17, 2026 5:50 PM GMT
couple yr ago i would have had £5000 on fav..i thort it was a 1/4 chance..i had £500 on today and it was dire.100% irons also bet it.
Report formoftheace January 17, 2026 5:53 PM GMT
I couldn’t have it in a million tbh..
Report uptheirons January 17, 2026 6:02 PM GMT
You are an absolute cretin,Aceform,who should have been strangled at birth.
Only the dire liquidity at the value price prevented me doing a chunk,Rico
Minus a paltry £600 on the race and delighted to do so.
Report uptheirons January 17, 2026 6:20 PM GMT
"formoftheace • January 17, 2026 5:53 PM GMT
I couldn’t have it in a million tbh"..
Care to post your P&L for the day,Aceform
Report slickster January 17, 2026 6:34 PM GMT
The "run" of il etait temps needs investigating. An 8 year old at the peak of his powers looked beaten after a few strides. Took an age to get up after a knackered fall. Too many mullins horses doing this all season. Brown envelopes???
Report 1st time poster January 17, 2026 6:37 PM GMT
didnt have a bet but for example in the earlier msates whats the difference between
easy lead
contested lead
pressured from behind etc when yout in 1st place than when the 1st and 2nd favs in the mares race ,are eyeballing,each other,jivying each other along,etc in 3rd and 4th place throughout the entire 2 miles till in the straight,if they did that whilst in 1st and 2nd place,they,d have said it cost them race,didnt get a breather in,at each  other all the trime,interchanging positions, on and off bridle etc etc
Report uptheirons January 17, 2026 6:39 PM GMT
Nonsense,Dickster
Report sageform January 17, 2026 6:46 PM GMT
Il Etait Temps took 13 runs and more than 2 year to achieve a rating above 160. He then ran 4 very good ones in a row but with hindsight is it still really a 160 horse? The 2 standout runs were when beating Jonbon who is still not a reliable yardstick in my book. I would still back Thistle Ask to beat todays opposition on a flat track. He just ran out of gas in the last furlong.
Report uptheirons January 17, 2026 6:49 PM GMT
Only a 160 horse,sageform?
Are you on medication?
Report Rico-Dangleflaps January 17, 2026 7:15 PM GMT
slickster 17 Jan 26 18:34 
The "run" of il etait temps needs investigating. An 8 year old at the peak of his powers looked beaten after a few strides.

was still 1,4 at halfway..well dickster...copped the jacky.
Report impossible123 January 17, 2026 7:45 PM GMT
I was out and not involved today. Was he a superboost with 'Denise'? If so, I'd dodged a bullet. A mistake at the 2nd put paid to his run today. His price of 8/1 for the Champion Chase is tempting.
Report Deptford January 17, 2026 8:01 PM GMT
Never travelled well in race
Report Rico-Dangleflaps January 17, 2026 8:05 PM GMT
formoftheace 17 Jan 26 17:53 
I couldn’t have it in a million tbh..

wd dave..4/9 all morn...must have put ewe back in prophet for 2026?
Report tanglefoot January 17, 2026 8:07 PM GMT
Mullins has form,I think Il Etait Temps wasn’t primed for the race,shoddy jumping from the off,seen the same from Galopin Des Champ
then when the big race comes a different animal arrives.
Report Eggschipsandbeansagain January 17, 2026 8:08 PM GMT
Some proper Sharpsters on here

Remember lads "It can't be Dunn"
Report Cider January 17, 2026 8:15 PM GMT
Hendo quotes

"I thought his record of never being out of the first two was under serious threat today," said winning trainer Nicky Henderson. "I couldn't see how we could win, but they've gone a good gallop and I suppose that's what has helped him really.

"We usually blitz it with him but they were going too fast for him today; but when a bit of bravery and a lot of stamina kicks in, you're back in the game.


