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leif
03 Aug 25 21:38
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Date Joined: 26 Jun 08
| Topic/replies: 14,979 | Blogger: leif's blog
Barstewards ladz pointed out the miserable returns.
apologies if it has already been noted previously
Pause Switch to Standard View Sussex Stakes Tote returns.
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Report leif August 3, 2025 9:40 PM BST
Qirat 13/2 a place.
Rosallion 1/100 a placePlain
Report swiftynifty August 3, 2025 9:42 PM BST
hadn't realised it paid 3 places, guessing that's the world pool influence, in that case 1.01 was a great return...not!  if anyone needed the evidence to steer clear that race was it.
Report swiftynifty August 3, 2025 9:52 PM BST
I guess the reason could be because of the SP guarantee, it would've probably paid 60 or something like that, they covered the payout by shafting the place punters.... or a poor man in Hong Kong stuck 1/2mill on to place expecting to get around evens and got paid out 5k profit!
Report GLASGOWCALLING August 3, 2025 10:01 PM BST
Its like a Donkeys hind leg, cant see the Tote lasting long under its current format.
Report swiftynifty August 3, 2025 10:15 PM BST
ye, if anyone ever had the clout to say' Show your workings' that'd be the end of it.
Report comingupthehill August 3, 2025 10:19 PM BST
They flower the market,rather than seed it,which is fine if there objective is to stabilise returns and match sp,but if it’s to game the system then that’s not cricket.
Report swiftynifty August 3, 2025 10:40 PM BST
cuth, jeez, keep cricket out of this one!
Report the old nanny ;-) August 3, 2025 11:01 PM BST
has the Promoter Westbollix been On ?
Report Mr Spock August 4, 2025 12:36 PM BST
If Field of Gold had of been placed then there might have been 3 £1.01 returns as surely the lions share was on him.
Report Cider August 4, 2025 12:40 PM BST
don't worry, the gc will be all over it like a rash
Report breadnbutter August 4, 2025 3:50 PM BST
Stopped using the Tote, the old Dual forcast which was the first two any order and it reg used to pay double and sometimes x5 the csf now the exacta first two correct order reg pays less than the  csf, it's a total joke.
The PP is a shell of the bet it once was due to dubious goings on.
Yet no one in the media is interested, even on course, the screens are full of total claptrap predicted returns,for me it's no more toat, am csf now, much safer way to roll.
As for the PP, nop, better doing  trebles, fours and an e/w acca, PP is a very bad invest now. Imvho.
Report Regbutler August 4, 2025 4:36 PM BST
Incredible return... Has it mentioned in the RP? I'm guessing not

BandB... As for the Placepot being a bad bet these days, I would agree that with the 28%  takeout plus this secretive seeding stuff, it can be very poor
However, I still play every day, have done for 40 plus years, and there are still certain make ups of races that lean towards decent returns in the ppot
Report Cider August 16, 2025 3:38 PM BST
In Ireland just now, 1000 rag 400 to be first 2 on here, tote return €23.90 place Cry

Winner sp 2/1, Exacta €79 Crazy
Report Cider August 16, 2025 3:40 PM BST
makes absolutely no sense with the 4/7f being a skinner. evidently using the same abacus as uk tote returns Plain
Report Mr Spock August 16, 2025 3:41 PM BST
You would feel like you've been mugged if you'd bet on the Tote in that race.
Report Cider August 16, 2025 3:45 PM BST
there's a scandal here surely, these returns are being manipulated somehow. Must only be pennies going on a 300/1 shot to place in a G2 with only 2 places, rated 80 and obvious pace making duties. Not even an interesting name for those casuals using a pin.
Report Cider August 16, 2025 3:46 PM BST
G3 sorry
Report second again August 16, 2025 3:52 PM BST
It makes no sense to bet into pools that are being seeded, except for westberks of course.
Report Mr Spock August 16, 2025 3:56 PM BST
The high take out doesn't help either especially in small fields, combined with seeding and the results are what we've been seeing.
Report Mr Spock August 16, 2025 3:58 PM BST
From AI WIN: 20% take-out

PLACE: 25% take-out

EXACTA: 30% take-out

TRIFECTA: 30% take-out

SUPERFECTA: 30% take-out

PICK 4 JACKPOT: 30% take-out

PICK 6: 30% take-out

PLACEPOT: 30% take-out
Report Cider August 16, 2025 4:01 PM BST
But the highest proportion of the pool should have been going on the jolly, therefore adding to the pay out on the winners. It would be a bit more understandable if the jolly was the other placer.

The parallel with the Sussex is that the long odds on jolly failed to place. Counter-intuitive to everything we know about betting/pool betting. Pay outs should be better if the long odds on jolly is out of the money.
Report JML August 16, 2025 4:08 PM BST
The take out is 20%  25% in Ireland. These figures are much higher than when Betfr*d ran the show.

9 runner race all with an equal chance------each place chance is 3.0  but the tote will pay 2.4 on average (2.25 in Ireland)

7/5  0r 5/4  on a 2/1 chance.
Report Mr Spock August 16, 2025 4:08 PM BST
Looks very similar, so are they artificially increasing the dividend on the jolly in favour of the other runners hence the poor returns when its out the frame?
Report Cider August 16, 2025 4:12 PM BST
The winner paid 1.40 to place first 2, which is broadly expectation. So it appears desperately slanted against the outsiders.
Report Cider August 16, 2025 4:16 PM BST
Unbelievable really, get a 300-1 shot (true win price 1000+) to place AND the long odds on jolly beaten, and your pick up is just over 20 quid. It's not a vastly interesting topic to report on but someone with the right profile should.
Report Mr Spock August 16, 2025 4:19 PM BST
Would be very interesting to see the amounts from the public and the seeding amounts, but I some how doubt they'll reveal them unless forced to.
Report JML August 16, 2025 4:19 PM BST
it's the same as playing roulette with 9 zeros
Report Mr Spock August 16, 2025 4:20 PM BST
Some casinos in Vegas are playing with 3 I believe !!
Report JML August 16, 2025 4:53 PM BST
vegas has become the biggest rip off ever.

They do use 3 Mr Spock and they use the hotels logo instead of 000 in an attempt to fool the customers.
Report wondersobright August 16, 2025 4:53 PM BST
6/5 on a lot of blackjack tables as well now
Report JML August 16, 2025 5:37 PM BST
I've never been to the sphere--that's the only reason I'd ever go back to vegas.
Report Cider August 21, 2025 6:51 PM BST
Another one there at Chelmsford, 18.30

Hello Humphrey 200/1 rag was around 100 to place on here, Tote place return £11 Plain

Actually ran a great race, pushed wide then hampered by the winner as well. The jolly did place this time, paying £1.10.
Report breadnbutter August 21, 2025 7:23 PM BST
Back in day if I rem correctly the tote uk took 18% out of win pool.

Why the diff % for diff pots I have no eye deer
Report Cider October 7, 2025 3:49 PM BST
3.30 Leics

Emma's Letter 2nd

400/1 SP

Tote return - place £11.60

Plain
Report Cider October 21, 2025 5:34 PM BST
Another one today

Just An Artist wins @125/1

Tote place £10.90

Plain
Report GLASGOWCALLING October 21, 2025 8:08 PM BST
..... Shareholders have to eat imo.
Report Cider November 4, 2025 9:44 AM GMT
ttt, for Steve Voltage
Report Cider November 11, 2025 3:56 PM GMT
3.46 Hunt

Laysoft
28/1 BSP: 43.8

Tote place return £4.00

Plain
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