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aisdavidx
21 Oct 25 20:47
Joined:
Date Joined: 14 Sep 25
| Topic/replies: 25 | Blogger: aisdavidx's blog
RPN SYSTEM REPORT
Race: 2500 m | Going: Good | Field: 5 | Straight: ≈ 400 m
Model: RPN + RSB + ES | © 2025 The Real RPN System

1️⃣ Race Pace Summary
Raw RPN: 4.92
Real RPN: 4.84
Ideal Tempo Rating (ITR): 4.60
Race Shape: Fast / Leaders pressured (stalkers advantaged)

Advantaged: Midfield → Off-pace (3.2 – 4.6)
Disadvantaged: Pure leaders (> 5.4)

2️⃣ Individual Horse Metrics
(Tempo scale 1–6 : 1 = Backmarker … 6 = Leader)

Horse    Tempo (1–6)    RSB    ES    Race Pace Edge %
MAXI KING    3.6    65    68    +14 %
WARRANT HOLDER    5.0    50    72    +12 %
BRAGBOR    5.2    48    65    +3 %
CAPE BRETON    5.6    44    58    −4 %
MIDNIGHT LION    5.8    42    48    −5 %
Pause Switch to Standard View RPN(Race Pace Number)
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Report aisdavidx October 21, 2025 8:50 PM BST
Race Pace Notes
Leaders: MIDNIGHT LION, CAPE BRETON, BRAGBOR
Pace:
Off-Pace: WARRANT HOLDER
Midfield: MAXI KING
Off-Midfield: —
Backmarkers: —

Thats an example of  my own Speed Map System I have designed I called it RPN(Race Pace Number) I have used the latest AI and it lets you instantly create professional-grade Speed Maps RPN, which factors in field size, class weighting, distance, and early position pressure, also rarity bias, straight-length adjustment, and tempo alignment everything it is really advanced.

I have used decimal numbers for each horse and the race makes a massive difference.I have been involved in Speed Maps for years this is as good as any Pro syndicates tech   ,

To give you some idea what some of those numbers can mean as an example-   

A leader tempo rated 5.3 in a race with a Real RPN of 3.2 will lead comfortably for a very long way.
A back marker tempo rated 2.2 in a race with a Real RPN of 4.2 will be flying past the leaders late.



I am thinking of maybe selling it as a product so people create their own maps instantly just like the Pro syndicates and I want to give a few away to some people to test and play around with get some feedback
Report swiftynifty October 21, 2025 8:55 PM BST
if you fund me a £5K bankroll, I'll put it to the test and give great feedback if it works....and I'll give you your money back of course.

PM me.
Report aisdavidx October 21, 2025 9:07 PM BST
After more of a technical test than a betting test. Although I look forward to doing some betting testing myself. I have never bet in running before but I am going to back to lay some clear leaders on low RPN race numbers and lay some leaders on high RPN race numbers play around with it
Report swiftynifty October 21, 2025 9:11 PM BST
Maybe best not to put it up on a BETTING SITE, probably best you do that first then....see if it works.

I hear plenty of US comms where the leader has 'gone off too fast for the grade of race'... and what happens....he makes all and wins pulling away.

No one got rich with a technical TEST.
Report aisdavidx October 21, 2025 9:27 PM BST
I am not looking for a betting test its not a betting system these speed maps and RPN numbers are an accurate guide on how the race should play out pace wise.Part of a strategy not a stand alone betting system.
Report swiftynifty October 21, 2025 9:31 PM BST
who are they for then if not for in-play gamblers?
Report ponchoslament October 21, 2025 9:51 PM BST
It’s all Balderdash and piffle
Report ponchoslament October 21, 2025 9:52 PM BST
Speed maps LaughLaugh ffs, the worlds gone barking f*****g mad
Report aisdavidx October 21, 2025 9:59 PM BST
I think it will be ideal for in play gamblers and anyone else who bets Speed maps are for everyone who bets.They are a very important guide. That is why the big syndicates invest so much in them.That is why I got so interested in them because I know the big syndicates some of their very profitable betting strategies are based strictly off the map and pace data

What I am talking about when I say test is for anyone who has got an AI subscription I can send the information and they can create the maps and RPN numbers themselves.More of a usability test for feedback.