What would he know eh :)
Report DonegalPrince January 17, 2026 8:16 PM GMT
taking the discussion a bit further on, I think Mullins thinks (2 leaps of views there) that Majborough is his best chance of the Champion. It is interesting that, despite 2 moderate efforts, Maj was still only 7's-ish b4 today. Now 5/1. I will no doubt be proven the fool I am, but I have a strong feeling Maj will be a different horse at DRF and Cheltenham. Just the bloody fences in the way......
Report brandyontherocks January 17, 2026 8:26 PM GMT
Il Etait Temps looked very small when jumping at Cheltenham in the Arkle.
And again today looked small over the big fences at Ascot.

Glad to see he got up OK.
Report wondersobright January 17, 2026 8:27 PM GMT
jonbon 1.5-2l behind TA for most of the race hardly run off his feet
its only when they quicken turning in he's initially outpaced clearly wants further now
Report wondersobright January 17, 2026 8:28 PM GMT
the fact you are quoting a blind man says it all cider Cool
Report uptheirons January 17, 2026 8:28 PM GMT
tanglefoot • January 17, 2026 8:07 PM GMT
Mullins has form,I think Il Etait Temps wasn’t primed for the race,shoddy jumping from the off,seen the same from Galopin Des Champ
then when the big race comes a different animal arrives.

What Planet do you live on?
Report Rico-Dangleflaps January 17, 2026 8:35 PM GMT
shoddy jumping,never travelled et al...was 1.4 at 1/2 way..some in this fred must have copped the lot.
Report wondersobright January 17, 2026 8:37 PM GMT

Jan 17, 2026 -- 7:45PM, impossible123 wrote:


I was out and not involved today. Was he a superboost with 'Denise'? If so, I'd dodged a bullet. A mistake at the 2nd put paid to his run today. His price of 8/1 for the Champion Chase is tempting.


9s on here is backable...maybe its had flu jab recently or something like that
energumene run big unders in this when it was run @ HQ a few years back

Report brandyontherocks January 17, 2026 8:37 PM GMT
He never looked comfortable.
Surely you saw that?
Report brandyontherocks January 17, 2026 8:39 PM GMT
Correct, Wonders
Report Rico-Dangleflaps January 17, 2026 8:40 PM GMT
temps beat jonbon 9L lto without being asked..today was beaten 3 out...we've seen it all before.
Report unclepuncle January 17, 2026 8:41 PM GMT
IET run was very similar to that of A Plus Tard in the Betfair a few years ago - beaten after a furlong.
Plenty of rumours about that but nothing ever came out officially.Confused
Report wondersobright January 17, 2026 8:45 PM GMT
I thought fav travel ok jump a bit slow on the downhill fences got in tight to 2 out of swinley bottom
gets into contention 2l behind jumping 3 out looks the winner because normally runs on strong at the end
but finds nothing & has a slow tired fall
Report wondersobright January 17, 2026 8:47 PM GMT

Jan 17, 2026 -- 8:40PM, Rico-Dangleflaps wrote:


temps beat jonbon 9L lto without being asked..today was beaten 3 out...we've seen it all before.


yep its run miles below form rico jonbon likely run his race

Report wondersobright January 17, 2026 8:48 PM GMT
1.49 sp seen some mullins horses striped on here this ssn run deplorably although maybe could have been shorter certainly wasn't weak
Report DonegalPrince January 17, 2026 8:53 PM GMT
indeed Rico/Wonder. And kicked him into touch at Sandown. Then battered Gaelic Warrior at Punchestown. A poor run from a horse who normally does ok even when he gets beat. Odd today. I didn't play. 2m chase races comfortably my worst betting races. W shall see but I couldn't have for the CC.
Report Rico-Dangleflaps January 17, 2026 8:56 PM GMT
i had 2 bob on today..still thort would win 3 out..but was woeful.
Report unclepuncle January 17, 2026 8:59 PM GMT
Odd on he was nobbled imo but we will never find out - racing has too much to lose.

