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differentdrum
15 Feb 25 10:20
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Date Joined: 05 Oct 11
| Topic/replies: 21,094 | Blogger: differentdrum's blog
It's a very poor punting day, and I was in two minds whether it was worth putting this up.

The first thing to say is it looks a weak bumper with plenty of inexperienced jocks.

I thought Tiffiny's Girl was much too big at 66/1. I saw her as a 16-20/1 shot. Unfortunately, so far, nobody seems to concur. Still time I suppose. She has a decent pedigree that contains the likes of Robinsfirth, and going further back, Strong Promise. In the context of this race, I thought there was definite promise in her two hurdle runs. Last time she travelled strongly out the back, and was making (significant) ground when coming down. Another two furlongs might have been quite informative. The trainer can get the odd bumper winner, and she has one the best jocks on board, particularly on a hold up horse.

The other one I like is Miss Penny Copper from the excellent 'Copper' line which has served the family so well. She is a nice big mare who should progress, but she didn't look a bumper type on rules debut. Both horse and jock looked to be caught out, and she got too far back. Not sure she has the required tactical speed to back up her stamina - the 10/1 is tempting enough, particularly as I think the 66/1 has better credentials.
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Report jimnast February 15, 2025 10:57 AM GMT
I would be astonished if there was anything in this race as good as the 2023 winner.

Good luck with your selections
Report differentdrum February 15, 2025 11:14 AM GMT
Thanks, you are going to have to tell us who that was.

Little bit of interest in Tiffiny's Girl. Now no better than 40/1. I still think that is big.
Report Deptford February 15, 2025 11:15 AM GMT
Good luck, had a pop ew 66/1
Report differentdrum February 15, 2025 11:21 AM GMT
Fingers crossed.

I should just correct it should have read the 10/1 on Miss Penny Copper is NOT tempting enough. She remains that price.
Report Deptford February 15, 2025 12:36 PM GMT
Still 40s 365 20/1 elsewhere
Report jimnast February 15, 2025 12:41 PM GMT
Brighterdaysahead
Report freddiewilliams February 15, 2025 12:43 PM GMT
I stopped reading at a very poor punting day
Report differentdrum February 15, 2025 1:10 PM GMT
jimnast, I think you are pretty safe.

Strange, Bet365, assuming they are taking more bets than the others, if this actually does place they are going to look quite foolish.
Report Deptford February 15, 2025 2:25 PM GMT
differ, now 20 best, hope it wins and you win a right few quid
Report differentdrum February 15, 2025 2:42 PM GMT
Thanks, plenty of these touches land, but I can't ever remember being on at the start of any. At least it's been fun watching the market.

It's quite tempting to cash out one of my bets for a profit, but at the moment I will let them run.
Report differentdrum February 15, 2025 5:09 PM GMT
Such is life. Bookmakers saved by a horse bolting up to give trainer his first winner. I managed to make a small profit as my three bets were 75/1, 66/1, and I saved at 28/1 5 places.
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