Welcome to Live View – Take the tour to learn more
Start Tour
There is currently 1 person viewing this thread.
11 Nov 25
14:38
Joined:
Date Joined:
18 Jul 02
All,
I know that bookies try to get 2% overound per runner. But does anyone have approximate overrounds per runner at different prices. As the overround increases on each runner as its price increases, to take advantage of the favorite/longshot bias phenominum.
i.e BSP is very close to SP for odds on favorites, but BSP is much bigger for longshots.
I need this for trainer profitability analysis and Raceform Interactive only gives SP , so i need to adjust prices in excel to projected BSP.
cheers all
I know that bookies try to get 2% overound per runner. But does anyone have approximate overrounds per runner at different prices. As the overround increases on each runner as its price increases, to take advantage of the favorite/longshot bias phenominum.
i.e BSP is very close to SP for odds on favorites, but BSP is much bigger for longshots.
I need this for trainer profitability analysis and Raceform Interactive only gives SP , so i need to adjust prices in excel to projected BSP.
cheers all
Show More
It's not the answer you require, but those kants at Skoybet seem not to know what an overround is - even 2/3 minutes before the off, in races where they are NOT offering extra places, their prices are a f^cking disgrace.
trying to project a bfsp from an isp would be highly inaccurate. 20/1 isp can be anything from 22 to 50 on here.
UK & Ire in 2025. Flat, AW & National Hunt.
| SP of winner | Bets | Win% | Avg Betfair SP |
| 1.04 | 3 | 100% | 1.05 |
| 1.06 | 5 | 80% | 1.07 |
| 1.07 | 7 | 100% | 1.09 |
| 1.08 | 7 | 85.71% | 1.1 |
| 1.09 | 2 | 100% | 1.11 |
| 1.1 | 8 | 87.5% | 1.12 |
| 1.11 | 5 | 80% | 1.14 |
| 1.13 | 12 | 91.67% | 1.16 |
| 1.14 | 14 | 100% | 1.17 |
| 1.15 | 8 | 62.5% | 1.19 |
| 1.17 | 10 | 80% | 1.22 |
| 1.18 | 8 | 75% | 1.22 |
| 1.2 | 20 | 80% | 1.24 |
| 1.22 | 29 | 75.86% | 1.26 |
| 1.25 | 39 | 82.05% | 1.3 |
| 1.29 | 31 | 83.87% | 1.33 |
| 1.3 | 38 | 63.16% | 1.3 |
| 1.33 | 49 | 73.47% | 1.39 |
| 1.36 | 64 | 67.19% | 1.42 |
| 1.4 | 80 | 70% | 1.47 |
| 1.44 | 109 | 68.81% | 1.52 |
| 1.5 | 99 | 67.68% | 1.55 |
| 1.53 | 82 | 64.63% | 1.6 |
| 1.57 | 115 | 60.87% | 1.66 |
| 1.62 | 121 | 54.55% | 1.7 |
| 1.67 | 137 | 59.85% | 1.77 |
| 1.73 | 194 | 56.7% | 1.84 |
| 1.8 | 171 | 53.8% | 1.9 |
| 1.83 | 225 | 47.56% | 1.97 |
| 1.91 | 303 | 49.17% | 2.05 |
| 2 | 364 | 44.78% | 2.15 |
| 2.1 | 320 | 45.63% | 2.24 |
| 2.2 | 309 | 46.28% | 2.36 |
| 2.25 | 477 | 39.2% | 2.46 |
| 2.38 | 522 | 36.97% | 2.57 |
| 2.5 | 620 | 34.03% | 2.74 |
| 2.63 | 605 | 33.39% | 2.85 |
| 2.75 | 741 | 33.33% | 2.97 |
| 2.88 | 706 | 29.04% | 3.14 |
| 3 | 1199 | 27.44% | 3.32 |
| 3.13 | 190 | 31.05% | 3.47 |
| 3.25 | 1489 | 28.88% | 3.57 |
| 3.5 | 1593 | 26.55% | 3.84 |
| 3.75 | 1614 | 23.73% | 4.17 |
| 4 | 2294 | 24.32% | 4.56 |
| 4.33 | 1957 | 19.21% | 4.94 |
| 4.5 | 2947 | 18.83% | 5.31 |
| 5 | 3522 | 17.23% | 5.89 |
| 5.5 | 3287 | 15.36% | 6.49 |
| 6 | 3010 | 13.79% | 7.12 |
| 6.5 | 2845 | 12.83% | 7.7 |
| 7 | 2817 | 13.13% | 8.4 |
| 7.5 | 2521 | 10.27% | 8.91 |
| 8 | 2670 | 11.01% | 9.62 |
| 8.5 | 2400 | 10.04% | 10.45 |
| 9 | 2809 | 7.9% | 11.18 |
| 9.5 | 1634 | 8.2% | 11.67 |
| 10 | 3138 | 8.16% | 12.72 |
| 11 | 3367 | 7.1% | 13.96 |
| 12 | 3248 | 6.22% | 15.05 |
| 13 | 4674 | 6.2% | 17.29 |
| 15 | 4251 | 5.9% | 20.43 |
| 17 | 3965 | 3.81% | 23.1 |
| 19 | 2839 | 3.42% | 26.34 |
| 21 | 2703 | 3.26% | 29.34 |
| 23 | 2871 | 3.2% | 32.55 |
| 26 | 3112 | 2.76% | 37.75 |
| 29 | 3036 | 2.11% | 44.45 |
| 34 | 3698 | 1.95% | 54.79 |
| 41 | 3183 | 1.45% | 76.24 |
| 51 | 2869 | 0.84% | 92.01 |
| 67 | 2229 | 0.9% | 152.33 |
| 81 | 1704 | 0.53% | 171.37 |
| 101 | 1521 | 0.26% | 269.95 |
| 126 | 1198 | 0.33% | 297.5 |
| 151 | 1294 | 0.08% | 270 |
| 201 | 960 | 0.21% | 305.3 |
top2rated,
excellent, thats easily accurate enough for my purposes. many thanks.
excellent, thats easily accurate enough for my purposes. many thanks.
Post Your Reply
Please login to post a reply.
Wonder
Instance ID: 13539