A Plus Tard was never the same horse after Haydock so will be interesting to see if IET can bounce back.
Report DonegalPrince January 17, 2026 9:05 PM GMT
we must be the same age-ish Rico. I use the unit of " a bob" to describe an interest. Also "a flabby". Or " a button".
Report slickster January 17, 2026 9:06 PM GMT
A top quality 8 year old in the form of his life should not be lying on the ground for nearly 10 minutes after an exhausted fall. It doesn't happen. Unless "they" did something untoward shall we say. Whatever they did it amounts to horse cruelty as he clearly wasn't able to run on it merits. Bearing in mind he would be in practically every docket up and down the land. Mmm....
Report MJK January 17, 2026 9:06 PM GMT
Ground looked very soft and sticky, which clearly affected his jumping. Assuming the horse is ok I'd give the fav another go against the first two at Cheltenham.
Report Cider January 17, 2026 9:06 PM GMT
Hendo will have spoken to the jockey who rode the winner, and got feedback with regard to how the race went for him. Unlike sore odds against place lay losers on the betfair forum !
Report Cider January 17, 2026 9:08 PM GMT
4 secs slow against rp standard.
Report wondersobright January 17, 2026 9:10 PM GMT
chase track has been quicker than described for most recent meetings @ ascot
Report wondersobright January 17, 2026 9:11 PM GMT
no worse than g/s today hurdle course a bit softer
Report MJK January 17, 2026 9:29 PM GMT
Considering people are commenting on how fast the leader was going and they were still slower than standard I would suggest the ground was softer than described. I would also suggest that was the reason Jonbon was able to catch the leader. However we'll never know if thats the case.
Report brandyontherocks January 17, 2026 9:31 PM GMT
MJK. soft and sticky.
Watching from a tv screen!!!!

Times say it was good to soft at worst. Maybe slightly quicker.

The fences are too big for him. Simple as that.
Report wondersobright January 17, 2026 9:44 PM GMT
softer than soft ground with jonbon 4s above std vincenzo 6s above std 2m 5f & with a bit of added yardage too
...physically impossible
Report wondersobright January 17, 2026 9:45 PM GMT
yes bran concur with you re chase track times g/s worst you could call it prob between good & g/s
Report Hibore January 17, 2026 9:48 PM GMT
I just thought IET was out of this comfort zone throughout due to the faster pace he wasn’t used to. Very similar to when he ran in Arkle and struggled to keep up behind GW.
His previous 3 races where he showed a potent turn of foot to win were steady affairs while today race put his jumping under pressure throughout.
Report Cider January 17, 2026 10:06 PM GMT
^ this
Report Rico-Dangleflaps January 17, 2026 10:06 PM GMT
dickster get a grip ya silleekhúnt...even if 3 people knew it woundnt win it wouldnt have been anywhere near 2/5 ffs.
Report Hibore January 17, 2026 10:15 PM GMT
You can’t analyse anything till it’s happened ? Just reacting to the outcome and why it might have played out like it did.
Report Hibore January 17, 2026 10:32 PM GMT
Why was Il Etait Temps below form?

His jumping will go down as one of the reasons for this defeat, but why was he not at his best in that department?
Rain had turned the ground soft and his very best form – his Tingle Creek-winning form last time out – came on quicker conditions, while this was run at a high tempo of the sort he has simply not been used to.
Timeform records show his lowest finishing speed over fences prior to Saturday was 101.9% in the Arkle at the Cheltenham Festival, when he was third to Gaelic Warrior, and it could be that such a quick pace found him out.
On top of this, Ascot remains a true jumping test, the fences still catch good horses out like other top-level tracks simply don’t, and this diminutive little grey might just have found it all too much.
Mind you, Gidleigh Park is at the other end of the physical specimen scale and he struggled as well.
Out to 8/1 for the Champion Chase at the Cheltenham Festival, it’s too early to be striking lines through him for such a contest.
But seeing him struggle here obviously casts a doubt against his credentials and he might want better ground and/or a slightly less frenetic gallop if he’s to bounce back on March 11.
Report Hibore January 17, 2026 10:33 PM GMT
Sporting Life
Report duffy January 17, 2026 10:45 PM GMT
You can throw in the fact we know that IET hates Cheltenham.

For Jonbon, if that wasn't a step me up to the Ryanair run from him today I don't know what was, FTF is a stumbling block in the same colours of course but we also know that Jonbon isn't the greatest fan of Cheltenham but being able to go a stride slower in what looks a weak race depth wise must be the sensible move.


As Marine Nationale, he went to sleep tonight with a dirty great grin across his chops.
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