The betting side people can fold it into or enhance there current systems strategies.Although With the decimal system and all the other features included I think someone who knows what their doing with in running will see heaps of betting opportunities
Report ponchoslament October 21, 2025 10:07 PM BST
WTF is a speed map, in two sentences please
Report aisdavidx October 21, 2025 10:30 PM BST
WTF is a speed map, in two sentences please

I do not even know if your serious it would not surprise me either way.In Australia and USA Speed Maps and Pace is huge. Millions of dollars can change hands on a change of tactics announcement because of the way it affects the map.

In the UK with a lot of people it is treated like witchcraft
Report ponchoslament October 21, 2025 10:34 PM BST
LaughLaugh Witchcraft, they’re not wrong, are you Australian ??
Report aisdavidx October 21, 2025 10:38 PM BST
Yes Australian
Report ponchoslament October 21, 2025 10:40 PM BST
Ok, can you please tell me, how I could relate
A speed map to the 2-05 at Doncaster on Saturday. Tar
Report aisdavidx October 21, 2025 11:10 PM BST
I don't have the fields Doncaster I just did last race at Newmarket Race 7
✅ RPN SYSTEM REPORT
Race: 1408 m | Going: Good | Field: 8 | Straight: ≈ 400 m
Model: RPN + RSB + ES | © 2025 The Real RPN System

1️⃣ Race Pace Summary

Raw RPN: 4.81
Real RPN: 4.81 (8-runner = baseline; negligible FSA)
Ideal Tempo Rating (ITR): 4.60
Race Shape: Even/Genuine — mild leader pressure (best for stalkers & handy midfielders)

Advantaged: Off-pace → Midfield (3.6–4.8)
Disadvantaged: Pure leaders (>5.4)

2️⃣ Individual Horse Metrics

(Tempo scale 1–6 : 1 = Backmarker … 6 = Leader)

Horse    Tempo (1–6)    RSB    ES    Race Pace Edge %
DARK SHORE (3)    4.2    74    68    +12 %
MR WONKA (8)    4.7    70    64    +10 %
PENHALLAM (2)    4.8    66    60    +7 %
ELAN D’OR (7)    4.4    68    56    +8 %
QUIESCENT (6)    5.1    58    72    +6 %
ROMANTIC TWILIGHT (9)    5.0    60    58    +2 %
MAJD AL KAZEM (1)    5.0    57    54    0 %
MAYAADA (4)    5.3    50    55    −4 %
Report aisdavidx October 21, 2025 11:12 PM BST
Race Pace Notes

Leaders: MAYAADA, QUIESCENT, ROMANTIC TWILIGHT, MAJD AL KAZEM
Off-Pace: PENHALLAM, MR WONKA
Midfield: DARK SHORE, ELAN D’OR
Off-Midfield: —
Backmarkers: —

Read: Several can roll forward, so the early burn shouldn’t be soft. With ITR ≈ 4.6, the map tilts toward handy sitters who can track and produce—DARK SHORE/MR WONKA/PENHALLAM shape well; MAYAADA is most exposed if pace gets busy.
Report ponchoslament October 21, 2025 11:15 PM BST
Ok got it, thanks for that, looks amazing, it’s very late here,
Good night
Report aisdavidx October 21, 2025 11:44 PM BST
I will do A speed map to the 2-05 at Doncaster on Saturday. When if the fields comes out and tell you what I think it means.To give you an idea Race 7 at Newmarket is a fairly neutral map no big advantage or disadvantage either way.Which is important information in itself.

It takes 30 seconds to find out with RPN. Sometimes your horse does nothing in a race when it looked good in every way and you cant work out why. It could have been it was badly disadvantaged on the map.

The key to RPN is the handful of races a week where there are big advantages or disadvantages and Betfair Punters can take advantage of the in running betting or the race outcome.

