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begggarsbelief
14 Jan 26 16:09
Joined:
Date Joined: 09 Apr 25
| Topic/replies: 17,045 | Blogger: begggarsbelief's blog
The steepest drop in in running decline has been over the last 2 years. Yes there are a lot of headwinds with the government policy etc.  But imo the biggest reason for the decline has been the movement to the drones and the lack of variance in the bets. If the drones were to stop a certain amount of liquidity would return to the markets.
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Report ThePomp January 14, 2026 4:19 PM GMT
Agree. What would help is paddy & the degenerates taking 1.75 as 1.01. Im now a majority pre race backer sometimes layer. Words that even 2 years ago id never thought I'd be typing.
Report ThePomp January 14, 2026 4:19 PM GMT
*stop taking.
Report begggarsbelief January 14, 2026 4:21 PM GMT
The decline has been frightening, there will be very few winners in the last 3rd of the race due to betfair cross matching and the fact no one is prepared to leave in sitting bets.
Report uptheirons January 14, 2026 4:22 PM GMT
Most of the I/R have been "carried out" for a multitude of reasons.
Removing the drones would be pointless
Report Rico-Dangleflaps January 14, 2026 4:42 PM GMT
If the drones were to stop a certain amount of liquidity would return to the markets.

walofs
Report Eggschipsandbeansagain January 14, 2026 4:46 PM GMT
Drones useless in this weather anyway, max flight time of 2 minutes & low cloud negate any usefulness they had, added to that Stevie's signal blocking Faraday pouch style signal jammers make using them pointless
Report howard January 14, 2026 4:46 PM GMT
Some people were very good at it and most were not. The latter got sick of being poor players. Pretty much it Rico ?
Report begggarsbelief January 14, 2026 4:46 PM GMT
There is so much more opportunity to find a bet when the drone isn't up? The betting zone changes, requires more skill to understand pictures distance etc.
Report scoobytoo January 14, 2026 4:47 PM GMT
Beggarsbelief it does, beggarsbelief
Report uptheirons January 14, 2026 4:55 PM GMT
You would have a tad more Liquidity if the verminous SIS didn't deliberately slow their pics on ATR which will never happen.
Even with BFLV you are 10L behind "Live" at their Courses
Report begggarsbelief January 14, 2026 4:57 PM GMT
Rico do you have any wisdom on why the liquidity is falling off a cliff?
Report Rico-Dangleflaps January 14, 2026 5:05 PM GMT
BB..why arnt there any double figure cod caught by rod & line from the north east coastline anymore?

(were plentiful in times gone by)
Report begggarsbelief January 14, 2026 5:09 PM GMT
Ha fair point, can only get worse then
Report uptheirons January 14, 2026 5:10 PM GMT
Correct
Report DIE LINKE January 14, 2026 5:23 PM GMT
liquidity is down all over the site because degenerates can only blow £300-£500 a month, probably a weekend's worth of action.
Report uptheirons January 14, 2026 5:25 PM GMT
It suits BF
Report begggarsbelief January 14, 2026 7:54 PM GMT
rico how has your p and l held up from 2007/10 to 2026?
Report Rico-Dangleflaps January 14, 2026 10:16 PM GMT
six figures ev yr from 2005-2020 2021-2024 5 figgas..last yr 2 bob.
Report begggarsbelief January 15, 2026 2:53 PM GMT
depressing stuff rico
Report Rico-Dangleflaps January 15, 2026 3:12 PM GMT
meks nee diff too me..av gorrit.
Report Rico-Dangleflaps January 15, 2026 3:12 PM GMT
last fews days pences.
Report begggarsbelief January 15, 2026 3:27 PM GMT
ye well we are playing for 1 pound or 2. so thats not the worst performance
Report Rico-Dangleflaps January 15, 2026 8:10 PM GMT
went to another level this week...
Report uptheirons January 15, 2026 8:12 PM GMT
"The Land of empty boxes"Sad
Report Rico-Dangleflaps January 15, 2026 8:15 PM GMT
aye...mary hopkirk is singing...
Report Brian January 15, 2026 10:05 PM GMT
kin not kirk
Report ----you-have-to-laugh--- January 15, 2026 10:15 PM GMT
Once upon a time there was a cistern
When we used to raise a grand or two
Remember how we laughed away the hours
Think of all the great things we would do?
Those were the days, my friend
We thought they'd never end
We'd sing and dance forever and a day
We'd live the life we choose
We'd punt and never lose
For we were young and sure to have our way
La-la-la-da-da-da
La-la-la-da-da-da
Da-da-da-da, la-da-da-da-da
Report Rico-Dangleflaps January 16, 2026 9:16 AM GMT
martys sister.
Report Johnny The Guesser January 16, 2026 1:34 PM GMT
Adapt or die.
Report freddiewilliams January 16, 2026 1:36 PM GMT
Reeekos doing ok.....just moved into knew office
Report howard January 16, 2026 2:02 PM GMT
gets bothered by all his friends now though
Report begggarsbelief January 16, 2026 2:26 PM GMT
15k leaves the in running market every week on drones. they make it harder for everyone who plays in running including those who use them.
Report freddiewilliams January 16, 2026 2:28 PM GMT
Wears Jamie and Dixie......they the knew daddies
Report Rico-Dangleflaps January 16, 2026 3:00 PM GMT
both counting the nelsons.
Report freddiewilliams April 27, 2026 3:00 PM BST
125k 3.00 bath
Report freddiewilliams April 27, 2026 3:00 PM BST
Previous race 2.45
Report freddiewilliams April 27, 2026 3:04 PM BST
169 at off
Report freddiewilliams April 27, 2026 3:05 PM BST
Plus 36 in run
Report freddiewilliams April 27, 2026 3:06 PM BST
7k at 1.01......
Report freddiewilliams April 27, 2026 3:07 PM BST
The only 4 figs in run
Report freddiewilliams April 27, 2026 3:09 PM BST
9 mil in 8 minutes on cricket
Report freddiewilliams April 27, 2026 3:11 PM BST
1.8 to 1.14
Report freddiewilliams April 27, 2026 3:15 PM BST
Winner 14/1 to 40/1....BSP 70
Report freddiewilliams April 27, 2026 3:20 PM BST
169.k....214k
Report kjansch April 27, 2026 4:11 PM BST
5ok lay came in at 1.02 on Solar Edge in the photo at Bath
Report kjansch April 27, 2026 4:13 PM BST
50k' ^^
Report Rico-Dangleflaps April 27, 2026 4:43 PM BST
hoping for a stewards..
Report kjansch April 27, 2026 5:05 PM BST
no doubt yes, but still a very unusually high amount in one go
Report kjansch April 27, 2026 5:33 PM BST
now we get a 90k bet at 1.02 backing Way of Life in the photo, not disputing the wisdom but that is another very unusual figure
Report Rico-Dangleflaps April 27, 2026 6:08 PM BST
1,01 was fair.
Report Escapee April 30, 2026 4:23 PM BST
IR liquidity decline because of the introduction of RFID tags on horses saddles.

