12.22 southwell

2.4 miles h,cap chase and the fav is 8 pound lower than last win and good 2nd to  leu de saud a very promising novice he could well romp home here but I don't play at short prices , others with chances , the Skelton's run 2 and both appeal in particular Salamanca bay who is a stable switcher and the Skelton yard has a decent strike rate with this type .has had wind surgery and the  time tongue strap could help ,yard in good form and a decent kid claims 3 pound . the writesups say he is a headstrong type who might not get home stepping up in trip ,that may be so but why would dan step him up in trip if they thought he wouldnt get todays trip ? could be they have a bigger target later on in the season and are getting his mark down running him over the wrong trip ,who knows ? but I have taken the 22/1 which looked big earlier .
also had a few quid on the supposed 1st string  real stone who has decent back form form  and doesnt look too harshly treated imo.
selections Salamanca bay 20/1 ew bog & real stone 14/1 ew bog ...good luck opinions encouraged.