Also all the big syndicates and Pros use the  same sort of speed maps and pace data and horses that map badly tend to drift in the last 10 minutes to race time       There is so much data in that above report for system bettors
Report Rico-Dangleflaps October 21, 2025 11:54 PM BST
2️⃣ fks
Report aisdavidx October 21, 2025 11:59 PM BST
2️⃣ fks What does that mean?
Report LoyalHoncho October 22, 2025 10:07 AM BST
swifty.  Laugh  Terrific.
Report aisdavidx October 22, 2025 10:33 AM BST
PonchosiamentIf 2-05 at Doncaster has 10 runners and nine of them are leaders and one is a backmarker, The early tempo will be ferocious. Every horse up front is trying to cross, hold, or protect a position, so the first 600m turns into a speed war. The leaders burn too much energy early, none can settle or control the race, and by the home turn they’re spent - called a pace collapse. In RPN (Race Pace Number) terms, that setup rates around 5.4–5.8, meaning a fast, unsustainable tempo. At that level, leaders are statistically punished while off-pace and backmarkers are strongly advantaged. This matches the data from pace studies on thousands of races, which showed that when early speed exceeds par, the winning strike rate of leaders drops sharply. The lone backmarker conserves energy, runs its own rhythm with no pressure, and finishes over the top as the race collapses late. It’s not that the backmarker is the best horse — it’s that the race shape collapses perfectly for it. Too many leaders = artificially fast tempo = high RPN = swoopers’ race. RPN quantifies that pressure so you can see the imbalance before the gates open.You can do all the form on one of those leaders and everything looks good and checks out none of that will matter if the horse is spent as a result of too fast early sectionals and you will wonder why your system form did.not work and what went wrong.It takes 30 seconds to check the RPN    
Report ponchoslament October 22, 2025 10:48 AM BST
Asid, that is absolutely incredible, this is the type
Of Data and analysis, Ive been waiting for all my gambling life
What a thoroughly in-depth  analysis of the Donny race, where can
I subscribe, thank you so much
Report ponchoslament October 22, 2025 10:50 AM BST
Wait, wait, just one question, which horse
Do you recommend I bet, and what price should I
Take?? G’Day matey
Report ponchoslament October 22, 2025 10:51 AM BST
Gota scarper now mate, I’ll ketch ya later buddy
Report second again October 22, 2025 11:40 AM BST
I have just had to do a speed awareness course, I wish I had paid more attention to the speed maps.
Report LoyalHoncho October 22, 2025 11:50 AM BST
Poncho’s off like a scalded cat.  Will he last the pace?
Report ponchoslament October 22, 2025 12:10 PM BST
WTF are you going on about now, Taff, yor not
The sharpest are ya ??
Report LoyalHoncho October 22, 2025 12:12 PM BST
Too sharp for you, you’ve made that very clear.  Laugh
Report LoyalHoncho October 22, 2025 12:29 PM BST
Ponchoslament.   21.51.   It’s all balderdash and piffle.

Ponchoslament     10.48.  This is the type of data and analysis I’ve been waiting for all my gambling life.

Split personality?   P y s h e d ?   Or just a halfwit ?    YOU DECIDE FOLKS.
Report ponchoslament October 22, 2025 12:29 PM BST
Oh dear, sharp is not an adjective I’d
Associate with you, hincho, have you
Taken mick thé miller for his walk yet
Around prontypridd, Pip ??
Report ponchoslament October 22, 2025 12:30 PM BST
LaughLaugh 12-29 post, jesus you are dimmer than I thought
Report LoyalHoncho October 22, 2025 12:31 PM BST
Lmao.  You’re solid gold!    I apologise on poncho’s behalf to all Welsh forum colleagues and friends.  He just can’t help but be insulting to your nation.
Report ponchoslament October 22, 2025 12:38 PM BST
As regards your completely Inept understanding of my
100% contradictory post, regarding any or all forms of data, etc,
to which you replied, in yourUsual brain dead reactionary manner

Clearly irony has reached you yet. Now can you do me a favour, faaakkk orf
Report LoyalHoncho October 22, 2025 11:11 PM BST
Certainly.  And again I thank you for your courtesy and goodwill displayed consistently in all of your posts on this forum.  You enhance everyone’s enjoyment of it immensely.  Feel free to respond with the just word - abusive, stupid, ignorant or otherwise.
Thank you.
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