Well anyway, that's what caused me personally to withdraw from the IR horse markets.

My bot ran for about a decade, offering a market, putting up lay bets pre race on every horse in every UK race at between 20% and 50% of it's odds 1 minute before the off.
At those odds some of the bets on some of the horses would get matched by shrewdies, some by the less shrewd as the race played out, cancel everything 2 to 3 furlongs from the finish... simple.
I didn't care if any individual bet was taken by a shrewdie or a mug, all that mattered is the averages calculated pre off.


I wasn't the only one autobetting in-play, there were quite a few ways to skin a cat.


2018 RFID's start to become a thing, the writing is on the wall, late 2019 I switch it off altogether.


The bot using RFID's (the bet taker) now had more info than the bet offeror, so all the bet offerors like myself had to withdraw.
Hence the drastic reduction in IR liquidity.
Report uptheirons April 30, 2026 4:28 PM BST
That and losing punters being unable to reload their A/C'sLaugh
Report Rico-Dangleflaps April 30, 2026 5:20 PM BST
check the boxes..there is no money in them.
Report harold_lloyd April 30, 2026 6:07 PM BST
years ago betfair asked on the forum if the 1 scond delay should be removed . 99% of people said yes.

betfair didn't implement it as they said the market makers need it and if it was removed liquidity would drop .

there can't be many market makers now ( apart from betfair ) as liquidity is dire , time to have a trial for a few weeks and remove it
Report uptheirons April 30, 2026 6:22 PM BST
The one second delay is there for the benefit of BF only.
On Coursers finished at RTV Courses because of it
Report hulk23 April 30, 2026 6:56 PM BST
so paudy's playing in-running but he's not interested pre-off ?
Report uptheirons April 30, 2026 6:59 PM BST
Did I say that?
It is blindingly obvious that they heavily seed the pre race Markets
Report hulk23 April 30, 2026 7:36 PM BST
seeding them would suggest they're merely sticking money up "to get the ball rolling".  playing them would be a completely different story, then it just becomes like a bookie.  and he can see everybody's bets, you can't.
Report hulk23 April 30, 2026 7:38 PM BST
if you're running the show, you shouldn't be an active member in the show. 
cos you got information others don't have.  and can bet accordingly.
Report Rico-Dangleflaps April 30, 2026 8:53 PM BST
harold_lloyd 30 Apr 26 18:07 
there can't be many market makers now ( apart from betfair ) as liquidity is dire , time to have a trial for a few weeks and remove it

pmsl at hazza..think ive jussed pi$$ed myself.
Report harold_lloyd May 1, 2026 5:40 AM BST
pmsl at hazza..think ive jussed pi$$ed myself.

i hear that at your age them things happen pretty easily . try them pads that women use ExcitedHappy
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