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10 Mar 25
14:38
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02 Mar 07
I thought it would be a idea to start a thread for each race at the Festival. Thoughts and opinions are always welcome.
The favourite Kopek Des Bordes has been well tipped up by the 'experts' but at the prices I'm happy to try and get him beat. The form of his bumper and 2 hurdle races is just OK form but you can certainly pick holes in it. But he's unbeaten and he's trained by Willie Mullins so you know what you're up against trying to take him on. But I read somewhere he can be fractious at the start, first time hood goes on and he's very short in the market.......that's more than enough for me to take him on.
I've already backed one Workahead. I really liked his performance LTO. He jumped and travelled like a nice horse and I get the feeling the Supreme has been the plan since the start of the season. He really built on the promise of his seasonal debut after a lengthy lay off and he was well backed before the off to get the job done. He'll have to improve to beat the favourite but with this being only his third start under rules, I believe there's plenty more to come.
The other one I like at a price comes out of that "Aintree Bumper" Tripoli Flyer is getting better with each race but he'll have to jump much better to get involved here. He's one to look out for later down the line/next season.
The favourite Kopek Des Bordes has been well tipped up by the 'experts' but at the prices I'm happy to try and get him beat. The form of his bumper and 2 hurdle races is just OK form but you can certainly pick holes in it. But he's unbeaten and he's trained by Willie Mullins so you know what you're up against trying to take him on. But I read somewhere he can be fractious at the start, first time hood goes on and he's very short in the market.......that's more than enough for me to take him on.
I've already backed one Workahead. I really liked his performance LTO. He jumped and travelled like a nice horse and I get the feeling the Supreme has been the plan since the start of the season. He really built on the promise of his seasonal debut after a lengthy lay off and he was well backed before the off to get the job done. He'll have to improve to beat the favourite but with this being only his third start under rules, I believe there's plenty more to come.
The other one I like at a price comes out of that "Aintree Bumper" Tripoli Flyer is getting better with each race but he'll have to jump much better to get involved here. He's one to look out for later down the line/next season.
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..Well, we all know that Kopec is the most likely winner, as the odds suggest.
However, take him out of the race, and in any other year, ..Romeo Coolio...Workahead..William Munny ..would be very worthy runners at this Grade 1 level. I'm reluctantly just leaving the race alone, although I do love my Willy at Cheltenham ! |
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Whippin
As you love the chances of Workahead i'd imagine Even money to finish first five would be of interest , sportsbook. No idea of staking allowances or such like mate though tbh  |
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Maximum stake 0.00
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I would be very interested in that Hayden. Unfortunately the Sportsbook aren't too keen to accommodate me with any bet over 50 pence!
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I can imagine plenty will be playing the Willie double first 2 races. This doesn't interest you, Richgit?
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...Whip.. my usual Cheltenham involves piling in on any Mullins Grade 1 favourite...usually high 4 figure bets.
However, I'm having mega trouble with my blood pressure currently, and I just daren't risk getting involved this year. I could potter around with small stakes I suppose....but that would be too frustrating if the jollies all piled in . Hope you have a good week |
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Very difficult track to win if you're running with the choke out the whole way around which the fav is likely to have do,Workahead beat William Munny 7L LTO yet they are both about the same price here.
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Just checked out Tripoli Flyer's only LH hurdle run , yes he jumped rt , but only a smidgeon .
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last one to win a supreme with any headgear was flown iirc over 2 decades ago . fav may well win but not for me at the price.
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As I have said elsewhere I think this is between Workahead and Kopek Des Bordes. On Workahead at a nice price, and he has halved in price over the last few days. I hope Hayden isn't reading this, but my biggest fear is the jock. Hopefully, on looks a very straightforward horse, she just keeps it simple, certainly not held up, and stuck out wide. Ideally she has a two or three length buffer over the last.
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Cheers Rich. I'm sure you'll enjoy just watching it.
Good stat that Foyles |
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the hood will be a pre raceway red one wontit,they've only been around a few seasons so not sure what a horse wore 2 decades ago has to do with the price of fish,apology in advance if I've misread/miss understood
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Backed Romeo Coolio @ around 9s.
Only the 4TH bet I've had so far. |
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Sorry drum, I didn't see where you posted that. But like you say he's looks a very straightforward horse and I'd like to see him being allowed to bowl along like they did last time out. GL
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It is not a pre race hood
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any headgear ^ blinkers cheekpieces hoods whatever colour ,as said its just a stat but not ideal imo.
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When you're opposing a short one you've got to look for any chink in the armour you can 1TP. Now it might not be that much of a negative but I certainly don't consider it a positive either. GL
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yep cheers
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It's my first selection in the team competition. I always like to put up a bit of reasoning.
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I tried to back Workahead at several different bookies 14/1. None offered more than £10 so I am not on. Bookies are a joke sadly. Think it's a definite player. Half the price now though sadly.
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To use the headgear stat, hood you’d need to know how many fav have run in a first time hood, don’t think any, so lots will be thinking it’s a negative when it may not be
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3 wearing a hood for the 1ST time in this.
Jezki wore one for the 1ST & won a Chmpn Hdle. |
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Workahead been very well backed last 24 hours or so.
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Penzance, so it’s a positive a hood now and half the punters thinking it isint, could drift lol
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Does anyone know why Tripoli Flyer is a non runner ?
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Temperature
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States self certificate - temperature.
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Temperature on a self cert
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Lol sorry crossed posts
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thanks
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First beat....roll on the Flat season!
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What were they doing giving the fav a lead...PT couldn't believe it I'd say....
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4/6 SP.
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The third horse could be some stayer down the road
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looks a proper 2 mile chaser so look out Arkle and then the QM chase. First 3 miles clear.
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Workahead ran like a sick horse.
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Awesome for the owner and his sons … wonderful!
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Class from the horse , class reaction from Townend crossing the line and class from Skybet for allowing the name change.
Can imagine this horse improving every time it sets foot on the track , so sky's the limit |
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1.20 Cheltenham
1st Kopek Des Bordes (FR) (5)4/6fav 2nd 1.75 LWilliam Munny (11)8/1 3rd 5.5L Romeo Coolio (GB) (6)9/2 4th 3.75L Karniquet (FR) (4)33/1 OFF 1.20. Time 3m. 52.04 secs11 RanTote Win £1.67 ; Plc £1.30, £2.00, £1.20Trainer W P MullinsJockey P TownendOwner Monabeg Investments LimitedBreeder E A R L les Bordes de Mornay & M Gerard HanquiezTote Exacta- £8.00 Tote Trifecta- £28.40 CSF- £6.99 Tricast- £17.13NRs - Tripoli Flyer (IRE) |